Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Saturday - January 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SA-1   WIN (4/5/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/1/8)-(4/5/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/1/8)-(4/5/1/8)-(4/5/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/1/8)-(1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1/8)-(1/4/3)-(7/2/3/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-2   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(7/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(7/2/3/6)-(6/7/2/4/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SA-3   WIN (7/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/3/6)-(7/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/3/6)-(7/2/3/6)-(7/2/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/3/6)-(6/7/2/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3/6)-(6/7/2/4/9)-(5/3/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SA-4   WIN (6/7/2/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/2/4/9)-(6/7/2/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/2/4/9)-(6/7/2/4/9)-(6/7/2/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/7/2/4/9)-(5/3/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/7/2/4/9)-(5/3/1)-(9/4/3/12/1) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
SA-5   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(9/4/3/12/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(9/4/3/12/1)-(2/7/5/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SA-6   WIN (9/4/3/12/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/4/3/12/1)-(9/4/3/12/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/4/3/12/1)-(9/4/3/12/1)-(9/4/3/12/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/4/3/12/1)-(2/7/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/4/3/12/1)-(2/7/5/6)-(1/6/13/7/12) 100 $1.00 $100 
SA-7   WIN (2/7/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/5/6)-(2/7/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/5/6)-(2/7/5/6)-(2/7/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/5/6)-(1/6/13/7/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5/6)-(1/6/13/7/12)-(6/3/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SA-8   WIN (1/6/13/7/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/13/7/12)-(1/6/13/7/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/13/7/12)-(1/6/13/7/12)-(1/6/13/7/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/6/13/7/12)-(6/3/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/6/13/7/12)-(6/3/5)-(11/5/8/2/9) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
SA-9   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(11/5/8/2/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
SA-10   WIN (11/5/8/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/5/8/2/9)-(11/5/8/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/5/8/2/9)-(11/5/8/2/9)-(11/5/8/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   01/04/2025 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALLIS Nov30 Aug13 Jun02 May07 Mar09 (hess b)MALDONADO E 122 8.00 16% 5.30    
BEAR HUNT Nov03 Oct11 Aug22 Aug01 Jun01 (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 124 20.00    
ANDREADYTORUMBLE Nov10 Oct13 Aug31 Jul26 Jul04 (miller)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 5.00    
BALDORO Nov24 Oct14 Aug01 Jun08 May19 (powell leo)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.60 30% 2.30    
HOT LEGS ROMOLO Oct11 Sep08 Aug10 May27 Apr27 (o'neill d)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 3.50 23% 3.30    
CUPID'S CRUSADER Nov24 Oct20 Sep22 Aug16 Jun16 (marquez alfre)FRESU ANTONIO 124 4.50    
OOBUBBAKAKAYO Nov24 Oct11 Aug22 Aug02 Mar17 (hanson ryan)LEZCANO ABEL 124 10.00    
DAZZLE THE COMMAND Nov09 Oct14 Aug31 Jul26 Feb23 (galvin w)ESPINOZA V 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
SA-2   01/04/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RODRIGUEZ (IRE) Nov23         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 121 0.80 38% 1.60    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of CAYALA by CHEROKEE RUN)
CORNHUSKERCHRIS Nov07 Oct06       (hanson ryan)PEREIRA TIAGO 121 20.00    
  (by GAME WINNER out of TOWN TOUR by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
GOING VIRAL Nov17         (mandella ric)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 8.00 6% 16.20    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of PINE NEEDLES by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
RANK Dec14 Nov17 Oct14 Sep08 Aug11 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 121 3.00 33% 2.00    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of FABULOUS BABE by TOUCH GOLD)
BAEZA Dec01         (shirre)BERRIOS ISAAC 121 6.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of PUCA by BIG BROWN)
THE LAST STRAW Nov23         (mandella richard )SMITH E 121 5.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of BAST by UNCLE MO)
 
SA-3   01/04/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEVILNTHEBLUEGRAS Dec07 Oct26 Sep29 Sep15 Aug16 (bryant stev)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 10.00    
DURAN Nov03 Oct14 Sep08 Aug11 Aug03 (papaprodr)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 2.00 18% 4.40    
PETESOLDFASHIONED Dec15 Nov30 Nov03 Oct11 Sep14 (knapp steve)BAZE C 124 6.00 7% 13.10    
SIPPIN WHISKEY Dec07 Oct26 Sep22 Sep14 Aug16 (oviedo phil)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 8.00    
BE PUNCTUAL Dec06 Aug23 Aug08 Feb23 Jan26 (freeman r)FREY KYLE 124 2.50    
THRUST May24 Mar09 Feb03 Dec08 Nov10 (baltas richar)FRESU ANTONIO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
LIGHT THE BEAM Dec18 Nov29 Oct19 Sep29 Apr20 (thomas jamey)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 3.50 47% 1.10    
 
