Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - March 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (9/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/1/4)-(9/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/1/4)-(9/1/4)-(9/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/1/4)-(5/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (9/1/4)-(5/4/6)-(2/7/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-2   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(2/7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6)-(2/7/3/5)-(5/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-3   WIN (2/7/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/3/5)-(2/7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/3/5)-(2/7/3/5)-(2/7/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/3/5)-(5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/3/5)-(5/6/3)-(8/4/5/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-4   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(8/4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(8/4/5/3)-(3/4/5/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-5   WIN (8/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/5/3)-(8/4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/5/3)-(8/4/5/3)-(8/4/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/5/3)-(3/4/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/4/5/3)-(3/4/5/7)-(3/5/7/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-6   WIN (3/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/5/7)-(3/5/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5/7)-(3/5/7/4)-(3/6/2/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-7   WIN (3/5/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/7/4)-(3/5/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/7/4)-(3/5/7/4)-(3/5/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/7/4)-(3/6/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/7/4)-(3/6/2/5)-(7/6/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-8   WIN (3/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/2/5)-(3/6/2/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/6/2/5)-(3/6/2/7/5)-(3/6/2/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/6/2/5)-(7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-9   WIN (7/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/2)-(7/6/2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/2)-(7/6/2/5/4)-(7/6/2/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   03/13/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.5K) 3 F PT-12:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN PEACHES Feb28         (lopez mario)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 5.00 13% 6.80    
2  TURBO MILLIE Feb21 Jan14 Jan03 Nov09 Oct12 (mcgoey monic)MENESES MARCOS 118 3.00    
SCR  THE GODDESS NIKE Jan31 Jan13 Dec22 Dec02   (bennett ger)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 3.00    
4  RITZ ON BROADWAY Feb09 Jan13 Jan03 Dec02 Nov22 (potts wayne)CENTENO E 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  R FASHIONABLY LATE Feb18 Jan06 Nov29 Sep19 Aug25 (wilson tony)SOSA LAUREANO 118 15.00    
6  PLATINUM DIVA Feb23 Feb02 Jan14 Dec29 Nov22 (dini mike)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 3.50    
SCR  AMIRATI Mar03 Feb18 Jan31 Jan06 Dec08 (simone michael )GOMEZ KEVIN 118 1.60    
8  POLA OF TROUBLE Mar03 Feb16 Oct10 Sep27 Sep08 (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 118 12.00    
9  MACHO GIRL Feb23 Jan24 Jan07 Dec23 Dec08 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 118 2.00 48% 1.10    
 
TAM-2   03/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORM CREED Feb25 Feb14 Jan05 Nov05 Oct21 (parra hern)URDANETA J 125 6.00    
2  ELISSA JOE Feb17 Dec29 Nov29 Nov03 Sep22 (orseno joseph )CEDENO CAROL 121 4.00    
3  OSCAR GAZE Feb17 Dec29 Dec01 Sep16 Sep04 (dini mike)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 3.00    
4  TEARDUC Jan14 Sep22 Jul29 Jun23   (minguet r)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 4.00 14% 6.00    
5  BON DIA Feb14 Mar23 Feb25     (davis scooter)CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.50 50% 1.00    
6  MOTOWN MIKA Feb14 Dec16 Nov01 Sep30 Sep15 (o'connor ro)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-3   03/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROGER MCQUEEN Feb23 Jan24 Dec20 Nov13 Sep20 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 120 2.50    
2  HE'S IN CHARGE Feb14 Feb04 Jan05 Dec13 Nov22 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 2.00 47% 1.10    
3  ERLAN Feb17 Feb03 Jan26 Dec27 Dec20 (cascallares)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 4.00 7% 12.60    
4  FIDDLERSHOTPLEASUR Jan17 Nov16 Oct27 Oct12 Sep22 (cook devin)SOSA LAUREANO 115 30.00    
5  ALMASHRIQ Feb25 Feb04 Jan05 Dec15 Dec08 (pita daniel)FERRER C 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  RAISE A SPEIGHTS Feb25 Feb07 Dec08 Nov25 Nov17 (pickett crysta)CEDENO CAROL 120 20.00    
7  WHISTLEWHILEYOUMOW Feb18 Jan28 Jan05 Oct11 Sep25 (mendieta ale)MORELOS E 120 3.00 16% 5.30    
 
TAM-4   03/13/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING RAMOS Feb14 Jan27 Dec30 Jun10 Apr29 (o'connell)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 10.00    
SCR  CUPID'S DUDE Feb14 Jan26 Nov04 Oct07 Aug19 (potts wayne)CENTENO E 122 2.00    
3  TWO BY TWO Mar01 Feb10 Dec30 Sep14 Aug04 (ness jam)GALLARDO A 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  GUILLAUME Feb25 Jan27 Jan14 Dec27 Dec16 (torres pa)RODRIGUEZ A 122 6.00    
5  EXACTING Feb14 Feb02 Jan14 Dec16 Nov25 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 118 2.50 55% 0.80    
6  JUST PLAIN ORNERY Feb09 Jan26 Dec16 Nov24 Nov01 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  VINTNER Feb09 Dec01 Sep07 Aug25 Aug11 (yanez r)ALLEN D 118 30.00    
 
