Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gulfstream Park
Thursday - March 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GP-1   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(2/6/7/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(2/6/7/11)-(5/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
GP-2   WIN (2/6/7/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/7/11)-(2/6/4/7/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/6/7/11)-(2/6/4/7/11)-(2/6/4/7/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/6/7/11)-(5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7/11)-(5/4/6)-(7/4/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
GP-3   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(7/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6)-(7/4/5/6)-(7/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
GP-4   WIN (7/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/6)-(7/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/6)-(7/4/5/6)-(7/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/5/6)-(7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5/6)-(7/2/6)-(6/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
GP-5   WIN (7/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/6)-(7/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/6)-(7/2/6)-(7/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/6)-(6/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/2/6)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
GP-6   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(6/4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(6/4/5/1)-(12/4/6/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
GP-7   WIN (6/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/1)-(6/4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/1)-(6/4/5/1)-(6/4/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/5/1)-(12/4/6/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
GP-8   WIN (12/4/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (12/4/6/9)-(12/4/6/9/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (12/4/6/9)-(12/4/6/9/7)-(12/4/6/9/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GP-1   03/28/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIGHTSABER (GB) Feb29 Feb16 Oct28 Oct12 Jul03 (stormfelt )GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 2.00 59% 0.70    
SCR  FAST KIMMIE Mar15 Jan24 Dec17 Sep03 Aug20 (serpe m)ORTIZ L 126 1.20    
ANONYMOUS SOURCE Feb29 Sep24 Sep08 Aug13 Jan05 (mongeon p)PANICI LUCA 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
PIMENOVA Feb29 Jan01 Oct12 Sep16 Aug19 (falcone rober)ORTIZ JR 126 2.50 18% 4.60    
SCR  SHINKA Mar01 Feb11 Jan21 Jan04 Dec16 (garoffalo jos)MORALES ANGEL 120 20.00    
FUNTASTICA Jan25 Jan04 Oct14 Jul29 Jul01 (negrete javier)REYES LEONEL 126 30.00    
CHILLING FACTOR Feb23 Feb10 Dec30 Nov05 Oct07 (fisher)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 15.00    
 
GP-2   03/28/2024 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAR PERFORMANCE Feb16 Jan26 Jan11 Sep13 Aug20 (antonucci je)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00    
LADY O'BRIEN Mar10 Jan28 Dec16     (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 45% 1.20    
SLEEPWALKER Oct07 Sep09       (casse mark)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
ITS SATISFACTUAL Jan26 Nov29       (devaux cherie)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00    
TINTA ROJA Feb18         (barboza victor)REYES LEONEL 118 30.00    
PARALLEL (ARG) Feb24 Jan26 Dec29 Dec01 Oct29 (alvarado juan)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 25% 3.10    
VIBRANT LADY Feb24         (devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
BABY BLOCKS Feb23 Feb09 Jan05 Dec02   (kelly blake)BRAVO J 118 5.00    
TRES LECHES         (mott william)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 12.00    
10  MEXICAN SUGAR Mar03 Feb07 Jan19 Dec26 Aug17 (catane)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 20.00    
11  BONMATI Feb22 Feb07 Jan25 Nov19 Sep23 (narvaez carlos)JARAMILLO E 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
12  LUNETTA JAK Mar10 Feb25 Feb11 Jan21 Dec07 (dakin a)PANICI LUCA 118 30.00    
SCR  LUCEVAN LA STELLE Mar09 Feb10 Jan20     (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00    
SCR  TINA BALLERINA Jan24 Dec26       (abreu r)ORTIZ L 118 20.00    
 
GP-3   03/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKIN CLOUD Dec29 Dec15 Nov17 Oct13 Sep16 (ritvo p)RUIZ JORGE 123 15.00    
EXALTED CHARM Mar20 Jan31 Dec29 Jul07 Jun17 (passley m)RIVERA JON 116 10.00    
SCR  WARLORD CRUZAN Mar20 Feb28 Feb07 Jan17 Jan01 (luna luis)PEREZ EDGAR 123 3.50    
ACAMAR Mar20 Feb14 Jan19 Jan10 Dec21 (regalb)VASQUEZ ANGEL 123 6.00 13% 7.00    
GEPARD Feb07 Jan17 Nov18 Nov05 Oct07 (crichton roha)ORTIZ JR 123 0.60 58% 0.70    
GONE NUTS Feb07 Jan17 Dec15 Nov17 Oct13 (crichton roh)THOMAS ANTHONY 123 6.00 9% 10.20    
 
GP-4   03/28/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($32K) 3 F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REVOLU Mar06 Jan17 Oct14 Sep16 Aug20 (garcia rodolfo)REYES LEONEL 118 12.00    
COLLECTED DREAMS Feb11 Jan27 Jan06 Dec09 May30 (munoz carlos)GALVAN JHAIR 118 8.00    
ELLAGIO Mar01         (klesaris ste)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 5.00    
SMART JENNY Feb29 Feb02 Jan06 Nov10 Sep22 (ritvo kathy)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 2.50 21% 3.70    
TAKE THE COOKIES Mar13 Feb17 Jan20 Dec09 Oct07 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 118 6.00 6% 14.60    
LADY OAKRIDGE Jan20         (williams matthe)JARAMILLO E 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
TRAVEL HAPPY Feb29         (pinchin jose)ORTIZ JR 118 1.60 49% 1.00    
MY SWEETHEART DANI Mar20 Mar06 Feb14 Feb04 Jan26 (crooks jeffr)THOMAS ANTHONY 118 20.00    
 
