Handicappers' Racing Form

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Louisiana Downs
Monday - September 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

LAD-1   Win (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
LAD-2   Win (11/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
LAD-3   Win (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
LAD-4   Win (11/1/5/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
LAD-5   Win (4/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
LAD-6   Win (4/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
LAD-7   Win (1/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
LAD-1   09/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I NITA WARRIOR Aug23 Aug02 Jul05 May18 May01 (reeves a)POMPELL L 121 3.50    
NOW NOW MELVIN Aug26 Jul16       (goins garland)VARGAS P 121 12.00    
LOST MY BAG Aug22 Aug01 Jun28 May29 May13 (ney john)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 2.00 17% 4.70    
RUN RICE RUN Sep04 Jan11 Dec21     (nixon w)LOZADA CARLOS 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
BERNDT MARSHMALLOW Sep04         (kanhai joseph)PEREZ CARLOS 116 15.00    
MYMANROWEN Sep04 Jul04 Jun03 May22 May08 (ramirez juli)RAMIREZ JR 119 2.50 49% 1.00    
 
LAD-2   09/16/2024 3300ft TURF RC4 Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISS MO TOM Aug22         (daigle walter)RENGIFO JOHAN 121 30.00    
KOKOMO STARLET Aug26 Apr04 Mar03 Dec30 Apr28 (jackson d)WADE LYNDIE 124 6.00 21% 3.80    
DEBBO Aug09 Jul26 Jun08 May15 Jun16 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 121 4.50    
WAABOO Aug05         (winslow janine)SINGH R 121 20.00    
ROBERTS REVENGE         (duke steven)VARGAS P 118 12.00 21% 3.80    
LA CANTAROS Aug26 Jul01 Jun04     (del cid )GUERRERO ANDRES 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
CAT ATE THE CANARY Aug12 Jun04       (jacks kare)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 10.00    
SCR  DIAMOND COUNTRY Aug09 Jul26 Jun29 Jun15 May22 (thompson kev)RAMIREZ JR 116 5.00    
HONDURAS PASSION Sep04 Aug21 Jul30 Jul04 Jun11 (wilson melton)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 8.00    
10  SACRED DREAMS Sep03         (romero harold )NIEVES EMANUEL 118 15.00    
11  JADE D'AMORE Mar12         (jeansonne justi)LOZADA CARLOS 124 3.50 37% 1.70    
12  SECRETLY SWEET Mar20 Mar02 Feb03     (thomas lee)BARRERA J 118 15.00    
SCR  ATHELAS Sep03         (witt ii)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 30.00    
 
LAD-3   09/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSY EDGE Sep28 Jul30 Jul08 May12 Mar27 (diodoro robertino)WADE LYNDIE 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
IMMA MADI TUE Aug24 Aug15 Jun28 May30 Apr18 (ney john)MURRAY M 121 12.00    
CRANKY SHEILA Aug13 Jul03 Jun16 May31 May12 (bryant g)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 5.00    
AND CHANGE Aug28 Jul24 Jul10 Jun18 May21 (milligan a)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 3.50    
SMARTY'S ANGEL Aug13 Jul04 Jun18 May20 Apr05 (cates al)GREEN AUBRIE 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
FUNTIMEGIRL Aug13 Jul15 Apr26 Apr06 Mar22 (prather h)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 4.50 30% 2.40    
LITTLE BURRITO Aug13 Jul31 Jun08 Apr20 Apr05 (martin kevin)LOZADA CARLOS 124 6.00    
SCR  GYPSYROSELEE Aug13 Jul29 May28 May13 Feb23 (ramirez rosa)RAMIREZ JR 116 8.00    
 
