Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Prairie Meadows
Saturday - May 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRM-1   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/6)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(1/4/2)-(1/3/4/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRM-2   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(1/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(1/3/4/5)-(7/5/2/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRM-3   WIN (1/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/4/5)-(7/5/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4/5)-(7/5/2/1)-(3/1/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRM-4   WIN (7/5/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/1)-(7/5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/1)-(7/5/2/1)-(7/5/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/2/1)-(3/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2/1)-(3/1/6)-(1/6/8/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRM-5   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(1/6/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(1/6/8/4)-(6/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-6   WIN (1/6/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/8/4)-(1/6/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/8/4)-(1/6/8/4)-(1/6/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/8/4)-(6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/8/4)-(6/4/1)-(3/7/9/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRM-7   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(3/7/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRM-8   WIN (3/7/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/9/8)-(3/7/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/9/8)-(3/7/9/8)-(3/7/9/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRM-1   05/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME VIEW Apr19 Mar24 Mar03 Jan26 Dec08 (donlin la)DE CRUZ 123 2.50    
SPANISH DELIGHT Apr26 Apr05 Feb22 Dec02 Nov11 (martin e)BIRZER E 123 2.00 41% 1.50    
ADRIA Mar30 Mar17 Sep10 Aug18 Jul23 (martinez kelli)ROMAN KEVIN 123 4.00    
SCR  HERE AND VOW Apr27 Apr14 Sep28 Aug26 Aug14 (mcdonald william)MECHE COLE 118 10.00    
SCR  TRIBAL SPIRIT Mar30 Mar17 Oct07 Aug11 Jul18 (martinez kell)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 8.00    
IRISH TAP Mar30 Mar17 Mar03 Feb18 Dec09 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 123 3.50 8% 12.10    
 
PRM-2   05/18/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.978K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIGHT TERROR May04 Apr21 Mar22 Mar03 Jun16 (dieter dalton)ZIMMERMAN R 125 3.00 57% 0.80    
DAY MONEY Sep22 Sep09 Jul30 Jul15 Jun26 (mcshane david )WILLIAMS REY 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
PRIZED TAP Sep29 Sep09 Aug21 Aug05 Jul15 (arceo salvado)BACON W 120 4.00    
BILLY BOB ROCKET Sep09 Aug19 Aug05 Jul17 Jun25 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 125 2.00 12% 7.30    
PURE CRYSTAL Sep03 Jul09 Jun30 Jun16 May19 (arceo sal)TRIANA JR 125 6.00    
LURCH Sep22 Sep03 Aug19 Jul30 Jul09 (martinez kell)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 3.50    
 
PRM-3   05/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($44.54K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GISELE'S MAP Sep30         (von kelly)CORBETT W 118 4.00 37% 1.70    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of MSBROOKLYNBRAWLER by INTO MISCHIEF)
BACKSTAGE PASS Jun19         (von kell)WILLIAMS REY 124 10.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
THAT'S OUR VISION Sep17 Sep01 Aug04 Jul21 Jul08 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 2.50 21% 3.70    
  (by WILBURN out of VISION'S REWARD by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
CLIMB TO GLORY Apr27 Mar30 Mar17 Sep30 Sep15 (pearson p)DE CRUZ 124 2.00 17% 4.90    
  (by ARMY MULE out of MAHVELOUS KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
LUCYS STROLL Aug21 Aug04 Jul21 Jun30   (mcshane d)TOHILL S 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STROLL out of BLUEGRASS LUCY by BLUEGRASS CAT)
SISTER SWEDE Apr07         (tracy tanner)BIRZER E 124 8.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of SWEDE by YANKEE VICTOR)
MISSION MAKER         (wellington tom)ROMAN KEVIN 118 5.00    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of MISS BIZ by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
 
PRM-4   05/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($45.831K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALONS TIME Aug07 Jun30 Jun03 May13 Sep03 (tracy tanner)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
FREDDY J Mar07 Feb12 Dec30 Dec03 Sep30 (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 123 3.00 14% 6.10    
LEADING THE CAUSE Sep29 Sep16 Sep01 Aug20 Aug07 (campos ma)TRIANA JR 123 12.00    
LEAPIN TY MAN Sep30 Sep04 Aug07 Jul15 Jun30 (martin e)BIRZER E 123 8.00    
ANNUAL BUDGET Sep30 Sep09 Aug07 Jul17 Jun26 (von kelly)TOHILL S 123 3.50 29% 2.50    
DREADPIRATEROBERTS Sep18 Sep01 Aug20 Jul28 Jul15 (murphy travis)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 4.00    
WEARACAP Sep16         (wellington tom)CORBETT W 123 2.00 31% 2.20    
 
