Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Grants Pass
Sunday - October 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
GRP-1   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1/2)-(5/3/1/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(2/3/1/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
GRP-2   WIN (2/3/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/1/8)-(2/3/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/1/8)-(2/3/1/8)-(2/3/1/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
GRP-3   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GRP-5   WIN (10/1/2/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/1/2/8/4)-(10/1/2/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/1/2/8/4)-(10/1/2/8/4)-(10/1/2/8/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
GRP-6   WIN (8/10/7/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/10/7/3/5)-(8/10/7/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/10/7/3/5)-(8/10/7/3/5)-(8/10/7/3/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
GRP-8   WIN (3/9/8/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/9/8/1/2)-(3/9/8/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/9/8/1/2)-(3/9/8/1/2)-(3/9/8/1/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    PK3 (3/9/8/1/2)-(4/3/6/8)-(2/5/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
GRP-9   WIN (4/3/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/6/8)-(4/3/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/6/8)-(4/3/6/8)-(4/3/6/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/3/6/8)-(2/5/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
GRP-10   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
GRP-1   10/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATS BRAVENTHERAIN         (goode crysta)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 8.00 20% 3.90    
  (by AL FAATIK out of RELENTLESS RAIN by THORN SONG)
2  ZEPHYR CAT Oct07 Sep29 Sep16 Aug31 Aug07 (hurley)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 6.00 ★    
  (by SIERRA SUNSET out of STARRY CAT by TABASCO CAT)
3  HOLDMYGOLDMISSY Sep29 Jun30 Jun15 Sep16   (beckner l)ELLIS DEVON 126 4.00 24% 3.20    
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of MS. MISSY MIESQUE by MINGUN)
4  PARTY TIME GAL Sep29 Sep09 Aug08 Jul11 Jun30 (cox jo)MEEKS MICAH 121 5.00    
  (by POINT ENCOUNTER out of CELEBRATE EVERYDAY by BEAU GENIUS)
5  GALESVILLE Sep29 Sep14 Aug31 Aug17   (cantrell margi)SAMUELS JAKE 124 2.00 24% 3.20    
  (by STANFORD out of FILM ACTRESS by ESKENDEREYA)
6  GOIN SEVENTY FIVE Sep29 Aug31 Sep03     (bozell a)MURO ISIDRO 124 8.00    
  (by ALGORITHMS out of FOLLOW YOUR SHOT by SIR CAT)
7  SUMTHINTOTALKABOUT Oct07 Sep29 Sep16 Sep09 Aug18 (gibson howard)LOPEZ E 124 4.50    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of APPOMATTOX by STRAVINSKY)
 
GRP-2   10/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AIRKITA Sep30 Sep22 Sep08 Aug23 Aug09 (lyons)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 126 8.00 17% 4.90    
2  TEASPOON OF PEPPER Sep30 Sep16 Aug31 Aug23 Aug07 (maelfe)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 6.00 25% 3.00    
3  MIDNIGHT SYMPHONY Sep23 Sep01 Aug25 Jul04 Jun16 (beckner l)SAMUELS JAKE 126 4.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  CLIPPERVILE GIRL Sep29 Sep16 Sep08 Aug30 Aug17 (crystal dust)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 10.00    
5  NEISSA Sep29 Sep15 Sep01 Aug10 Aug03 (mobley br)JENSEN P 124 3.00    
6  CAMDEN HIGH Sep30 Sep09 Aug23 Aug09 Jul27 (morris m)MURO ISIDRO 126 3.50    
7  JACRODRA'S DEVIL Sep23 Sep08 Jun29 May04 Apr24 (magallanes )MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 4.50    
8  VISION OF THE KAT Sep30 Sep16 Sep01 Aug07 Jun08 (beckner l)MEEKS MICAH 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
GRP-3   10/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Josephine County Juvenile Purse ($13K) 2 ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIVACIOUS TRIBUTE Aug25 Aug04 Jul07 Jun09   (harshman loega)SAMUELS JAKE 125 1.60 53% 0.90    
  (by TOM'S TRIBUTE out of VIVACIOUS BEAUTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
2  REMEMBER MALIBU         (mccormic)MURO ISIDRO 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of SERENADE THE MOON by MALIBU MOON)
3  KISS THE TIGER Oct06 Sep01 Aug04 Jun09   (mccormick d)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 125 2.50    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of GRAND YODELER by SWISS YODELER)
4  SOCIAL PROMISE Sep14 Aug31 Aug10     (baze )FIGUEROA ANTONIO 122 4.50    
  (by PROMISES FULFILLED out of SOCIAL STATEMENT by SUAVE)
5  THE LAIR Sep15 Sep07 Aug23 Jul27 Jun09 (gibson howard)LOPEZ E 125 3.00 21% 3.70    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of LOVE RECIPE by TRIBAL RULE)
 
