Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - January 02, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (3/5/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/6/8)-(3/5/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/6/8)-(3/5/6/8)-(3/5/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/6/8)-(6/7/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6/8)-(6/7/2/4)-(3/8/5/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/2/4)-(6/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/2/4)-(6/7/2/4)-(6/7/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/2/4)-(3/8/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/2/4)-(3/8/5/1)-(5/7/1/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-3   WIN (3/8/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/5/1)-(3/8/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/5/1)-(3/8/5/1)-(3/8/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/5/1)-(5/7/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/8/5/1)-(5/7/1/4)-(8/7/2/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/1/4)-(8/7/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1/4)-(8/7/2/4)-(2/4/1/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-5   WIN (8/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/2/4)-(8/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/2/4)-(8/7/2/4)-(8/7/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/2/4)-(2/4/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/7/2/4)-(2/4/1/8)-(1/2/3/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-6   WIN (2/4/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/8)-(2/4/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/1/8)-(2/4/1/8)-(2/4/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/1/8)-(1/2/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1/8)-(1/2/3/8)-(8/2/3/10) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-7   WIN (1/2/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/3/8)-(1/2/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/3/8)-(1/2/3/8)-(1/2/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/3/8)-(8/2/3/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (8/2/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/3/10)-(8/2/3/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/3/10)-(8/2/3/10)-(8/2/3/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   01/02/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SESAME STREEK Nov01 Oct08 Sep28 Sep12 Jul28 (keller christoph)ACOSTA D 120 12.00    
2  CHARITABLE WINDSOR Nov29 Nov08 Oct19 Sep27 Aug23 (sanderson wade )PELTROCHE F 122 6.00    
3  TWO BRONZE STARS Dec11 Nov13 Oct03 Aug15 Jul20 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 124 2.00 41% 1.40    
4  FEARNOUGHT Nov30 May03 Apr19 Mar29 Mar13 (clatterbu)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 20.00    
5  STOP BEING GREEDY Dec07 May18 Apr30 Apr09 Mar08 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 36% 1.70    
6  THE HEIGHTS Dec20 Nov29 Sep08 Jul27 Jul21 (serey m)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  VILALUZ Dec15 Nov28 Nov01 Oct20 Oct06 (corral)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 8.00    
8  PORTIS Dec15 Nov29 Nov10 Nov01 Oct04 (s)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-2   01/02/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHASE LIL ME Aug13 Jul28 Jul14 Jun29 Jun06 (collins tim)LEWIS M 120 8.00    
2  MORETHANICANHANDLE Dec13 Oct12 Sep20 Aug23 Jul26 (jones michael )CHILO MAXIMO 122 15.00 8% 11.10    
3  STROLLINGINTHEWIND Dec14 Nov29 Nov08 Oct19 Sep27 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 10.00    
4  SIDNEY'S BID Nov29 Oct17 Oct09 Sep19 Aug31 (nambo cesar)LUGO JR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  CORONATION TIME Dec20 Nov29 Nov10 Oct19 Sep29 (smith )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 1.40    
6  MY BUDDY DUANE Dec12 Nov27 Nov16 Oct26 Oct10 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 2.00 36% 1.70    
7  KNOCKOUT WIN Nov29 Nov08 Apr11 Feb28 Feb14 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.50 20% 4.00    
 
CT-3   01/02/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUNI MUNI SLEW Dec13 Nov22 Oct31 Oct06 Sep02 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 115 50.00 5% 19.00    
2  FU MAN SUE Dec14 Sep21 Apr21 Mar16 Feb08 (sewell lenwo)LEWIS M 122 15.00    
3  OUTKISSED Dec05 Nov21 Oct24 Sep29 Sep02 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.60 42% 1.40    
SCR  A FEW TOO MANY Dec11 Nov06 Oct08 Sep17 Aug13 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 122 8.00    
5  CLAW Dec12 Nov22 Nov02 Oct11 Sep21 (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  COWBOY AT HEART Nov02 Jun08 May11 Apr20 Mar06 (walters d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.00    
7  MONTAUK DADDY Dec14 Nov23 Nov01 Oct11 Oct04 (spriggs)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 6.00    
8  IMPERIAL KING Dec14 Nov23 Oct24 Oct04 Sep12 (mangual mano)DIAZ JR 122 4.00 27% 2.70    
 
CT-4   01/02/2025 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARROWWOOD Jul20 Jun01 May11 Apr12 Mar21 (runco c)FUENTES ERICK 113 5.00 13% 6.80    
2  SUFFERIN SUCCOTASH Nov27 Nov10 Oct23 Oct15 Sep22 (inirio carl)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00    
3  SMOKIN LADY Dec13 Nov22 Oct31 Oct19 Oct03 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 4.50    
4  BONNIE BLUETOOTH Nov29 Oct31 Oct12 Sep27 Jul20 (figgins olli)DIAZ JR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  FRENCHIES GOLD Dec04 Nov14 Oct24 May09 Feb28 (brown ron)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.20 35% 1.80    
6  TRUE INDY Dec12 Nov14 Oct01 Sep01 Aug15 (sanderson wade )PELTROCHE F 120 12.00    
7  LUCKY BOP Dec12 Aug20 Jul29 Jul16 Jun23 (craig e)HO WESLEY 120 6.00 14% 6.10    
8  BREADMAN'S ROSEBUD Dec04 Nov21 Nov02 Oct19 Oct03 (jackson angelo )STANLEY O 120 15.00    
 
