Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Downs Tb
Sunday - October 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTD-1   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(5/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTD-2   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(6/1)-(6/5/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CTD-3   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CTD-4   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTD-5   WIN (1/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/6/3)-(1/2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/6/3)-(1/2/6/3)-(1/2/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
CTD-6   WIN (4/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/9/8)-(4/9/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/9/8)-(4/9/6/8)-(4/9/6/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/9/8)-(7/4/1/5)-(4/5/7/10/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CTD-7   WIN (7/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/5)-(7/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/5)-(7/4/1/5)-(7/4/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/1/5)-(4/5/7/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CTD-8   WIN (4/5/7/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/7/10/9)-(4/5/7/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/10/9)-(4/5/7/10/9)-(4/5/7/10/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTD-1   10/01/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WOMANONTHEWARPATH Sep17 Aug26 Aug04 Jul21 Jul07 (frey carson)PRESCOD N'RICO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  MONEY MUNCHER Sep01 Jul30 Jul01 Jun03 May13 (nicholson david)NELSON DANE 122 2.00    
3  BEAUGATTI Sep17 Jul22 Jul08 Jun16 Nov05 (t)GRIFFITH DELANE 120 8.00    
4  LIGHTENING ANNA Jun30 Nov04 Oct22 Oct15 Sep18 (tingle ken)MARTIN ANDRE 123 5.00 16% 5.30    
5  FROSTEDBIRD Sep01 Aug19 Aug06 Jul30 Jul23 (bak)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 4.50    
6  SPORTSCARR Sep17 Sep01 Jul30 Jul09 Jun23 (heggie rod)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 2.50 56% 0.80    
 
CTD-2   10/01/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERDITION Sep17 Aug26 Aug18 Aug12 Jul22 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 2.00 22% 3.40    
2  SHARP DRESSED BEAU Sep17 Aug26 Aug12 Jul23 Jun30 (brown r)NELSON DANE 125 8.00 7% 13.00    
3  GIVE EM HECK BECK Sep17 Sep01 Aug18 Jul09 Jun03 (hedge rick)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 10.00    
4  NORTH FORK Sep20 Sep06 Aug28 Aug14 Jul26 (kingston )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 4.50    
5  HARD TO COME HOME Sep17 Sep01 Aug25 Aug12 Jun30 (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 1.80 43% 1.30    
6  CARSON'S LEGACY Sep24 Sep17 Sep01 Aug25 Aug13 (frey carson)NATERA KEIHTON 125 6.00    
 
CTD-3   10/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3 F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER CARO Aug26 Jul21 Jul10 Jun20 Jun02 (o'h)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 3.00 20% 4.10    
2  SKIP'S ROCK Sep16 Aug19 Aug05 Jul28 Jul07 (smith cra)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 4.50    
3  SINGING BELL Sep16 Aug19 Jul28 Jul07 Jun10 (humbke che)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 6.00    
SCR  ECHO CREEK Sep16 Aug26 Jul21 Jul01 Jun16 (robert)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 15.00    
SCR  BEAUTIFUL MESS Sep16 Sep01 Aug19 Jul07 Jun09 (wyness james)NELSON DANE 122 3.50    
6  BIG HUG Sep16 Aug26 Aug05 Jul21 Jul01 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 122 1.60 53% 0.90    
 
CTD-4   10/01/2023 4950ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOTIFUL ROSE Sep17 Aug19 Aug05 Jul21 Jul01 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 122 10.00 13% 6.60    
2  HENRY'S GAMBLE Sep10 Aug26 Aug12 Jul28 Jul09 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 12.00    
3  GO MAMA Sep10 Aug12 Jul29 Jun02 May13 (grieves r)ZENTENO JR 123 15.00    
4  WITT'S TENNY TEN Sep12 Aug22 Aug08 Jul26 Jul11 (gaskin steve)NATERA KEIHTON 125 6.00    
5  JOY IN GRACE Sep09 Aug12 Jul28 Jul09 Jun16 (rycroft ti)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 123 3.50 14% 6.20    
6  MI REYNA Sep16 Aug26 Jul09 Jun16 May26 (anderson )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 1.00 41% 1.40    
7  ADDYDIDIT Sep10 Aug12 Jul29 Jul16 Jun30 (o'hagan coll)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 8.00    
 
