Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Friday - January 24, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (4/2/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/8/7)-(4/2/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/8/7)-(4/2/8/7)-(4/2/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/8/7)-(5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/8/7)-(5/6/3)-(6/8/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-2   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/7/3)-(5/6/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(6/8/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(6/8/1/3)-(6/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-3   WIN (6/8/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/1/3)-(6/8/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/1/3)-(6/8/1/3)-(6/8/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/1/3)-(6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/8/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/7/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-4   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(6/7/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(6/7/5/2)-(5/11/1/9/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-5   WIN (6/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/5/2)-(6/7/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/5/2)-(6/7/5/2)-(6/7/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/5/2)-(5/11/1/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5/2)-(5/11/1/9/10)-(5/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-6   WIN (5/11/1/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/11/1/9/10)-(5/11/1/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/11/1/9/10)-(5/11/1/9/10)-(5/11/1/9/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/11/1/9/10)-(5/1/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/11/1/9/10)-(5/1/3)-(10/3/9/5/11) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LRL-7   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(10/3/9/5/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(10/3/9/5/11)-(7/2/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-8   WIN (10/3/9/5/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/3/9/5/11)-(10/3/9/5/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/3/9/5/11)-(10/3/9/5/11)-(10/3/9/5/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/3/9/5/11)-(7/2/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
LRL-9   WIN (7/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/6/1)-(7/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/6/1)-(7/2/6/1)-(7/2/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   01/24/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3 ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY TWO DAY Dec21         (mcmahon hug)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 113 20.00    
ALIGN Dec21 Dec01 Oct25 Oct06 Sep29 (schoentha)CARRASCO R 120 2.00 20% 4.00    
FLATBED FORD Dec21 Dec01 Nov15 Oct24 Oct10 (smith hamilton)TORREALBA JG 124 3.00    
BUDS ISLAND Dec21 Dec01       (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
WORLD ON FIRE Dec20 Dec01 Nov15 Oct25   (eubank)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 6.00    
MOONLIT FROST Dec21 Dec01 Oct18 Sep15   (dilodovico )DEL SARA 110 20.00    
TUFF LUCK Dec21 Nov09 Jul24     (mcmahon)BRICENO GREGOR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
MONOCHROME May27         (testerman v)HAMILTON WESTON 124 12.00 15% 5.90    
 
LRL-2   01/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT-12:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CYBERTIME Dec06 Nov14 Oct26 Oct04 Jul27 (farrior ant)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 5.00    
SCR  SISYPHUS Jul02 May18 May11 Apr26 Apr05 (rose d)ARAUJO VICENTE 126 10.00    
MIDNIGHT RENEGADE Dec28 Dec06 Nov17 Apr27 Mar09 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
WIN NO JOKE Dec20 Dec13 Dec01 Nov03 Oct17 (singh s)BRICENO GREGOR 126 4.00    
IRISH HERO Dec14 Sep02 Aug23 Aug07 Jul27 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 126 2.00 70% 0.40    
HAMMER Jul05 May18 May04 Feb23 Feb14 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 126 8.00 5% 18.00    
BANDITSGOLDENCHILD Dec27 Nov30 Oct05 Sep21 Sep02 (robb j)ROSADO JOHAN 126 3.00    
THE BIG ENCHILADA Dec28 Nov15 Oct13 Aug18 Jul27 (magee kieron)TORREALBA JG 122 15.00    
 
LRL-3   01/24/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($33K) 3 F PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHATTOLANEE SPRING Dec29 Oct25       (milosevic mil)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 6.00 13% 6.90    
FAIR TRADE Dec21         (shankle joanne)CRUZ ANGEL 124 12.00    
GOTTAHOPPERTUNITY Dec21 Nov29 Oct26     (smith hamilton)TORREALBA JG 124 10.00 6% 15.80    
SCR  MARGO'S MARGARITA Dec29 Dec07 Nov10 Oct26 Sep14 (walters hen)BURNHAM MATILDA 113 20.00    
WIKOLIA LADY Dec13 Oct24 Aug29     (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 124 4.50    
LYRIC STREET Dec22 Nov29 Oct18     (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 124 1.20 43% 1.40    
SEVEN'S MAGIC Dec13 Nov30 Nov10 Oct09 Sep05 (bailon nesvil )CEDENO CAROL 124 20.00    
ESTOCADA Dec21         (machado ant)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 3.00 18% 4.40    
 
