Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Zia Park
Monday - November 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ZIA-1   WIN (3/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/1)-(3/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/1)-(3/7/1)-(3/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/1)-(6/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ZIA-2   WIN (6/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/5/3)-(6/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/5/3)-(6/1/5/3)-(6/1/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/5/3)-(2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ZIA-3   WIN (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/1)-(2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1)-(3/6/1)-(6/5/7/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
ZIA-4   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(6/5/7/4)-(5/6/2/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
ZIA-5   WIN (6/5/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/7/4)-(6/5/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/7/4)-(6/5/7/4)-(6/5/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7/4)-(5/6/2/4)-(6/8/5/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
ZIA-6   WIN (5/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/2/4)-(5/6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/2/4)-(5/6/2/4)-(5/6/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
ZIA-7   WIN (6/8/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/5/2)-(6/8/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/5/2)-(6/8/5/2)-(6/8/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
ZIA-8   WIN (4/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/3/6)-(4/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/3/6)-(4/2/3/6)-(4/2/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3/6)-(6/9/8)-(6/11/10/9/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
ZIA-9   WIN (6/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/9/8)-(6/9/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/9/8)-(6/9/8)-(6/9/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/9/8)-(6/11/10/9/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
ZIA-10   WIN (6/11/10/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/11/10/9/2)-(6/11/10/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/11/10/9/2)-(6/11/10/9/2)-(6/11/10/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ZIA-1   11/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 35 ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NINE LIVES ELMER Nov05 Oct02       (buec)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  JOHN JOHN Nov05 Oct18 Oct02 Jun14 Mar21 (lambert casey)PURCELL KELSI 121 2.50    
3  MR MAKUNOUCHI Oct14 Oct07 Sep23 Sep08 Aug25 (wheeler travi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 4.50 47% 1.10    
4  SPOT D' ORO Oct16 Sep06 Aug15 Jul05 Jun23 (quiroz filibert)ROSENDO J 121 1.40    
SCR  CLUBHOUSE CHARLIE Sep23 Feb11 Jan13     (wheeler travis)MEDELLIN A 121 5.00    
SCR  MOE ANALYZED Apr14 Mar01       (bolen bra)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 123 15.00    
7  ULTIMATE DECISION Nov04 Oct18 Apr15 Mar12   (martinez e)CARRENO J 123 10.00 14% 6.30    
 
ZIA-2   11/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 35 M/F PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAQUITA Oct23 Sep28 Sep12 Feb09 Jan05 (chadborn k)TORRES J 121 3.50 21% 3.80    
2  VEGUITA Nov05 Oct23       (chavez ar)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 123 15.00    
3  TAMMY MACHO Sep12 Jul28 May11 Mar21 Mar07 (pierce )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  PARK IN THE DARK Nov05 Sep12 Sep01 Jul28 May11 (quiroz filibert)ROSENDO J 123 2.50    
5  AUNT BENNIE Sep28 Sep12 May11 Apr14 Mar14 (martinez e)CARRENO J 118 4.50 18% 4.50    
6  BURNINGDAYLIGHT Sep12 Sep01 Jul28 May18 May11 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 123 1.60 30% 2.40    
7  HAZHONI Oct13 Sep28 Sep01 Aug23 Jun08 (sing)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 20.00    
 
ZIA-3   11/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHY FOR Oct11 Sep18 Aug24 Apr28 Mar07 (cross gary)HEBERT J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  PRETTY PEPPY Sep19 Aug24 Jul28 May19 Apr27 (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 1.60 40% 1.50    
3  OUR ISLAND GIRL Oct11 May12 Mar28 Mar15 Mar07 (gonzalez a)CARRENO J 121 20.00    
SCR  GIVE N RECEIVE Aug24 Mar14 Jan26 Dec11 Nov07 (marr jo)FUENTES T 123 1.80    
5  MI PRINCESA Oct11 Sep26 Sep15 Sep01 Aug02 (aldavaz herm)MEDINA ANTHONY 123 15.00    
6  ART CURATOR Oct27 Sep19 Sep06 Aug24 May19 (w)DE CRUZ 123 3.50    
7  RUNNING FOR GRACE Mar28 Feb01 Dec04 Nov13 Aug25 (lambert cas)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 12.00 32% 2.10    
 