GP-5   03/28/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FAST MOTION Dec26 Nov10 Sep09 Sep02 Aug13 (d'angelo jose )REYES LEONEL 120 20.00    
DRUM ROLL Feb02 Jan13 Dec15 Jul28 Jun18 (fawkes david)BRAVO J 126 3.00 22% 3.60    
BOSSY DIVA Jan13 Nov05 Oct14 Aug31 Aug06 (preciado g)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 10.00    
WISE AND ELEGANT Feb02 Jan07 Nov02 Oct06 Sep06 (cibelli jane)CASTELLANO J 126 3.50    
DELTA CHARM Feb24 Feb02 Dec09 Nov25 Oct14 (smith g)CENTENO E 126 4.50    
LOVE MAMI LOVE Jan18 Nov24 Aug23 Aug12 Jun17 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 126 5.00 11% 7.90    
EUPHIMA (ARG) Mar03 Jan27 Jan13 Dec15 Oct24 (klesaris ste)LOPEZ PASCACIO 126 2.00 41% 1.50    
 
GP-6   03/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($91K) 3 ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMART ALMASTY Dec16 Nov19 Nov12 Oct26   (burke )VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 30.00    
SPEED CONTROL Mar03 Jan28 Dec02 Oct21   (david a)LEON SONNY 118 20.00    
SCR  CARDINALE Feb17 Jan05 Nov18     (pletcher tod)ZAYAS J 120 3.00    
TURN UP THE TREES Feb10 Jan13       (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.50 17% 4.90    
SEA STREAK Feb03 Jan01 Dec09 Oct01 Sep09 (owens jr)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 14% 6.00    
KNIGHTSBRIDGE Nov04         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 0.80 47% 1.10    
 
GP-7   03/28/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3 F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEAVEN IN MIND Feb21 Feb01 Jan04 Dec07 Nov05 (sano a)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 20.00 8% 10.80    
NUNOFTHISNUNOFTHAT Mar01 Feb02 Jan05 Dec08 Oct08 (o'connell kath)REYES LEONEL 118 20.00    
NICKY JOLENE Feb21 Jan25 Jan04 Nov04 Sep24 (falcone n)RUIZ JORGE 118 12.00    
PUCKERED Nov18 Sep20 Aug01     (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 21% 3.80    
BEIRA Mar14 Feb04 Dec15 Oct20   (barboza victo)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 10% 8.50    
OYA THUNDER Mar01 Jan21 Dec16 Nov11   (de cerda)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 4.00 34% 2.00    
WONDERFULVENEZUELA Mar07 Feb11 Jan21 Dec24 Nov05 (barboza vict)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 10.00    
SCR  A PALACE FOR MOM Mar01 Jan31 Jan07 Nov25 Nov05 (alter happy)ORTIZ L 120 3.50    
GOOD BRIGHT FLAMES Mar17 Mar03 Feb04 Jan12 Dec30 (lutchman padara)PEREZ EDGAR 118 20.00    
 
GP-8   03/28/2024 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($91K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ETNICO Feb23 Jan17 Dec01 Jul02 May29 (abreu fernando)REYES LEONEL 121 12.00    
DEVILS ONLY FRIEND Mar23 Feb21 Jan31 Dec29 Dec21 (ferris m)RUIZ JORGE 121 20.00    
SCR  CHARGING AERO Mar02 Feb17 Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 (ryan s)CASTANON L 123 30.00    
HIGH LIMIT ROOM Mar01 Feb04 Dec23 Nov11 Oct14 (dibona s)JARAMILLO E 121 3.50 19% 4.40    
FAMOUS GENT Feb29 Jan28 Dec30 Dec03 Sep28 (abreu fernan)CASTELLANO J 121 6.00    
SHEKKY SHEBAZ Feb23 Jan28 Oct22 Jun04 Apr02 (drexler ma)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 8.00 14% 6.40    
NICHIREN Feb29 Feb01 Dec29 Dec02 Nov05 (crichton roha)ORTIZ JR 121 15.00    
JAM SESSION Jan18 Dec03 Oct28 Jul22 Jun25 (cibelli jane)ORTIZ L 123 10.00    
PORTOFINO Jan28 Dec29 May20 Apr15 Mar19 (orseno josep)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  VAMOS VIEJO Feb07 Jan26 Oct28 Sep02 Aug05 (breen kelly)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 5.00    
SCR  IF NOT FOR LUCK Mar24 Jan26 Dec21 Dec03 Aug20 (perez l)RIOS M 123 15.00    
12  SEAVER Feb24 Jan26 Jan04 Dec03 Sep16 (hills a)BRAVO J 123 4.50 43% 1.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.