LAD-4   09/16/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIPLE RED ACES Aug23 Aug14 Jun27 Jun15 May16 (landry r)MAGNON H 122 5.00 24% 3.20    
GABARRA Aug13 Jun02 May14 Mar15 Feb16 (jacks e)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SUNNY SASSICAIA Sep04 Jun13 May25 Apr27 Feb18 (thomas lee)BARRERA J 121 10.00 5% 18.00    
HAPPY SEASON Jul04 May15 Mar13 Nov02 May26 (zenon charles)FLORIAN JOSE 116 30.00    
MALAKI EMPIRE Aug27 May15 Mar22 Feb03 Jan18 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 6.00 6% 16.00    
CADILLAC COWBOY Aug27 Aug13 Jul30 Jul03 Jun19 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 124 8.00    
GET RIPPED Sep04 Aug20 Aug05 Jul04 Jun19 (jacks kare)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 12.00    
BABY'S LAST DANCE Sep04 Aug17 Jul25 Jun28 Jun13 (zenon shelton)POMPELL L 118 30.00    
ANOTHERBOTTLE Sep04 Jun29 Jun15 May25 Apr25 (diodoro robertino)WADE LYNDIE 121 4.50    
10  HEXCEL Aug28 Aug19 Jul16 Jul02 Jun12 (rufino eusebio )VARGAS P 121 20.00    
11  PINEHURST (IRE) Aug01 Jun14 May18 Apr26 Feb17 (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 3.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  STRUTTIN APRIORITY Aug27 Aug14 Jun27 Jun15 May16 (thomas lee)RODRIGUEZ L 121 15.00    
 
LAD-5   09/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($35K) Purse ($18K) 2 ALL PT- 6:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY TALKER Aug24         (claire alexis)STOKES J 120 15.00    
REXINATOR Aug31 Aug13 Jul29     (hatcher d)BOREL H 120 4.00    
STAR ROUGE         (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.50    
FLINT ROCK Jul22         (gibson jonas)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 2.50 49% 1.10    
DADDY DIGGS         (foster joseph )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00    
LOUISIANA NATIVE         (dandridge )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 5.00    
MAXIMUM GRACE Aug15         (jeansonne just)BARRERA J 120 12.00    
ME PROMESA         (balderas alfons)LOZADA CARLOS 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
BIG MARV         (foster m)WADE LYNDIE 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
 
LAD-6   09/16/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 Allowance Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY WITH A CAUSE Jul06 May13 Mar17 Oct11 Sep29 (coats james )RAMIREZ JR 117 12.00    
SUPER STORMY Aug14 Jul09 Jun10 Apr26 Mar07 (schmidt denise)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.50    
JESS'S RAINBOW Jul25 Jun22 Jun07 May25 May03 (reeves jeffer)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
ROSIE'S ANGUS Aug17 Aug03 Jun07 Apr17 Dec15 (breaux samuel)BARRERA J 124 3.50 44% 1.30    
SIGNING Aug24 Jul27 Jun08 May22 Apr27 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 5.00    
CAPELLA RED Aug24 Jul09 Jun14 May22 Apr27 (west g)LOZADA CARLOS 122 6.00    
BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE) Aug03 Jun24 Jun12 May11 Apr26 (claire alexis)WADE LYNDIE 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
GIRLS GOT GAME Sep05 Aug14 Jul07 May26 May04 (jacks e)VARGAS P 122 8.00    
 
LAD-7   09/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONTRABANDISTA Aug19 Jul31 Jun18 May21 May04 (martin kevin)WADE LYNDIE 124 3.50 58% 0.70    
COUNTRY CUT Aug28 Aug19 Jun18 Jun10 May18 (roberson kev)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 124 4.00    
ROULETTE Aug19 Jul31 Jun26 Jun12 May18 (johnson henry )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 15.00 7% 13.10    
LE COOP Aug19 Dec08 Nov09 Mar10 Jan13 (gibson j)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 4.50 13% 6.90    
PERFECT STRIKE Aug19 Jul04 Jun10 May27 May07 (mojica a)VARGAS P 121 12.00    
MUCHO MACHO CAM Sep03 Aug20 Aug05 Jul14 Jun15 (love alan)RAMIREZ JR 116 8.00    
SAM'S PROMISE Sep03 Aug14 Jul25 Jul04 Jun04 (romero gerald )NIEVES EMANUEL 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
LITTLE JONY Aug28 Aug14 Jul12 Nov11 Sep04 (rangel raul)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 12.00    
BET ALL THE GOLD Aug19 Jul29 Jul10 May04 Mar17 (soto fermin)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 121 5.00    
10  CHROME RUN Jul31 Jul04 Jun04 Apr26 Mar15 (milligan a)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 8.00    
11  ROYAL DE BE Sep03 Jul31 Jun18 Jun04 May18 (vincent jarvi)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 124 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.