Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fonner Park
Friday - April 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FON-1   WIN (5/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/2)-(5/1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/6/2)-(5/1/6/2)-(5/1/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/6/2)-(8/7/1/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
FON-2   WIN (8/7/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/1/2)-(8/7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/1/2)-(8/7/1/2)-(8/7/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-3   WIN (8/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/2/1)-(8/4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/2/1)-(8/4/2/1)-(8/4/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-4   WIN (2/6/7/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/7/8/1)-(2/6/7/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/6/7/8/1)-(2/6/7/8/1)-(2/6/7/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7/8/1)-(5/7/9/4)-(3/6/2/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FON-5   WIN (5/7/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/9/4)-(5/7/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/9/4)-(5/7/9/4)-(5/7/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/9/4)-(3/6/2/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
FON-6   WIN (3/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/2/4)-(3/6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/2/4)-(3/6/2/4)-(3/6/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FON-1   04/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR CREED Mar23 Mar09 Dec13 Oct18 Sep07 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00 26% 2.80    
MR ELVIN Mar23 Dec21 Nov25 Nov09 Oct18 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
SUBURBAN PRINCE Mar16 Feb24 Dec13 Nov30 Oct30 (martinez kelli)DELORME L 125 15.00    
SCHMOOZE Mar23 Mar09 Feb24 Oct28 Oct22 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 5.00    
EXOTIC'S BEAR Mar23 Mar09 Feb24 Feb18 Jan27 (gourneau )MEDINA ANGEL 125 1.60 37% 1.70    
RING TAILED TOOTER Mar23 Mar08 Feb25 Oct27 Oct07 (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 6.00 9% 10.70    
IN THE MIDST Mar23 Feb24 Aug09 Jun15 May23 (hoffman robert)RAMOS B 125 10.00    
 
FON-2   04/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R R MESA         (dieter dalton)MARTINEZ R 116 10.00 20% 3.90    
  (by BRAHMS out of MISS SKY ROCKET by SKY MESA)
BUY NOW Mar23 Mar08 Feb18 Oct28 Oct22 (condon schuyler)ROMAN KEVIN 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TIZNOW MY WAY out of B G GOLDEN TIME by GOLD TRIBUTE)
SCORE MCCOY Mar23 Mar08 Sep03 Aug24 Jul23 (donlin d)RAMOS B 125 3.50    
  (by I WILL SCORE out of THE REAL MCCOY by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
GENTLE GIANT Mar23         (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 10.00    
  (by GRAY METEOR out of ELUSIVE VACATION by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY)
DONNY'S GOT GAME Mar23 Mar08 Feb18 Apr23 Apr08 (johnson marvin )HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00    
  (by LOVEOFTHEGAME out of KELLY AND COLA by INFORMED)
BIG IRON AUCTION Mar23 Mar03       (thomsen p)MEDINA ANGEL 121 15.00    
  (by BIG TIME PLAYER out of CHABLACK by BLACK MOONSHINE)
WANTABE Mar23 Mar08 Feb18 May06   (rivera p)DELORME L 125 3.00 24% 3.20    
  (by HOLIDAY JUSTICE out of B G GOLDEN TIME by GOLD TRIBUTE)
MISTER LESTER Mar23         (compton jesse)BACON W 120 1.80 33% 2.00    
  (by HOLIDAY JUSTICE out of BLARNEY BABE by PIKEPASS)
 
FON-3   04/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.1K) 3 F PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASTER JANE Mar24 Mar03 Sep04 Aug19   (rushton temple)RAMOS B 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of QUEENIE'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
PRINCESS VANELLOPE         (ramaekers eric)DELORME L 122 8.00 11% 8.50    
  (by TAPITURE out of AVA RAE by SOARING EMPIRE)
MARY WHO Mar22 Mar03 Feb08 Jan18 Dec13 (gourneau jerry)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00    
  (by STREET STRATEGY out of RED DRESS by TOO MUCH BLING)
OLIVIA'S HOPE Mar24 Mar03 Sep01 Aug04 Jul08 (hines han)ROMAN KEVIN 122 4.00 28% 2.50    
  (by CONGRATS out of ESPERANZA by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
GOOD GRACIOUS Mar22 Mar03       (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 122 10.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of AMBUSH WOMAN by DIVINE PARK)
CRUISE TALK Mar22 Jan14       (johnson a)MARTINEZ R 122 5.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of AIR MAIL by GULCH)
MISCHIEVOUS MISS Mar22 Feb22 Oct20 Sep28 Aug20 (johnson marvin )HAAR NATHAN 122 3.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of PORT OF INDY by CONGRATS)
MISS YOU NO MORE Mar24 Mar10 Feb17 Nov08 Oct13 (rushton templ)BACON W 117 3.50 36% 1.80    
  (by ELMAZEED out of MISS YOU HOME by FIVE STAR DAY)
 