GRP-5   10/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYSTIC WOOD FORCE Sep29 Sep16 Sep09 Aug09 Jun29 (rodrig)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 6.00 18% 4.70    
2  DOUBLE PERFECTION Sep30 May06 Mar18 Mar05 Feb11 (magallanes )MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 3.50 16% 5.30    
3  ARIZONA ANDREW Sep30 Sep09 Jun30 Jun14 May26 (morris michael )MEEKS MICAH 121 10.00    
4  SOCAL RED Sep30 Sep16 Sep09 Jul06 Jun23 (gibson howard)LOPEZ E 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  SPEEDY TOM Oct07 Sep29 Sep15 Aug31 Aug10 (lyons kendr)GUERRERO C 126 4.00    
6  OUR EMPIRE Sep15 Aug31 Aug07 Jun29 Oct02 (maelfeyt bru)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 20.00    
7  BEING A BOSS Oct01 Sep25 Aug18 Aug09 Jul04 (harri)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 126 20.00    
8  NATIONHEART Sep22 Sep09 Aug23 Jun29 Jun15 (beckner l)SAMUELS JAKE 126 4.50 5% 19.00    
9  PICK A LANE FRANK Sep22 Aug10 Aug03 Jul12 Jun29 (pollard eli)ELLIS DEVON 126 12.00    
10  YEAR OF THE OX Sep22 Jun29 Jul02 Jun25 Jul03 (lyons ken)JENSEN P 126 8.00 41% 1.40    
 
GRP-6   10/13/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUDACE Jul13 Jun16 Jun02 May12 Sep30 (homer jason)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 6.00    
2  AUTISM WARRIOR Sep29 Sep16 Aug30 Aug18 Jul13 (pollard eli)MEEKS MICAH 121 15.00    
3  BIG BAD BRIAN Sep29 Aug31 Aug25 Aug09 Jun09 (stillwell tucke)ELLIS DEVON 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  WORKDAY Oct06 Sep29 Sep09 Jun30 Jun08 (guerrero di)GUERRERO C 126 20.00    
5  RAY OF THE SEA Sep29 Sep16 Sep08 Aug23 Aug10 (lyons)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  BEER BEGONE Sep16 Sep09 Jul28 Jun16 May18 (magallanes h)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 5.00    
7  TRIBUNAL LOVE Sep29 Sep16 Aug30 Jul19 Oct22 (baze rob)MURO ISIDRO 126 4.00 5% 19.00    
8  MACLEAN'S RHYME Sep09 Jun30 Jun23 Jun08 May25 (magallanes hec)SAMUELS JAKE 126 3.00 63% 0.60    
SCR  CHELSIESDANZIGLITE Oct06 Sep23 Sep16 Sep08 Aug25 (lyons ken)JENSEN P 126 12.00    
10  DERBY BOY Sep29 Sep16 Aug25 Aug04 Jul12 (gibson howard)LOPEZ E 124 4.50 11% 8.20    
 
