Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Tuesday - November 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (1/5/6/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/6/10/7)-(1/5/6/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/6/10/7)-(1/5/6/10/7)-(1/5/6/10/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/5/6/10/7)-(7/5/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6/10/7)-(7/5/3/8)-(10/7/9/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-2   WIN (7/5/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/3/8)-(7/5/3/8/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/5/3/8)-(7/5/3/8/10)-(7/5/3/8/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/5/3/8)-(10/7/9/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3/8)-(10/7/9/8)-(5/9/3/6/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-3   WIN (10/7/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/7/9/8)-(10/7/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/7/9/8)-(10/7/9/8)-(10/7/9/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/7/9/8)-(5/9/3/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/7/9/8)-(5/9/3/6/1)-(6/2/4/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-4   WIN (5/9/3/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/3/6/1)-(5/9/3/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/3/6/1)-(5/9/3/6/1)-(5/9/3/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/9/3/6/1)-(6/2/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/9/3/6/1)-(6/2/4/8)-(3/7/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-5   WIN (6/2/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/4/8)-(6/2/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/4/8)-(6/2/4/8)-(6/2/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/4/8)-(3/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4/8)-(3/7/6)-(7/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-6   WIN (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/6)-(3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/6)-(7/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6)-(7/6/3)-(1/3/6/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-7   WIN (7/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/3)-(7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/3)-(1/3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
DED-8   WIN (1/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/5)-(1/3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/5)-(1/3/6/5)-(1/3/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   11/05/2024 4950ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($39K) 2 ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLINT ROCK Sep16 Jul22       (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 5.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  YAKETY YOCK Oct10 Aug31       (johnson henr)BARRERA J 120 3.00    
3  SOPHIE'S PAINTER Aug15         (gelner scot)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 6.00    
4  JOSH G Aug31 Aug10       (west g)MCMAHON J 120 12.00    
5  M L BRODY'S GEM         (lorefice m)RAMIREZ JR 115 12.00 16% 5.20    
6  MR DORIS         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 8.00 15% 5.70    
7  MAXIMUM GRACE Sep26 Sep16 Aug15     (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  UNINSPIRED Sep26 Sep14 Aug31 Aug13 Jul29 (rivera nestor)RENGIFO JOHAN 120 10.00    
9  MY SPECIAL STAR Oct10         (breaux samue)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00    
10  SEVEN DIGITS Aug24 Jun29       (castille carro)THORNTON G 120 4.50 13% 6.80    
SCR  BEACH TRIPPIN Nov02 Oct18 Aug15 Aug03 Jul13 (fuselier jonah)THORNTON G 120 4.00    
 
DED-2   11/05/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORMY VALENTINE Oct17 Aug23 Jul27 Jun28 Jun13 (breaux samu)MELANCON JANSEN 117 4.50    
2  KNIGHTS SWORD Aug09 Jul19 Apr13 Feb17 Jan26 (toups brent)POMPELL L 117 12.00    
3  SHE'SMYSMOKESHOW Sep23 Sep10 Aug26 Aug07 Jul23 (melancon dona)RENGIFO JOHAN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  SORCERER'S GIRL Sep22 Aug26 Jul29 Jul08 Jun09 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 118 15.00    
5  TIZ SWEET CANDY Aug26 Jul15 Jul04 Jun19 May20 (turner patt)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 6.00 7% 13.80    
6  SAVANNAH'S HERE Sep25 Sep03 Aug05 Jul17 Jun19 (nelson eri)RAMIREZ JR 114 20.00    
7  MARINA Mar24 Mar01 Feb07 Jan13 Dec16 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 3.50 69% 0.50    
8  MAHOMEBRED Sep06 Aug24 Aug03 Jun21 May02 (gonzalez)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  BLACK ACE Aug13 Jul12 Apr27 Feb09 Jan13 (alberto anto)BARRERA J 120 2.50    
10  LUNCH LADY May17 Feb09 Jan13 Dec28 Nov16 (zenon shelton)PEREZ CARLOS 115 8.00 ★    
 
DED-3   11/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRENETIC DAY Sep09 Jul04 Jun25 May13 May04 (dixon tim)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 15.00    
2  R AND R STAR Aug24 Aug10 Jun21 Jun07 May15 (romero lynn)EBOW JR 119 20.00    
SCR  TAUREAN Sep04 Aug17 Jul26 Jul11 Jun20 (richard rus)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 5.00    
SCR  I NITA WARRIOR Sep16 Aug23 Aug02 Jul05 May18 (reeves jeffery )POMPELL L 122 15.00    
5  IRON MOON Sep23 Aug24 Aug10 Jun22 Jun14 (ramirez e)HERNANDEZ V 124 6.00    
SCR  INVOLVEDNTERACTION Sep23 Sep09 Aug23 Aug10 Jul19 (ducoing sturg)VARGAS P 122 3.50    
7  BELLAMY BROTHER Sep23 Sep02 Jul09 Jun26 May13 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 119 12.00 19% 4.20    
8  ZONG'S FAVOR Sep23 Sep09 Aug07 Jul02 May22 (shamsie )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  A G'S GEM Oct16 Sep23 Sep02 Aug19 Jun13 (beavin judy)MELANCON JANSEN 122 10.00 9% 9.80    
10  CANAL ST. CUPID Oct16 Aug23 Jul06 May10 Apr19 (delany sarah)BARRERA J 122 2.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  WATCH THE COAST Oct16 Jun13 May29 May08 Apr17 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 122 10.00    
SCR  BITSY'S STAR Aug22 Aug03 Jun07 May18 Apr25 (prejean raymo)VARGAS P 122 8.00    
 