SA-4   01/04/2025 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANNIE'S JOY Nov17 Oct26 Sep08 Jan12 Nov25 (glatt mark)SMITH E 124 2.50    
STARTS NOW Nov17 Oct18 Sep22 Aug25 Jul21 (baltas ric)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00 14% 6.00    
CAMERON SLOUGH Nov17 Oct25 Aug30 Aug02 Jun15 (drysdale neil)FRESU ANTONIO 124 10.00    
VELOCIOUS Dec01 Nov16 Oct25 Sep15 Aug16 (jauregui o )ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 15.00 12% 7.30    
KETONIA (FR) Nov17 Nov03 Sep02 Aug02 Jun02 (ellis )BERRIOS ISAAC 124 8.00    
TIRUPATI Dec01 Oct26 Oct03 Sep08 Jul21 (thomas jonat)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 3.00 26% 2.90    
KATERINI Nov17 Feb18 Jan12 Nov17 Nov10 (miller pete)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 5.00 15% 5.50    
FREE AND HUMBLE Dec26 Nov15 Apr15 Mar14 Feb10 (miller pe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 30.00    
STRANGE ADDICTION Dec13 Nov30 Nov09 Oct20 Sep05 (mclean bill)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 12.00 9% 10.30    
 
SA-5   01/04/2025 4620ft DIRT RC13 FAST San Vicente Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MCKINZIE STREET Nov17 Oct05 Sep08 Jul28   (yakteen tim)FRESU ANTONIO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of KARPATHOS by TALE OF THE CAT)
BARNES Nov27         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.60    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ALL AMERICAN DREAM by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
ROMANESQUE Nov23         (baffert bob)SMITH E 120 5.00 32% 2.20    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MONY'SLITTLEGRACIE by ALPHABET SOUP)
SMOOTH CRUISEIN Oct27         (headley ka)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 12.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of SMOOTH COOKIE by IN SUMMATION)
BULLARD Nov17 Sep01       (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 0.80 40% 1.50    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of REVE D'AMOUR by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
 
SA-6   01/04/2025 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUTTERFLY BEACH         (drysdale neil)FRESU ANTONIO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DADS CAPS out of SURF by TAPIT)
SCR  BEBOP LADY         (baltas)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 15.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SCATKEY by SCATMANDU)
ORANGE THUNDER Nov16 Oct26 Aug30 Aug08   (lewis craig )KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 4.50 9% 10.30    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of ORANGE COVE by UNUSUAL HEAT)
MARIA TALLCHIEF Nov22         (damato philip)FREY KYLE 120 8.00 32% 2.20    
  (by OM out of THALIA by TIZBUD)
NEPAL Nov22 Oct13       (puype mike)ORANTES R 115 20.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
TROPICAL RAIN DAY Nov16 Oct13 Sep02 Jul26 Jun15 (garcia vic)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of SHE'LL DO by HARD SPUN)
SAINT SHELIA         (rondan f)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 120 30.00    
  (by MAXIMUM SECURITY out of TROPICAL STORM EM by SCAT DADDY)
TAPATIA LEAH         (miyadi stev)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 20.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of SWEET LIPS POOH by RIO VERDE)
MISO PHANSY Nov22         (powell leon)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 1.20 38% 1.60    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of SANDY CHEEKS by SOUVENIR COPY)
10  GO CAMI OH Nov22         (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 30.00    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of LITTLE TREASURE by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT)
11  KAPALUA RIDE         (garcia antoni)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 15.00    
  (by MASTERY out of MODEST by FLATTER)
12  FOREST DAZZLE Nov22         (galvin w)BAZE C 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FOREST COMMAND out of CAN'T BE DAZZLED by BLAME)
SCR  CO HEART Nov16 Oct31 Oct11 Sep21   (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 120 15.00    
  (by MAJESTIC HARBOR out of CORRINE by CHIEF SEATTLE)
 
SA-7   01/04/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($61K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MICI'S EXPRESS Dec07 Nov23 Oct05 Jan13 Dec17 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 30.00    
EAGLES FLIGHT May27         (sadler john)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 1.00 32% 2.10    
NEW KING Dec08 Jan28 Dec26     (baffert bob)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 3.00    
MIRAHMADI Nov23 Oct12 Sep08 Aug18 Jul20 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50    
GHAZAALY May27 Nov17 Oct14 Sep10 Jul23 (cerin vladi)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 20.00 9% 9.80    
DEMOTIVATE Nov03 Oct04 Aug22 Aug03 Jun13 (brinkerhoff v)FRESU ANTONIO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
INVIGORATED Nov30 Nov02 May04 Mar31   (mccarthy )DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 8.00 31% 2.20    
 