ZIA-4   11/18/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($15K) Purse ($33.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVESUNFAIR Oct02 Sep13 Sep02 Apr21 Apr07 (quiroz filiberto)MEDELLIN A 121 6.00 8% 11.90    
2  BEAU VERO Oct09 Sep15 Aug03 Jul19 Mar21 (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 2.00    
3  MISTER WU Oct20 Sep26 Sep11 Aug17 Mar21 (lambert case)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 4.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  SAGA (NZ) Jun14 Mar08 Feb23 Jan18 Dec18 (bolen bra)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121 15.00    
5  DISTORTED GUY Sep26 Sep08 May05 Apr20 Feb08 (chav)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 20.00    
6  OL' MCCLINTOCK Sep01 Jul26 Mar29 Mar07 Feb22 (lambert cas)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 10.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  CON SEAL AND KERRY Sep08 Apr27 Jan21 Dec17 Sep17 (hudson jeff)JUAREZ J 118 1.60    
 
ZIA-5   11/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONE MOUNTAIN GIRL Nov04 Sep28 May11 Mar21 Feb23 (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 20.00    
2  HEY FRIEND Feb02 Dec12 Nov21 Oct15 Mar21 (armstrong sh)FUENTES A 121 6.00    
3  FOOLISH DELIGHT Dec19 Apr23 Mar26 Mar12 Feb18 (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 15.00    
4  IT'S SAUL RIGHT Oct06 Sep13 Aug04 Jun15 May18 (arms)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 10.00 7% 13.60    
5  BROADWAY DISH Oct23 Sep13 Aug16 May18 May04 (gonzalez a)ROSENDO J 123 1.60 18% 4.40    
6  BRAND LOYALTY Nov04 Sep28 Sep13 Mar14 Feb23 (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 2.00 45% 1.20    
7  MOVINGLIKEAWINNER Nov05 Sep28 Aug04 May04 Apr20 (valdez-cabral)JUAREZ J 123 4.00 7% 13.20    
 
ZIA-6   11/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($67K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESERTROSE OFTEXAS Nov12 Sep08 Jul28 May18 Mar28 (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 8.00    
2  NOT TO FANCY Nov05 Sep22 Sep07 Aug23 Jun16 (danley i)MEDELLIN A 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  WAY RITE Oct18 Sep26 Sep11 May18 May05 (o)DE CRUZ 123 20.00    
4  CASUAL ENCOUNTER Oct18 Oct04 Sep08 Aug24 Aug16 (gonzalez a)CARRENO J 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  AWESOME WALKER Oct04 Sep08 Aug16 May18 May04 (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 2.00 46% 1.20    
6  TRUST ANABELLE Jul27 Apr07 Mar08 Feb09 Oct08 (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 119 1.40 29% 2.50    
7  ROLL ON CHARITY Oct04 Sep08 May18 Apr27 Oct06 (pierce w)ROSENDO J 121 4.50    
 
ZIA-7   11/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY AND DARING Oct27 Oct13 Sep26 Sep14 May12 (gonzalez carl)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 20.00    
2  CHARLIENE Sep26 Sep14 Aug24 May18 Jan12 (martinez ed)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 8.00 9% 10.60    
3  CHASENUINMYDREAMS Oct12 Mar21 Mar01 Dec20 Nov14 (armstrong sh)FUENTES A 119 2.00    
4  IT'S A GIRL Oct27 Mar01 Dec18 Dec11 Nov20 (green greg)ROSENDO J 121 8.00    
5  GABRIELLA WHO Oct27 Oct13 Sep26 Sep14 Jun16 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 5.00 13% 6.80    
6  SIERRA BLANCA Sep26 Sep18 Jun16 Dec12 Nov21 (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 119 4.50 34% 2.00    
7  THE MUSIC WE MAKE Sep28 Sep13 May18 Dec10 Nov25 (hudson jeff)JUAREZ J 121 15.00    
8  FIRST TIME PLAYER Oct23 Oct13 Sep26 Sep06 Feb22 (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 3.00 15% 5.60    
 