CT-5   01/02/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAMZ PALACE Dec11 Nov27 Nov09 Aug24 Jul17 (rangel ricardo)GILPIN SEAN 120 30.00    
2  SWEET DAYDREAM Dec13 Nov24 Oct10 Sep30 Sep09 (dollinger-sth)ADAMS L 115 10.00 5% 18.50    
3  MAKAAN Nov22 Oct11 Aug22 Aug01 Jun15 (soldo elaine)CHILO MAXIMO 122 3.50    
4  GOODBYE ROMANCE Aug02 Jul03 Jun14 May26   (gillespie a)ACOSTA D 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  GET BY Nov24 Oct15 Oct01 Sep17 Sep02 (inirio o)STANLEY O 120 12.00    
6  TAPWRIT WARRIOR Dec14 Nov23 Oct05 Sep25 Jul22 (hernand)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 6.00    
7  BIG TIPPA Dec04 Oct31 Oct19 Sep16 Aug24 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 122 4.00 22% 3.50    
8  STAY FAITHFUL Nov27 Nov03 Oct10 Sep25 Aug29 (short thoma)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.40 49% 1.00    
 
CT-6   01/02/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARK AVE PRINCE Dec04 Nov07 Oct12 Sep27 Sep02 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 5.00 13% 7.00    
2  NAY'S ONLY ONE Dec12 Nov27 Oct25 Oct03   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.60 48% 1.10    
3  Y'ZIN UP Nov27 Nov02 Oct08 Sep25 Sep09 (knoblauch-pe)LEWIS M 120 6.00    
4  LUCKY ONE Dec04 Oct26 Oct10 Aug03 Jan26 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 3.50 16% 5.20    
5  RIVER MALBUMOONRVF Dec13 Nov09 Oct18 Sep27 Aug24 (runco c)FUENTES ERICK 115 10.00    
6  MY BOY CLYDE Oct18 Sep26 Aug27 Jul09 Jun24 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00    
7  W V LAD Dec04 Nov07 Oct05 Sep21 Aug24 (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00    
8  GRANDY Nov07 Oct12 Aug24 Aug03 Jul13 (contreras )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-7   01/02/2025 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($25.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRYDA Nov06 Oct12 Aug31 Aug07 Jul04 (farrior anth)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 2.00 40% 1.50    
2  FULL MOON LOVER Nov13 Sep12 Aug24 Aug03 Jul04 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 2.50 22% 3.50    
3  MANAROLA Nov06 Oct19 Aug24 Aug03 Jun13 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 10.00 13% 6.50    
4  CHEROKEE CASTLE Nov21 Nov06 Oct19 Sep12 Aug23 (rideout antho)THORPE DARIUS 120 12.00    
5  MACHEN REIGNS Dec10 Nov10 Sep11 Aug11 Jul09 (inirio o)STANLEY O 120 50.00    
6  KRISTINACHRYSALIS Nov14 Oct31 Oct18 Sep27 Sep13 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 12.00    
SCR  CHARITABLE ANY Nov09 Oct18 Jul06 Jun13 May28 (pearson michae)RIOS-CONDE A 120 50.00    
8  CRAFTY WINDSOR CAT Nov06 Oct11 Aug24 Aug03 Jul04 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CEDAR'S WISH Dec13 Nov22 Nov06 Oct19 Aug23 (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 15.00    
10  DIXIE YODELER Dec06 Nov06 Oct19 Oct12 Sep12 (davis e)ACOSTA D 120 15.00    
 
CT-8   01/02/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN AL Dec20 Dec07 Nov29 Nov15 Nov08 (bailon ne)BOCACHICA J 122 10.00    
2  WORK FOR PEACE Nov17 Oct24 Oct03     (capuano)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 6.00 23% 3.40    
3  RUN ROCKY RUN Nov08 Oct19 Sep19 Sep02 Jul04 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00 18% 4.50    
4  THUNDERSLAM Dec13 Nov23 Jun22 May05 Apr06 (sewell le)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 20.00    
5  BULLRING BULLY Dec01 Oct30 Oct05 Sep19   (gazzier)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 4.50    
SCR  DASHING D'ARTAGNAN Nov27 Sep27 Aug24 Jun15 May12 (corral)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 20.00    
7  HE'S A COMMISIONER Nov30 Oct18 Sep27 Sep08 Aug17 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 3.50    
8  PERNO Nov25 Nov11 Oct29 Sep30 Sep04 (meyers madis)LEWIS M 122 2.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  UNDERRATED Nov22 Oct31 Sep28 Aug16   (viands r)BOCACHICA O 122 15.00    
10  SHAMELESS APPEAL Nov30 Oct17 Sep27 Aug17 Jul12 (soldo elaine)ACOSTA D 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TOUCHED UP Nov22 Oct30 Oct19 Sep28 Aug31 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.