Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Evangeline Downs
Thursday - July 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EVD-1   WIN (5/4/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/8/9)-(5/4/7/8/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/4/8/9)-(5/4/7/8/9)-(5/4/7/8/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/4/8/9)-(1/2/8/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/4/8/9)-(1/2/8/4/3)-(6/8/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
EVD-2   WIN (1/2/8/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/2/8/4/3)-(1/2/8/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/2/8/4/3)-(1/2/8/4/3)-(1/2/8/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/2/8/4/3)-(6/8/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/2/8/4/3)-(6/8/7)-(1/3/8/4/5) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
EVD-3   WIN (6/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/7)-(6/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/8/7)-(6/8/7)-(6/8/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/8/7)-(1/3/8/4/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/8/7)-(1/3/8/4/5)-(1/8/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
EVD-4   WIN (1/3/8/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/8/4/5)-(1/3/8/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/8/4/5)-(1/3/8/4/5)-(1/3/8/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/3/8/4/5)-(1/8/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/3/8/4/5)-(1/8/4)-(3/2/7/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
EVD-5   WIN (1/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/4)-(1/8/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8/4)-(1/8/4)-(1/8/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/8/4)-(3/2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/4)-(3/2/7/4)-(2/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
EVD-6   WIN (3/2/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/4)-(3/2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/4)-(3/2/7/4)-(3/2/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/7/4)-(2/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7/4)-(2/8)-(4/1/7/8) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
EVD-7   WIN (2/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/8)-(2/8/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/8)-(2/8/1)-(2/8/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/8)-(4/1/7/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
EVD-8   WIN (4/1/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/7/8)-(4/1/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/7/8)-(4/1/7/8)-(4/1/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EVD-1   07/25/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BARTOLOME Jun28 Jun09       (clary jaylan)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 20.00    
  (by POWER JAM out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
YORKTOWN PANTHER         (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 115 15.00    
  (by YORKTON out of CALICO by ARCH)
TAP THE TEQUILA Jun29 Jun01       (gelner scott)BARRERA J 115 10.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of ANOTHERTEQUILASHOT by BODEMEISTER)
MISCHIEVOUS SMILE         (robbins j)MCMAHON J 118 4.00 29% 2.40    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of SUTTON'S SMILE by PADDY O'PRADO)
RUNNING RAGGED Jun29         (castille carro)THORNTON G 115 3.00 37% 1.70    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of HILARIOUS BROWN by BIG BROWN)
SHOHEI         (jeanson)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 115 5.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of OUR MILLIE by HALF OURS)
DUBAIAN MONEY         (gonzalez vi)MELANCON JANSEN 118 4.50    
  (by MR. MONEY out of DUBAIAN by HANSEN)
COAL BATTLE         (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of WOLFBLADE by MIDSHIPMAN)
SEVENTH DEAL         (ramirez eduar)LOZADA CARLOS 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of LANGSYNE by LANGFUHR)
10  DEFTLY DONE         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 6.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of DANCE STUDIO by BERTRANDO)
 
EVD-2   07/25/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR MAJESTIC Jun28 Jun06 Mar16 Nov23 Oct16 (ramsay-banks allis)STOKES J 124 3.00 34% 2.00    
  (by HALF OURS out of GREAT MAJESTIC by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
CUNIMBUS Jun20 May10 Apr17 Mar08 Feb02 (briley lonnie)THORNTON G 120 2.50 24% 3.10    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of BRIDARIA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
DR SPECK Jun06 May08 Feb18 Jan27 Dec30 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by APRIORITY out of DICKSON STREET by STORM BOOT)
YOCKEY'S DRIVETHRU Jun21 May10 Apr19 Feb24 Jan27 (david b)VARGAS P 124 10.00 7% 13.70    
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of SKYLINE DRIVE by QUALITY ROAD)
BABY'S LAST DANCE Jun28 Jun13 May28 May01 Jan11 (zeno benjami)QUILES ANTONIO 120 20.00    
  (by ONE LINER out of DANCE BY EM by TAPIT)
MAJESTIC PALACE Jan05 Dec09 Nov10 Aug05   (ward ronnie)BARRERA J 120 12.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of MAJESTIC FANTASY by CAHILL ROAD)
ZESTINY Jun20 May22 May10 Feb24 Feb01 (dison m)POMPELL L 120 8.00    
  (by ZONG out of DESTINY HOPE by ZARBYEV)
CAUSEWAY BENNY Mar23 Feb17 Jan20     (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 120 5.00 9% 10.40    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of CHANGING VISTA by CHANGEINTHEWEATHER)
ASHES IN THE OCEAN         (delahoussaye)MAGNON H 124 4.00    
  (by OCEAN KNIGHT out of MACARONI'S DEELITE by AFTERNOON DEELITES)
 
