Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Lone Star Park
Saturday - June 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LS-1   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
LS-2   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(5/6/7)-(1/6/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LS-3   WIN (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/7)-(5/6/1/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/7)-(5/6/1/4/7)-(5/6/1/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7)-(1/6/7)-(7/1/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LS-4   WIN (1/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/7)-(1/6/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/7)-(1/6/5/7)-(1/6/5/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7)-(7/1/5)-(8/9/5/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LS-5   WIN (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/5)-(7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LS-6   WIN (8/9/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/5/2)-(8/9/5/10/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/9/5/2)-(8/9/5/10/2)-(8/9/5/10/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LS-7   WIN (2/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/1/4)-(2/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/1/4)-(2/7/1/4)-(2/7/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1/4)-(8/9/3/2/7)-(9/6/10/1/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LS-8   WIN (8/9/3/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/3/2/7)-(8/9/3/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/9/3/2/7)-(8/9/3/2/7)-(8/9/3/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/9/3/2/7)-(9/6/10/1/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
LS-9   WIN (9/6/10/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/6/10/1/8)-(9/6/10/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/6/10/1/8)-(9/6/10/1/8)-(9/6/10/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LS-1   06/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSES ARE GRAY May10 Apr27 Apr05 Mar17 Mar02 (garza joa)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 15.00    
BLUEBERRY EYES Apr20 Mar15 Feb29 Feb02 Jan25 (cappellucci dick)DIAZ RENE 124 4.00 25% 3.10    
SCR  PUT A BOW ON IT May19 May05 Apr28 Mar17 Mar02 (dupu)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 15.00    
CARPE HORSESHOE May19 May11 Apr28 Dec30 Dec16 (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 1.40 39% 1.60    
POET LAUREATE Jun01 May10 Apr26 Apr07 Mar17 (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
MISTY CAT May19 Apr19 Feb18 Feb02 Jan05 (h)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 124 1.60    
 
LS-2   06/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JUSTICE DEPARTMENT May18 Apr07 Feb23 Jan19 Dec19 (ashford ray)DIEGO V 124 2.00    
MO SATURDAYS May18 Feb09 Feb01 Jan11 Dec01 (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 1.60 32% 2.10    
MIAMI MOONLIGHT May18 Apr07 Feb18 Feb02 Aug13 (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
EL SMOOCH May04 Feb25 Jan28 Jan20 Dec08 (pish)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SHARP SPARK May05 Feb29 Jan13     (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 120 10.00    
AIN'T THAT A KICK Apr19 Mar15 Feb23 Jan12 Dec17 (petalino joe)ALVAREZ L 124 8.00    
 
LS-3   06/15/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRODIGIOUS BAY May18 Apr21 Apr05 Mar07 Jun01 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 3.00    
JIM NED May27 Apr21 Feb25 Jan28 Jan07 (pish danny)WETHEY JR 124 15.00    
BAREFOOT SAMURAI Jan12 Nov25 Nov04 Sep30 Sep16 (eoff terry)ELLIOTT S 124 15.00    
PROJECTION May27 May04 Nov25 Oct26 Aug25 (cappellucci)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50    
EMBOITE (IRE) May18 Jan21 Dec23 Dec07 Jun17 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 2.50 62% 0.60    
FROM THE HEART May19 Apr18 Mar16 Feb18 Jan19 (ashford ray)QUINONEZ S 124 3.50 12% 7.30    
OPTIMAL TRIP May19 Apr28 Apr18 Mar24 Feb18 (rossi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
GEORGIA DEPUTY May27 Apr04 Mar14 Feb10 Jan01 (petalino joe)DIEGO V 124 20.00    
SINGING DIXIE May18 Apr26 Apr07 Feb18 Feb02 (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 10.00    
10  BAY BE GONE May18 Apr18 Apr07 Mar10 Feb18 (garza joa)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 20.00    
SCR  TIGERS 'N BEARS May19 Apr26 Mar29 Mar16 Feb09 (pish danny)DIEGO V 119 12.00    
 
