Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Saturday - January 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-2   WIN (6/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/3/2)-(6/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/3/2)-(6/5/3/2)-(6/5/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/3/2)-(5/7/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3/2)-(5/7/6/2)-(8/1/7/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
HOU-3   WIN (5/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/6/2)-(5/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/6/2)-(5/7/6/2)-(5/7/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/6/2)-(8/1/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/6/2)-(8/1/7/4)-(4/2/8/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
HOU-4   WIN (8/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/7/4)-(8/1/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/7/4)-(8/1/7/4)-(8/1/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/7/4)-(4/2/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/1/7/4)-(4/2/8/7)-(2/4/6/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
HOU-5   WIN (4/2/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/8/7)-(4/2/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/8/7)-(4/2/8/7)-(4/2/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/8/7)-(2/4/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/8/7)-(2/4/6/5)-(5/7/3/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
HOU-6   WIN (2/4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/6/5)-(2/4/6/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/4/6/5)-(2/4/6/3/5)-(2/4/6/3/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/4/6/5)-(5/7/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6/5)-(5/7/3/4)-(7/4/3/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
HOU-7   WIN (5/7/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/4)-(5/7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/4)-(5/7/3/4)-(5/7/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/3/4)-(7/4/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HOU-8   WIN (7/4/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/3/1)-(7/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/3/1)-(7/4/3/1)-(7/4/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-2   01/11/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 45 M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUMMERTIMEE Nov02 Oct09 Sep11 Aug31 Jul07 (willis mindy)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 10.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of DYNABEE by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
2  HOOH HER Oct24 Oct05 Feb19     (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 8.00 7% 13.20    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of HOOH WHY by CLOUD HOPPING)
3  TIZ A KNOCKOUT Nov06 Oct24 Oct05 Sep11 Aug22 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 123 12.00 13% 6.60    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of TIZ CHAMP by TIZNOW)
4  CHARMING LEAH Sep26 Sep04 Aug20 Aug06 Jun22 (jacks e)DIEGO V 123 20.00    
  (by LEA out of SPECIAL CHARM by DANSILI)
5  ZITI (FR) Oct05 Aug22 Jun16 Apr28   (cappellucci dick)PARKER L 123 4.50 15% 5.50    
  (by TORONADO out of PETITE PATCH by DARK ANGEL)
6  SUGARCOAT Nov30 Aug03 Jun21     (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 123 2.50 34% 1.90    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of KALAHARI CAT by CAPE TOWN)
7  LEGACY DEFINED Nov21 Sep14 Jul27 Jul31   (craddoc)GONCALVES R 123 1.40    
  (by UNCLE MO out of TIZ MIZ SUE by TIZNOW)
 
HOU-3   01/11/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($13K) 35 ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN PURSUIT Dec12 Oct16 Jul04     (jenkins bran)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 15.00    
2  BENNETT'S LEADER Oct30         (pish danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  DRAMA KING Nov06 Oct03 Sep12     (eoff terry)SANCHEZ OBED 118 6.00    
4  DOC HENRY RIDGE Jun15 Jun07 May26 May03 Apr19 (k)DE CRUZ 123 30.00    
5  SIPPIN SCOTCH Oct11 Sep12 Aug24 Jul06   (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 123 3.00 33% 2.00    
6  BAYOU BOY Jul04 Jun16 May25 May04 Mar01 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 8.00 17% 4.80    
7  XANDER S Jun15 May31 May12 Apr19 Mar23 (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 2.00 26% 2.80    
8  KING ADOLIS Dec05 Oct24 Jul12 Jun28   (baldillez aleja)WADE LYNDIE 118 4.00    
 
HOU-4   01/11/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EAGLE EXPRESS Sep02 Aug20 Aug13 Jul16 Jul02 (gourneau jerr)CABRERA DAVID 121 12.00 18% 4.70    
2  HOT PATOOTIE Dec18 Nov08 Oct18 Sep24 Aug19 (govea cesar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 15.00    
3  TAY TAY'S BABY Nov25 Nov09 Sep10 Aug07 Jun28 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 12.00    
4  SHARP LIKENESS Sep02 Aug20 Aug13 Jun07 Apr26 (gou)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  STORMY BISONETTE Dec11 Nov30 Oct18 Sep21 Jul17 (williams ste)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 4.00    
SCR  LOUISIANA COWGIRL Nov23 Oct11 Sep13 Oct07 Sep02 (hebert matt)DIEGO V 121 2.00    
7  TEXAS RED BEL Sep23 Sep10 Aug26 Aug07 Jul23 (payne w)WADE LYNDIE 121 8.00 11% 8.30    
8  WAVING BYE Jun23 Jun01 Mar22 Jan28 Jan07 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 121 2.50 41% 1.50    
 