TAM-5   03/13/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($24K) 3 F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RETIRED KATHY Feb04 Jan03 Dec08 Sep02 Aug09 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 120 8.00    
SCR  HIGHLAND HOLIDAY         (harty eoin)MORALES PABLO 120 12.00    
3  OMEGA MS         (granitz anthony )FERRER C 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  PLEASANT EMBRACE Oct28 Sep30       (o'connel)GALLARDO A 120 8.00 25% 3.00    
5  PRINCESS ALESKA Feb17 Feb04 Dec31 Dec02 Oct25 (avila c)MENESES MARCOS 120 5.00 19% 4.30    
6  TAKE THE COOKIES Feb17 Jan20 Dec09 Oct07 Aug17 (motion graham)CENTENO E 120 6.00    
SCR  OUR PRAYER Feb10         (motion graham)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 3.50    
8  SHE'S SO SEXY Feb25 Jan05 Dec02 Sep15   (bennett g)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 4.50 26% 2.90    
9  BOLD LOOK Feb04 Jan20 Nov10 Sep16   (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 120 6.00    
SCR  SUMMER FLOWER Feb17 Jan28 Dec15 Dec02 Sep16 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 120 15.00    
11  SHAMU Feb17 Jan20 Dec15 Sep15   (dini mike)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 10.00    
SCR  VAI GATTINA Feb17 Jan28 Jan05 Dec02 Nov12 (pickett cry)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 30.00    
SCR  PURE MAGIC GIRL Feb14 Jan20 Dec02 Oct07 Sep21 (lopez mario)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 10.00    
SCR  SPUNFORFUN Jan26 Nov25 Nov05 Oct06 Sep08 (avila c)MORELOS E 120 4.00    
 
TAM-6   03/13/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUSIC AMORE Jan21 Aug12 Jul01 May27 May14 (arriagada)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 2.00    
2  GABBY SQUARED Jan21 Oct19 Oct05 Sep15 Sep02 (wright michae)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 8.00    
3  WATERWORKS Feb18 Jan17 Dec16 Nov29 Nov03 (carrascojr vic)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00 28% 2.50    
4  CHEM MAJOR Mar01 Feb04 Jan03 Dec16 Nov25 (hayford jenn)ARROYO S 118 3.50 23% 3.40    
5  CHESS NOT CHECKERS Feb18 Jan24 Jan03 Dec15 Nov25 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 118 6.00 19% 4.30    
6  OUR FANTASY Feb23 Feb04 Jan17 Dec16 Nov29 (torres r)CEDENO CAROL 118 6.00    
7  PASSIONFORTREASURE Feb18 Jan31 Jan13 Oct02 Sep07 (mendieta alej)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 15.00 7% 12.70    
 
TAM-7   03/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MILCHIN Feb24 Oct29       (guciardo ka)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 4.50    
2  ELECTRIC RUNNER Aug25         (manchan bertr)SOSA LAUREANO 117 20.00    
3  AWESOME CITY Feb24 Feb02 Oct22 Sep24 Aug31 (bennett )GALLARDO A 122 1.80 24% 3.20    
4  BOURBON EXPRESS         (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  MOR SPRING SPIRIT Feb24 Dec24       (mcgoey mo)HERNANDEZ H 122 3.00 22% 3.50    
6  FIRE BARON Feb28 Feb11 Jan24 Dec30 Nov25 (paragallo jenn)CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.00    
7  LINE ASTRAY Feb11 Sep27       (amaya gustavo)LUGO D 122 6.00 16% 5.40    
 
TAM-8   03/13/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNXPECTED TIGER Feb21 Feb02 Jan17 Dec31 Dec13 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 124 10.00    
2  SKYHOOPER Feb21 Jan27 Dec08 Oct29 Aug26 (arriagada)MALDONADO GABRIEL 117 3.00 16% 5.20    
3  SAN ANDRES Feb23 Jan26 Jan13 Dec13 Oct23 (campbell jo)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 3.50 38% 1.60    
4  HOLLYWOOD CLOSEUP Feb23 Feb09 Jan21 Jan12 Dec20 (potts wayne)CAMACHO SAMY 122 6.00    
5  SWING SAMMY Feb17 Feb02 Jan27 Jan07 Dec06 (sacco grego)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  RULE IT Mar06 Feb21 Feb09 Jan06 Nov29 (simone michael)CASTANON L 122 3.50 22% 3.60    
7  TUCKER ROAD Feb23 Jan26 Jan13 Jan06 Dec22 (sepulveda carlo)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 6.00 ★    
8  CALZONE Feb23 Feb09 Jan26 Jan06 Dec27 (rarick lynn)ALLEN D 122 15.00    
9  SIR DANIEL Mar01 Feb16 Feb02 Dec30 Dec09 (wasiluk pete)MORELOS E 126 15.00    
 
TAM-9   03/13/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LAST PROMISE Feb28 Feb11 Jan19 Jan06 Dec22 (rivera xavier)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 12.00    
2  CUZ Feb11 Sep27 Aug30 Aug17 May05 (guciardo kathy)CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
3  WAR CROSS Feb24 Feb07 Dec30 Dec20 Dec06 (gatis)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 8.00    
4  NOTACATBUTACARD Mar06 Feb11 Jan28 Jan14 Dec29 (simone v)FERRER C 122 5.00 ★    
5  SOCIETY JOE Feb23 Feb11 Dec15 Nov24 Nov05 (holder tedst)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 6.00 ★    
6  ALVY Feb14 Jan13 Jan03 Dec24 Nov22 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 122 4.00 18% 4.40    
7  SANDY LANE KITTEN Feb28 Feb11 Jan27 Jan13 Dec22 (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 3.00 59% 0.70    
8  ERIC THE SALESMAN Feb28 Feb11 Jan26 Jan17 Jan06 (roque elis)DIAZ J 112 20.00    
9  ZONIC Feb28 Jan19 Dec22 Dec01 Oct19 (mcgoey mo)MALDONADO GABRIEL 117 20.00    
10  KING NATE Aug26 Aug09 Jul22 Jul02 Jun17 (rarick lynn)ALLEN D 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.