Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Assiniboia Downs
Tuesday - July 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ASD-1   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (3/1/5)-(2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(2/3)-(1/2) 12 $0.20 $2.40 
ASD-2   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    DD (2/3)-(1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(1/2)-(2/1/3) 12 $0.20 $2.40 
ASD-3   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 4 $0.20 $0.80 
    DD (1/2)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/4/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
ASD-4   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (2/1/3)-(2/1/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(2/1/4/7)-(3/5/4/1) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-5   WIN (2/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/7)-(2/1/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/7)-(2/1/4/7)-(2/1/4/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (2/1/4/7)-(3/5/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4/7)-(3/5/4/1)-(5/7/1/4) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
ASD-6   WIN (3/5/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/1)-(3/5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/1)-(3/5/4/1)-(3/5/4/1) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (3/5/4/1)-(5/7/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ASD-7   WIN (5/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/4) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ASD-1   07/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DADDYSRAREEDITION Jun25 Jul03 Sep06 Aug03 Jun14 (rowe m)PATTERSON R 124 1.60 9% 10.10    
2  CUSS'N CAT Jun25 Jun10 May27 Aug23 Aug02 (dickey elton)CUMBERBATCH R 119 3.00    
3  NOT AFRAID Jun25 Jun04 May20 Aug07 Jul19 (anderson carl)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 1.20 60% 0.70    
4  DEVILS TIME Aug14 Jun05 Aug30 Aug08 Jul26 (thompson stev)PARRIS SACHIN 114 20.00    
5  CALL THE COPS Jun25 Jun11 May28 Sep12 Sep04 (gittens dev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
ASD-2   07/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Hazel Wright Sire Purse ($40K) 3 F PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAVORE Jun25 Jun10 May21 Sep13 Aug21 (cole terry)ALI RONALD 119 10.00    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of DOMINANT CURRENCY by SILVER DEPUTY)
2  COMMANDOSLASTDANCE Jun19 Jun03 Sep18 Aug30 Aug14 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 0.40 33% 2.10    
  (by GOING COMMANDO out of SWEET TIZZY LIZZY by TIZNOW)
3  MOBIL CREEK Jun10 May27 Aug14 Jul25 Jul10 (moreno c)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of MOBIL APP by MOBIL)
4  OFFLEY SPECIAL Jun11 May27 Sep13 Sep04 Aug21 (gaskin steven)DAWKINS DANE 119 3.00    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of YELLING TIMBER by FORESTRY)
 
ASD-3   07/09/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 2 F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WELCOMETOHOLLYWOOD         (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 1.60 41% 1.40    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of ARCH OF TROY by ARCHARCHARCH)
2  GEE I'M FOXY         (brown jared)ALI RONALD 119 3.00 17% 4.90    
  (by KLIMT out of FOXY SARA by EVEN THE SCORE)
3  ANOTHER COMMAND         (gittens dev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 114 5.00 ★    
  (by SECOND IN COMMAND out of ROSESFORGRACE by ROSBERG)
4  FRANKLY         (nault michael)CUMBERBATCH R 119 8.00    
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of PLAIN BROWN by SIGHTSEEING)
5  ITSAPRILSDAY         (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 119 12.00    
  (by NONIOS out of ITSMOLLYSDAY by GOING COMMANDO)
6  TWOLEFTTOLOAD         (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 4.00    
  (by SPECULATING out of TALKN TIL MIDNIGHT by BROKEN VOW)
 
ASD-4   07/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARE MIGHTY THINGS Oct07 Sep23 Sep01 Aug19   (hartmann ja)DALRYMPLE DARIO 117 10.00 32% 2.10    
2  RATLIFF CITY Jul03 Jun24 Jun11 May27 Apr19 (delaronde le)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 2.00 37% 1.70    
3  BRONZE ONE Jul01 May20 Jan21 Jan05 Dec10 (anders)PATTERSON R 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  JOHNNY PAYCHECK Jun17 Jun05 Apr02 Feb18 Feb11 (tourangea)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 1.60    
5  KENTUCKY JAKE Jun10 Sep12 Aug08 Jul12 Jun13 (rawson fred)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 10.00    
6  FINALIZE Jun17 Jun05 May27 Oct08 Sep30 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 124 5.00    
 
ASD-5   07/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARKCLOUDOFSMOKE Jun19 Jun05 Oct22 Oct15 Sep24 (hartmann jamie)ALI RONALD 123 3.50 26% 2.80    
2  DOUBLEBARRELDELITE Jun25 Jun05 May27 Sep18 Sep04 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 121 4.00 42% 1.40    
3  JUST A POSE Jun25 Jun05 Sep18 Sep04 Aug21 (pruitt)PATTERSON R 121 6.00    
4  NEXT THING YA KNOW Jun10 May27 Aug30 Aug02 Jul04 (pruitt lise)CHOW CHAVION 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  PRINCESS BELLE Jun25 Jun11 Mar29 Mar10 Feb17 (moreno c)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 2.50    
6  WOKE JOKE Jun17 Jun05 May27 May04 Apr21 (delaronde lee)BUDHU ARTHUR 123 4.50    
7  JUST FOR CHARLOTTE Jun25 Jun05 May27 Sep20 Sep12 (jordan jennife)DAWKINS DANE 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
ASD-6   07/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP M/F PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN FOR JOY Jun24 Jun05 May27 Apr26 Apr14 (delaronde lee)CUMBERBATCH R 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  SECRET MISTRESS Jun25 May28 Mar24 Mar01 Apr24 (sanderson b)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 116 6.00    
3  CHIC SAMARAI May20 Mar06 Feb19 Feb05 Jan07 (brown )PATTERSON R 123 1.80 35% 1.90    
4  FILLY FATALE Jul02 Jun10 May21 Oct07 Sep23 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 10.00 13% 6.60    
5  DIANE'S WISH Jun19 May28 Sep18 Sep06 Aug09 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 3.00 15% 5.80    
6  DIAMOND GRAND Jun25 May28 Sep18 Sep12 Sep06 (gaskin steven)ALI RONALD 121 12.00    
7  SAVAGE LOVE Jun25 Jun11 Sep13 Aug28 Aug09 (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 4.00    
 
ASD-7   07/09/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EAST RAND Jun26 Jun12 May27 Apr24 Apr09 (rawson fred)CHOW CHAVION 122 2.50 9% 9.90    
2  ETHAN'S ANIMAL Jun26 Jun12 Sep11 Aug07 Jul24 (desjarlais )KNIGHTS RACHAAD 117 12.00    
3  DEANOS CAPE Jun26 Jun10 May27 Apr06 Mar01 (dickey elton)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 2.00    
4  WESTOVER Jun26 Jun05 May21 Mar17 Feb16 (buffalo marvi)CUMBERBATCH R 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  FAR BEYOND Jun26 May28 Apr04 Mar21 Mar13 (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 6.00 35% 1.80    
6  SCREENPLAY Jun12 May27 Apr13 Apr06 Mar23 (delaronde le)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 15.00    
7  LAST RENEGADE Jun25 Jun10 Jun03 May20 Oct01 (ross cou)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 3.50 20% 3.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.