Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Parx Racing
Wednesday - October 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRX-1   WIN (8/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/2)-(8/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/1/2)-(8/1/2)-(8/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/1/2)-(5/4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/2)-(5/4/6/2)-(5/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-2   WIN (5/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/2)-(5/4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/2)-(5/4/6/2)-(5/4/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/6/2)-(5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6/2)-(5/4/3)-(4/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-3   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(4/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(4/2/5)-(6/8/3/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-4   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(6/8/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(6/8/3/7)-(1/6/8/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-5   WIN (6/8/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/3/7)-(6/8/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/3/7)-(6/8/3/7)-(6/8/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/3/7)-(1/6/8/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/8/3/7)-(1/6/8/9)-(4/3/9/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PRX-6   WIN (1/6/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/8/9)-(1/6/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/8/9)-(1/6/8/9)-(1/6/8/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/8/9)-(4/3/9/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/8/9)-(4/3/9/6)-(5/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PRX-7   WIN (4/3/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/9/6)-(4/3/1/9/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/3/9/6)-(4/3/1/9/6)-(4/3/1/9/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/3/9/6)-(5/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/3/9/6)-(5/4)-(2/5/1/6) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PRX-8   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/4)-(2/5/1/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(2/5/1/6)-(10/1/7/6) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PRX-9   WIN (2/5/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/1/6)-(2/5/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1/6)-(2/5/1/6)-(2/5/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/1/6)-(10/1/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PRX-10   WIN (10/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/1/7/6)-(10/1/7/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/1/7/6)-(10/1/7/3/6)-(10/1/7/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRX-1   10/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRASSE Sep16 Aug27 Jul10 Jun21 Jun07 (padilla hu)SANCHEZ J 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
2  CURLINS CRUZIN Sep16 Aug18 Jul22 Jun25 Jun09 (perez rupert)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  VILLANITO Sep16 Aug16 Jun04 May21 Apr29 (padilla-prec)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 6.00    
4  HOT LOVE Sep18 Aug27 Jul22 Jul10 Jun16 (whylie o)BOWMAN ADAM 125 15.00    
5  UTILITY Sep09 Aug22 Jul25 Jul10 Jun25 (guerrero)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 10.00    
SCR  MR. GEORGIE Sep18 Sep01 Aug10 May25 Apr19 (castillo miche)ADORNO ABNER 117 6.00    
7  HUMBLE JOE Sep16 Sep02 Aug26 Aug19 Jul22 (gallimore t)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 4.00    
8  TRY HARDER Oct02 Aug27 Jan09 Dec19 Nov28 (vega ric)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 3.00 34% 2.00    
 
PRX-2   10/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CADDY MAN Sep11 Aug28 Jul11 Jun04 Mar20 (lake a)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 2.00    
2  COUSIN ANDREW Sep30 Sep11 Feb21 Jan24 Dec18 (wilson bre)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  MIZZEN MAN Sep30 Jul02 Apr01 Mar11 Feb19 (solis jacinto)RUIZ ELISEO 122 15.00    
4  HIDE THE RANSOM Sep11 Jun25 Jun08 Apr29 Mar20 (pattersh)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 3.00 29% 2.40    
5  PYLON Sep30 Sep18 Aug04 Jul24 Jul10 (rodrigue)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 4.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  BIG WARDEN Jul10 Jun12 May01 Feb19 Dec06 (hamilton stephe)BOWMAN ADAM 122 6.00 8% 11.00    
7  RAHMER Sep30 Aug01 Jul11 Jun29 Jun12 (diaz jorge)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 4.00    
 
PRX-3   10/16/2024 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE GRAYT PUMPKIN Sep03 Aug19 Jul23 Jul02 Jun18 (mann farrel)BOWMAN ADAM 120 15.00    
2  SEPARATE WAYS Sep18 Aug28 Aug01 Jul02 Sep26 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 125 4.00    
3  BORRACHO CONCHO Sep24 Sep03 Jul09 Jun17 Jun04 (guerrero gua)ADORNO ABNER 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  STAY FUNNY Oct02 Sep18 Aug07 Jul15 Jun26 (perez ruperto )AGUILAR JEAN 117 3.50 22% 3.70    
5  SOZE Oct02 Sep08 Aug24 Aug09 Jul13 (soto- ma)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 2.00 49% 1.10    
6  HEAVY TIMBER Sep14 Aug16 Nov06 Oct13 Jul30 (vega ri)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 110 3.00    
 