HOU-5   01/11/2025 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 45 M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LAVENDER WILL May26 May05 Apr21     (kotara ronal)HUCKABY RONNIE 118 30.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of LAVENDER RIDGE by NAVARRO)
2  MIZZ FACTOR Nov02 Oct24 Oct05 Sep11 Aug31 (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 1.60 14% 6.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MIZZ CAT C S by MIZZEN MAST)
SCR  WHERE DREAMS BEGIN Oct19 Oct02 Aug22     (pish danny)PARKER L 123 6.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of SPANISH ANGEL by EARLY FLYER)
4  TAPS MISTRESS Jul12 Jun22 May05 Mar29 Feb18 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 123 3.00 63% 0.60    
  (by TAPWRIT out of ROMAN MISTRESS by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
5  FUN AS ALL GIT OUT Oct19         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 20.00    
  (by HEART TO HEART out of HOPEFUL JOY by KITTEN'S JOY)
6  SHERRYS RIDGE Sep04 Aug12 Jul06 May11   (k)DE CRUZ 123 30.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of SHERRYS GAL by NAVARRO)
7  TELEKINETIC May26 Apr27 Mar16     (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPIZAR out of HALF A MILLION by HALF OURS)
8  MAKIN A BEELINE         (clary jaylan)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MAIMONIDES out of WHISTLE DIXIE by WITH APPROVAL)
9  COUNTY SLUGGER Oct09 Sep11 Aug30 Jun30 Jun22 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 4.50    
  (by EXCAPER out of FCCOUNTRYDAY by AIR COMMANDER)
 
HOU-6   01/11/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 3 ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MULTIPLE OPINIONS Oct24 Sep12 Jul14 Jun30   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 8.00    
2  FROZENTAP Dec06 Oct31       (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 2.50 39% 1.50    
3  MY WIFE IS RIGHT Dec06 Nov08 Oct03 Sep12   (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 4.50 ★    
4  RUGGLES Dec11 Nov22 Nov08     (davidson )TRIANA JR 122 3.00 37% 1.70    
5  JOHN Dec07 Nov13 Nov01 Oct11 Sep27 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  GOLD FRONT Dec06 Nov22 Nov08     (eoff terry)WADE LYNDIE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  KANGAROO COAST Nov16 Oct24 Aug15 Jul25   (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 122 15.00    
8  BEGGIN FOR TROUBLE Sep28 Aug31 Aug18 Aug03 Jul11 (rengstorf tony)SANCHEZ OBED 122 30.00    
9  TEXAS CREED Dec06 Nov16 Oct25 Oct03 Sep05 (cravens ii)DIEGO V 122 6.00    
 
HOU-7   01/11/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WISH MAN Dec12 Nov30 Nov08 Nov17 Oct27 (davidson )TRIANA JR 123 10.00    
SCR  SARA'S SHAMAN Dec12 Oct24 Oct04 Sep20 Aug30 (young bob)DIEGO V 121 6.00    
3  TRUST DADDY Dec13 Nov24 Nov06 Oct11 Sep07 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 3.50 9% 10.70    
4  BOBBY BRINKLEY Jul13 Jun09 Jun01 Apr28 Apr18 (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  PROVEN HOPE Nov27 Oct13 Jul31 Jul18 Jun07 (diodoro roberti)WADE LYNDIE 123 5.00 38% 1.60    
6  HEZAKOOLKAT May12 Apr19 Feb17 Jan21 Jan06 (ramirez-rodrigue)PARKER L 121 20.00    
7  I DON'T GET IT Dec17 Oct06 Sep13 Aug16 Jul20 (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 4.50 28% 2.60    
8  CHIEF BRADY Aug24 Jul21 Jul03 Jun08 May04 (roub)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 20.00    
SCR  LAURI'S WISH Dec28 Nov23 Nov08 Oct11 Jul18 (t)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 123 6.00    
SCR  CHAMPAGNE STOOPER Dec13 Nov19 Oct26 Aug24 Jul21 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 15.00    
11  THIRD STREET Oct24 Oct04 Jul06 Jun14 May03 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 121 12.00    
 
HOU-8   01/11/2025 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLD YOUR APPLAUSE Dec13 Oct22 Jul24 Jun22 Jun01 (kane )MANRRIQUE JOSE 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHARP SPARK Dec06 Nov06 Oct12 Sep07 Aug14 (gelner j)ELLIOTT S 123 2.50    
3  TURQUOISE BLUE Nov15 Nov06 Oct16 Oct03 Sep18 (jacks e)DIEGO V 121 4.50 15% 5.60    
4  HEIR TO GREATNESS Nov29 Nov08 Oct12 Sep13 Aug17 (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 5.00 19% 4.40    
5  WHISKEY NOT WINE Nov15 Oct25 Oct02 Aug24 Jun08 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 6.00    
6  MALIBU S S Dec12 Nov16 Jul14 Jun30 May26 (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 121 8.00    
7  KENTUCKY DAWN Nov22 Nov06 Oct25 Oct04 Jul06 (eoff terry)WETHEY JR 123 3.00 34% 1.90    
8  RODEO CHAMP Oct24 Sep12 Aug22 Jul12 May17 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 121 3.50    
9  RED MOUNTAIN Dec13 Nov22 Nov06 Oct12 Sep18 (martin st)TRIANA JR 123 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.