LRL-4   01/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($49K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRADO ROAD Jun28 May18 Mar22 Mar01 Dec17 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 3.50 21% 3.80    
DIVINE CHILD Dec14 Nov10 Oct25 Oct12 Sep21 (mancilla carlo)TORREALBA JG 123 6.00    
PALM ISLAND Dec04 Oct28 Sep23 Aug16 Jul13 (crook-dema)SANCHEZ J 123 8.00 9% 10.60    
SWIFTY DEVIL Dec27 Jun07 May23 Apr21 Mar29 (gorham michael )MENA E 123 5.00    
DISPUTED CLAIM Dec27 Sep28 Sep07 Aug18 Aug03 (geralis e)CARRASCO R 123 15.00    
SUGA STEVE Dec27 Dec06 Oct06 Sep28 Aug24 (gaudet)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 0.80 46% 1.20    
 
LRL-5   01/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER NEEDY Dec01 Nov02 May31 May12 Apr19 (salzman timothy)GOMEZ KEVIN 126 12.00    
SNEAKING SUSPICION Dec14 Nov09 Oct18 Sep29 Aug17 (aguirre anthon)ROSADO JOHAN 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BOX OF ROCKETS Dec27 Nov16 Oct26 Oct11 Jun23 (plummer)BRICENO GREGOR 126 15.00    
BERMUDA RUN Dec20 Dec01 Nov10 Oct19 Aug10 (barr donald)HAMILTON WESTON 126 8.00    
THE HEIGHTS Jan17 Jan02 Dec20 Nov29 Sep08 (serey j)LUGO JR 122 12.00 6% 14.50    
NOT SO HOLY Dec20 Nov26 Oct20 Sep15 Aug10 (mckenzie dani)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 2.50 45% 1.20    
EL DIVINO NINO Dec13 Nov20 Nov08 Nov03 Oct17 (sanchez-)RODRIGUEZ L 119 3.00 23% 3.40    
JAY Jul27 Jun21 Jun08 Apr28 Apr14 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 4.50    
SCR  MISCHIEF MOGUL Dec20 May13 Apr02     (de horacio)CRUZ ANGEL 122 6.00    
 
LRL-6   01/24/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  PEPPERMINT CLASS Dec27 Nov29 Oct13 Sep27 Jul05 (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 126 4.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  PROFITUNITY Jan08 Nov27 Nov01 Sep28 Aug28 (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 126 4.00    
WESTERN LANE May17 Mar30 Feb16 Jan28 Dec16 (brion ker)CARRASCO R 123 8.00    
TALK TO THE JUDGE Dec21 Nov27 Oct12 Sep03 Jul26 (montoya marya)BOYCE FOREST 123 10.00    
SCR  I'M A CUTIE PIE Dec15 Nov29 Nov10 Oct17 Sep29 (eubank)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 12.00    
DISCREET OPS Dec21 Nov30 Oct20 Sep22 Aug24 (feliciano ben)ALVELO C 123 3.00 42% 1.40    
STOP THE CAP Dec29 Nov17 Oct20 Oct03 Aug02 (smith hamilton)TORREALBA JG 126 10.00    
DI'S SURPRISE Dec28 Oct10 Sep19 Aug29 Jul07 (mcmahon hug)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 116 20.00    
SCR  CONQUEST DANCER Dec29 Dec15 Nov02 Oct17 Oct01 (frock charl)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 119 20.00    
DISSOLUTE Dec18 Nov27 Oct25 May12 Nov12 (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 8.00 7% 14.20    
10  ANGEL ART Dec14 Nov02 Oct10 Aug24 Jul20 (shuman mark)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  DREAM CHASER Dec21 Dec02 Nov01 Oct19 Oct01 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 123 3.50 15% 5.60    
 