FON-4   04/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOMMY TSUNAMI Mar22 Oct22 Sep27 Sep06 Aug18 (black marissa)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
SAMURAI'S GRANDSON Mar23 Mar08 Mar02 Feb17 Jan18 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 28% 2.50    
WHONEW Mar17 Feb25 Jan28 Dec29 Sep23 (donlin d)RAMOS B 125 15.00    
SCRATCH ME Mar17 Feb25 Oct08 Sep18 Sep03 (bumgardner j)BETHKE A 125 20.00    
FREEDOM FLASH Mar17 Feb25 Nov24 Nov04 Sep25 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.00    
ASTA LAVISTA HONEY Mar23 Mar08 Feb25 Feb09 Jan27 (gourneau jerr)BACON W 120 3.50 17% 4.90    
TIZKANDOIT Mar22 Mar08 Dec13 Dec01 Oct27 (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00 14% 6.00    
SKYLINE Mar17 Mar08 Oct22 Oct07 Sep30 (bliss dean)DELORME L 125 12.00 14% 6.30    
CORTE Mar23 Mar08 Feb24 Feb07 Jan18 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 10.00    
 
FON-5   04/05/2024 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROPERLY CONNECTED Mar22 Mar02 Feb24 Feb11 Sep20 (gourneau jerry)DELORME L 125 15.00    
ITS A DEAL Mar22 Mar02 Oct22 Aug26 Aug07 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 125 15.00    
WRATH Dec02 Nov08 Oct28 Sep08 Aug19 (ramaekers eri)BACON W 120 6.00    
MISTER MCLEAN Mar09 Sep11 Aug21 Jul03 May23 (sanderson br)BETHKE A 125 20.00 10% 8.90    
SEA FORCE Mar09 Feb24 Feb10 Sep12 Aug27 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  LOVENSEEK Mar24 Mar02 Feb25 Sep30 Aug06 (bunn shawn)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 8.00    
JUSTIN SPEIGHT Mar24 Mar02 Feb24 Oct07 Jul23 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 4.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  SHIP BOSS Mar22 Mar09 Sep25 Sep11 Jun23 (foley p)MARTINEZ A 125 5.00    
UNBOWED Mar22 Feb24 Feb17 Jan05 Dec15 (johnson marvin )HAAR NATHAN 125 3.50 17% 5.00    
10  REVEREND AJ Mar08 Oct07 Sep14 Aug24 Jul13 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.00    
 
FON-6   04/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($2.5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SANCOCHO (MEX) Mar16 Mar02 Feb24 Oct29 Oct21 (castillo sal)RAMOS B 125 4.00    
SMART CALL Mar16 Feb25 Sep19 Sep11 Aug23 (gourneau jerr)BACON W 120 4.50 8% 11.50    
GOOSE DRANK WINE Mar16 Mar01 Nov17 Oct27 Oct08 (rushton temple)DELORME L 125 5.00 48% 1.10    
CREATIVE LETTERS Oct27 Oct22 Oct08 Oct01 Sep24 (ibanez alberto)MARTINEZ A 125 15.00 7% 13.30    
SCR  PERVASIVE Mar16 Oct29 Oct21 Oct08 Oct01 (muckey john)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00    
KNIGHTED Mar16 Oct29 Oct21 Oct08 Sep30 (muckey jo)MEDINA ANGEL 125 6.00 9% 10.50    
GREY ROGUE Mar22 Mar16 Mar02 Jan04 Dec20 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 15.00    
SOUTHWESTERN HOPE Mar15 Mar01 Oct01 Sep16 Sep10 (bunn shawn)BETHKE A 125 3.50    
OPTIMISTIC VALOR Mar15 Mar01 Oct29 Oct22 Aug21 (schindler kyle)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.