Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Assiniboia Downs
Monday - July 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ASD-1   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (6/5/4)-(2/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4)-(2/4/1)-(2) 9 $0.20 $1.80 
ASD-2   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (2/4/1)-(2) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(2)-(7/4/2) 9 $0.20 $1.80 
ASD-3   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/4) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    DD (2)-(7/4/2) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (2)-(7/4/2)-(5/3/2/6) 12 $0.20 $2.40 
ASD-4   WIN (7/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/2)-(7/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/2)-(7/4/2)-(7/4/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (7/4/2)-(5/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/2)-(5/3/2/6)-(1/8/4/3/9) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
ASD-5   WIN (5/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/2/6)-(5/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/2/6)-(5/3/2/6)-(5/3/2/6) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (5/3/2/6)-(1/8/4/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2/6)-(1/8/4/3/9)-(10/6/3/1/4) 100 $0.20 $20.00 
ASD-6   WIN (1/8/4/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/4/3/9)-(1/8/4/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/4/3/9)-(1/8/4/3/9)-(1/8/4/3/9) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/4/3/9)-(10/6/3/1/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
ASD-7   WIN (10/6/3/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/6/3/1/4)-(10/6/3/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/6/3/1/4)-(10/6/3/1/4)-(10/6/3/1/4) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ASD-1   07/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKOLLINE         (pruitt lise)CHOW CHAVION 119 12.00    
2  I'M A ZAPPER TOO Jun24 Jun11       (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 25.00    
3  CHATTER UP Jul01 Jun19       (taphorn )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 10.00    
4  HAPPY BIRTHDAY Jul16 Jul01 Jun24 Jun17   (stanford maria)DAWKINS DANE 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  PICKIN' RIFFS Jul01 Jun24 Jun11 May28 Sep19 (anderson carl)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 2.00 15% 5.70    
6  DANCINGINTHECREEK Jul10 Jun26 Jun11 May28 Aug09 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 0.80 58% 0.70    
 
ASD-2   07/22/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHIRLEY'S SHERMAN Jul01 Jun17 Jun03 May21 Sep13 (desjarlais ryan)ALI RONALD 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  HA HA FOR YOU Jun26 Apr21 Jan11 Nov28 Nov14 (brown jared)DALRYMPLE DARIO 122 5.00 59% 0.70    
SCR  LADY COP Jul03 Jun17 Jun03 May20 Sep20 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 117 1.40    
4  FRANKS RELOAD Jun24 Jun17 Jun03 May21 Sep20 (stanford ma)BADALOO DOUGLAS 117 10.00 8% 11.60    
5  FINALIZE Jul09 Jun17 Jun05 May27 Oct08 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 124 2.50    
6  DRIVING Jul16 Jun10 May27 May04 Apr19 (delarond)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 6.00    
7  STAN'S STARLET May28 Sep12 Aug30 Aug21 Aug09 (anders)PATTERSON R 117 15.00    
 
ASD-3   07/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Non-Graded Stake Purse ($40K) 3 F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOBIL CREEK Jul09 Jun10 May27 Aug14 Jul25 (taphorn )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 2.00    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of MOBIL APP by MOBIL)
2  COMMANDOSLASTDANCE Jul09 Jun19 Jun03 Sep18 Aug30 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 0.80 41% 1.50    
  (by GOING COMMANDO out of SWEET TIZZY LIZZY by TIZNOW)
3  OFFLEY SPECIAL Jul09 Jun11 May27 Sep13 Sep04 (gaskin steven)ALI RONALD 117 6.00    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of YELLING TIMBER by FORESTRY)
4  DAISYSADOOZY Jul15 Jun25 Jun10 May27 Sep18 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 117 5.00 ★    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of GRACE OF HEARTS by GRAND SLAM)
SCR  CAVORE Jul09 Jun25 Jun10 May21 Sep13 (cole terry)BALROOP SVEN 117 12.00    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of DOMINANT CURRENCY by SILVER DEPUTY)
 
ASD-4   07/22/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOSIE'S ON MAIN Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 Sep20 Sep12 (husbands tif)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 10.00    
2  BIG AND BOLD Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 Jun04 May21 (delaronde lee)BUDHU ARTHUR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHIVER Jun18 Jun04 Mar12 Aug30 Jul10 (brown jared)DALRYMPLE DARIO 119 2.00    
4  GUARANTEEDDELIVERY Jul08 Jun25 Jun11 May28 Sep19 (anderson carl)DAWKINS DANE 122 2.50 18% 4.40    
5  BITS OF LEMON DROP Jul03 Jun19 Jun10 May27 Sep18 (morse vic)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 6.00    
6  WIKWEMIKONG GHOST Jul08 Jun18 May21 Jul25 Jul07 (gaskin stev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 20.00    
7  CALL THE COPS Jul09 Jun25 Jun11 May28 Sep12 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 3.50 43% 1.30    
 
