Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Wednesday - November 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FL-1   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(6/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(6/3/1/4)-(5/2/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-3   WIN (6/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/4)-(6/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/4)-(6/3/1/4)-(6/3/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/1/4)-(5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1/4)-(5/2/1)-(5/1/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-4   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(5/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(5/1/7)-(6/8/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-5   WIN (5/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/7)-(5/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/7)-(5/1/7)-(5/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/7)-(6/8/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-6   WIN (6/8/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/3/4)-(6/8/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/3/4)-(6/8/3/4)-(6/8/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/3/4)-(4/3/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-7   WIN (4/3/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/7/6)-(4/3/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/7/6)-(4/3/7/6)-(4/3/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/7/6)-(7/5/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7/6)-(7/5/3/1)-(7/3/4/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
FL-8   WIN (7/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/3/1)-(7/3/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-9   WIN (7/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/4/6)-(7/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/4/6)-(7/3/4/6)-(7/3/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   11/06/2024 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. EINSTEIN Oct28 Oct02 Sep24 Sep10 Jun19 (huertas )DAVIS A 124 5.00    
DATESFREEDOM Oct21 Sep24 Sep02 Aug19 Jul22 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 126 2.50    
DEVIL OR ANGEL Sep24 Sep10 Jul22 Jul01 Jun11 (lecesse michae)COA J 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
GOLDEN REIGN Oct02 Sep10 Aug13 Jul23 Jul01 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 124 3.00 31% 2.20    
MAD MAGIC Oct16 Sep18 Aug13 Jul24 Jul08 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 6.00 29% 2.50    
COACH BAHE Oct21 Sep24 Sep02 Jul23 Jun26 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 3.50    
 
FL-2   11/06/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  STARSHIP SARATOGA Jan30         (ferraro anth)COA J 124 1.40 53% 0.90    
SCR  STARSHIP CHELSEA         (ferraro anth)COA J 124 1.40    
JAYCE AND LIAM Oct09 Sep24 Sep09 Jul09 Jun17 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 2.00 24% 3.20    
BROOKLYN ROSIE Oct16 Sep24 Feb19 Jan18   (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 121 12.00    
IDA DE NILE Oct09 Sep24 Sep11 Aug14 Aug06 (falk jacquelin)BROWN DALTON 121 15.00    
DIVA DE ORO Oct28 Oct15 Sep04 Aug22 Aug11 (garza he)DAVIS A 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
TOAST TO SUCCESS Oct09 Sep24 Sep09 Aug14 Jul15 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 121 3.50    
 
FL-3   11/06/2024 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 2 ALL PT- 1:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LILITHS MOON Oct22 Oct07       (norsen a)HARKIE K 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FOG OF WAR out of MON IN THE MOON by MARIA'S MON)
ARMENIAN DANCER (GB)         (grusmark)DAVIS A 122 6.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of QUEENOFZEENILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
M G DASH Oct04         (sacco greg)RIVERA R 122 3.50 28% 2.50    
  (by JOEVIA out of SEEYOUINTHETOWN by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
VESUVIO Oct23 Oct08 Aug14     (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of SOLAR VORTEX by ORB)
SCR  POWMISSIO Oct23 Sep22 Aug21     (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 15.00    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of SECRET MISSION by MISSION IMPAZIBLE)
GIANT IMPACT Oct23 Oct08 Sep09     (ferraro anth)COA J 122 1.20 43% 1.30    
  (by VOLATILE out of MOON DELIGHT by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  EXTRAORDINARY ONE (GB) Sep07 Aug21 Aug14     (davis edmu)DE EMANUEL 122 15.00    
  (by MAYSON out of UTRINQUE PARATUS by SEA THE MOON)
IT'S NOT OVER YET Oct23 Oct08 Sep25 Aug28 Aug14 (reed l)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 5.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of TEN DEMERITS by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
FL-4   11/06/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 2 F PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HECK OF A BUST         (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of HECK by HECKLE)
LIPAN LAW Oct22 Sep24 Sep09     (ferraro anth)COA J 122 2.50 35% 1.80    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of HELOTES by PAYNTER)
DIVORCED OF COURSE Oct07 Sep13 Aug14 Jul31   (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 8.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of MADAME BOURBON by GOLDENCENTS)
MARILYN'S NY PRIDE         (bartlett)DAVIS A 122 10.00    
  (by TONALIST out of AUNTIE'S THE ONE by EXCHANGE RATE)
I'M PRETTY GOOD Oct28         (reed l)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 2.00 41% 1.40    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of PRETTY IN PLATINUM by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  PARTY AT THE POST         (sells rachel)CRUZ JOEL 122 10.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of IDEATIONAL by NOBLE MISSION (GB))
LIGHT THOUGHTS         (dixon k)PEREZ E 122 4.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of THOUGHTLESS by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
 
