Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Parx Racing
Tuesday - October 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRX-1   WIN (5/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/8)-(5/8/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/8)-(5/8/4/7)-(5/8/4/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/8)-(8/1/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/8)-(8/1/9)-(3/6/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRX-2   WIN (8/1/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/9)-(8/1/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/1/9)-(8/1/9)-(8/1/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/1/9)-(3/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/1/9)-(3/6/5)-(3/5/9/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-3   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(3/5/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(3/5/9/1)-(2/6/8/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-4   WIN (3/5/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/9/1)-(3/5/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/9/1)-(3/5/9/1)-(3/5/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/9/1)-(2/6/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/9/1)-(2/6/8/5)-(10/4/2/3/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PRX-5   WIN (2/6/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/8/5)-(2/6/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/8/5)-(2/6/8/5)-(2/6/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/8/5)-(10/4/2/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/6/8/5)-(10/4/2/3/7)-(1/6/5/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PRX-6   WIN (10/4/2/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/4/2/3/7)-(10/4/2/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/4/2/3/7)-(10/4/2/3/7)-(10/4/2/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/4/2/3/7)-(1/6/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/4/2/3/7)-(1/6/5/7)-(7/2/9/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PRX-7   WIN (1/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/7)-(1/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/7)-(1/6/5/7)-(1/6/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/5/7)-(7/2/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5/7)-(7/2/9/1)-(1/2/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-8   WIN (7/2/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/9/1)-(7/2/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/9/1)-(7/2/9/1)-(7/2/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/9/1)-(1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/9/1)-(1/2/4)-(9/1/7/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-9   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(9/1/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRX-10   WIN (9/1/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/7/8)-(9/1/7/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/1/7/8)-(9/1/7/6/8)-(9/1/7/6/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRX-1   10/31/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($28K) 2 F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOPHIA'S ROSE Oct03 Sep04       (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 119 6.00    
WHISKEYSTREETBLUES Sep23         (coletti )GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 119 6.00    
CALLIE RAE Aug22         (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 119 6.00    
MII AMO Sep04 Aug21 Jun18 May23 May01 (servis c)PENNINGTON F 119 1.80    
SHUDABEENACOWGIRL Oct16 Oct02 Aug22 Aug02 Jun18 (allen randy)LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 4.00 42% 1.40    
SWANS ISLAND Oct16 Oct02 Aug21     (montoya ma)SANCHEZ J 119 4.50    
GONE Oct02         (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 119 5.00    
GO CHLOE GO         (hogan j)CARTER T 119 12.00 25% 2.90    
 
PRX-2   10/31/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSSMAN JONES Oct02 Oct11 Aug22 Jul25 Jun14 (padilla-prec)BURKE JERMAINE 122 6.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  KABOD Oct04 Aug25 Jul21 Mar26 Feb27 (soto- )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 12.00    
DESANTIS Oct24 Oct11 Sep25 Jul12 Jun13 (diaz jorge)OCASIO M 121 5.00    
SCR  LONG LEGGED BOY Oct02 Sep20 Sep02 Jul03 Jun14 (arce josue)CORREA JULIO 118 10.00    
SAL N LOUIE Oct16 Sep20 Sep06 Aug18 Aug09 (perez a)CASTILLO A 122 4.50    
SCR  FATIH Sep25 Sep10 Aug26 Aug05 Jul08 (gelrod mont)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00    
SCR  GO GREEN Sep09 Aug17 Jul08 Jun17 May28 (hamilton)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 118 15.00    
BULLET BUTCH Sep04 Aug21 Jun06 May01 Apr03 (guerrero g)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
QUICKENING Oct16 Oct03 Sep26 Sep10 Aug18 (ashton patric)SILVERA RUBEN 118 6.00 17% 5.00    
10  DADASHEV Oct16 Oct02 Sep19 Sep05 Aug18 (hogan william)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 12.00    
 
