Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Sunday - July 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5/6)-(1/4/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(5/3/1/6/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
LS-2   WIN (5/3/1/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/1/6/4)-(5/3/1/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/1/6/4)-(5/3/1/6/4)-(5/3/1/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1/6/4)-(7/5/10)-(7/8/1/14) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-3   WIN (7/5/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/10)-(7/5/2/12/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/10)-(7/5/2/12/10)-(7/5/2/12/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    PK3 (7/5/10)-(7/8/1/14)-(7/4/10/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-4   WIN (7/8/1/14) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/1/14)-(7/8/1/12/14) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/8/1/14)-(7/8/1/12/14)-(7/8/1/12/14) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/8/1/14)-(7/4/10/6/8)-(2/1/8/7/4) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LS-5   WIN (7/4/10/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/10/6/8)-(7/4/10/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/4/10/6/8)-(7/4/10/6/8)-(7/4/10/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-6   WIN (2/1/8/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/8/7/4)-(2/1/8/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/8/7/4)-(2/1/8/7/4)-(2/1/8/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-7   WIN (6/1/7/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/7/4/9)-(6/1/7/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/7/4/9)-(6/1/7/4/9)-(6/1/7/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (6/1/7/4/9)-(9/11/10/8/2)-(9/8/4/7) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LS-8   WIN (9/11/10/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/11/10/8/2)-(9/11/10/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/11/10/8/2)-(9/11/10/8/2)-(9/11/10/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/11/10/8/2)-(9/8/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
LS-9   WIN (9/8/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/4/7)-(9/8/4/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/8/4/7)-(9/8/4/6/7)-(9/8/4/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   07/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 2 F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWENTY CINCO Jun29 May26       (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 1.20 45% 1.20    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of LOOP TWENTY by HECKLE)
2  FIND THE LIGHT Jun29         (newbold jon)ALVAREZ L 119 15.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of CAUSE YOU CAN by CREATIVE CAUSE)
3  GO LAUREN GO May11         (cald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 20.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of SWEETLY SASSY by LEMON DROP KID)
4  TENSAS BOLT Jun14 May11       (asmussen m)DIEGO V 119 2.50 28% 2.60    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of TENSAS PATCH by BROKEN VOW)
5  IN SPITE OF IT Jun14         (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of DEAREST ONE by MACHO UNO)
6  SECRET VERSE Jun29 Jun14       (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 119 8.00 ★    
  (by CODE WEST out of SOUTHERN EQUITY by AFTER MARKET)
SCR  LASKO LADY Jul13         (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 119 8.00    
  (by MASTERY out of SWEETEST SOUND by ELOCUTIONIST)
8  HOLIDAY CRUISE Jul07 Jun23 Jun09 May25   (ortiz ru)GLASS DERBE 114 30.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of JEMROSE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
LS-2   07/14/2024 4950ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 C/G PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RICKIE ROOOO STER         (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 120 4.50 9% 9.90    
  (by UNION RAGS out of FLASH FORWARD by SCROLL)
2  OLD BOYS CLUB Jun15         (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 120 20.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of DOUBLE by BERNARDINI)
3  KING OF THE DISCO Jun15         (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 120 2.50 10% 9.30    
  (by COPPER BULLET out of COAL AND ICE by TAPIT)
4  TOO MUCH SPEED Jun28 Jun09       (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of PATA FRESCA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
5  GAME RUNNER May12         (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 1.60 55% 0.80    
  (by GAME WINNER out of SHE CAT by BLUEGRASS CAT)
6  TREVAGGIO         (pish danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 5.00 6% 14.90    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of IRISH TEARDROP by FASTNET ROCK)
7  GUS CAUSE May26         (busta)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 115 30.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of ROSEWHITENBLUE by OLMODAVOR)
SCR  VERRAZANO'S GOLD         (eoff terry)GLASS DERBE 115 30.00    
  (by GIFT BOX out of ENCHANTED SUNRISE by VERRAZANO)
9  KEEP UP THE PACE Jun15         (g)DE CRUZ 120 30.00    
  (by KEEP UP out of SWEET SAMMIE by FIRST SAMURAI)
10  C J'S MISCHIEF Jun28         (baldill)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 30.00    
  (by TIZ MISCHIEF out of DIVINE SOUL by DIVINE PARK)
 