FL-5   11/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEKILA Sep21 Jul22 Jun03 Nov13 Oct23 (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 124 5.00 18% 4.40    
HOLIDAY JAZZ Sep24 Sep09 Aug14 Jun17 Jun05 (bre)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 8.00    
SCR  VIOLENT VIXEN Oct15 Aug14 Jun22 May09 Apr14 (ferraro anth)COA J 124 2.50    
CLIFDEN PUNCH Oct21 Oct08 Sep25 Sep02 Aug19 (ashley jul)DE EMANUEL 124 15.00    
WHO ASKED YOU Oct15 Aug19 Jul30 Jul15 Jul01 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 3.50 34% 1.90    
HYPNOCURRENCY Oct21 Oct07 Sep18 Sep02 Jul30 (pettine m)ROHENA M 124 3.00    
ISLE STORM Sep17 Aug14 Jul31 Jul02 Jun05 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 124 6.00 10% 8.70    
 
FL-6   11/06/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 2 F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STELLA BROWN         (ferraro anth)COA J 122 6.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of BLINDSIDEHIT by BLUEGRASS CAT)
BELMONTIS May04         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 5.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of GRACEFUL LIGHT by SILVER TRAIN)
NO FACTOR Oct22         (ferraro michael)FRET STEVEN 122 8.00 5% 18.60    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MOVING AWAY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
REDESDALE ROSE         (sells rache)CAMILO D 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by REDESDALE out of SHALL TRY by ORIENTATE (GB))
DANZING EMBERS Oct22         (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 12.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of FERRITTO by SUAVE)
KITTY OF WAR Oct22 Oct03 Sep14     (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 1.60 62% 0.60    
  (by FOG OF WAR out of KITTY FOYLE by TAPIT)
RUN JODY Aug22         (garza he)DAVIS A 122 20.00    
  (by GENTLEMEN'S BET out of ALACHUA by GRAND SLAM)
FRISBEE BEE Oct22         (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 3.50 8% 12.10    
  (by FREUD out of BEA BEA by CITY ZIP)
 
FL-7   11/06/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 2 ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWAITING TRIAL Oct28         (buckley jona)HARKIE K 122 20.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of RECOGNITION by LEROIDESANIMAUX)
SCR  A FEW CHOICE WORDS         (barrow paul)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 6.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of YOLIE'S CHOICE by SILVER DEPUTY)
WINGO STARR Oct16 Sep25       (bartlett)DAVIS A 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of ALWAYS AND FOREVER by BROKEN VOW)
PROBABLY FLATTERY Oct16 Sep25       (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 2.00 50% 1.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of FLATTERYWILLGETYOU by FLATTER)
EXPRESS PASS Oct08         (breed rona)DE EMANUEL 122 15.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of ONE LAST SECRET by SECRET HELLO)
STEGOSAURUS Oct05 Sep09       (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of ROCK STAR ROYALTY by FIVE STAR DAY)
ONE MOREREP Oct16         (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.50 5% 17.90    
  (by LOOKIN AT LEE out of PRETTY COZZY by BROKEN VOW)
KAMIN SIRA Oct28         (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 10.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of CHORNAYAH KRACOTA by COSMONAUT)
 
FL-8   11/06/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAIZE LOVED LAFFY Oct22 Sep17 Aug14 Jul29 Jul15 (marino jo)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
REFUSE TO LOSE Oct15 Sep27 Aug14 Jul17 Jun06 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 3.50    
LA GROTTE Oct22 Jul06 May24 Apr18 Mar24 (johnston rob)HARKIE K 124 6.00 17% 4.80    
COQUITO Sep09 Aug11 Jul17 May04 Apr06 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 2.50    
MISS FASHIONISTA Oct22 Oct06 Aug10 Jul11 Jun14 (breed ro)DAVIS A 124 8.00 23% 3.30    
OUR FIRST LADY Oct22 Sep10 Aug19 Jul29 Jul15 (acq)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 6.00    
MISS CITY GIRL Oct18 Sep27 Aug20 Jul27 Jun14 (ferraro anth)COA J 121 3.00 26% 2.80    
 
FL-9   11/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRANGE FRUIT Oct15 Oct02 Sep11 Jul02 Jun19 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 15.00    
MAGGIE Oct21 Oct02 Sep02 Jul31 Jul04 (bre)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 5.00    
OUCH THAT HURT Oct15 Sep25 Aug05 Jul24 Jun04 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 2.00 21% 3.70    
REITERATE Oct15 Sep24 Sep09 Aug07 Jun04 (murphy timot)BERRIOS C 124 3.00 20% 3.90    
TRUE DESTINY Sep11 Jul31 Jul02 Jun19 May28 (reed a)COA J 124 6.00    
MISS PAB Oct15 Oct02 Aug21 Jul31 Jul15 (gutierrez a)CRUZ JOEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SABREEN Oct30 Sep09 Aug12 Jul24 Jul09 (acquilano james)PEREZ E 124 3.50 25% 3.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.