Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Sunday - August 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(5/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(5/3/2)-(6/2/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-2   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(6/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(6/2/4)-(5/4/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-3   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(5/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-4   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(5/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(5/4/2)-(6/2/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-5   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(6/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(6/2/4)-(1/5/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-6   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(1/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(1/5/4)-(8/3/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-7   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(8/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(8/3/6)-(3/8/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-8   WIN (8/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/6)-(8/3/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/3/6)-(8/3/4/6)-(8/3/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/3/6)-(3/8/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EMD-9   WIN (3/8/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/6/5)-(3/8/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/6/5)-(3/8/6/5)-(3/8/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   08/25/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINTER FALCON Aug11 Jul28 Jul12 Jun21 Apr13 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 122 3.00 30% 2.40    
2  MAHI MAHI Jul26 Jul03 Jun02 Sep16 Aug25 (garcia v)AMADOR RUIZ 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  LANGSTON ROAD Aug11 Jul28 Jun30 Jun01 Sep17 (wright blaine)GUTIERREZ M 122 4.50    
4  KO SAMUI (IRE) Aug11 Jul21 Jul12 Jun16 Jun07 (gabriel luciano)CRUZ M 122 1.60    
5  CREATIVE BID Aug11 Jul20 Jul07 Jun28 Jun14 (toye joe)LOPEZ KARLO 125 2.50 29% 2.50    
 
EMD-2   08/25/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHELBY GOLD Aug03 Jul13 Jun28 Jun08 Dec02 (mccanna tim)REYES R 122 4.50    
2  METAROSE Aug10 Jul20 May25 Apr29 Apr10 (nunnally je)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  HEY BARMAID Aug09 Jul27 Jul06 Jun22 May26 (toye joe)CRUZ M 125 3.00 19% 4.10    
4  GOLD COAST GIRL Aug10 Jul19 Jan19 Sep10 Aug20 (bullock steve)KRIGGER K 122 3.50    
5  WILLING TO BURN Aug10 Jul20 Jun22 Sep17 Sep02 (essex charles)LOPEZ KARLO 122 1.80 47% 1.10    
6  ENGLISH MEADOW Aug11 Jul19 Jun30 Jun14 Jun02 (leonard ro)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 10.00    
 
EMD-3   08/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARCH ON LINCH Jul20 Jul06 Jun14 May31 May18 (peery debb)AMERICANO MANUEL 114 12.00    
2  LIE AND DENY Jul03 Jun14 May12 Apr03 Mar13 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 125 1.80 27% 2.70    
3  CHUCKANUT BAY Aug09 Jul20 Jun29 Jun07 May26 (rosales jor)MORALES ALLYSSA 125 2.00    
4  CORN POP Aug11 Jul20 Jul07 Jun23 Jun08 (bean a)REYES R 122 6.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  AWESOME MOVE Aug09 Jul26 Jun16 Jun01 Feb22 (birdwell tena)MATIAS J 122 8.00    
6  HANDR'SDREAM Jul03 Jun23 Jun14 May26 Apr30 (birdwell tena)CRUZ M 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
 
EMD-4   08/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRAYFOROURCOUNTRY Jul26 Jun21 May31 Sep09 Aug25 (garcia v)AMADOR RUIZ 123 4.00    
2  DELTA DELTA Aug11 Jul14 Jun21 Apr25 Apr08 (gibson vince)REYES R 125 3.00    
3  DERBY BOY Aug04 Jul12 May25 May11 Sep02 (gibson vince)LOPEZ KARLO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  SIMONSITO Jun29 Jun22 Jun15 May26 Sep25 (crowe shel)AMERICANO MANUEL 118 8.00 12% 7.00    
5  GRAMMY WINNER Aug11 Aug04 Jul14 Jun28 Jun14 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 121 1.20 56% 0.80    
6  ROPER Aug09 Jul26 Jul12     (belvoir howa)MARTIN A 121 8.00    
 
EMD-5   08/25/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLE PETE Aug11 Jul27 Jun29 Jun07 Jun11 (bullock steve)LOPEZ KARLO 125 4.00    
2  LUCKY CODE Aug11 Jul26 Jun23 Jun07 Oct09 (freeman scott )REYES R 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  KNIGHTLINE Aug17 Jul28 Jul13 Jun29 Jun01 (gibson f)MONTALVO C 121 4.50    
4  VICTORIA'S CHARGE Aug04 Jul14 Jun15 May26 May11 (bozell alan)GUTIERREZ M 113 5.00 22% 3.60    
5  SURROUNDEDBYANGELS Jun28 May25 Apr28 Mar18 Feb18 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 121 2.50 34% 1.90    
6  PHAROAHS LIST Aug09 Jul13 Sep15 Aug24   (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 15.00    
SCR  ELDER MACK Aug11 Jul27 Jul06 Jun01 May11 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 121 3.50    
 
