Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - February 20, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (4/7/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/1/5)-(4/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/1/5)-(4/7/1/5)-(4/7/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/1/5)-(6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1/5)-(6/4/1)-(10/7/8/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-2   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(10/7/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(10/7/8/4)-(4/1/2/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-3   WIN (10/7/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/7/8/4)-(10/7/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/7/8/4)-(10/7/8/4)-(10/7/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/7/8/4)-(4/1/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/7/8/4)-(4/1/2/7)-(4/8/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-4   WIN (4/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/2/7)-(4/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/2/7)-(4/1/2/7)-(4/1/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/2/7)-(4/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2/7)-(4/8/3)-(6/9/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-5   WIN (4/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/3)-(4/8/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/8/3)-(4/8/3)-(4/8/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/8/3)-(6/9/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/8/3)-(6/9/8)-(2/1/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-6   WIN (6/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/9/8)-(6/9/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/9/8)-(6/9/8)-(6/9/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/9/8)-(2/1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/9/8)-(2/1/4/6)-(5/4/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-7   WIN (2/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/6)-(2/1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/6)-(2/1/4/6)-(2/1/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/4/6)-(5/4/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4/6)-(5/4/3/7)-(1/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-8   WIN (5/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/7)-(5/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/7)-(5/4/3/7)-(5/4/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/3/7)-(1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-9   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   02/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CROSSING GUARD         (sinnefia pa)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of CROSSING THE TAPE by JOHANNESBURG)
2  BOOT TRICK Nov05 Sep20       (lynch cat)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SYSTEM TIME by GIROLAMO)
3  QUEEN KHALEESI Jan28 Dec17 Nov14     (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 5.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of FLOWER STALL by PETIONVILLE)
4  BRAMWELL Feb07         (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 2.00 62% 0.60    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of CARRY THE TORCH by SNOW RIDGE)
5  VINO AMORE         (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of TRUC'S LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
6  TIZ COMPLEX Feb01 Nov10       (lynch cat)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 12.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of TIZACITY by TIZWAY)
7  GOLDEN STYLE Dec12 Nov14       (stites flin)INIRIO J 122 4.00 10% 9.10    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of DECORATEDWITHSTYLE by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
 
PEN-2   02/20/2025 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUALIFIED HIRE Jan30 Dec12 Nov14     (mcclellan erin )BEATO INOEL 118 5.00 5% 17.70    
2  CASA JUANITA Jan26 Dec20 Nov20 Oct15   (kreise)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 6.00    
SCR  MY DEAR ANTONIA Feb02 Jan17 Nov16 Oct25   (mancilla carlo)TORREALBA JG 118 12.00    
4  BUTTER BEE QUICK Jan28         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 118 3.50 27% 2.80    
SCR  BOURBON N LACE Oct31 Oct09 Aug14 Jun29 Jun05 (pecoraro an)DEL SARA 108 3.00    
6  QUERCUS Jan30 Dec17 Nov27 Nov14 Oct23 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 118 2.50 47% 1.10    
7  LUMINOUS SECRET Jan25 Dec29 Nov29     (schoentha)CARRASCO R 118 8.00    
 
PEN-3   02/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BETCHA BOOTS BABE Feb06 Dec19 Nov29 Nov14 Nov08 (johnson m)FLORES E 125 8.00    
SCR  TESTED POSITIVE Feb06 Dec19 Dec09 Nov08 Oct23 (m)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 125 50.00    
SCR  EARLY FROST Nov13 Oct23 Sep29 Aug28 Mar14 (ippolito mar)VILLEGAS JERRY 125 30.00    
4  AMIRATI Feb06 Jan03 Dec13 Nov29 Nov13 (kravets bruce)ROJAS MARTINA 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  MORGANS COVE Dec13 Nov20 Oct31 Sep02 Aug14 (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 125 6.00    
6  FOREST MAIDEN Feb03 Jan14 Dec31 Oct23 Sep24 (linder louis )OCASIO M 125 5.00    
7  SHINELIKEADIAMOND Feb06 Jan03 Dec20 Nov29 Nov08 (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 125 4.50 7% 13.90    
8  GIA'S FUEGO Feb03 Jan27 Dec20 Nov29 Nov02 (diaz jorge)AGUILAR JEAN 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  SEVEN YEARS LATER Jan03 Dec20 Nov29 Jul09 May13 (nicholson junio)BOWMAN ADAM 125 8.00    
10  FOR CRYIN OUT LOUD Jan08 Aug28 Jul31 Jul10 Jun18 (rathman eli)RAMOS O 125 2.00 69% 0.40    
SCR  SCOREBOARD LILY Feb06 Oct31 Jul03 Jun13 May31 (kravets m)CORA D 125 20.00    
 
PEN-4   02/20/2025 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARION GRACE Dec13 Oct19 Oct02 Sep14 Aug26 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 2.50 14% 6.20    
2  DIVINE ROMANCE Jan25 Oct25 Oct09 Sep28 Sep15 (kravets bruce)ROJAS MARTINA 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  NO EASY ANSWER Dec15 Dec06 Oct25 Sep08 Aug14 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 121 6.00    
4  AMBITIOUSLY PLACED Dec18 Nov19 Oct19 Sep24 Sep11 (pino mich)RODRIGUEZ R 121 1.60 62% 0.60    
SCR  ROCK N REWARD Jan30 Dec19 Oct17 Sep17 Aug20 (rojas )LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 8.00    
SCR  SPEAK YOUR MIND Dec28 Nov15 Sep29 Sep18 Aug03 (cooney su)HERNANDEZ A 121 12.00    
7  JACK'S LILLY Dec18 Nov20 Aug14 Aug01 Jul17 (bobadilla f)CORA D 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  BELLA PRIMA Jan09 Dec04 Oct25 Sep28 Sep20 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 12.00    
 