PRM-5   05/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEZA GOIN COMFORT Apr07 Mar14 Mar01 Feb08   (gonzalez jos)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 3.00 33% 2.10    
SCR  STAY QUIET Apr23 Apr09 Mar11 Feb26 Aug06 (schnell don)TOHILL S 120 2.50    
SCOOT ALONG Mar29 Mar16 Dec23 Dec06 Nov17 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 120 4.00 39% 1.50    
GANGSTER AMERICANO May03 Apr20 Mar29 Mar22 Jan13 (arceo salvado)BACON W 120 6.00    
JILL'S LEMON DROP Apr23 Apr01 Mar03 Dec07 Nov10 (dieter dalton)ZIMMERMAN R 125 8.00    
WUMPMUG May03 Apr21 Apr06 Mar03 Feb18 (condon sc)DE CRUZ 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
BETTY JO Mar10 Feb16 Dec15 May04 Apr21 (schleis casey)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.50    
 
PRM-6   05/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAHM Apr29 Apr09 Mar25 Mar04 Feb10 (flores oscar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 3.00 42% 1.40    
SISAWAY NOW May04 Apr20 Apr06 Mar23 Mar09 (compton j)MEDINA ANGEL 124 12.00    
GREY STORM Mar26 Jan25 Jan11 Dec19 Nov20 (gonzalez r)ROMAN KEVIN 124 6.00    
MR CREED Apr26 Apr05 Mar23 Mar09 Dec13 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
AL'S ROMEO May04 Apr19 Mar28 Mar10 Feb03 (schleis casey)BIRZER E 124 4.00    
VALE Apr26 Apr13 Mar10 Feb09 Jan01 (loy dew)DE CRUZ 126 2.00 15% 5.90    
SCR  GOLDEN LUNA Apr04 Jan05 Dec15 Sep18 Sep10 (jordan jam)CORBETT W 124 8.00    
FIRE BRYAN Apr27 Mar24 Feb23 Jan27 Nov22 (martin e)TOHILL S 124 6.00 10% 9.00    
 
PRM-7   05/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Golden Circle Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT-10:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POWER SLAM Apr28 Mar19 Mar08 Feb19 Jan13 (flores oscar)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of BRISTLES by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
FIRESPITTEN KITTEN Apr27 Apr13 Mar30 Mar17 Feb18 (compton j)MEDINA ANGEL 118 6.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of HIGH WIRE KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
RUN FIRE RUN Apr29 Jul31 Jul17 Jun24   (ibarra jo)TRIANA JR 118 8.00    
  (by RUN LIKE FIRE out of BRASSY LUCKY LADY by BRASSY WELLS)
MR FILLIP Mar23 Feb03 Dec31 Nov13   (williams mat)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 2.00 21% 3.90    
  (by MITOLE out of FILIBUSTIN by BUSTIN STONES)
SIR OTTO Apr20 Mar21 Feb24     (rarick wade)BIRZER E 118 4.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of GOLD BEACH by TURN TO MARS)
DESPERATE MAN Apr17 Mar28       (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 118 2.50 51% 0.90    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of TAP TAP TAPAROO by TAPIT)
 
PRM-8   05/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DODGEBALL Apr27 Mar30 Mar10 Mar02 Feb09 (compton j)MEDINA ANGEL 125 15.00    
FULL SPIRIT May03 Apr26 Apr12 Oct22 Aug19 (arceo sal)TRIANA JR 125 10.00    
GIRL PRO Apr13 Dec16 Dec06 Nov03 Oct13 (arnett g)BIRZER E 123 3.00 31% 2.30    
BAYSHORE FOXES May07 Apr23 Jun19 Jun12 May26 (ibarra jo)DE CRUZ 125 3.50    
SCR  JACKIE FLASH Apr10 Mar27 Mar11 Dec09 Nov25 (hemba brad)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 6.00    
GAME TO PLAY Mar17 Sep11 Aug18 Aug06 Jul15 (young nicole)CORBETT W 120 15.00    
HOUSE WRECKER Oct01 Sep22 Sep10 Sep02 Aug18 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 123 5.00 23% 3.40    
BLOW SUM SMOKE Oct28 Oct07 Sep23 Sep17 Jul21 (martinez kelli)WILLIAMS REY 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SLUSHY Sep04 Aug20 Jul23 Jun30 Jun04 (martinez kelli)ROMAN KEVIN 123 4.00 22% 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.