EMD-6   08/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIREWALKER Aug09 Jul21 Jul07 Jun07 May04 (belvoir howa)MARTIN A 122 12.00    
2  GODSEND (GB) Jul21 Jun01 Apr29 Apr04 Feb05 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 125 2.50 21% 3.70    
3  PAPA'S GOLDEN BOY Jul21 Jun23 Jun02 Nov26 Nov04 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 125 3.00    
4  FANTASTIC DAY Aug09 Jul14 Jun23 Oct09 Sep04 (rosales jorge)MONTALVO C 122 6.00 11% 8.40    
5  NAVAL ESCORT May26 Sep17 Aug27 Jul30 Jul09 (martinez david )LOPEZ KARLO 122 15.00    
6  NEIMAN Jul21 Jun23 Jun01 Mar15 Jan12 (evans justin)REYES R 125 1.60 30% 2.40    
SCR  COMPANY'S DREAM Jul14 Jun23 May18 Aug27 Jul30 (gibson vin)AMERICANO MANUEL 122 20.00    
 
EMD-7   08/25/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST WA Cup Juvenile Filly Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 8:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRECISE TIMING Aug03 Jul06       (cooper kay)OROZCO E 120 1.20 50% 1.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of PEACEFUL NATION by NATIONHOOD)
2  DYNAMIC FIRE Aug09         (birdwell t)AMERICANO MANUEL 118 15.00    
  (by DYNAMIC IMPACT out of LA MENINA by EL PRADO (IRE))
3  DYNAMIC DEE DEE Aug09         (lucarelli frank)CRUZ M 118 4.50    
  (by DYNAMIC IMPACT out of SOMETHIN'BOUT IRIS by HARBOR THE GOLD)
4  LANI'S SWEETHEART Aug09 Jul07 Jun22     (martinez b)MATIAS J 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STANFORD out of SWEET CAROLINA by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
5  BEAUTY BARK Aug10         (cooper kay)ENRIQUEZ D 120 1.60 28% 2.60    
  (by BARKLEY out of ARLINGTON LADY by NATIONHOOD)
 
EMD-8   08/25/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST WA Cup Juvenile Colts Purse ($50K) 2 C/G PT- 8:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ GRAZEN Aug11 Jul13       (wright blaine)CRUZ M 119 12.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of TIZARAE by TIZNOW)
2  DA SMOKE Aug11 Jul07 Jun09     (wisdom anne)REYES R 119 6.00    
  (by CONVEYANCE out of DA BURN by FORESTRY)
3  BIG BOWIE Aug04 Jul07 May04 Apr11   (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 4.50 35% 1.90    
  (by MR. BIG out of BE MY BABY by OGYGIAN)
4  IMPASSABLE (IRE) Aug04 Jul07       (belvoir howard)MATIAS J 119 3.50 ★    
  (by BARKLEY out of STAR PROTOCOL by HE'S TOPS)
5  VERDI Aug04         (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 119 8.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of CHAMPAGNEANDCAVIAR by VAN NISTELROOY)
6  HE'S NOT TALKING Aug11 Jul07       (jenne bonnie)GUTIERREZ M 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of NO TALKING BACK by FLATTER)
7  FORTYSHADESOFTIGER Aug11         (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 119 15.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of FORTY SOMETHING by FORTY WON)
8  VIVACIOUS TRIBUTE Aug04 Jul07 Jun09     (wright blaine)LOPEZ KARLO 121 2.50 42% 1.40    
  (by TOM'S TRIBUTE out of VIVACIOUS BEAUTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
EMD-9   08/25/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MADE THE TEAM Aug10 Jul26 Jul19 Jul06 Mar22 (gabriel luciano )MONTALVO C 125 3.00    
2  SUMMER SHANDEE Aug16 Jul28 Jul07 Jun29 Jun09 (gabriel )AMADOR RUIZ 125 6.00    
3  ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE Aug10 Jul26 Jul07 Jun09 May18 (christian shaw)REYES R 122 4.50 31% 2.20    
4  WESTPHAL Aug11 Jul03 May26 Jun24 Jun09 (peery debb)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 5.00    
5  MASHHAD FLATS Aug10 Jun30 Jun22 Oct09 Oct01 (crowe shelly)LOPEZ KARLO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  MARKSMAN ON TARGET Aug16 Aug03 Jul06 Jun23 Jun02 (bean a)KRIGGER K 122 8.00 11% 8.20    
7  WARRENS CANDY MAN Jul28 Jul07 Jun28 Jun08 Apr18 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 125 3.50    
8  CAJUN TREASURE Aug17 Jul21 Jul12 Jun30 Jun02 (hernandez mi)MARTIN A 122 15.00 18% 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.