PEN-5   02/20/2025 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FAYTASTIC Jan09 Oct24 Sep09 Jul04 Jun12 (iannotti i)CHIAPPE R 121 15.00    
2  THEGODDESSOFSNAKES Jan27 Jan14 Dec16 Dec02 Nov13 (lake a)BEATO INOEL 121 3.50    
3  SO FULLY SUE Jan27 Dec16 Aug19 Jul15 May27 (linder louis )OCASIO M 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CANDY REWARD Oct07 Sep16 Aug26 Aug14 Feb21 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.00 68% 0.50    
5  GIRVINIZED Dec27 Oct24 Oct09 Jul04 May15 (allen f)HERNANDEZ A 121 3.50    
SCR  PLUS SIZED COURAGE Jan27 Jan09 Dec13 Nov21 Nov22 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 10.00    
SCR  TITOSCHANGEDMYLUCK Feb19 Jan01 Nov15 Oct16 Oct03 (lawrence james)CONNER TYLER 121 10.00    
8  SUMMARY JUDGMENT Jan27 Dec16 Nov13 Oct01 Sep16 (ramirez silvin)TORRES JOMAR 121 6.00 6% 16.50    
 
PEN-6   02/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BYK Jan18 Jan03 Nov27 Nov02 Sep27 (kreise)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 3.50    
SCR  TERMSOFENGAGEMENT Jan08 Nov07 Oct17 Aug30 Aug07 (murillo ric)INIRIO J 121 8.00    
3  CAMULUS Jan03 Dec13 Oct30 Sep21 Aug10 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 121 8.00    
4  YAHOO OMAR Dec20 Nov07 Oct10 Sep26 Aug25 (simoff an)HERNANDEZ A 121 8.00    
5  MEET ME AT MUNDIS Jan27 Nov27 Nov04 Oct04 Sep06 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 12.00    
6  HOUGHTON SHUFFLE Feb06 Jan03 Jun26 May31 May08 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 2.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  GENGHIS Jan03 Nov21 Nov06 Oct17 Sep15 (kravets bruce)ROJAS MARTINA 121 20.00    
8  MAGICNTHEMOONLIGHT Jan03 Oct01 Sep02 Jun25 Jun07 (lake a)OCASIO M 121 6.00 14% 6.20    
9  POINT DUME Dec27 Nov15 Oct13 Sep27 Aug29 (de horaci)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 4.50 17% 4.80    
 
PEN-7   02/20/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 3 F PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITH EVERY DREAM         (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 10.00 8% 11.60    
2  SEARCH FOR SILVER Jan02 Dec20       (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 3.50 45% 1.20    
3  CRYSTAL WATER Jan08 Dec14 Nov28 Oct12 Sep21 (chircop steve)DAVID MICHAEL 120 4.50    
4  ECLIPTICAL GINA         (stites flin)INIRIO J 122 8.00 8% 11.60    
SCR  SEXY RED DRESS         (stites flint )ROJAS MARTINA 122 5.00    
6  FANCY FIDDLE         (houghton thoma)TORRES JOMAR 122 10.00 8% 11.60    
7  CREAMRISESTOTHETOP         (kravets b)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50    
8  AVRIL Jan02 Dec20 Nov14 Oct23   (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 122 4.00    
 
PEN-8   02/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PURECRAZIGROOVE Feb06 Nov26 Nov13 Oct28 Oct14 (s)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 121 50.00    
2  SECRET SATURDAY Feb07 Jan24 Jan02 Dec20 Nov18 (deiter kell)CACHA-PADILLA B 125 6.00    
3  CALI HEAT Feb06 Jan03 Dec11 Nov15 Oct24 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 121 2.50 6% 15.30    
4  BAZINGA D Feb06 Jan03 Dec11 Nov27 Nov07 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 121 3.00 34% 1.90    
5  CAJUN VIBES Jan31 Jan09 Nov28 Oct30 Jul21 (siculie)GONZALEZ LUIS 123 1.80 38% 1.70    
6  OUR ETHAN CHARLES Feb06 Jan02 Dec19 Dec04 Nov15 (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 6.00    
7  DOUBLE NICKEL Feb06 Jan14 Jan02 Dec18 Dec04 (albright ge)INIRIO J 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-9   02/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASTASPELLA Dec27 Aug15       (kravets bruce)ROJAS MARTINA 123 2.00 22% 3.50    
2  WHEN YOUR STRANGE Feb06 Jan25 Jan09 Nov25 Nov09 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 123 3.00    
3  I CAME TO DANCE Mar22 Jan24 Aug25 Aug16 Jul18 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 123 6.00 17% 4.70    
4  KENTUCKY REIGN Feb06 Jan02 Dec06 Nov06 Oct31 (bobadilla j)INIRIO J 123 8.00    
5  MOONSHINE WARRIOR Oct01 Aug29 Jun27 Jun12 May17 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 6.00 18% 4.70    
6  DANCING CHIME Feb06 Dec06 Oct31 Aug15 Jul24 (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.