Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Saturday - September 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/4)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(4/1/6)-(1/3/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
EMD-2   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(1/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(1/3/5/4)-(4/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-3   WIN (1/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/5/4)-(1/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/5/4)-(1/3/5/4)-(1/3/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/5/4)-(4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5/4)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-4   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(2/5/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-5   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(2/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(2/5/3)-(3/5/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-6   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(3/5/6)-(7/3/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-7   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(7/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
EMD-8   WIN (7/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/2)-(7/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/2)-(7/3/2)-(7/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   09/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PICK A LANE FRANK Aug10 Aug03 Jul12 Jun29 Jun15 (christian shaw)REYES R 125 15.00    
2  MADE THE TEAM Aug25 Aug10 Jul26 Jul19 Jul06 (gabriel luciano)CRUZ M 125 3.50 35% 1.80    
3  WEAR THE CROWN Sep01 Jun29 Jun01 May18 Apr15 (cryderman )AMERICANO MANUEL 120 2.50    
4  SUMMER SHANDEE Aug25 Aug16 Jul28 Jul07 Jun29 (perez hi)AMADOR RUIZ 125 4.50 11% 7.90    
5  MARKSMAN ON TARGET Aug25 Aug16 Aug03 Jul06 Jun23 (bean a)ENRIQUEZ D 125 10.00    
SCR  SPORT COAT Aug04 Jul27 Jul07 Jun28 May25 (gabriel luciano)LOPEZ KARLO 125 2.00    
 
EMD-2   09/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THUNDER BALL Aug16 Jul04 Jun13 Oct12 Sep02 (bullene mi)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 3.00 12% 7.40    
3  PAKAS SECRET Aug24 Aug09 Jun29 Jun15 May19 (nunnally jen)OROZCO E 121 8.00    
4  ENJOY THE MOMENT Aug11 Jun29 Jun15 Apr20 Mar30 (baze robert)REYES R 125 1.60 63% 0.60    
5  STYLISH MANNER Aug09 Jun15       (baze robert)LOPEZ KARLO 121 5.00    
6  WAITINGATTHEBAR Aug24 Jul12 Jun08 May04 Mar31 (nunnally je)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  WISTERNOFF Aug24 Aug09       ( )TBA null      
 
EMD-3   09/07/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16K) 2 ALL PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEST COAST BULL Aug11 Jul13       (bullock steve)LOPEZ KARLO 120 1.40 37% 1.70    
2  ADIOS JOJO         (gibson f)CRUZ M 120 6.00    
3  THE LAIR Aug23 Jul27 Jun09     (cryderman cand)REYES R 118 3.50 23% 3.40    
4  TAPITSWAY         (van de)MARTIN A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  BARKLEY'S IMAGE         (peery debb)AMERICANO MANUEL 115 4.00 10% 9.30    
6  T B'S GRAY Jul27 Jun09 Apr11     (birdwell tena)KRIGGER K 118 15.00    
7  JUST GOTTA SHINE         (van ho)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 120 12.00    
 
EMD-4   09/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WIREWYRE Aug23 Aug11 Jul14 Jun28 Jul17 (gibson f)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 16% 5.10    
2  BATTLEOF TRAFALGAR Aug23 Aug10 Aug07 Jul27 Jul14 (christian bill)ENRIQUEZ D 125 6.00    
3  THE GOLDEN EGG Aug31 Aug16 Jul26 Jul12 Jun14 (essex charles)CRUZ M 125 8.00    
4  GRAMMY WINNER Aug25 Aug11 Aug04 Jul14 Jun28 (rosales jo)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 1.40 40% 1.50    
5  FED GRANT Aug23 Aug11 Jul27 Jul14 Jun15 (garcia serjio )REYES R 125 5.00 12% 7.60    
6  SUBITO SLEW Aug31 Aug04 Jul14 Jun28 Jun15 (koler steve)MAWING A 122 15.00    
 
EMD-5   09/07/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY DOES Aug24 Jul21 Jul07 Jun16 Jun02 (mccanna tim)REYES R 122 2.50 22% 3.50    
2  WESTPHAL Aug25 Aug11 Jul03 May26 Jun24 (toye joe)CRUZ M 122 4.00    
3  NATION OF FAITH Aug24 Aug11 Aug03 Jul12 Jun29 (essex charles)LOPEZ KARLO 125 10.00    
4  WINTER FALCON Aug25 Aug11 Jul28 Jul12 Jun21 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 125 2.00 33% 2.10    
5  CLAYTON DELANEY Aug17 Aug10 Jul27 Jul13 Jun22 (crowe shel)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 8.00 8% 10.90    
6  EMPEROROFTHENORTH Aug10 Jul27 Jun28 Jun08 May19 (tubbs sc)AMADOR RUIZ 125 5.00    
 
EMD-6   09/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($25.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JIN TONG Aug17 Jul27 Jul03 Jun16 Jun01 (toye joe)MONTALVO C 122 1.60    
2  FANTASTIC DAY Aug25 Aug09 Jul14 Jun23 Oct09 (rosales jorge)REYES R 122 3.50 31% 2.20    
3  ELDER MACK Aug11 Jul27 Jul06 Jun01 May11 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 118 5.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  SON OF THUNDER Aug30 Aug17 Aug04 Jul27 Jun23 (toye joe)LOPEZ KARLO 125 10.00    
5  MONGOLIAN MEMORY Aug17 Jul21 Jun23 May18 Apr11 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 122 4.00 22% 3.50    
6  YOU'RE THE CAUSE Aug17 Jul27 Jun29 Jun01 Oct09 (van debbie)MATIAS J 122 8.00    
 
EMD-7   09/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAVAL ESCORT Aug25 May26 Sep17 Aug27 Jul30 (martinez david )LOPEZ KARLO 125 4.50    
2  POVERTY BAY Aug17 Jul14 Jun23 Apr30 Jul30 (toye joe)CRUZ M 122 10.00    
3  NINE ONE ONE Aug10 Jul21 Jun22 Jul09 Aug22 (gilker robert)REYES R 122 4.00 42% 1.40    
4  FIREWALKER Aug25 Aug09 Jul21 Jul07 Jun07 (belvoir howa)MARTIN A 125 8.00    
5  IT'S TURBO Aug17 Jul21 Jun23 Jun08 May11 (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 122 3.50 15% 5.60    
6  WHISKEYJACK Aug11 Jul13 Jul03 Oct01   (harwood m)MONTALVO C 121 5.00 10% 8.70    
SCR  PIRATE RED Aug09 Jul26 Jun28 Jun07 Sep16 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 125 2.50    
 
EMD-8   09/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOLO UN BESO Aug31 Sep10 Aug11 Jul15   (velasquez rig)GUTIERREZ M 121 2.00    
SCR  SIXINTHECITY Aug07 Oct01 Aug12     (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  SAVITA Aug31         (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 121 3.00 32% 2.10    
4  GORMLEY GAL Aug31 Aug10 Jul28 Jul13 Jun21 (crowe shelly)CRUZ M 121 12.00    
SCR  MONEY IS TIME Aug31 Jul28 Jul13 May20 Apr28 (rosales jor)MORALES ALLYSSA 125 3.50    
6  PLEASANT IMPACT Aug18 Aug03 Jun11     (cryderman cand)REYES R 125 15.00    
7  JAWANNA PARTY         (essex charles)LOPEZ KARLO 125 5.00 39% 1.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.