Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Friday - November 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-2   Win (3/5/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-3   Win (2/5/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-4   Win (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-5   Win (5/2/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-6   Win (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-7   Win (5/3/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   11/08/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 2 ALL PT- 6:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLEX WARRIOR Oct03 Aug21       (shuman mark)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 8.00    
STIFLING HEAT Oct17 Oct01       (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.50 21% 3.80    
CAPPETTA Oct07 Aug26 Aug12 Jul09   (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 121 3.00    
KING PITTHEUS Oct24         (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 121 6.00    
TANKSTER Oct04         (rathman elish)RAMOS O 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
BOBBY ROCKY JAKE Oct24 Oct03 Sep14 Aug31 Aug21 (simone mich)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.00 40% 1.50    
 
PEN-2   11/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEACH BE WITH Q Aug22 Jul26 Jul12 Jun18 May18 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 5.00    
NAMI Oct17 Oct05 Sep19 Aug31 Aug22 (sanchez-salom)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 3.50    
WILL OR WON'T Mar08 Jan25 Dec08 Nov22 Oct29 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.00 35% 1.80    
SHINELIKEADIAMOND Oct23 May09 Feb18 Jan13 Dec10 (shannon jennife)TUNON JORDANO 121 8.00 11% 7.70    
STEPHANIE MY LOVE Oct17 Sep27 Aug22 Aug02 Jul26 (kravets bruce)RAMOS O 121 3.00 28% 2.60    
THUNDER BOSS Oct23 Oct04 Aug22 Aug02 Jul13 (harigeorgiou konstan)CORA D 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
BETCHA BOOTS BABE Oct04 Aug22 Jul31 Jul18 Jun25 (johnson m)FLORES E 118 2.50    
 
PEN-3   11/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEGA CHARLIE Oct21 Oct14 Oct02 Sep11 Jun08 (mosco rober)RODRIGUEZ R 125 4.50 7% 13.30    
CAUSALISTIC Aug21 Jul16 Jun12 May09 Mar13 (o'callahan carl)CHIAPPE R 125 4.00 51% 1.00    
HENRYTHETHIRD Oct23 Sep30 Sep17 Aug28 Aug14 (bullock m)BOWMAN ADAM 125 2.50    
BUCK WILD Oct29 Oct14 Sep30 Sep10 Jul04 (wadams j)CORA D 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
CAJUN OCCASION Aug28 Aug01 May22 May04 Apr06 (boyer jr)AGUILAR M 125 8.00 10% 8.80    
HIBACHI Sep30 Sep11 Aug27 Jul17 Jun25 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 125 10.00    
TEXTPECTATION Oct30 Oct23 Sep17 Jun27 Jun12 (morzan javier)CALDERON OLIVER 125 30.00    
ROCKIN THE PALACE Oct30 Oct17 Sep18 Aug23 Aug02 (kravets bruce)RAMOS O 125 3.00    
 
PEN-4   11/08/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISCHIEF WARRIOR Oct23 Oct16 Oct02 Sep18 Aug20 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.50 61% 0.60    
RUDY RUDY RUDY Oct20 Sep27 Sep20 Aug31 Aug21 (sanchez-salom)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 118 3.00    
EYES ELEVEN Oct10 Sep20 Aug31 Aug18 Aug03 (mancilla a)CORA D 118 4.00    
MAYBE IT'S TIME Sep21 Aug24 Jul19 Jun28 Nov16 (gorham e)MENA E 121 4.50    
TEQUILAMADEMEDOIT Oct10 Jul09 Jun03 May08 Apr16 (sanchez-pi)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 20.00    
MUSKOKA GIANT Oct24 Aug30 Jul25 Jul10 Jun25 (beattie san)VARGAS L 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
LUCKY RUNNING CAT Oct24 Sep18 Aug22 Jul25 Jul03 (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 121 3.50 12% 7.20    
 
PEN-5   11/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIKING QUEEN Oct05 Aug28 Aug07 Jul27 Jul20 (simone mich)HERNANDEZ A 121 4.00    
JOYA DEL SUR Oct20 Oct03 Sep05 Aug10 Aug02 (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 121 2.00 26% 2.80    
DUST BUNNY Oct24 Aug22 Jul31 Jul04 Jun12 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
HAPPYBIRTHDAYCOREY Oct09 Jul27 Jul11 Jun12 May15 (meister willi)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
STASSI Oct25 Oct08 Sep10 Jul11 May08 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 3.50 44% 1.30    
CARROLL GIRL Oct17 Sep26 Aug21 Aug15 Jul14 (gorham e)MENA E 121 3.00    
HOP TO A DECISION Oct23 Oct10 Aug21 Aug07 Jul24 (harigeorgio)VARGAS L 125 20.00    
 
PEN-6   11/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STORMY SPELL Oct23 Feb29 Jan26 Dec29 Dec13 (zalalas mic)HERNANDEZ A 125 4.50    
SCR  ABIDALE Sep27 May20 Mar12 Feb14 Jan24 (kravets bru)VARGAS L 125 3.50    
TESTED POSITIVE Oct23 Oct09 Oct02 Sep22 Sep13 (morzan javier )VILLEGAS JERRY 125 30.00 5% 19.00    
MS MERRABEL Aug29 Jul31 Jul10 Jun11 Mar27 (murillo ricardo)DIAZ VLADIMIR 125 10.00    
HAPPY TAPPY TIM Oct17 Sep27 Sep13 Aug28 Aug14 (kravets bruce)RAMOS O 125 2.50 55% 0.80    
TUDOR PEAK Oct23 Oct09 Sep26 Aug27 Aug14 (rogers michael)CORA D 125 4.00 13% 6.70    
OLIVE KAT Oct18 Oct04 Sep13 Jul13 May16 (gorham e)MENA E 125 3.00    
 
PEN-7   11/08/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRADY Oct25 Aug21 Jun11 May17 Mar22 (rodriguez frank)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 5.00    
SCR  BRYSONS OPTION Oct31 Oct09 Jul27 Jul03 May26 (iannotti th)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 6.00    
WARRIOR ON TAP Oct23 Oct09 Sep25 Sep02 Jul31 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.50 17% 4.70    
DELETED VIDEO Oct25 Sep16 Aug30 Jun29 Jun08 (crane clovis)FLORES E 120 6.00    
WORK FROM HOME Oct23 Oct03 Aug28 Aug21 Jul25 (salvaggio michae)TORRES JOMAR 120 2.50 47% 1.10    
ON THE CHILL Oct17 Sep14 Aug01 Jul17 Jun22 (iannotti thomas )HIRALDO JOHN 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SHELTRFROMTHESTORM Oct31 Aug23 Jul26 Jun26 Jun13 (smith thomas )CALDERON OLIVER 120 3.50    
SNIP THE ROSES Oct23 Sep25 Sep02 Aug26 Aug12 (fields kevin)CORA D 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.