Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Wednesday - November 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FL-1   WIN (6/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/4/3)-(6/1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/4/3)-(6/1/4/3)-(6/1/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/4/3)-(1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-2   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(4/5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(4/5/3/6)-(9/6/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-3   WIN (4/5/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/3/6)-(4/5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/3/6)-(4/5/3/6)-(4/5/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/3/6)-(9/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3/6)-(9/6/1)-(2/7/6/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-4   WIN (9/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/6/1)-(9/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/6/1)-(9/6/1)-(9/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/6/1)-(2/7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-5   WIN (2/7/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/6/1)-(2/7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/6/1)-(2/7/6/1)-(2/7/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/6/1)-(5/10/2/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FL-6   WIN (5/10/2/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/10/2/3/8)-(5/10/2/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/10/2/3/8)-(5/10/2/3/8)-(5/10/2/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/10/2/3/8)-(4/5/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/10/2/3/8)-(4/5/7/3)-(2/9/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
FL-7   WIN (4/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/7/3)-(4/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/3)-(4/5/7/3)-(4/5/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/7/3)-(2/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-8   WIN (2/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/9/8)-(2/9/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/9/8)-(2/9/8)-(2/9/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   11/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I GOT BUSTED Oct14 Sep30 Feb19 Feb02   (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 2.50 19% 4.10    
THE DELAWARE BOYZ Oct28 Oct07 Aug28 Jul24 Jul08 (buckley j)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 8.00    
MY COOL HAND LUKE Nov12 Oct23 Oct07 Aug28 Aug06 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
COIN JAR Oct23 Oct07 Sep02 Aug06 Jul08 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 119 4.00 16% 5.10    
ENTICING PROSPECT Nov12 Oct16 Sep30 Sep02 Aug20 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 5.00    
SKYLER'S STARSHIP Oct23 Oct07 Aug29 Jul29 Jul15 (ferraro anth)COA J 119 1.80 43% 1.30    
NEWPORT BRIDGE Nov12 Oct28 Oct08 Sep18 Jun12 (oyola david)DAVILA A 122 15.00    
 
FL-2   11/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON THE HILL Aug21 Jul20 Jun28 May12 Jul15 (bond ja)COA J 122 2.00 67% 0.50    
FIGHTER KITE Nov11 Oct14 Sep18 Sep03 Aug12 (rohena jose)CAMILO D 122 6.00 8% 11.00    
BRACIOLE Nov05 Oct23 Sep23 Sep10 Aug27 (gutierrez luis )ROHENA JR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
UNION NAVY Oct16 Oct01 Sep10 Aug12 Jul22 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 3.50    
STOP THE SPREAD Oct30 Oct07 Aug31 Aug18 Jul21 (caramo)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 2.50    
G MUNNING Nov12 Oct28 Oct02 Sep18 Aug28 (murphy t)DAVIS A 122 5.00    
 
FL-3   11/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R BOY CHEEKUM Nov11 Oct28 Oct08 Sep25 Jul23 (thompson marcus)FRET STEVEN 124 15.00    
SNEADS Oct29 Oct16 Sep23 Sep10 Aug21 (murphy p)CRUZ JOEL 124 15.00    
COACH BAHE Nov06 Oct21 Sep24 Sep02 Jul23 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 5.00 6% 15.00    
MARTINKELLY Nov05 Oct21 Sep30 Sep11 Sep02 (murphy timothy)BROWN DALTON 124 1.60 48% 1.10    
BROCKMONINOFF Oct21 Sep02 Aug05 Jul16 Jun10 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 2.50 16% 5.20    
GOLD IN THEM HILLS Oct07 Sep24 Sep11 Aug06 Jul17 (d'alessandro r)ALVARADO R 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
GANDY DANCING Nov04 Oct16 Oct07 Sep23 Sep04 (ronen assaf)DAVILA A 124 4.00    
 
FL-4   11/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLD MAN WINTER Nov05 Oct21 Sep30 Sep02 Aug12 (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 118 6.00 12% 7.70    
SCR  SUTTON BREEZE Nov05 Oct23 Oct14 Sep30 Sep11 (lopez arcadi)HARKIE K 118 10.00    
DEVIOUS BANKER Nov04 Oct14 Oct02 Sep16 Aug28 (pet)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 12.00    
SCR  HOT ROD LINCOLN Oct22 Oct01 Sep18 Sep04 Aug06 (areche thali)BERRIOS C 124 15.00    
SCR  LIMIT UP Nov05 Aug21 Jul08 Jun11 May27 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 122 3.00    
FLOWING RIVER Jul09 Jun05 Apr29 Jan27 Nov08 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 5.00 28% 2.60    
DON'T POKE THE CAT Nov05 Oct23 Sep24 Sep17 Sep10 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 122 10.00    
FIRE DOWN BELOW Oct22 Oct01 Sep11 Aug21 Jul24 (albright am)INIRIO J 124 4.00    
COURAGEOOUS OH LA Nov11 Oct28 Oct16 Oct07 Aug28 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 124 3.50 31% 2.20    
 