ZIA-8   11/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($32K) 2 F PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SALSA AMERICANA Sep22 Aug31       (fincher todd)FUENTES A 120 8.00    
2  SIS SPENDER Oct13 Sep22 Aug18 Aug02   (fincher w)ROSENDO J 120 4.00 9% 9.50    
3  LINCOLN COUNTY WAR         (lambert c)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 12.00 7% 13.30    
4  ULOOKLIKEULOVEME         (cappellucci)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 2.50 47% 1.10    
5  BONNIE MAE'S MARK Oct19 Sep25 Aug18 Aug02 Jun07 (armstrong she)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 1.80    
6  LADY APPARITION         (cappellucci dick)MEDELLIN A 120 12.00 7% 13.30    
7  CADEN'S GIRL         (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 8.00    
8  DO IT FOR DANNY Oct19 Sep25 Jul20     (pierce th)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 120 20.00    
 
ZIA-9   11/18/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THE RONALD Oct23 May11 Apr04 Mar20 Feb15 (wheeler travi)JUAREZ J 121 15.00    
2  BLUEGRASS RYDER Sep29 Sep15 Aug24 May19 May04 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 123 8.00    
SCR  MICKEYS TRAIL Nov05 Sep26 Aug17 Jan25 Jan05 (pierce w)VALDEZ S 121 20.00    
4  NORTHERN QUEST (FR) Oct27 Oct06 Sep05 Jul26 Jun07 (armstrong sh)FUENTES A 121 4.00    
SCR  I WILL STAND Sep26 Sep05 Aug24 Jul28 Jun17 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 6.00    
6  ANOTHERFORBROOKS Nov11 Oct25 Oct06 Sep05 Aug25 (benavides m)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 3.50 43% 1.30    
7  MULBERRY STREET Sep25 Sep06 Aug24 Aug10 Jul14 (valdez-cabral m)ROSENDO J 123 8.00    
8  DUBRONSKY Oct27 Oct06 Sep26 Sep13 Jul26 (singh johnny)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 10.00 10% 9.10    
9  MITHQAAL Oct25 Sep13 Sep05 Apr20 Apr13 (cappellucci)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 2.50 26% 2.90    
 
ZIA-10   11/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RYDERS UP Oct27 Oct16 Oct05 Sep05 Aug16 (singh johnny)ZAVALA JULIAN 123 20.00    
2  HESA PROSPECTOR Oct09 Sep22 Sep11 Aug04 Jun09 (morales danny)TORRES J 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  PLAYING FIELD Sep29 Aug24 Aug16 Jul19 Jun15 (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 8.00    
4  WIND RIVER Oct18 Sep22 Sep07 Jul28 Mar28 (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 10.00    
5  NUMEROLOGIST Oct25 Sep22 Sep13 Aug25 Jul28 (buechler simo)JUAREZ J 123 5.00    
6  BEACH RUNNER Aug23 Jul27 Jun16 Jun07 Mar26 (cappellucci)HERNANDEZ HARRY 123 4.50 47% 1.10    
SCR  OTTOMAN EMPIRE Oct25 Oct05 Sep26 Sep08 Aug31 (wheeler t)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 8.00    
8  INDIAN NIGHTS Oct18 Sep26 Sep07 Aug17 Jun15 (barrios bernade)ROSENDO J 123 10.00    
9  MINISTERSDON'TLIE Apr30 Jul30 May06 Apr02 Mar19 (mcarthur donna)MEDELLIN A 123 20.00 6% 15.40    
10  DISCREET TIGER May19 Apr13 Dec19 Oct27 Oct04 (chacon se)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 123 10.00 12% 7.20    
11  BIG CREED Oct16 Oct05 Jul28 May11 Apr27 (marlin i)HEBERT J 123 3.00 12% 7.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.