Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Prairie Meadows
Saturday - May 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRM-1   WIN (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/7)-(3/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/7)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/7)-(2/5/3)-(7/1/8/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRM-2   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(7/1/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(7/1/8/6)-(5/7/9/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRM-3   WIN (7/1/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/8/6)-(7/1/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/8/6)-(7/1/8/6)-(7/1/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/8/6)-(5/7/9/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/8/6)-(5/7/9/6)-(1/3/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRM-4   WIN (5/7/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/9/6)-(5/7/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/9/6)-(5/7/9/6)-(5/7/9/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/9/6)-(1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/9/6)-(1/3/7)-(9/2/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-5   WIN (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/7)-(1/3/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/7)-(1/3/7/4/2)-(1/3/7/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/3/7)-(9/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7)-(9/2/1)-(6/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRM-6   WIN (9/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/2/1)-(9/2/8/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/2/1)-(9/2/8/1)-(9/2/8/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/2/1)-(6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (9/2/1)-(6/5)-(2/7/10/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRM-7   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/5)-(2/7/10/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
PRM-8   WIN (2/7/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/10/6)-(2/7/10/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/7/10/6)-(2/7/10/8/6)-(2/7/10/8/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRM-1   05/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S NOT A JOKE Apr27 Apr07 Mar22 Mar07 Feb19 (martin e)BIRZER E 118 4.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of COURT OF LOVE by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  SHAN'S QUEST         (tracy tanner)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 10.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of SHANDRA SMILES by CAHILL ROAD)
3  ANDREA DIANE Apr27         (offolter )DE CRUZ 118 2.00 53% 0.90    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of HARD LOVIN WOMAN by ROCK HARD TEN)
4  MISS CLASSIFIED Apr06 Mar07 Aug13     (von kelly)CORBETT W 118 8.00    
  (by KLIMT out of LETTING GO by JOHANNESBURG)
SCR  WESTGATE ROAD         (anderson l)ZIMMERMAN R 118 3.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of PERFECT NOW by TIZNOW)
SCR  LINE RUNNER Apr14 Feb23       (martin e)TOHILL S 124 12.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of FRONT IN LINE by WAR FRONT)
7  FLATHEAD FINALE Apr21 Mar09 Jan19 Nov25   (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 118 3.50 7% 13.10    
  (by MASTERY out of GOLDEN FINALE by ARCH)
 
PRM-2   05/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($20.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ORE MINE Feb24 Oct13 Sep23 Aug28 Jul31 (martin timot)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 2.00    
2  BURN JAKEY BURN Feb21 Feb02 Dec30 Dec01 Nov16 (arnett g)BIRZER E 125 3.00 57% 0.80    
3  SUPER RENZO Apr12 Mar23 Feb18 Aug06 Jul23 (williams matt)CORBETT W 120 3.50 8% 11.50    
4  I'M AN OAK Apr07 Mar15 Feb17 Dec29 Sep11 (loy dew)DE CRUZ 120 6.00    
5  DA RINGO Apr07 Feb18 Jan19 Oct28 Oct06 (gonzalez r)TOHILL S 120 4.00 8% 11.00    
6  GABRIEL'S LEGEND Sep25 Sep09 Aug24 Jul22 Jun24 (donlin larry )BACON W 120 10.00    
 
PRM-3   05/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($45.831K) 3 ALL PT- 7:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEE OFF TIME Sep30 Sep04       (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 3.00 19% 4.40    
2  STROLLER BOY Sep30 Sep04 Aug21 Aug05 Jul08 (guillory )DE CRUZ 120 8.00    
3  NAVE Apr20 Sep30 Aug26 Aug05 Jul01 (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 120 12.00    
4  JUPITER MISSION Sep18 Sep04 Aug21 Aug05 Jul08 (arnett g)BIRZER E 120 4.50    
5  SURPRISE ROAD TRIP Sep30 Sep11 Jul29 Jul08 Jun23 (guillory henry )ZIMMERMAN R 120 15.00    
6  KILLIAN Sep11 Jul29 Jul01     (mcshane david)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  DAWSON'S STORM Sep30 Aug26 Jul29 Jul08 Jun23 (fett brandi)CORBETT W 120 2.50 49% 1.00    
8  MC COUGAR Jul08 Jun12       (martin e)TOHILL S 120 4.00 11% 8.30    
 
PRM-4   05/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHISHOLM TRAIL Apr04 Mar07 Jan01 Dec15 Oct08 (anderson l)TOHILL S 124 4.50    
2  FAKE SOLUTION Apr27 Mar30 Mar16 Mar09 Oct21 (condon schuyler)ROMAN KEVIN 124 15.00    
3  SUBURBAN PRINCE Apr05 Mar16 Feb24 Dec13 Nov30 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 12.00    
4  GALACTIC EMPIRE Apr19 Mar29 Mar14 Mar07 Feb10 (martin e)BIRZER E 124 3.50    
5  ONE TIME GEM Apr15 Feb13 Jan28 Jan07 Dec29 (johnston lane)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 4.00 33% 2.00    
6  GINGER RULES Apr20 Apr13 Mar29 Mar09 Oct27 (schutz pam)BACON W 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  ALLO ENRY Apr26 Apr12 Mar17 Mar09 Feb19 (flores oscar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 3.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  BIG HEARTED FACTOR Apr27 Apr20 Mar24 Oct29 Oct21 (arceo sal)TRIANA JR 124 15.00    
9  AMERICAIN JOEY Apr06 Mar30 Mar16 Feb24 Feb09 (donlin la)DE CRUZ 124 8.00 8% 11.60    
 
