Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sunland Park
Thursday - January 30, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SUN-1   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(5/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
SUN-2   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(6/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(6/7/3/2)-(6/1/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SUN-3   WIN (6/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/2)-(6/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/3/2)-(6/7/3/2)-(6/7/3/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3/2)-(6/1/7/2)-(2/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SUN-4   WIN (6/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/7/2)-(6/1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/7/2)-(6/1/7/2)-(6/1/7/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/1/7/2)-(2/5/1)-(1/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SUN-5   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
SUN-6   WIN (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/5)-(1/7/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/7/5)-(1/7/5/4)-(1/7/5/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SUN-7   WIN (7/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/2)-(7/4/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/4/2)-(7/4/1/2)-(7/4/1/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (7/4/2)-(2/1/5/4)-(4/5/10/8/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
SUN-8   WIN (2/1/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/4)-(2/1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/5/4)-(2/1/5/4)-(2/1/5/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/5/4)-(4/5/10/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
SUN-9   WIN (4/5/10/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/10/8/6)-(4/5/10/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/10/8/6)-(4/5/10/8/6)-(4/5/10/8/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SUN-1   01/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IOWA HAWKEYE Dec04 Nov12 Oct05 Aug29 Jun28 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 3.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  M G M'S LUCKY Jan10 Dec17 Dec04 Nov12 Oct18 (hudson jeff)NEGRON LUIS 124 5.00    
3  RACE FOR DOUGH Jan03 Jun14 Jun02 Sep13 Jun23 (cappellucci dick)MEDELLIN A 124 2.50 30% 2.30    
4  SIR RUCKUS Jan16 Dec10 Dec04 Nov19 Sep06 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 3.00    
5  ABETEMARCO Jan16 Dec04 Nov12 Oct18 Sep26 (trujillo jeff)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.50    
6  ICE STORM Dec04 Nov12 Oct13 Sep24 Aug26 (long vaughn)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
SUN-2   01/30/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLEASE THE COURT Oct25 Sep13 Sep01 Apr04 Mar22 (cappellucci dic)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.50    
2  AMERICAN SOLO Jan10 Dec18 Dec03 Nov12 Oct20 (gonzalez andres)ROSENDO J 124 3.50    
3  MITHQAAL Dec02 Oct25 Sep13 Sep05 Apr20 (cappellucci dick)MEDELLIN A 124 2.50 23% 3.30    
4  PINEY BLUFF Jan09 Dec16 Dec04 Nov26 Nov12 (gutierrez taurino)TORRES J 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  BETTOR TRIP NICK Jan03 Dec09 Nov19 Sep29 Sep01 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 2.00 27% 2.70    
6  TRUST MANDO Jan10 Dec16 Oct25 Oct06 May18 (armstrong she)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00    
 
SUN-3   01/30/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MI PRINCESA Jan17 Dec09 Oct11 Sep26 Sep15 (aldavaz hermengi)VALDEZ S 124 6.00    
2  MARQUEE'S STORM Jan09 Dec09 Nov11 Sep26 Jul19 (sanchez)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  RUNNING FOR GRACE Dec09 Mar28 Feb01 Dec04 Nov13 (gonzalez jose)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 12.00 18% 4.60    
4  WHY FOR Jan17 Dec17 Oct11 Sep18 Aug24 (cross gary)HEBERT J 124 1.60    
5  MARKED BY MISCHIEF Jan16 Dec16 Nov11 Oct12 Aug24 (gome)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 20.00    
6  GIVE N RECEIVE Dec09 Aug24 Mar14 Jan26 Dec11 (marr jo)FUENTES T 124 4.00 28% 2.60    
7  RESTLESS MOVER Jan09 Dec02 Nov11 Mar28 Mar14 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 2.50 24% 3.20    
 
SUN-4   01/30/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAISEBEFORETHEFLOP Jan23 Jan09 Dec02 Oct05 Mar21 (gonzalez r)NEGRON LUIS 124 1.80 16% 5.20    
2  ANGELA'S ANGEL Jan24 Jan03 Oct27 Oct13 Sep05 (marquez l)JAIME R 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  BLUEGRASS RYDER Dec16 Dec02 Sep29 Sep15 Aug24 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 124 5.00    
4  SMOKE STACK Dec16 Dec04 Nov12 Oct23 Aug10 (gutierrez taurino)TORRES J 124 20.00    
5  REVOLT AND RIOT Oct18 Sep25 May11 Apr28 Mar21 (valdez-cabr)CASTRO M 124 6.00    
6  GO SPEED RACER GO Dec16 Oct30 Oct04 Sep11 Aug17 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 1.60 38% 1.60    
7  ZACH WHO Dec04 Oct23 Oct06 Sep19 Sep07 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 10.00 9% 10.20    
 
SUN-5   01/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($47.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THUNDER DOME Jan16 Dec16 Nov25 Oct27 Oct12 (barton da)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  SAMBAS MARK Jan16 Dec09 Nov04 Oct12 Sep02 (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 2.50 52% 0.90    
3  ANTONIOS MARK Jan16 Dec16 Nov25 Nov12 Oct27 (barton j)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00    
4  NO PASA NADA Jan03 Dec02 Nov12 Apr07 Mar08 (mart)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 8.00    
5  ONE MARK Jan16 Mar08 Feb09 Jan25 Nov27 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 124 4.50 18% 4.60    
6  DELBERT TOO Jan23 Dec16 Dec09 Nov25 Nov04 (quiroz filiberto)MEDELLIN A 124 2.00    
 