ASD-5   07/22/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAST RENEGADE Jul09 Jun25 Jun10 Jun03 May20 (tourangea)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 2.50    
2  FREE MAKER Jul10 Jun26 Jun12 Jun04 May21 (anderson carl)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 5.00 9% 10.20    
3  EAST RAND Jul09 Jun26 Jun12 May27 Apr24 (rawson fred)CHOW CHAVION 122 3.00 14% 6.00    
4  CAPTIVE KITTEN Jul03 Jun18 Sep20 Sep06 Aug28 (morse victo)BADALOO DOUGLAS 119 15.00    
5  RIDE EM Jul03 Jun18 Jun04 Sep12 Aug28 (delaronde le)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 4.00 46% 1.20    
6  ETHAN'S ANIMAL Jul09 Jun26 Jun12 Sep11 Aug07 (desjarlais )KNIGHTS RACHAAD 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  DEANOS CAPE Jul09 Jun26 Jun10 May27 Apr06 (delaronde lee)DAWKINS DANE 124 10.00    
8  HIGHRISEINTHEPEG Jul08 Jun25 Jun05 Sep18 Sep11 (husbands ti)DALRYMPLE DARIO 122 15.00    
 
ASD-6   07/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARKET KING Jun07 May22 Sep12 Aug22 Jun21 (desjarlais rya)CHOW CHAVION 122 6.00 48% 1.10    
2  SPIRE Jul03 Jun17 Jun04 Jan30 Dec17 (ross cou)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 15.00    
3  RUNTODAY Jul02 Jun03 May20 Apr07 Mar23 (tourangeau )KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 5.00 6% 17.10    
4  STAY HAPPY Jun24 Jun10 May20 Apr16 Mar13 (brown jared)ALI RONALD 124 2.50 12% 7.60    
5  MISTER K Jul16 Jun12 Jun03 May20 May03 (delaronde lee)DAWKINS DANE 122 30.00    
6  MR. DAZZLE Jun24 Jun05 May21 Sep11 Aug21 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 4.00    
7  REPLETE Jul02 Jun24 Jun05 May20 Apr16 (dickey elton)CUMBERBATCH R 124 25.00    
8  GALLANT OAK Jul02 Jun24 Jun10 May20 Sep11 (danelson gary)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 3.50 14% 6.30    
9  TOTALIZER Jun26 Jun12 Jun03 May20 Sep11 (tourangeau )DALRYMPLE DARIO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
ASD-7   07/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER JAGUAR Jul10 Jun26 Jun12 Jul04   (taphorn mike)BADRIE PRAYVEN 117 20.00 7% 13.80    
2  THIRSTY BABY Jul08 Jun24 Jun12 Jun03 Feb16 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 15.00    
3  I LOVE MY LIFE Jul08 Jun12 May28 Sep12 Aug29 (pruitt l)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 12.00 14% 6.30    
4  ROUGH CUSTOMER Jul16 Jun26 Jun12 May21 Oct14 (morse victoria)BELLE SHAVON 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  SALTO DEL LUPO Jul02 Jun18 Sep13 Aug23 Aug09 (duncan)LEWIS ANTHONY 124 30.00    
6  SILVER BLUR Jul03 Jun19 Aug12 Jul10 Jun17 (jordan)PATTERSON R 124 5.00 14% 6.10    
7  GREEN AMAZON Jul08 Jun26 Jun12 May28 Sep19 (gaskin st)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 7.00    
8  TEAPARTYTODAY Jul10 Jun19 Jun04 Dec17   (anderson carl)DAWKINS DANE 119 20.00    
9  WICKEDBLACKBULLET Jun26 Jun12 Jun05 Dec15 Nov24 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 10.00    
10  NO SHOW NO CALL Jul10 Jun26 Jun12 May28 Apr13 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 119 1.20 39% 1.60    
11  AIR FORCE RESERVE Jun26 Jun11 Dec15 Nov24 Nov03 (gardipy j)CUMBERBATCH R 122 25.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.