LS-4   06/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHASING COYOTES May31 May12 May03 Mar15 Feb09 (cappellucci)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 1.40 64% 0.60    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of UTANA by CURLIN)
SIR LANCELOT RIDGE May25 Mar24 Feb02 Jan20 Jan12 (kota)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 10.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of SHESATOP RIDGE by BEN'S RIDGE (GB))
TIGER MAN MCKOOL May31 May04 Mar17 Jun17   (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 118 4.00    
  (by TEXAS CHROME out of LADY GIACAMO by GIACOMO)
MUCHO MACHO CAM May25 May04 Mar23     (love alan)SALAZAR TERESA 113 20.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of BLUSHING BEAUTY by BLUSHING JOHN)
XANDER S May31 May12 Apr19 Mar23 Mar01 (padilla a)DIEGO V 124 5.00    
  (by ROMAN GLADIATOR out of DIXIE DUCES by CARSON CITY)
EXPECT GLORY May31 May04 Mar17     (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 118 2.50 13% 6.70    
  (by EXPECT A LOT out of GLORIOUS ODYSSEY by MIZZEN MAST)
DOC HENRY RIDGE Jun07 May26 May03 Apr19 Mar24 (kotara ronald)BURGOS SAMUEL 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of HENYETTA by KING TUTTA)
 
LS-5   06/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ISLAND CABANA May26 Feb02       (pish)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 15.00 12% 7.30    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of FOLLY ISLAND by LONE STAR SPECIAL)
IN FORM May27 May05 Apr12 Mar09   (young scott)WETHEY JR 118 2.50    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of SUMMER SOLO by ARCH)
SCR  CAT STORM Aug31 Jul04 Jun18     (diodoro robertino)DIAZ RENE 118 8.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of WILDCAT GOLD by FOREST WILDCAT)
MACHO GRANDE May26 May05 Mar22 Feb25 Jan07 (eoff te)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 12.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of ARTISTICDIFFERENCE by ESKENDEREYA)
I AM ON THE LIST Jan07 Dec09 Nov20     (dunn ashley)DIEGO V 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of DANCE CLUB by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  CALI KINETIC Oct16         (diodoro rob)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of SPECIAL SMOKE by FREE HOUSE)
RONALDINHO May05 Apr14 Mar09 Feb16   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 1.60 48% 1.10    
  (by DIALED IN out of APALACHEE SONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
SCR  BRADFORD May05 Mar30 Mar14 Jan13 Jan01 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 15.00    
  (by STREET STRATEGY out of SEA SHACK by SHACKLEFORD)
 
LS-6   06/15/2024 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($33.5K) 3 F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST ADORABLE May11 May03 Apr06 Mar29 Feb19 (d)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 122 30.00    
TEXAS MOON May11 Apr21 Mar23 Mar03 Jan27 (jacks e)CABRERA DAVID 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
MAYBE DOLCIE May26 May04 Apr03 Mar04 Dec14 (craddock kari)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 15.00    
KENTUCKY ANGEL Mar23 Mar03 Feb04 Nov10 Jul04 (bustamante ray)DIAZ RENE 122 12.00    
SANGRIA SUNSET May04 Apr22       (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 122 10.00 9% 10.00    
MARQUETTE WARRIOR May11 Apr06 Feb10 Dec31 Dec03 (ashford ray)DIEGO V 122 8.00    
STRIKE THE BELL May26 May03 Mar01 Feb04   (eoff terry)WETHEY JR 122 20.00    
CONTOUR May11 Apr27 Mar23 Mar03 Feb10 (broberg ka)ERAMIA E 122 1.80 47% 1.10    
CONNECTABLE May26 May03 Mar08     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 3.00 21% 3.80    
10  CANDY OAK May11 Mar03 Oct25 Aug04 Jun30 (diodoro rob)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00    
SCR  GET READY GAL May11 Apr21 Mar29 Mar08 Feb19 (jacks karen )ALVAREZ L 122 15.00    
SCR  JUST A SIP May17 Sep30       (ashf)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 6.00    
 