SUN-6   01/30/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.2K) 3 ALL PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOJICA Dec18         (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 2.50 48% 1.10    
  (by MARKING out of I TEN by ATTILA'S STORM)
2  SHINY SHORES Dec18 Dec02 Nov11 Oct23 Sep06 (lambert casey)JUAREZ J 121 5.00    
  (by AMERICAN ANTHEM out of NITA BRAVO by EVERYDAY HEROES)
3  GOLDEN GATO Dec10 Nov11 Oct23 Sep14 Sep06 (henr)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 8.00    
  (by METABOSS out of KATIE IT'S FINE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
4  CALL ME HOLLYWOOD Dec02         (fincher w)ROSENDO J 121 4.00 ★    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of RINGBACK by GONE HOLLYWOOD)
5  NOBODY'S PERFECT Dec18         (green greg)PEREZ A 121 4.50 10% 8.70    
  (by DELHOMME out of LILLY DALE WHO by QUINTON'S GOLD)
SCR  COMMANDO STYLE         (marquez jos)ORTEGA O 121 15.00    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of SOUMA by MR. GREELEY)
7  KING OF COUNTRY Jan16 Dec18 Dec02 Nov11   (martinez a)MEDELLIN A 121 6.00 12% 7.00    
  (by COMFORT out of BEAUTYS RAP by RAPPER S S)
8  HEATED RUSH Dec10         (young don)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121 20.00    
  (by CHIPSHOT out of WALTZING ROSE by HENNY HUGHES)
9  SUNSHINE LUTE Jan16 Dec18 Dec02 Nov11   (singh johnny)JAIME R 121 15.00    
  (by HOLY LUTE out of RAPPING KAREN by RAPPER S S)
 
SUN-7   01/30/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESSPRANCEALOT Dec16 Jan14       (buechler simon )ROSENDO J 123 5.00 ★    
2  TAPSION Jul05 Feb25       (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  CATRIANNA Jan10 Dec17 Dec19 Dec12 Nov14 (bolen bradl)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 4.00    
4  PINK PACIFIC Jan17 Nov26 Nov19     (cross gary)HEBERT J 121 3.50 33% 2.00    
5  DONT BE SHY SAY HI Jan09 Dec16       (marr jo)FUENTES T 123 6.00    
6  CON SEAL AND KERRY Dec17 Sep08 Apr27 Jan21 Dec17 (hudson jeff)NEGRON LUIS 123 8.00    
7  BRING A SMILE Dec17 Jun09 May19 Jul09   (fincher todd )ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 2.00 42% 1.40    
 
SUN-8   01/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHAT'S CRACKIN Dec19 Oct28 Sep27 Sep17 Aug17 (green greg)PEREZ A 124 8.00 19% 4.30    
2  WORK N FLIRT Apr18 Mar11 Feb26 Feb15 Feb07 (barrios bernadet)VALDEZ S 124 4.00 45% 1.20    
3  LOOKATHERGLIDE Jan16 Dec03 Nov11 Sep26 Sep12 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 10.00    
4  HAUTE LADY Jan17 Aug25 May18 Feb01 Oct28 (sedillo)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  IT'S A GIRL Dec04 Oct27 Mar01 Dec18 Dec11 (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  AND CHANGE Jan16 Dec03 Nov11 Sep16 Aug28 (lambert t)NEGRON LUIS 124 8.00    
7  STREET MARK Jan10 Dec09 Apr27 Mar29 Feb18 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 124 5.00    
8  FIRST TIME PLAYER Jan10 Oct23 Oct13 Sep26 Sep06 (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 3.50    
9  BIG HOPES Jan16 Dec03 Oct13 Sep06 Aug08 (armstrong sherr)ROSENDO J 124 6.00    
 
SUN-9   01/30/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($13.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEARLESS YODA Nov12 Oct23 Oct06 Nov13 Sep04 (vurgun za)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 124 20.00    
2  NEXT REYNA Dec02 Aug17 Nov13 Oct08 Sep08 (alamos armando)PEREZ A 124 20.00    
3  HAZHONI Jan09 Oct13 Sep28 Sep01 Aug23 (singh j)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 20.00    
4  SALSA AMERICANA Jan10 Dec10 Sep22 Aug31   (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 121 3.00 25% 2.90    
5  LA BELLA BELLA Jan23 Dec03 Sep25 Aug31 Aug02 (gonzalez r)NEGRON LUIS 121 2.50 18% 4.60    
6  BET U MONEY Jan09 Dec18       (marr joel)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 8.00 7% 14.20    
7  F S THUNDER RUN Oct23         (lello p)MEDELLIN A 124 10.00    
8  LA JOYA Jan09 Oct11 Sep01 Feb18 Dec05 (marquez jos)ORTEGA O 124 6.00 11% 8.00    
9  MY KINDA GIRL Dec02 Nov05       (huds)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 12.00    
10  AUNT BENNIE Dec18 Dec04 Sep28 Sep12 May11 (martinez dann)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.00 17% 4.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.