PRX-4   10/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VINE JET Sep23 Aug27 Jul15 Jun25 Jun15 (padilla-preciad)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.60    
2  RUNYONESQUE Sep17 Sep10 Aug28 Aug21 Jul23 (catalano)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 4.00 21% 3.70    
3  RERALLY Sep18 Aug28 Jul23 Jul02 Jun15 (dandy ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 125 5.00    
4  EXIT RIGHT Sep02 Jun22 Jun07 May04 Mar30 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 2.00 41% 1.50    
5  JACOHARE Oct07 Sep18 Sep04 Aug28 Aug11 (santaella-calde)RUIZ ELISEO 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  SAINT MARCO Oct02 Sep17 Sep10 Aug10 Jul23 (wyner harold)BOWMAN ADAM 122 15.00    
 
PRX-5   10/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAJESTIC LION Jun17 May28 May04 Apr08 Mar12 (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 12.00    
2  DANCE A DINI Sep24 Aug27 Jul23 Jun17 Jun03 (montoya )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 4.50    
3  LEVEL UP Sep24 Sep02 Jul24 Jun26 Jun11 (rodriguez ir)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 2.00 8% 10.80    
4  FAST PAYDAY Sep25 Aug31 Aug21 Aug10 Mar27 (tapsas i)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 8.00    
5  GRATED COCONUT Sep25 Jul19 Jun24 May12 Apr05 (penaloza mi)VASQUEZ WILFRED 119 8.00    
6  BALANTYNE Oct01 Sep08 Aug23 Jul05 Jun16 (ramirez silvi)OLVER MADISON 122 5.00 42% 1.40    
7  COMMINGLING Sep30 Sep09 Jun26 May29 Jul04 (smylie timothy)MOYA F 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  RENEGADE SERENADE Sep23 Sep09 Aug20 Jul24 Jun26 (diaz jo)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 3.00 22% 3.60    
 
PRX-6   10/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA CIENEGA Sep25 Sep11 Aug19 Jul24 Jun12 (diaz jorge)PENNINGTON F 122 3.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  CREATIVE COPY Jul04 Apr17 Apr10 Mar19 Feb19 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 2.50    
SCR  CHLOE ROSE Sep12 Sep02 Aug07 Jul23 Jul02 (lake sco)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 20.00    
4  BUNNY BONUS Oct07 Sep11 Jul17 Jun04 May20 (hogan j)BOWMAN ADAM 125 10.00    
5  OBSTINATE Sep30 Sep11 Aug19 Jul17 Jun17 (bravo-estrad)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 10.00    
6  CLASSY MISS Sep02 Aug19 Jul27 Jul13 Jun03 (dandy ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 3.00 17% 4.80    
7  HELEONORTIZ Sep28 Aug28 Aug08 Jul13 Jun29 (nicholson j)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 10.00    
8  PEACH PERFECT Sep11 Jul24 Jul10 Jun17 May28 (aristone phil)RANGEL JOEZER 122 5.00 13% 6.80    
9  EXPECT TO BE READY Sep30 Sep10 Jul17 Jul03 May21 (velazqu)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 8.00 10% 8.90    
 
