Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Tuesday - February 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (1/7/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/5/6)-(1/7/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/5/6)-(1/7/5/6)-(1/7/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/5/6)-(6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5/6)-(6/4/5)-(6/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-4   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5/7)-(6/4/5/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(6/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(6/5/1)-(6/2/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TUP-5   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(6/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(6/2/7)-(6/9/4/5/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TUP-6   WIN (6/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/7)-(6/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/7)-(6/2/7)-(6/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/7)-(6/9/4/5/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/2/7)-(6/9/4/5/2)-(5/3/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-7   WIN (6/9/4/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/9/4/5/2)-(6/9/4/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/9/4/5/2)-(6/9/4/5/2)-(6/9/4/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/9/4/5/2)-(5/3/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/9/4/5/2)-(5/3/7/6)-(6/5/3/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-8   WIN (5/3/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/7/6)-(5/3/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/7/6)-(5/3/7/6)-(5/3/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/7/6)-(6/5/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TUP-9   WIN (6/5/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/3/4)-(6/5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/3/4)-(6/5/3/4)-(6/5/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   02/11/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BERT'S PROSPECT Jan21 Nov09 Oct11 Aug22 Aug03 (peery debbie)KRIGGER K 124 2.50 26% 2.80    
2  SIPPIN WHISKEY Jan04 Dec07 Oct26 Sep22 Sep14 (perren ly)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00    
3  DEVILNTHEBLUEGRAS Jan22 Jan04 Dec07 Oct26 Sep29 (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 3.00    
4  MONGOLIAN FROST Jan28 Jan05 Jul07 Jun16 Apr05 (baze t)MAWING A 124 12.00    
5  SIZE LORD Jan27 Jan02 Dec23 Nov30 Aug03 (ferguson chad)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 10% 8.60    
6  LUKA GRAZIE Jan22 Jan02 Nov19 Oct14 Sep30 (homer jaso)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 10.00 10% 8.90    
7  MONGOLIAN SPRING Jan29 Jan02 Dec03 Nov21 Sep14 (toye joe)MONTALVO C 124 5.00 23% 3.30    
 
TUP-4   02/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3 F PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHESAYSHELLO Jan27 Sep15 Aug09 Jul14 Jun22 (birdwell )VALENZUELA A 121 6.00    
2  AUDACITY OF FAITH Jan08 Dec04 Aug11 Jul20 Jun29 (barrio sergio)REYES R 121 6.00    
3  SHE'S MY FLAME Jan08 Dec14 Nov29 Oct25 Oct14 (mendoz)ASENCIO MARIANO 121 10.00    
4  LULA BELLA Jan23 Dec18 Nov25 May26   (villamar candelari)MOJICA O 121 5.00 31% 2.20    
5  GIMME MO MONEY Jan30 Jan08 Dec23 Nov25 Nov13 (martine)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 3.50 14% 6.30    
6  I HAVE A DREAM Jan27 Jan08 Dec18 Nov25 Jul06 (birdwell tena)LOPEZ KARLO 121 2.50 35% 1.80    
7  LITTLE BIT TIPSY Dec23 Dec05 Nov18 Sep26 Sep02 (lund valor)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 4.50 ★    
 
TUP-5   02/11/2025 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DENNARD Dec28 Dec09 Nov26 Nov11 Oct14 (baze ro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 10.00 6% 14.60    
2  HOOPERDRIVESTHBOAT Nov30 Nov20 Nov12 Jun26 May25 (wolf ashlee)REYES R 122 12.00    
SCR  ABRAAJ MIRAGE Jan06 Dec16 Nov12 Sep23 Aug04 (kowalski liz)MAWING A 122 3.50    
4  HANDSOME HARRY Jan30 Jan08 Dec07 Sep26 Sep07 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 4.50    
5  MAD LUTHER Jan30 Jan08 Dec18 Nov30 Nov20 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 14% 6.30    
6  HORSE DOCTOR Jan25 Jan03 Dec18 Nov24 Jun23 (perez serg)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 1.20 57% 0.80    
 