DED-4   11/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JESS'S RAINBOW Oct10 Sep16 Jul25 Jun22 Jun07 (reeves jeff)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  TOLATETOOWAIT Oct10 Jul27 Jul13 May15 Nov03 (chatters benar)PEREZ CARLOS 112 12.00    
3  BE BO Oct17 Jul01 Jun12 May04 Mar13 (daigle walter)ARANA KELVIN 115 8.00 18% 4.50    
4  COZZOLANI Oct10 Sep13 Aug31 Aug16 Jul18 (dixon tim)RENGIFO JOHAN 120 20.00    
5  NO COST Sep26 Sep11 Sep02 Aug03 Jul04 (claire alexi)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 2.50 26% 2.90    
6  SIMPLE SUNDAY Aug01 Jun20 May16 Apr19 Feb17 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  CHERRY STAR Jul26 Jun21 May18 Apr20 Feb07 (latour )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 6.00    
8  DREAM TRAP Jul14 Jun21 Jun01 Apr17 Mar09 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 4.50    
9  TROTTING GEAR Sep13 Aug11 Jul14 Jun27 Dec24 (sanchez amad)BARRERA J 120 3.50 23% 3.40    
 
DED-5   11/05/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OBVIOUS CONCLUSION Sep26 Sep04 Jul29 Jul14 Jul04 (love alan)RAMIREZ PAULINA 122 15.00    
  (by INCLUDE out of FREDA STORM by HEART OF THE STORM)
2  GRAND SAM Aug14 Apr30       (degeyter ran)BARRERA J 122 2.00 29% 2.40    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of WHAT WHAT WHAT by ARCHARCHARCH)
3  UNBRIDLED'S HEIR         (dison phill)MELANCON JANSEN 122 10.00    
  (by ZONG out of JONI GAIL by WILDCAT HEIR)
4  MIDNIGHT AVENGER Sep26 Sep14 Aug14 Jul17 Jun28 (turner patti)VARGAS P 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLATTER out of MIDNIGHT SWEETIE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
5  DONEGAL FREEDOM Aug14 Jan26       (noel dane)MCMAHON J 122 6.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of WARM SUNSHINE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  CRUSHED IT Sep20 Aug18 Feb24 Jan05 Dec08 (klanfer alan)THORNTON G 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
  (by DIALED IN out of PINCH HIT by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
7  DONEGAL MOONSHINE Jun28 May31       (noel dane)RAMIREZ JR 117 4.50    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of PROSPECTOR'S MOON by MALIBU MOON)
8  MARCUS GIFT Sep14 Jul27       (gelner jayde)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of FOUR GIFTS by EVEN THE SCORE)
 
DED-6   11/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TITANIUM DEAL Sep04 Aug22 Jul12 Jun28 Jun01 (richard russell)POMPELL L 117 6.00    
2  MAYHEMINTHEPALACE Oct04 Aug24 Aug03 Jul13 Jun01 (sanchez amad)BARRERA J 122 4.50    
3  CAJUN AMI Oct17 Jun15 Jun01 May17 Apr19 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 117 2.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  THROWIN' SHADE Oct17 Jul04 Jun06 May17 Apr19 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 10.00    
5  OVERBORE Sep24 Sep04 Jul24 Jun02 May09 (wong jonathan)LOZADA CARLOS 122 12.00    
6  LO LO'S LAUGHTER Oct16 Jun24 May29 May07 Feb23 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 12.00 16% 5.10    
7  FIRST CLASS HARLOW Aug14 Jul12 May30 May11 Apr25 (mojica a)PEREZ CARLOS 115 3.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  MY PAL SWEET Jul12 May22 May01 Mar22 Feb24 (thomas lee)MELANCON JANSEN 117 8.00    
 
DED-7   11/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PACIFICISLANDTIME Aug15 Jun22 May25 Apr24 Mar22 (diodoro rob)MELANCON JANSEN 120 2.00    
2  HEZA PICKLE Oct19 Aug26 Jul31 Jun08 May04 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 4.50    
3  MR. FOUR SEVENS Oct19 Aug01 Jul04 May22 May11 (dison phill)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JOEY'S GAME Jul18 Jun21 Mar06 Feb18 Jan28 (charles keith)VARGAS P 120 10.00    
5  MUFFIN NUTS Oct17 Aug14 Jul03 Jun14 May25 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 120 8.00    
6  CRYPTOZONIC Sep25 Sep09 Aug20 Jul03 May22 (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.50 20% 4.00    
7  HOME VISIT Aug15 Jul13 Jun29 Jun07 Apr26 (charles keit)BARRERA J 120 4.00 49% 1.00    
 
DED-8   11/05/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BACKFIRE Jan12         (delahoussaye brent)STOKES J 122 5.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  PEGASO (PER) Sep11         (turner patti)PEREZ CARLOS 114 5.00    
3  RITE ON SAM Aug15 Jun27 May25 Apr25 Feb10 (noel dane)MCMAHON J 122 3.00 20% 4.00    
4  TRIPS TO WIN Sep11         (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 6.00    
5  IT'S A SECRET Aug23 Jul13 May30     (segura kear)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  WE CALL HIM DOC Oct12 Aug17 Jul26 Jul04   (hibdon n)BIRZER E 119 12.00 7% 12.50    
7  STAR APRIORITY Oct12 Sep09 Aug23 Jun27   (thomas lee)MAGNON H 115 4.50    
8  CALL ME RIP Oct06         (breaux samue)BARRERA J 119 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.