SA-8   01/04/2025 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($61K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLE JAB Nov23 Oct27 Sep29 Aug25 Aug04 (mathis andy)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 3.00 31% 2.30    
SCR  CHICK'S DIG IT Dec13 Oct27 Sep29 Aug25 Aug09 (wallace jer)AGUILAR ARMANDO 124 20.00    
HAVOC Dec02 Oct21 Sep08 Aug25 Jul29 (papaprodr)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 20.00    
REFOCUS Nov23 Sep29 Sep01 Aug24 Aug15 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 124 6.00    
CHROMEFLASH Nov23 Oct27 Sep20 Aug15 Jul28 (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 122 12.00    
AFTERNOON NAP Nov16 Oct27 Oct04 Aug25   (gaines car)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 24% 3.20    
STRAIGHT LUCK Sep29 Aug15 Jul03 May11 Feb17 (damato philip)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 8.00 6% 17.10    
PIPER'S CAUSEWAY Sep29 Sep01 Aug16 Jul07 Dec03 (uranga jesu)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 5.00    
SCR  BLAZING PEME Sep13 Jul26 Jul04     (delima clifford)FREY KYLE 122 30.00    
10  LAST CALL LONDON Nov24 Oct13 Aug24 Aug02 Apr06 (miller pet)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 15.00    
11  PRINCE PRANCEALOT Nov23 Sep20 Aug24 Aug02 Jul07 (capestro paula )MALDONADO E 124 20.00    
12  UNCLE JOHN Nov23 Oct20 Aug16 Aug03 May25 (eurton peter)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
13  JETOVATOR Oct27 Sep29 Jul28 Apr19 Mar01 (eurton peter)MALDONADO E 124 3.50 16% 5.20    
SCR  KERRY GOLD Nov09 Oct20 Sep29 Sep08 Aug09 (azcarate da)AGUILAR ARMANDO 124 20.00    
 
SA-9   01/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC12 FAST Las Flores Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINE ON TAP Oct27 Aug04 Oct06 Aug20 Jul13 (mandella richard )SMITH E 120 30.00    
  (by TAPIT out of PRINCESS LA QUINTA by QUALITY ROAD)
SCR  ANYWHO Nov15 Oct13 Aug25 Jul06 Jun02 (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 15.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of FANCY AND FLASHY by ZENSATIONAL)
RICHI (CHI) Jun02         (baffert bob)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 1.60 39% 1.60    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of RICH BABY by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  PUSHINESS Nov10 Oct13 Aug24 Jul26 Jul04 (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 12.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of IMPERIAL PIPPIN by EMPIRE MAKER)
DON'T BRING CRAZY Dec12 Nov17 Sep22 Sep02 Aug04 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of LILY MARIA by PAYNTER)
PLEASANT Nov02 Sep22 Aug24 Jun16 Mar18 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 0.60 39% 1.50    
  (by MUNNINGS out of FAIR LADY by MARKED TREE)
IRISH WAHINE Nov30 Nov10 Oct05 Aug25 Aug15 (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 120 15.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of IRISH WINNIE by BROKEN VOW)
 
SA-10   01/04/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($63K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIENNOIS (IRE) Nov30 Oct31 Aug10 Jul21 Jun01 (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 122 8.00    
SARWAR (FR) Nov17 Oct19 Aug17 Jul21 Oct01 (powell leon)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 6.00 6% 16.30    
FEARLESS SOLDIER Nov29 Oct19 Aug22 Nov15 Oct07 (saavedra k)BAZE C 122 15.00    
GAME TIME Jul21 May28 May07 Apr02 Dec30 (sadler w)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 12.00    
CALL ME HARRY Nov17 Sep15 Aug17 Jul13 Jun15 (dutrow ri)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 3.50 13% 6.90    
MBAGNICK (CHI) Dec01 Oct27 Sep29 Mar30 Mar09 (polanco marc)DESORMEAUX J 122 30.00    
ESCAPE ARTIST Dec26 Nov17 Oct12 Aug29 Jul21 (knapp steve)FREY KYLE 122 12.00    
EYE ON RY Oct12 Sep07 Jul27 Jun16 May25 (ellis w)ESPINOZA V 124 10.00 8% 10.80    
MALTESE FALCON (IRE) Aug22 Jul21 Jun09 Apr20 Mar17 (powell leonar)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  IRISH PROPHET Nov17 Oct26 Aug17 Jul21 Feb10 (drysdale n)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00    
11  EL POTENTE Nov17 Oct19 Jun08 Aug19 Apr29 (blacke)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 3.00 45% 1.20    
12  LIVING LIFE Nov17 Jul21 Jun09 May26 Mar17 (ellis ronald)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 20.00    
SCR  CALM SEA Aug22 Jul25 Jun09 May19 Apr20 (periban jor)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 124 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.