LS-7   06/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET KARAT CAKE         (baldill)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 15.00 10% 8.60    
MIZZ FACTOR May19 May05 Mar29 Mar16 Feb24 (p)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 124 2.00 28% 2.60    
BALI GIRLEE May19 Apr06 Mar16 Feb24 Feb03 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 1.80    
SARAH P May11 Apr19 Feb23 Jan25   (pish danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCOOTER'S HONOR May27 May12 Mar29 Feb18 Jan21 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 120 4.50    
SUGAR FOR DEBBIE         (range)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 115 20.00    
GOD KNOWS WHY May27 May12 Apr21 Apr06 Mar16 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 120 4.00 11% 7.90    
 
LS-8   06/15/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 ALL PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BROOKLYN ALLEY CAT         (pish danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 15.00    
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of DREAM ON KAYLA by DECARCHY)
ONE FROSTY DAY         (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FROSTED out of ASH ANGEL by MACHO UNO)
KENTUCKY DREAMIN         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 5.00 5% 18.20    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of AGUADILLA by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SHIP THE MONEY May27         (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 119 8.00    
  (by CODE WEST out of SHIP HER by MIDSHIPMAN)
KING OF THE DISCO         (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 119 6.00    
  (by COPPER BULLET out of COAL AND ICE by TAPIT)
KEEP UP THE PACE         (garza joa)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 30.00    
  (by KEEP UP out of SWEET SAMMIE by FIRST SAMURAI)
OLD BOYS CLUB         (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of DOUBLE by BERNARDINI)
CHEERS TO CANDY May27         (cravens ron)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 3.00 40% 1.50    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of CHEERS TO THAT by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
DON'T BACKDOWN         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 2.50 27% 2.70    
  (by STREET BOSS out of GEMMIZELL by GEMOLOGIST)
10  PRINCE OF MISCHIEF May27         (uriegas)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 30.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of CACTUS QUEEN by ATTICUS)
11  GOOD PRODUCT         (ashford ray)QUINONEZ S 119 10.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of DOT PRODUCT by LANGFUHR)
 
LS-9   06/15/2024 4950ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAY TAY'S BABY May03 Apr06 Mar29 Mar15 Feb04 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 15.00 11% 8.40    
EQUUS May18 Feb19       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 6.00    
SCR  JIBBER JABBER (IRE) Jun10 May14 Mar25 Feb11 Jan20 (diodoro rob)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50    
TAHITIAN BREEZE May25 Apr27 Mar23 Mar02 Feb17 (hurley tina )WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 15.00    
RUBY FOO May25 Mar07 Jan25 Jan07 Nov19 (clary rena)DIEGO V 122 6.00    
MISS DISTINCTIVE May10 Mar24 Mar08 Feb17 Feb04 (broberg karl)QUINONEZ S 122 5.00 18% 4.70    
MISCHIEF ANGEL May11 Apr26 Mar29 Feb23 Dec13 (davidson sarah)SANCHEZ OBED 124 15.00    
SKYVIEW DRIVE May19 Mar30 Mar03 Feb16 Nov08 (hebert mat)ERAMIA E 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
CAFEZINHO May25 Apr27 Apr06 Mar08   (willis mind)WETHEY JR 124 3.50 30% 2.30    
10  ARMY KITTEN May26 May04 Apr07 May20 Mar01 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 12.00 16% 5.30    
11  BIG UN May15 Apr23 Mar27 Dec16 Nov14 (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 15.00    
SCR  SAN MATEO KAT Jun07 May25 Apr27 Apr06 Mar16 (davidson sa)WETHEY JR 124 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.