EVD-3   07/25/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOCE DE LA NOCHE Jul05 Jun14 May24 May04 Apr11 (mojica a)CARRENO J 124 15.00    
SAM'S PROMISE Jul04 Jun04 May16 Apr20 Mar21 (romero d)WADE LYNDIE 120 10.00    
SCR  SINGLE SHOT Jun29 Jun14 May01 Feb29 Feb16 (schwandt emile)MCMAHON J 121 2.50    
SCR  ANOTHERBOTTLE Jun29 Jun15 May25 Apr25 Feb24 (diodoro robert)GREEN AUBRIE 120 3.50    
CATCHIN DRAMA May30 Apr24 Apr05 Feb29 Feb16 (morrell cynt)MAGNON H 121 20.00    
PROVEN ADVOCATE Jul06 Jun06 May18 Apr26   (gelner scott)STOKES J 120 4.50 66% 0.50    
MIDNIGHT HALO Jul05 Jun13 May10 Apr27 Mar23 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
MINOR DISCREPANCY Jul06 May25 May01 Feb02 Nov24 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 15.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  CINCO RICHIE Jul17 Jun28 Jun08 May04 Apr18 (broberg karl)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 5.00    
SCR  JACKSON D Jun14 Apr27 Mar23 Mar08 Nov17 (ducoing sturge)THORNTON G 117 8.00    
 
EVD-4   07/25/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS LONELYHEARTS Jul04 May15 Apr06 Mar16 Feb22 (mojica a)CARRENO J 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
JESS'S RAINBOW Jun22 Jun07 May25 May03 Apr10 (reeves jeff)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 6.00    
LAWLESS TIMES Jun22 May23 Apr26 Mar20 Feb09 (calhoun willia)THORNTON G 118 2.50 16% 5.30    
MOR KISSES Jul02 May31 May11 Feb23 Jan25 (delany sarah)BARRERA J 118 10.00 7% 13.60    
THAT IS AWESOME Jul05 May31 May01 Apr13 Mar09 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
COME WHAT MAE Jul05 Jun22 May31 May15 Feb16 (cormier)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
SANTANGELO Jul05 Jun22 May15 May01 Apr13 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 15.00    
TEXAS TWINKIES Jul17 Jun30 Jun16 May05 Mar22 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 121 4.00 12% 7.00    
SCR  NICELY UNIFIED Jul02 Jun15 May25 May04 Apr13 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 20.00    
10  KAPPA HILL May15 Mar09 Feb24 Feb10 Jan06 (journet albert)STOKES J 118 20.00    
SCR  GIANT TUDE Jun07 May23 May11 Apr05 Mar08 (daigle walte)NIEVES EMANUEL 114 8.00    
 