PRM-5   05/11/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($26.078K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKIN BOOTS Apr15 Mar20 Dec13 Dec01 Nov04 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 124 2.00 67% 0.50    
2  LETS ROCK N STROLL Sep24 Sep09 Sep03 Aug06 Jul17 (dieter dalton)ZIMMERMAN R 124 10.00 ★    
3  PAPA JOJO Mar15 Feb22 Feb02 Nov16 Feb10 (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 124 6.00 8% 12.00    
4  FLEETWOOD SMACK Sep30 Sep18 Sep11     (schutz pam)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 4.00 ★    
5  KICKIN' CHARLIE Apr21 Sep18 Sep04 Aug12   (dieter da)TRIANA JR 118 20.00    
6  EDGY LOVER Oct28 Oct07 Aug06 Jul17 Jun25 (murphy)FLETCHER D 124 5.00    
7  NICE ONE JULIO Sep30 Sep11 Aug12 Aug05 Jul22 (arnett g)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 3.50 5% 19.00    
8  OXFORD OUTING Sep04         (compton jesse)BACON W 113 20.00    
9  STUMPY'S LOVE SONG Sep30 Sep01 Aug06     (donlin la)DE CRUZ 124 20.00    
 
PRM-6   05/11/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($44.54K) 3 ALL PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA FEE'S SECRET         (fett brandi)ZIMMERMAN R 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of LA FEE VERTE by TIZNOW)
2  KISSED A CADET Jul22 Jul08 Jun23     (fett brandi)CORBETT W 122 3.00 20% 3.90    
  (by ARMY MULE out of MISSMEKISSME by SIR CAT)
3  WICKLOW LADDIE Sep30 Sep18 Aug27 Aug05   (wellington to)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 4.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of GLITZY LADY by LIAISON)
SCR  SING FOR UR SUPPER         (pearson p)DE CRUZ 122 20.00    
  (by SING BABY SING out of GOLDIE'S SIS by MUTAKDDIM)
SCR  MONEY AIN'T ENOUGH Apr14         (tracy tanner)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 15.00    
  (by STROLL out of TOUGH RIPPLES by GOOD AND TOUGH)
6  CASA LIMON         (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 122 8.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of CASA LIMA by LIMEHOUSE)
7  SUBSEQUENT EVENT         (condon schuyl)BACON W 117 8.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of SEQUENCE OF EVENTS by SUPER SAVER)
8  DO IT LIKE KEVIN Sep18 Aug27       (compton j)TRIANA JR 122 5.00 ★    
  (by STROLL out of DO IT LIKE KELA by KELA)
9  SINCERELY MINE Aug26 Jul29 Jul08 Jun12   (fett brandi)BIRZER E 122 2.50 56% 0.80    
  (by ALTERNATION out of INSINCERELY YOURS by FLATTER)
 
PRM-7   05/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Goldfinch Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 9:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANAGING MISCHIEF Mar30 Feb28 Feb10 Jan13 Dec20 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 3.00 ★    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of ENCHANTING ESSENCE by MIDSHIPMAN)
SCR  TIPSY TAMMY Apr07 Mar03 Feb01 Jan01   (bauer phi)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 3.50    
  (by ARROGATE out of PEGGY MAY by LEMON DROP KID)
3  MUSICAL DIVA Apr18 Apr03 Mar13 Feb21 Jan29 (mcfarlane l)CORBETT W 118 8.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ULTIMATE SHOPPER by YES IT'S TRUE)
4  WILD BOUT HILARY Mar30 Oct11 Aug25 Jul21   (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 118 6.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of WILD BOUT TIFFANY by WILDCAT HEIR)
5  BARBSDREAMCOMETRUE Mar27 Feb25       (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 4.00 10% 9.30    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of DULCE PUELLA by SUPER SAVER)
6  LEGADEMA Apr05 Feb02 Dec23 Nov23   (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 124 2.00 65% 0.50    
  (by ARROGATE out of SCARLET LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
 
PRM-8   05/11/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT-10:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL OVER OLIVER Sep17 Sep08 Jul17 May29 May19 (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 121 12.00    
2  HULEN Apr07 Mar15 Feb17 Jan27 Dec06 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 4.50 58% 0.70    
3  MILTON STREET Sep08 Aug26 Aug11 Aug04 Jul10 (wellington to)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 8.00    
4  HERITAGE PARK Apr26 Apr12 Mar17 Feb02 Sep03 (martin e)TOHILL S 124 15.00    
5  BRILLIANT COLORS Apr26 Oct21 Oct07 Sep23 Sep02 (donlin d)WILLIAMS REY 124 15.00    
6  SHIP BOSS Apr07 Mar22 Mar09 Sep25 Sep11 (foley sea)TRIANA JR 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  MO'S MOJO Sep29 Sep16 Jun07 May06 Jan20 (martinez )DE CRUZ 124 3.00 14% 6.00    
8  WILLET KINDA NIGHT Apr14 Mar29 Mar22 Mar02 Aug28 (compton jesse)BACON W 121 5.00 ★    
9  MAHOMES Sep29 Sep18 Sep04 Aug07 Jul16 (fett brandi)CORBETT W 121 10.00    
10  COLONEL KLINK Apr16 Mar30 Feb25 Jan06 Dec11 (hemba brad)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 3.50 6% 14.50    
SCR  KOSELIO Oct07 Sep23 Sep04 Aug21 Aug07 (martinez kell)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.