GRP-8   10/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORTHERN LINCHPIN Sep22 Aug30 Aug18 Aug04 Jul12 (shiffer h)JENSEN P 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  GOLDEN PINUP Oct06 Sep22 Sep07 Aug23 Aug08 (hoover cindy)MEEKS MICAH 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  LITTLEQUEENOFMEAN Oct06 Sep22 Sep08 Aug23 Aug07 (williams ga)GUERRERO C 126 4.50 70% 0.40    
4  ALY'S NATION Oct06 Sep15 Jun29 Jun15 Jun08 (kowalsky harley)ELLIS DEVON 126 20.00    
5  MIGHTY GYPSY Oct06 Sep23 Sep15 Aug31 Aug10 (lyons kendr)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 15.00    
6  SAINT HELEN Sep29 Sep15 Sep07 Aug23 Jul04 (beckner )MURO ISIDRO 126 6.00    
7  LINCHPIN'S LOCKET Sep29 Sep13 Aug31 Aug18 Jul26 (bozell alan)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 10.00    
8  SOLO UN BESO Sep23 Sep07 Aug31 Sep10 Aug11 (velasquez rigo)SAMUELS JAKE 124 3.00 5% 19.00    
9  SHESALILRUNAWAY Sep29 Sep15 Sep08 Aug10 Jun29 (harri)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 126 4.00 5% 19.00    
10  INTRUSIVE Oct07 Sep29 Sep16 Jul27 Jun29 (gibson howard)LOPEZ E 124 12.00    
 
GRP-9   10/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORDY G Oct06 Jul06 Mar02 Feb11 Jan21 (lyons s)MEEKS MICAH 121 6.00    
2  THOUGHTS OF GOLD Sep01 Jul20 Jun29 Jun09 May25 (homer jas)MARTINEZ HUMBERTO 126 10.00    
3  PULPITS POWER Sep30 Sep16 Aug10 Aug08 Jun30 (stillw)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 3.50 27% 2.80    
4  CONNECTER Oct06 Sep30 Sep16 Sep08 Aug23 (gibson howa)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 4.00 30% 2.40    
5  SOLDATNA Oct06 Sep30 Sep08 Aug24 Aug10 (baze robert)SAMUELS JAKE 126 5.00    
6  DELTA DELTA Oct07 Sep23 Aug25 Aug11 Jul14 (gibson howard)LOPEZ E 126 8.00 14% 6.40    
7  DEFENSE WINS Sep30 Sep07 Aug08 Jul03 Jun09 (gilmour )MURO ISIDRO 126 3.00    
8  TOO TALL TO CALL Sep30 Sep16 Aug31 Aug10 Jun30 (maelfeyt bru)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
GRP-10   10/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Grants Pass Distaff Purse ($13.2K) 3UP M/F PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WON SASSY RIDE Sep22 Jun16 May26 Apr27 Apr09 (homer jason)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 4.00    
  (by SEA CANDY RIDE out of SASSY WON by CORSLEW)
2  RODEO ROSE Oct06 Sep22 Sep08 Aug10 Aug03 (harshman loega)SAMUELS JAKE 126 1.20 39% 1.60    
  (by SIXTHIRTEEN out of CLEMENS BROOK by PETERSBURG)
3  SHE'S A KRAKEN Oct07 Sep22 Sep15 Sep06 Aug16 (rosale)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NATIONHOOD out of DEJA VIEWS by FOREST CAMP)
4  BETHEL RIDGE Sep29 Sep22 Sep07 Aug24 Aug09 (maelfeyt bruno)MEEKS MICAH 126 3.00    
  (by COAST GUARD out of BEARLEE NAKED by OLD TRIESTE)
5  SPANISH CHANNEL Oct07 Sep15 Sep08 Aug25 Jul04 (beckn)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 126 6.00 32% 2.10    
  (by GERVINHO out of ELEGANT TRICK by PHONE TRICK)
6  MONARCA DE ORO Sep06 Aug09 Jul20 Jul03 Oct08 (rodriguez mar)LOPEZ E 124 8.00    
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of OUT TO SEA by SEA SALUTE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.