PRX-7   10/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YO YO CANDY Jul08 May05 Apr06 Nov05 Sep04 (velazquez d)SALGADO ANTHONY 118 3.50 ★    
2  TWENTYEIGHTTOTHREE Jul17 Jul10 Jun16 Jun04 May07 (lake a)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 5.00    
3  MASK PATROL Sep17 Aug21 Jul17 Jun11 Oct17 (crook-de)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 4.50 18% 4.40    
4  SMOKE WAGON Sep23 Aug27 Aug02 Jul10 Jul03 (solis jacinto)PENNINGTON F 125 2.00 53% 0.90    
5  DUAL MONARCHY Sep18 Aug18 Jul14 Jun23 May25 (ward dan)SILVERA RUBEN 125 5.00    
6  ZOPPI FISCHBEIN Oct08 Sep23 Sep10 Aug26 Aug19 (jones c)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  WHAT A BLAST Sep17 Jun01 May04 Mar29 Mar16 (lake a)OCASIO M 121 6.00    
8  GRAHMALAMADINGDONG Oct02 Sep09 Aug16 Jul27 Jul04 (kirby john)SANCHEZ J 118 6.00    
9  GO EAST Sep25 Sep04 Dec13 Nov20 Sep20 (soto c)AGUILAR JEAN 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRX-8   10/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FERRARI KID Sep28 Sep03 Jun26 Jun16 May21 (lake a)PENNINGTON F 121 4.50    
2  PATRIARCHAL Oct01 Sep18 Aug18 Jun20 May30 (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 118 4.00    
3  BIG BEEMSTER Sep25 Aug18 Feb05 Jan09 Dec13 (crook-d)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 5.00    
4  THE GATEKEEPER (IRE) Sep16 Jul23 Jun26 Jun11 May04 (tzortzakis e)RIVERA D 125 6.00 11% 8.30    
5  TRAFFIC MASTER Sep23 Sep02 Jul23 Jun26 May25 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 121 2.50 48% 1.10    
6  ARROW SPEED Oct08 Aug31 Aug03 Jul04 Jun20 (ness jamie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 1.60 ★    
 
PRX-9   10/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WARRIOR'S VENDETTA Sep25 Aug26 Jul15 Jul02 Jun10 (perez r)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 5.00 10% 8.80    
2  PANDO Aug31 Jul27 Jun30 Jun02 May09 (wilson tony)TORRES JOMAR 122 4.50 33% 2.00    
3  LUCKY DUDE Sep17 Aug28 Jul17 Jul02 May28 (padilla-preciad)CARMOUCHE K 125 4.00    
4  GROUP TICKET Sep14 Sep07 Aug23 Aug17 Jul14 (ramirez silvi)OLVER MADISON 119 6.00    
5  HEY PORTER Sep17 Sep02 Aug09 Jul22 Jun29 (castillo)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 5.00 15% 5.60    
6  BOOK RUNNER Sep24 Aug31 Aug22 Jul19 Jun26 (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  STRIKING SPARKS Sep23 Aug07 Jul20 Jun23 May22 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 2.00    
 
PRX-10   10/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRICOLOUR Sep18 Aug10 Jul15 Jun30 May29 (aristone)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 125 3.00 18% 4.60    
2  MARINE PATROL Oct08 Aug15 Apr17 Apr03 Dec19 (wyner harold)BOWMAN ADAM 122 30.00    
3  TOADY HOPPER Oct04 Sep13 Aug31 Aug15   (diaz jor)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 6.00 ★    
4  CAUTELOSO Sep23 Sep09 Jul24 Jun18 Apr24 (castillo miche)AGUILAR JEAN 120 10.00    
SCR  MAD MAXEY Aug28 Jul03 Jun12 May18 Dec27 (sanche)GONZALEZ JR 125 30.00    
6  TEXAS AIR FORCE Sep24 Aug28 Jun21 May18 Oct07 (lake a)MOYA F 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  AUDEN Sep18 Aug20 Jul06 Jun05 May18 (krebs s)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 5.00 13% 7.00    
8  ROSSINGTON Sep23 Aug28 Jul04 Jun17 Feb25 (linder louis )RIVERA D 122 6.00    
9  HARRISON C Aug20 Jul03 May07 Apr23 Apr03 (dotolo david)ORTIZ JOSHUA 112 30.00    
10  MISSOURI RIVER Oct03 Jun15 Apr28 Dec23   (gargan danny)ADORNO ABNER 122 1.20 49% 1.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.