Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Century Mile
Saturday - July 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CTM-3   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CTM-4   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(2/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTM-5   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-6   WIN (1/5/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/3/4)-(1/5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/3/4)-(1/5/3/4)-(1/5/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
CTM-7   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(5/7/6/1)-(9/12/10) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CTM-8   WIN (5/7/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/6/1)-(5/7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/6/1)-(5/7/6/1)-(5/7/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/6/1)-(9/12/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTM-9   WIN (9/12/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/12/10)-(9/12/2/10/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/12/10)-(9/12/2/10/7)-(9/12/2/10/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CTM-3   07/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL CORRECAMINOS May25 Aug05 Jul21     (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 124 8.00    
  (by SPEEDMEISTER out of GIFTED BIRD by BIRDSTONE)
SIZZLIN ROSE Jun15 Jun01 May19 May04 Sep23 (wendlan)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 124 3.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of ROSILA by ROSETTI)
DESTIN TO BE GREAT Jun07 May25 May04 Sep16 Sep01 (kingston c)BRYAN D 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DESTIN out of SAMARA STREET by STREET CRY (IRE))
KELROSIE Jun07 May24       (rycroft tim)CARTER KYLE 124 1.60 50% 1.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of GENTEELA by SUAVE)
SADIE MY LADY Jun22 Jun07 Sep30 Sep16   (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 124 2.50 26% 2.90    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of KINDEST REGARDS by CONGRATS)
 
CTM-4   07/06/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKIN JOY May24 Oct07 Oct01 Sep16 Sep01 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
SINGING BELL Jun22 May31 Oct01 Sep16 Aug19 (humbke chery)NATERA KEIHTON 123 2.00 48% 1.10    
TELLTALE Jun21 May31 May18 Dec01 Nov17 (gil)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 2.50 16% 5.20    
SOFIA D 'AMORE Jun21 Jun14 May31 May18 Sep09 (frey cars)ZENTENO JR 123 5.00    
FASTESTGIRLINTOWN Jun21 Jun08 May18 Oct15 Sep16 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 123 3.50    
LUCKY HALO Jun29 Sep10 Aug04 Sep24 Sep02 (pozzo jack)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 15.00    
 
CTM-5   07/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAHUN Jun22 Jun08 May18 Oct22 Oct15 (frey carson)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 3.50    
BREAKING THE BANK Jun22 Jun08 May25 Mar08 Feb25 (humbke che)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 2.00 43% 1.30    
J J'S CAPER Jun21 Jun07 May04 Sep30 Sep16 (nicholson)ZENTENO JR 120 5.00 27% 2.70    
HE'S A SAINT Jun22 Oct09 Sep24 Sep09 Aug13 (ward anders)BECKLES JARELLE 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SIX SHOTS OF T Jun22 Jun08 May18 Oct14 Oct01 (reid colton)BRYAN D 125 8.00    
ONE SKY Jun22 Sep18 Sep04 Jul19 Jul05 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 123 3.00    
 
CTM-6   07/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOODSTRIKER         (heggie ro)FLETCHER SAMANTHA 120 10.00 26% 2.90    
GOOD BYE NEW YORK Jun28 Nov30 Nov18 Oct21 Oct05 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 120 6.00    
SCR  BY JIMMY         (davies deann)NATERA KEIHTON 120 12.00 14% 6.20    
DIAMOND DI Jun22         (ward anders)BECKLES JARELLE 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
CHICTIME Jun15         (humbke che)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 120 4.50 26% 2.90    
BAKED N WIRED Aug26 Aug06 Jul29 Jul01 Aug13 (bott s)STEADMAN LEON 125 20.00    
STARMA Jun01 Oct15 Oct01 Sep01 Nov05 (smith rob)CARTER KYLE 125 2.00    
SUNBIZ Jun22         (r)GRIFFITH DELANE 115 2.50    
 