LS-3   07/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 2 ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  W G SECOND TO NONE         (george )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 20.00    
  (by BAFFIN out of KAYLA'S B F F by MENHAL)
2  BILLY DIXON         (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 119 5.00 ★    
  (by GIFT BOX out of TOPSANA by DISCREETLY MINE)
3  HOT GUNNER         (young scott)WETHEY JR 119 20.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of YOU FLATTER ME by FLATTER)
SCR  PRINCE OF MISCHIEF Jun15 May27       (urieg)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 114 30.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of CACTUS QUEEN by ATTICUS)
5  BROOKLYN ALLEY CAT Jun30         (pish danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 3.00 20% 4.00    
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of DREAM ON KAYLA by DECARCHY)
6  WARHAMMER         (ashford r)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 8.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of DANCING FLAME by SEEKING THE GOLD)
7  RAYDEN AND REMI Jun29 Jun01       (gelner j)MCMAHON J 119 4.00 55% 0.80    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of MOONLIT BAYOU by MR. GREELEY)
8  TIP TOE JOE         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 119 20.00    
  (by FROSTED out of GOLD STAR MAMA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
9  WAYLON'S GUITAR         (ashford trist)CABRERA DAVID 119 8.00    
  (by ATREIDES out of SOUPER BIANCO by SKY MESA)
10  MY GOLDEN CALBO         (s)DE CRUZ 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of KISSTIN by ISTINTAJ)
11  ONE FROSTY DAY Jun15         (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 119 20.00    
  (by FROSTED out of ASH ANGEL by MACHO UNO)
12  MULTIPLE OPINIONS Jun30         (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 3.50 ★    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of HONG KONG HELEN by PALACE MALICE)
 
LS-4   07/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OBVIOUS CONCLUSION Jul04 Jun16 May12 May04 Apr05 (love alan)PEREZ A 120 5.00 9% 10.60    
2  TERE'SDRAMAQUEEN Jul03 May26 May05 Mar30 Feb11 (chaparro gay)SALAZAR TERESA 114 30.00    
3  MORO TRENDSETTER Jul04 Jun21 May25 May03 Mar23 (e)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 124 20.00    
SCR  TITO Jul04 Jun21 May25 May03 May21 (chapa)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 119 20.00    
5  MUCHO MACHO CAM Jun15 May25 May04 Mar23   (love alan)RAMIREZ JR 115 30.00    
6  WITT SWEET SIXTEEN Jun07 May03 Mar23 Feb23 Feb09 (young bob)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 6.00    
7  MANIFESTED Jul06 May25 May03 Apr07   (castellanos j)CABRERA DAVID 124 1.00 43% 1.30    
8  SHAKINTHEMONARCHY Jul04 May31 May11 Mar23 Feb19 (willis min)ERAMIA E 120 8.00 25% 3.00    
9  MYTURNTODEAL Jul04 Jun08 Nov02 Sep12 Jul03 (mallery vonn)GLASS DERBE 115 30.00    
10  FIRST CAPE Apr07 Mar24 Mar03 Feb18 Feb03 (govea c)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 30.00    
SCR  LAVA MOON         (baldillez alej)SANCHEZ OBED 120 30.00    
12  CANDY BINDER Jul04 Jun16 May26     (pish danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 10.00 ★    
13  DADA BOOM RIDGE Jun07 May31 May03 Mar24 Feb23 (echeverria h)PIVARAL GERBER 124 30.00    
14  TRADE TRAVELER May26         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
LS-5   07/14/2024 4950ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 F PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AIRO DINERO May26         (c)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 120 4.00    
  (by AIROFORCE out of INCLEMENT by STORM BROKER)
2  SILIVAS Jun29 Jun14       (eoff terry)GLASS DERBE 115 20.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of FLIPSTER by PRESS CARD)
3  DIDNTSEETHATCOMING Jun29         (dupu)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 4.50    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of BOUNDLESS JOY by KITTEN'S JOY)
4  INSTASPEED         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 120 3.50 27% 2.70    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of UP TO SPEED by GOLD FEVER)
5  LA RONALDA Y G Jun14 May26       (m)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of UNABASHED by KINGMAMBO)
6  NOT A WORD         (silva miguel)DIAZ RENE 120 15.00 10% 9.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of MIZ LIZ by STORMY ATLANTIC)
7  CRAFTY AUNT         (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 3.00 30% 2.30    
  (by MO TOWN out of NORTHERN DEPUTY by DEPUTY COMMANDER)
8  OH SO SASSY Jun29         (davidso)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of FLAT OUT SASSY by FLAT OUT)
9  TEXAS KISS Jun23 Jun09 May25     (triana juan )SALAZAR TERESA 115 30.00    
  (by TEXAS RYANO out of KISS MY SWISS by SWISS YODELER)
10  TERRA TOWN         (pish danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 5.00 12% 7.40    
  (by MO TOWN out of TALE UNTOLD by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
LS-6   07/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($18K) Purse ($33.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMPERADOR Jun30 Jun02 Apr07 Mar10 Feb23 (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 4.50 12% 7.60    
2  BANDERA AZTECA Jun16 Jun02 May11 Apr27 Apr19 (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 59% 0.70    
SCR  ERNIE BANKER Jun02 May12 Apr07 Mar16 Feb23 (h)DE CRUZ 122 5.00    
4  BLUE LIGHT Jun02 Feb25 Feb04 Dec16 Nov23 (b)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  SUITABLE Jun16 Jun02 May18 Apr28 Mar22 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 20.00    
SCR  TIGERS 'N BEARS Jun30 May19 Apr26 Mar29 Mar16 (pish danny)DIEGO V 120 30.00    
7  MALIBU S S Jun30 May26 May17 Apr18 Mar16 (pish danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  MYSTERY MO Jun30 Jun16 May31 May05 Apr07 (broberg ka)ERAMIA E 122 10.00 6% 16.30    
SCR  ESPIONAGE Jun21 Apr27 Mar22 Feb18 Jan19 (ashf)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 3.50    
10  CLUE Jun23 Dec04 Nov07 Oct20 Oct08 (baldillez alejand)PEREZ A 122 30.00    
11  DRIVEHAPPY Jul03 Jun21 May31 May17 Apr21 (hibdon mark )PIVARAL GERBER 124 15.00    
12  STEINBECK Nov22 Nov01 Sep29 Jul22 Jul09 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 20.00    
 