CTD-5   10/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAST RENEGADE Sep20 Sep11 Aug23 Aug07 Jul11 (kingston karlin)NELSON DANE 125 2.50 37% 1.70    
2  EXAMINER Sep17 Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 Jul28 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 3.00 31% 2.20    
3  LITTLE CHICAGO Sep17 Sep01 Aug13 Jul28 Jul16 (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  WYE CROSS Sep17 Jul21 Jul08 Jul01 Jun09 (smith)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 10.00    
5  BROWNING ISLAND Sep18 Sep11 Aug29 Aug22 Jul26 (anderson gonzal)POON ANDREW 125 8.00    
6  EXPLODE Aug26 Jun24 Jun10 May26 May06 (a)GRIFFITH DELANE 120 6.00 9% 10.30    
7  DAD'S LEGACY Sep17 Sep10 Jul30 Jul16 May06 (rycroft ti)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 4.00    
8  DUNE D'ORO Sep17 Aug13 Aug04 Jul23 Jul08 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 125 8.00    
 
CTD-6   10/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOKERS R WILD Sep17 Sep01 Aug27 Aug05 Jul22 (rycroft tom)NATERA KEIHTON 122 20.00    
2  TRAPEZE Sep23 Jul30 Jul08     (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 10.00    
3  BORN ON FIRE Sep17 Sep01 Jun10 Apr23 Mar19 (bell ken)BRYAN D 122 15.00    
4  SIX SHOTS OF T Sep01 Jul29 Jul16 Jun10 May27 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 1.20 68% 0.50    
5  RYE TOAST Sep17 Sep01 Aug18     (petrowski )RIZO ALEXIS 122 30.00    
6  WIZARDOFMENLOPARK Sep17 Sep01 Aug13 Jul30 Jul16 (o'hagan )GUERRERO FRANCISCO 122 6.00 ★    
7  FAVORITE LIGHT Sep13 Sep04 Aug09 Jul26 Jul05 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 122 3.50    
8  GWIZZ May07         (smith)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  NO MOR DISCO         (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 4.50 9% 10.50    
 
CTD-7   10/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASHES TO ASHES Sep20 Sep06 Aug14 Aug01 Jul17 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 122 3.50 6% 15.80    
2  STARMA Sep01 Nov05 Sep23     (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 122 20.00    
3  CHABI Jul07 May06 Aug12 Jul03 Jun04 (baker )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 10.00    
4  TENDER LOVE Sep23 Aug13 Jul29 Jul01 Jun09 (leech wil)ZENTENO JR 122 2.50 8% 12.00    
5  SMOKIN JOY Sep16 Sep01 Aug19 Aug05 Jul29 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  DUBD SAINT ANGEL Sep06 Aug14 Aug02 Jul17   (scott ronald)MARTIN ANDRE 122 30.00    
7  WISH ON A STAR Sep01 Aug13 Jul23 May06   (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 3.00 62% 0.60    
8  RECIO'S SKYE Sep17         (ander)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 6.00    
9  BLAZING SUN Sep23 Sep01       (kettleson ali)LUNAN RICHARD 122 10.00    
 
CTD-8   10/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3 ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT'S A FACT Sep16 Aug19 Jul22 Jul01 Jun03 (frey carson)BRYAN D 122 8.00    
2  BIG BAD INTAGLIO Sep16 Aug19 Jul29 Jul08 Jul01 (heggie rod)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00    
3  ALTITUDE Aug26 Jul30 Jun24 Jun17 Jun09 (brown jim )BALGOBIN KEISHAN 122 20.00    
4  DOUSEAWHATISEA Sep17 Aug26 Jul22 Jun30 Jun17 (frey carso)RIZO ALEXIS 122 3.00 44% 1.30    
5  KYSTONE Sep16 Aug25 Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 (hedge ric)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 4.50 17% 4.90    
6  ROUGH CUSTOMER Sep16 Aug29 Aug22 Aug07 Jul17 (scott ronald)MARTIN ANDRE 122 15.00    
7  FOUR O SIX CREED Sep17 Aug25 Aug13 Jul29 Jul08 (kingston kar)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 4.00 11% 8.20    
8  FLASHIN ACES Aug26 Aug06 Jul30 Jul01 Jun17 (brown r)NELSON DANE 122 15.00    
9  ARGENTINA CRIES (IRE) Sep09 Aug19 Aug11 Jul30 Jul22 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  READYTOTAPNSING Sep23 Sep09 Aug25 Aug13 Jul29 (frey carson)NATERA KEIHTON 122 6.00 8% 11.60    
11  H K RAPPER Sep16 Aug12 Jul23 Jun30 Jun03 (con)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.