TUP-6   02/11/2025 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLAYTON DELANEY Jan22 Sep15 Sep07 Aug17 Aug10 (peery debb)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00    
SCR  I'M NOBLE Dec30 Dec11 Dec03 Sep15 Aug24 (toye joe)CRUZ M 124 3.50 16% 5.30    
SCR  WAR CHEST Dec28 Dec16 Nov26 Nov12 Sep28 (fuentes)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50    
4  ARIZONA JEREMY Jan14 Dec30 Dec16 May02 Apr15 (laufenberg joyce)MAWING A 124 8.00    
SCR  CLUB MESQUITE Jan27 Dec28 Dec03 Sep01 Aug09 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 6.00    
6  WELLSWORT (IRE) Dec28 Dec09 Nov19 Nov01 Sep21 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
7  COUSVINNYSACANUCK Sep05 Aug11 Aug04 Jul03 Jun20 (silva jose)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 8.00 13% 7.00    
 
TUP-7   02/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOS VICIOS Dec30 Nov20 Oct27 Aug17 Jun23 (chambers mike)MONTALVO C 124 5.00    
2  QUARTERBACK DAK Jan08 Nov01 Oct09 Sep13 Aug22 (hodgson barry)CRUZ M 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  NATION OF FAITH Jan23 Dec30 Dec03 Nov13 Sep13 (silva-mart)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 12.00    
4  LANSDOWNE (GB) Jan23 Jan06 Dec10 Nov18 Oct19 (evans justin)CORBETT W 124 3.00 10% 8.60    
5  CREATIVE BID Jan25 Dec30 Dec02 Nov13 Oct04 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 10% 9.00    
6  OVERLY FAST Jan23 Dec04 Sep01 Aug24 Aug11 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 41% 1.40    
7  LAST MARTINI Dec16 Sep26 Sep07 Aug10 Jul06 (woolle)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 124 10.00    
8  HERECOMEGEORGIEBOY Jan22 Jan07 Dec01 Nov10 Oct19 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 6.00    
9  WINTER FALCON Jan08 Dec28 Dec16 Dec02 Nov10 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 4.00 14% 6.30    
 
TUP-8   02/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRAYER OF JABEZ Jan23 Jan06 Dec16 Apr23 Mar14 (kereluk ed)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 5.00    
SCR  COASTAL JAZZ Jan06 Dec11 Nov14 Sep29 Sep15 (evans justin)CORBETT W 122 2.00    
3  RUN RUDOLF Jan22 Jan01 Jul27 Jun01   (krasner c)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 21% 3.70    
4  YOU KIDDING ME Dec09 Nov25 Jun09 May25 May12 (fearon johnathon)HARVEY B 122 30.00    
5  DIAMOND RIM Jan06 Dec16 May10 Apr23 Feb29 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 30% 2.40    
6  PERFECT DUDE Jun23 May04 Apr13 Mar15 Feb18 (eikleberry kevin)MOJICA O 122 8.00 11% 8.50    
7  PLANE TALK Jan23 Dec16 Nov19 Sep26 Aug11 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 12% 7.40    
8  POVERTY BAY Jan13 Dec23 Sep07 Aug17 Jul14 (toye joe)CRUZ M 124 10.00    
9  BRIDLEUPTOTHEBAR Jan23 Jan06 Apr27 Apr06 Feb24 (lund valor)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 8.00    
 
TUP-9   02/11/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PURR TIGER Jan24 Dec28 Dec12 Nov21 Nov13 (silva )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 15.00    
SCR  GIGI'S THIRSTY Jan24 Dec18 Apr30     (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 124 15.00    
3  SHEZA HIGH CLIMBER Jan06 Dec28 Dec12 Nov13 Sep14 (essex charles)KRIGGER K 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  NEW WEST Jan21 Dec12 Oct25 Oct10 Sep07 (thompso)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  UNARMED Jan15 Dec19       (campo stac)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00 6% 15.80    
6  LOTSA STEEL Jan21 Jan02 Dec19 Dec03 Nov13 (kemper kasey)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 66% 0.50    
SCR  SWIVEL HIPS May02 Apr16 Mar20 May05 Jan07 (perkins f)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00    
8  HIDDEN TIGER Jan29 Jan06 May18 May04   (birdwell )VALENZUELA A 124 6.00    
SCR  DANDY DAY Nov18 Nov10 Oct23 Oct13 Sep30 (soto antonio)CORBETT W 124 12.00    
10  SPICY RIDE Jan18 Jun02 Apr26 Mar15   (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 4.00    
SCR  KOOL KADILLAC Dec19 Nov29 Sep13 Aug31 Aug03 (lucarelli fran)REYES R 124 10.00    
12  DAME LORRAINE Jan21 Dec12 Dec03 Oct27   (perkinson cc)HARVEY B 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.