LS-7   07/14/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEMPLAR RED Jun16 Apr28 Apr05 Feb10 Nov04 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 121 6.00 13% 6.80    
2  WILD EXPRESS Jun29 May27 Apr28 Mar02 Jan19 (eoff)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 5.00    
SCR  DULCE AMANECER YG Jul04 Jun09 May25 May17 May05 (mendoza v)PEREZ A 117 30.00    
4  COLORS OF THE WIND Jun29 May27 Feb22 Dec23 Jun24 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 121 4.00 10% 9.00    
5  GLENALL (IRE) Jun29 May27 Apr27 Apr04 Sep09 (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 121 2.50    
6  SHE'SSKYSTHELIMIT Jun16 Apr26 Apr05 Mar10 Feb10 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 121 6.00 32% 2.10    
7  CINNAMON FACE Jun16 May18 Feb19 Jan12 Dec02 (davis shaw)ERAMIA E 121 6.00 11% 8.00    
8  TALKIN CADEE May25 May15 Apr23 Apr03 Mar27 (young e)DIAZ RENE 124 20.00    
9  DOUDOUDOUWANADANCE Jun16 May07 Mar25 Dec15 Nov21 (young e)DIEGO V 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  LADY JAE Jun29 Jun08 May25 Apr27 Feb18 (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 15.00    
 
LS-8   07/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNHAPPY D'ORO Jun07 May13 Apr22 Apr03 Dec09 (w)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 124 20.00    
2  WIREWYRE Jun28 Jul17       (a)DE CRUZ 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  ROCKING ROCKET Jun02 Apr07 Mar30 Mar08 Feb11 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 20.00    
4  AIN'T THAT A KICK Jun15 Apr19 Mar15 Feb23 Jan12 (petalino joe)DIEGO V 124 20.00    
5  LIONS NOT SHEEP Jul03 Jun21 May25 Mar15 Feb25 (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 124 20.00    
6  UNCLE BERLEY Jul04 Apr27 Apr12 Jul31 Jul08 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 12.00    
7  BOUGIE JOE Jun28 Jun09 May11 Apr28 Mar30 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 5.00    
8  SARA'S SHAMAN Jul04 Jun14 Apr13 Feb18 Jan21 (young bob)ERAMIA E 124 6.00 7% 13.60    
9  CLASSIC MOMENT Jun24 Mar08 Feb11 Jan06 Nov09 (diodoro roberti)WADE LYNDIE 124 3.50 50% 1.00    
10  STAND PROUD Jun19 May27 Jun02 Apr22 Mar23 (davidson sar)ALVAREZ L 124 10.00 8% 11.10    
11  MO SATURDAYS Jun29 Jun15 May18 Feb09 Feb01 (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 10% 9.30    
12  OPTIMAL TRIP Jun15 May19 Apr28 Apr18 Mar24 (rossi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 20.00    
SCR  B MINOR May25 May08 Apr24 Mar14 Feb16 (diodoro rob)WETHEY JR 124 10.00    
14  TITLE CONTENDER Jul04 May26 May04 Apr13 Feb23 (cravens ronni)CABRERA DAVID 120 20.00    
 
LS-9   07/14/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($40.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLGA'S GOLD DANCER Jul03 Jun22 May31 Mar08 Jan26 (echev)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 116 30.00    
2  HOLIDAY PRESENCE Jun22 May05 Apr06 Mar24 Mar16 (pish danny)WETHEY JR 117 15.00    
3  KAUSE I'M DEVINE Jun22 May31 May05 Apr19 Apr06 (saavedra mary)PEREZ A 121 15.00    
4  HIGH TONE WOMAN May31 Apr21 Mar22 Feb17 Jan06 (gelner jayde)ALVAREZ L 117 20.00 19% 4.20    
5  TAKE MY PICTURE Jun22 May05 Apr06 Feb24 Jan05 (gelner jayd)HERNANDEZ HARRY 117 12.00    
6  RUBY CANTU Jun22 May26 Apr06     (hebert mat)ERAMIA E 120 3.00 ★    
7  BLING IT K K Jun09 May25 Nov30     (pish danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  ON WING Jun22 May26 Apr27 Mar29 Mar15 (willis )GONCALVES R 117 2.50 22% 3.60    
9  GRACIE'S KITTEN Jun22 May31 May05 Mar23 Mar08 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 2.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  WICKED SONG Jul07 Jun22 May31 May18 May05 (cald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.