PRX-3   10/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($32K) 2 F PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARLEE Oct18 Oct03 Sep16 Aug15 Aug01 (bedard alan)OCASIO M 119 15.00    
SHE'SALLATWITTER Oct09 Sep11       (hawthorn)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 119 4.00    
LA SIERVA C Oct02         (rodriguez migue)BOWMAN ADAM 119 3.50 52% 0.90    
PRINCESS ANISA Sep02         (gonzalez cla)LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 5.00    
SARATOGA SWEETS Oct02 Sep04 Jul17     (coletti edw)PAREDES JHOVANY 112 10.00 5% 19.00    
MY STARSHIP Sep23 Aug10 Jul18 Jul08   (romero rafael)RUIZ ELISEO 114 4.50 18% 4.70    
BAY BAY BIRDIE Sep16 Aug21 Jul17     (reid e)ADORNO ABNER 119 3.00    
 
PRX-4   10/31/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANGELUS WARRIOR Oct03 Aug23 Jul12 Jun19 May22 (castillo mic)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
TRUE DAKOTAN Oct16 Sep27 Sep06 Jul24 Jul10 (soto- marti)ANGULO J 122 15.00    
SEICHE Oct03 Sep20 Aug04 Jul06 May27 (ness j)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 3.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  MR. TUTTLE Sep05 Aug04 Jul19 Jun12 May30 (pattershall)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 15.00    
EXCURSION Oct10 Oct03 Jul18 Jul03 Jun12 (dandy ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
RELATIVLEA Oct10 Sep12 Jun05 May09 Jan09 (solis jacint)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 10.00    
THERISASTORMBREWIN Oct09 Sep26 Sep11 Aug16 Aug04 (diaz jorge)ORTIZ JOSHUA 112 15.00    
HIDDEN PROMISE Oct23 Jul18 Jul03 Jun06 May15 (rodriguez )RIVERA R 117 5.00    
CAUSALISTIC Oct03 Sep18 Sep05 Aug23 Jul25 (guerrero g)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 4.00 6% 17.00    
 
PRX-5   10/31/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($28K) 2 ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARINE PATROL Oct10         (ashton patri)LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 8.00    
DOS DE OROS Oct17 Sep18       (caban carlo)VASQUEZ WILFRED 119 2.50 34% 1.90    
RUMAWAY Oct23 Oct10 Jul01     (hogan william)TREJOS JOSEPH 119 15.00    
MYHEARTWILLGOON Oct10 Sep18 Sep05 Jul19 Jun19 (rodriguez mi)HADDOCK DEXTER 119 8.00    
SIR PALACE PRINCE Oct03         (hawthorne bo)HERNANDEZ ANDY 119 5.00 7% 12.80    
JAKNAVA         (hogan willi)RAMOS C 119 12.00 19% 4.20    
CHINESEIAM Sep12         (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 119 4.00    
AWESOME HARRY         (nunn douglas)MOYA F 119 8.00 17% 4.80    
GLORIOUS MACHO MAN Oct17 Oct03 Aug22     (penalo)GONZALEZ JR 119 8.00    
 
PRX-6   10/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LORD SEABEE Oct02         (jenkins suzanne)BOWMAN ADAM 121 20.00    
WARRIOR'S VOW Sep27         (guerrero j)SANCHEZ J 121 4.50 11% 7.90    
KAIQUE Sep06 Aug23 Jul11 Jun14 May03 (linder louis )OCASIO M 121 3.00 11% 8.20    
UPFOR PAROLE Oct16 Sep04 Aug21 Jul11 Jun14 (rodriguez )RIVERA R 116 6.00 14% 6.30    
CRACK THE CODE Oct09 Sep27 Sep04 Jul11 Jul01 (conrad paul)MOYA F 124 6.00    
KEEP DEM TALKING Aug25 Aug13 Jul23 Jul01 Jun18 (king claren)PAREDES JHOVANY 114 12.00    
ROAD CALL Oct16 Jul24 Jul11 Jun13 May20 (mccaslin j)HENRY JR 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
UNION PARK Oct16 Sep06 Jul30 Jul11 Jun18 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 20.00    
VESELSKY Oct02 Sep03 Jul09     (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 121 5.00    
10  CLASSIC BOURBON Jul09 Jun23 May12 Apr21 Feb26 (castillo mic)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 8.00 36% 1.80    
 