CTM-7   07/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MOB BOSS Jun07 May17 May04 Mar09 Feb25 (o'hagan colleen)NELSON DANE 125 4.00    
PERDITION Jun15 May31 May19 Oct14 Oct01 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 125 15.00 17% 4.80    
MAJESTIC STREET Jun15 Sep16 Aug04 Jul16 Jun18 (vanoverschof)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 3.00 37% 1.70    
WYE CROSS Jun22 Jun07 May19 Oct01 Sep17 (smith k)CARTER KYLE 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
DON'T STOP DREAMIN Jun14 Jun07 May17 Oct17 Oct09 (zielke mad)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 8.00    
LANNY MAC Jun22 Jun08 May31 Aug06 Jul22 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 5.00    
EXAMINER Jun14 Jun08 May25 May04 Oct21 (smith )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.00    
 
CTM-8   07/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPORTSCARR Jun01 Oct21 Oct08 Oct01 Sep17 (heggie)STEADMAN LEON 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
IT WORKED Jun15 May25 Dec08 Nov17 Oct27 (bell ken)ZENTENO JR 125 12.00    
DANCING WILLIE Jun22 Jun01 May19 Oct21 Sep30 (robertson jerri)CARTER KYLE 123 6.00    
BEHIND THE CURTAIN Jun29 Jun15 May17 May04 Feb11 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 3.50    
A MAN'S MAN Jun01 Apr24 Dec31 Dec10 Nov19 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 123 2.50 30% 2.30    
WEDGE POND Jun21 Jun07 May18 May04 May27 (kettleson a)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 4.00 22% 3.60    
BON PRIX Jun01 May18 May04 Oct15 Sep23 (wyness james)NELSON DANE 125 3.00 24% 3.10    
 
CTM-9   07/06/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PATRIOTIC FREEDOM May25 May04 Aug25 Aug05   (kingston c)BRYAN D 124 12.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of MISS MARSHA LYNN by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
WHEN U KNOW U KNOW Jun08         (kingston karlin)CARTER KYLE 124 5.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of LIL MISSKNOWITALL by KAFWAIN)
LEGAL ASSASSIN Jun08         (heggie)STEADMAN LEON 124 10.00    
  (by CHARMING ASSASSIN out of TYPICAL TILLY by KISSIN KRIS)
E PAY ALL THE WAY Jun07 May04 Oct07 Sep23 Sep01 (laczo brant)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 30.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of E LOOE by LURE)
MORE THAN A FLASH Jun08         (g)GRIFFITH DELANE 119 30.00    
  (by BIG LIGHTNING out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
PADDY'S SPEEDSTER Jun08         (humbke )CHASE RICHARD 119 25.00    
  (by MR O'PRADO out of IVA STATE by STATE CITY)
SCR  THISCATSGOTSPEED Jun07 May25 May04 Sep30 Sep23 (hedge rick)MARTIN ANDRE 124 8.00    
  (by SPEEDMEISTER out of KITTY KRISSEY by KISSIN KRIS)
SCR  CAPE'S LEGACY Jun22 Jun07 May17 May04 Sep30 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 124 15.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of TELL ME LIES by KY ALTA)
TENNESSEE MOSES Jun07 May04       (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 124 4.00 43% 1.30    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of BLUMIN CAT by CAT THIEF)
10  MOON MULLINS Jun08         (smith r)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of CAROLINA STATION by AIKENITE)
11  TRUE ALYBYE         (robertson )MALVAEZ MAURICIO 124 25.00    
  (by TRUE SENSE out of KAI'S ALYBYE by CAUSE TO BELIEVE)
12  DONTBRINGMEDOWN Jun22         (kingston k)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
  (by SATURDAYNITELITES out of PLUNGE by EL ROBLAR)
SCR  FULL MEASURE Jun07         (humbke ch)FLETCHER SAMANTHA 124 25.00    
  (by MR O'PRADO out of BLINKANSHESGONE by LOST CANYON (GB))
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.