LRL-7   01/24/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($49K) 3 ALL PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARTILLERY GUNNAR Dec14         (smith ham)CARRASCO R 121 10.00 22% 3.60    
CHIPOTLE (GB) Jan03 Dec14 Nov08 Sep28 Aug31 (gorham michael )MENA E 124 5.00    
WAR HUMOR Dec18 Nov08 Oct20 Oct04 Aug31 (figgins ollie )BOYCE FOREST 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SLAM NOTION Dec21 Oct06       (bailes rober)TORREALBA JG 124 6.00    
NOLA BOSS Dec01 Oct06 Sep04 Aug13 Jul20 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  MISSION FIRST Dec27 Nov26 Oct21 Jul06 Jun02 (hawthorn)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 12.00    
SHOOTERSGOTTASHOOT Dec28 Nov08 Oct09 Sep07 Jul28 (serey j)LUGO JR 121 4.50    
SCR  KERNESS K Dec14 Oct12 Sep11 Aug14 Jul03 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 2.00    
 
LRL-8   01/24/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNNING RIVER Jan17 Dec21 Dec13 Nov28 Nov16 (mohan david )WHITACRE GRANT 123 20.00    
IN THE DANCE Dec13 Dec01 Nov17 Oct27 Oct12 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 123 4.50    
OMAR COMIN Jan09 Dec06 Nov16 Oct12 Oct05 (farrior anthon)TORREALBA JG 126 6.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  ALVY Dec27 Dec04 Oct12 Sep14 Aug22 (kreise)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 12.00    
SYNONYM Dec27 Dec04 Nov09 Sep20 Aug29 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
JASIEL Dec29 Dec14 Dec02 Nov01 Oct10 (voss katharin)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 20.00    
MR JEFFERSON Dec22 Dec01 Nov10 Oct20 Sep27 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 126 10.00    
CROSSLAND Dec13 Oct26 Oct12 Aug18 Jul20 (hohlbein kerry)CRUZ ANGEL 126 8.00    
MUST BE LOVE Jan13 Dec13 Nov30 Nov02 Oct26 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 15.00 13% 6.80    
10  DERBYNESS Dec01 Oct31 Oct03 Jun01 May12 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 1.60 42% 1.40    
11  LITTLE LANCE Dec22 Dec01 Oct31 Oct12 Sep21 (campbell wi)HAMILTON WESTON 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-9   01/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEG Dec07 Nov02       (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BLOFELD out of DIVA MEG by EXCHANGE RATE)
BIG EARN Dec27 Dec02 Nov02 Oct13   (magee kieron)TORREALBA JG 126 6.00 29% 2.40    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of NOBLE NATION by CAL NATION)
ANITA BEER         (cox m)CRUZ ANGEL 126 15.00    
  (by FRIESAN FIRE out of DISTINCT AFFAIR by WITH DISTINCTION)
SHE'S WICKED SMART Dec15 Nov10 Aug02 Jun06 Aug26 (falcone robert)CONNER TYLER 126 2.50    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of TEAK TOTEM by NORTHERN AFLEET)
CHARDAN Aug22 Jun28 Apr28 Mar31   (gaudet lacey)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 3.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of BOREALE by MAKFI (GB))
WINE AND ROSES Dec27 Oct21 Sep23 Aug27 Jul10 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 126 8.00 10% 9.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of IN THE SHOES by CONGRATS)
ITHINKILOVEYOU Jun27 May30 May15     (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.00 36% 1.80    
  (by SKY MESA out of FINEST QUALITY by QUALITY ROAD)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.