PRX-7   10/31/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JEEPER Jun18 Apr20 Mar26 Feb25 Feb03 (catalano)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 3.50 39% 1.60    
SUPREME BEING Oct18 Sep24 Sep05 Jul26 Jun27 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 10.00    
RUSH CENTER Oct03 Sep18 Aug05 Jun21 Jun10 (mosco robert)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 6.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT CAT Oct18 Oct03 Sep06 Aug26 Aug03 (flores-cob)ROWLAND MADELINE 118 6.00    
BIG BOYS ANSWER Oct03 Sep06 Jul26 Jul11 Jun18 (truehart jenn)OCASIO M 118 8.00 11% 8.30    
WILKINSON WARRIOR Mar22 Feb27 Feb08     (servis c)BOWMAN ADAM 118 4.00 19% 4.40    
AGARRAMESIPUEDES Oct03 Sep02 Jul08 Jun10 Mar30 (gonzalez cla)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 4.50 9% 10.40    
CHIEF FORTY Oct09 Sep11 Oct12 Sep22 Sep02 (bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 118 12.00    
COMPLETED STORM Oct03 Jan14 Dec17 Oct27 Aug15 (gonzalez cla)LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 15.00    
10  NINJA PRIZE Oct03 Sep18 Jun21 May22 May06 (solis jacinto)ADORNO ABNER 118 10.00    
 
PRX-8   10/31/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DECOUPAGE Oct09 Sep23 Aug28 Jul06 May17 (diaz jorge)CORREA JULIO 122 8.00 6% 17.10    
DOCTOR ABBIE Oct14 Sep25 Sep12 Aug04 Jul21 (kravets bruce )PENNINGTON F 118 4.00 21% 3.70    
THIS ROUND'S MINE Sep12 Aug10 Jul12 May02 Apr10 (polachek ja)DE KEMICH 115 15.00    
BOSS LIKE BETH Oct18 Oct09 Sep23 Sep04 Aug23 (polachek jan)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 10.00    
SCR  ERIN'S ENTHUSIASM Oct09 Sep11 Aug04 Jul11 Jun28 (aristone p)SANCHEZ J 122 5.00    
BOHEMIA BABE Oct11 Sep19 Aug22 Jul28 Jul12 (mercedes pedro)RUIZ ELISEO 117 20.00    
YOUR INHERITANCE Oct09 Aug06 Jul22 Jun18 Jun04 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.00 34% 1.90    
SPANIKOPITA Oct16 Sep25 Aug11 Jul12 Jun18 (cole-davis)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 20.00    
COACH HAS SIX ACES Sep19 Jul26 Jul18 Apr10 Feb24 (flores-coba )LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.50 14% 5.90    
 
PRX-9   10/31/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARRIOR'S RANSOM Oct10 Sep23 Aug21 Jul17 Jun28 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 3.00 23% 3.30    
CENTRE COURT CHAMP Jul18 Jul01 May28 May08 Mar07 (mosco robert)OCASIO M 122 6.00 22% 3.60    
JUROR NUMBER FOUR Sep28 Aug29 Jun16 Dec30 Nov25 (reid rober)SANCHEZ J 122 8.00    
SOCIAL SUCCESS Sep23 Aug21 Jul21 Apr12 Mar06 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 118 4.00 19% 4.40    
EARLY EDITION Aug29 Jul18 May29 May08 Apr03 (mcmullin stacy)ADORNO ABNER 122 6.00    
DISCO EBO Apr24 Mar07 Feb15 Jan24 Dec10 (reid e)PENNINGTON F 122 1.20    
 
PRX-10   10/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIRTHDAY BOND ROB         (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 120 8.00 19% 4.40    
E T'S DEMON FIRE Oct16 Sep26       (chacon gust)ANGULO J 120 15.00    
BUBBY PAPERMAKER Oct02 Sep18 Aug12 Jul24 Jul12 (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 6.00    
IT'S A PITY Oct16 Oct02 Aug02 Jul12 Jul05 (whylie h)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 6.00    
SCR  CAUTELOSO Oct16 May27 Apr20     (castillo mich)RIVERA D 120 20.00    
HASTEN THENCE Jun14         (pollara fran)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 6.00    
UPTOWN SHOES Oct02 Sep18 Aug29 Jul05 Jun21 (curry dee)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 5.00 14% 6.30    
COMMISSION ALWAYS Jul13         (romero rafael)RUIZ ELISEO 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
GAMERUN Oct18 Aug05       (klesaris steve)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 1.60 42% 1.40    
10  OUT ON THE TOWN Oct16 Oct05       (crook-demasi )SILVERA RUBEN 124 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.