EVD-5   07/25/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DASHYNS DREAM Jul04 May25 Apr18 Feb16 Dec09 (gelner j)FUSILIER C 121 2.00 31% 2.20    
HAL'S DREAM Jun18 Apr26 Oct26 Oct07 Aug12 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 8.00    
SCR  ROSIE'S ANGUS Jun07 Apr17 Dec15 Nov15 Aug03 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 121 4.00    
AKIANE'S SOLDIER Jun20 May25 Apr10 Feb21 Jan18 (boxie joseph)MAGNON H 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BOSTON PAULETTE Jun20 Jun08 May17 Dec15 Nov03 (segura kearn)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 10.00    
LAYLA'S SONG Jul01 Jun12 May15 Apr17 Feb24 (antwine mic)MELANCON JANSEN 122 6.00    
SCR  BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE) Jun24 Jun12 May11 Apr26 Apr18 (claire alexis)WADE LYNDIE 121 2.50    
HONORARY GUEST May24 Nov17 Oct07 Aug12 Jul29 (delany sarah)VARGAS P 121 15.00 25% 3.00    
 
EVD-6   07/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SACRED VOW Jun15 May04       (ramsey daryl)DEONAUTH P 120 15.00    
  (by PIMPERNEL out of COIN TOSS by TOSSOFTHECOIN)
GIRL LIKES BLING Jun22 Jun06 May24 May04 Apr13 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 4.50 21% 3.70    
  (by EL DEAL out of MOONLIT BAYOU by MR. GREELEY)
KISSTER Jul12 May31 May14 Mar25   (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 124 6.00 35% 1.80    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of KISS A YANKEE by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
FLY TY Jun22 Feb15       (david b)CARRENO J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TIME BANDIT out of SACK O ROCKS by BUZZY'S GOLD)
LITTLEBITOFAQUEEN Jul16 Jun12 May31 Mar24   (antwine mic)MELANCON JANSEN 120 5.00    
  (by LITTLEBITOFADEVIL out of IMPERIAL QUEEN by IMPERIALISM)
GROUND CONTROL Nov18         (calhoun willia)THORNTON G 120 2.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of CAYMAN KAI by LEMON DROP KID)
BABY JANE Jul05 May23 May01 Mar24 Jan18 (perron gerar)BARRERA J 120 2.50 13% 6.70    
  (by AWESOME BET out of HARD HEADED WOMAN by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
EVD-7   07/25/2024 3300ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WON DAY Jul13 Jun28 May10 Mar14 Feb29 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 121 12.00    
MICHELLES LIL STAR Mar14 Feb25 Jan26 Oct19 Sep10 (calhoun willia)THORNTON G 121 6.00 35% 1.80    
SUMMERTIME BANDIT Jul01 Jun20 May24 May02 Apr10 (zenon shelton)FLORIAN JOSE 119 3.00    
LAKE MARIE Jun05 Mar14 Feb25 Jan26 Jan06 (munoz yova)RAMIREZ JR 116 10.00    
SCR  LUMINOUS FLIGHT Jun01 Apr20 Feb24 Dec14 Nov16 (robbins j)MCMAHON J 121 15.00    
SCR  EVE'S DELIGHT Jul16 Jul03 Jun17 Feb25 Jan05 (goins garlan)MURRAY M 121 4.00    
SCR  SWEET SASSICAIA May24 Mar24 Feb22 Jan21 Jan13 (thomas lee)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 2.00    
LOVELYREDSTILETTOS Jul12 May11 Apr10 Mar14 Feb09 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 121 8.00 16% 5.10    
 
EVD-8   07/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY UNCLE BILLY Jun13 May29 May01 Apr11 Feb16 (bernar)RUIZ GARCIA 124 2.50 15% 5.60    
JOEY'S FAST PLAY Mar21         (thompson kevin)FLORIAN JOSE 116 20.00    
ROCKY BOY Jun28 Jun15 May29 May10 May01 (escobar)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 12.00    
HAY DIDDLE DIDDLE Jun28 May29 May01 Jan13 Nov10 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 3.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  UNCHAINED STORM         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 5.00    
BAY MOBILE Jun10 May08 Apr18 Apr05   (west henry)STOKES J 117 20.00    
KNIGHT'S GOLD Jun15 May23 Apr27 Apr11 Feb08 (averett ronn)BARRERA J 117 6.00 14% 6.40    
SEEKING A SOLDIER Jul04 Jun21 May23 May10 Apr27 (thompson kev)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
ITZCOATL May23 May10 Apr25 Feb09 Nov24 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 120 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.