FL-5   11/20/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
M. A. S. SCRUVES Nov13 Oct14 Sep10 Aug27 Jul24 (marino jo)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
FORTY SMOOTH Nov04 Oct07 Aug14 Jul15 Jun16 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 124 1.40 50% 1.00    
KATERI EMPIRE Nov04 Oct23 Jul24 Jul10 Jun26 (cabrera joseph )ROHENA JR 124 4.00    
GIRL OF TOSCONOVA Oct23 Oct07 Sep09 Aug26 Jul24 (lecesse )DAVIS A 124 10.00    
AUTOMATED TELLER Nov13 Nov04 Jul09 Jul01 Jun04 (bond brent)HARKIE K 124 20.00    
KAUFY FUTURES Nov04 Oct07 Sep23 Aug19 Aug07 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SWEET SUGAR BABY Nov13 Nov04 Oct22 Sep10 Aug28 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 124 2.00 21% 3.70    
 
FL-6   11/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GINNSU WARRIOR Oct29 Oct14 Sep24 Sep10 Sep03 (d'alessandro r)ALVARADO R 122 10.00    
BROKENHEARTED Nov11 Oct28 Oct14 Oct01 Sep18 (murphy p)CRUZ JOEL 124 4.00 13% 6.50    
SON OF DARKNESS Nov05 Oct22 Oct01 Sep16 Aug28 (pet)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 8.00 11% 8.40    
CAPTAINOFMYHEART Nov05 Oct23 Oct01 Sep11 Aug21 (dixon linda)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 8.00    
C J'S GRAND SLAM Nov05 Oct07 Sep03 Aug07 Jun26 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 124 3.00 34% 2.00    
GONNA BE DANCING Nov05 Oct21 Sep25 Aug05 Jul02 (breed ronald)HARKIE K 122 20.00    
SMOKIN' ALONE Nov04 Oct22 Oct01 Sep24 Sep10 (sabine michael )ROHENA JR 122 20.00    
MAX FOSTER Nov05 Oct23 Oct01 Sep11 Aug13 (oyola dav)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
MORTGAGE RATE Oct23 Oct01 Sep18 Sep03 Aug21 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 119 6.00    
10  RIBBONS AND MEDALS Nov05 Oct21 Oct07 Sep23 Sep10 (acquilano jame)COA J 124 3.50 22% 3.60    
 
FL-7   11/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAMAN PRINCESS Sep20 Aug30 Aug04 Dec14 Nov18 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 1.60    
EMILY REWARD Oct12 Sep14 Aug25 Jul30 May18 (davis edmu)DE EMANUEL 121 8.00    
CENTRAL FRONT Jun19 Jun05       (gutterson ka)BERRIOS C 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
BIG ADVANTAGE Oct29 Oct15       (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 4.00 42% 1.40    
CITY BLOCKS Oct22 Oct09 Sep24 Sep09 Aug26 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 3.00 22% 3.50    
DARK PRINCESS Oct15 Jul21 May30 Mar15 Jul20 (ferraro michae)COA J 124 12.00    
LA GROTTE Nov06 Oct22 Jul06 May24 Apr18 (johnston rob)HARKIE K 124 6.00 10% 8.60    
 
FL-8   11/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MORNING CUP Nov04 Sep25 Aug27 Aug12 Jul16 (grabowski john)COA J 122 2.50    
DOUBLE SHOT Nov05 Oct14 Oct01 Sep16 Aug27 (oyola david)DAVILA A 122 6.00 25% 2.90    
ABE HONESTLY Oct08 Sep11 Aug28 Aug20 Dec29 (johnston rob)HARKIE K 122 8.00    
DEVIOUS MO Nov05 Oct22 Sep24 Aug21 Aug07 (shaffer ri)DE EMANUEL 122 10.00    
SCR  SIGALERT Oct29 Sep30 Sep16 Sep03 Aug07 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 3.50    
SCR  INVALUABLE WILL Nov13 Nov05 Oct22 Oct08 Sep24 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 122 20.00    
BARFLY Nov11 Oct29 Oct09 Sep03 Aug06 (thompson marcus)FRET STEVEN 122 12.00    
NORGAY Sep25 Sep11 Aug20 Jul23 Jul09 (gutierrez lu)BERRIOS C 122 10.00 15% 5.60    
TOMMY THE TORCH Nov05 Oct22 Oct01 Sep16 Jul31 (murphy t)DAVIS A 122 4.00 22% 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.