Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Albuquerque
Saturday - September 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ALB-7   WIN (4/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/8)-(4/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/8)-(4/7/8)-(4/7/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ALB-8   WIN (9/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/1/3)-(9/1/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/1/3)-(9/1/4/3)-(9/1/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
ALB-9   WIN (2/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/6/3)-(10/6/5/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
ALB-10   WIN (10/6/5/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/6/5/4/3)-(10/6/5/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/6/5/4/3)-(10/6/5/4/3)-(10/6/5/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ALB-7   09/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M NOBLE Sep04 Aug20 Aug10 Jul08 Jun07 (martinez )VALENZUELA A 122 2.50    
2  THOUGHTS OF GOLD Aug21 Jul31 Jun19 Apr29 Aug06 (wheeler travis)RAMEY CASH 116 20.00    
3  TIZ'A STELLAR DUDE Jul16 Jun25 May20 Jan17 Dec01 (w)DE CRUZ 124 10.00    
4  PRECEDENT Sep02 Jul29 Jul02 Jun17 Apr29 (martinez a)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  HEART TO BEAT Sep03 May20 Apr30 Apr16 Sep30 (archuleta adam)MEDELLIN A 121 12.00    
6  COUYONS CAUSE Sep08 Jul16 May13 Mar24 Mar02 (alfortish sean)HEBERT J 121 3.50    
7  MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY Jul28 Jul15 Jun17 Jun03 Apr04 (alvarez sergi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 8.00 21% 3.80    
8  OHHH DADDY Sep08 Jul16 Apr02 Feb12 Jan31 (rojero c)ROSENDO J 119 4.50 11% 8.10    
 
ALB-8   09/23/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAUTE LADY Jun11 May07 Apr09 Feb21 Jan24 (sedillo carlos)VALDEZ S 124 10.00 7% 13.00    
2  BINGOS SYSTEM Sep02 Jan24 Jan10 Dec06 Nov21 (frias gregor)VILLANUEVA C 124 25.00    
3  DOM PROUD Jul29 Jun11 May29 May06 Apr15 (rojero lu)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  ROSES FOR SUZZETT Sep07 Aug05 Jun11 Feb05 Dec22 (gonzalez sal)VERGARA P 124 8.00 ★    
SCR  SPRINKLES Jul30 Jul16 Jul01     (matt wendel)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 122 12.00 13% 6.90    
6  SAGANAKI Sep07 Aug06 Jun24 May21 May07 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 3.50    
7  EMMYS SILVER Aug19 Aug31 Aug05 Feb25 Feb01 (cross gary)HEBERT J 124 3.00    
8  SIMPERING SMILE Sep07 Aug05 Jun17 May13 May05 (l)DE CRUZ 122 4.50    
9  QUICK SANDY Aug06         (gleason m)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 50% 1.00    
10  STELLA WHEAT Jun11 Mar19 Feb21 Jan22 Dec13 (rojero c)ROSENDO J 124 15.00    
SCR  OUR ISLAND GIRL Sep08 May14 Apr15 Mar21 Feb21 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 20.00    
 
ALB-9   09/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Carlos Salazar Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORRINA CORRINA Sep04 Jul23 Apr09 Mar05 Feb05 (cross gary)HEBERT J 124 3.00 21% 3.70    
  (by MR. TRIESTE out of SCARED MONEY by CARSON CITY)
2  BELLA DONA Sep04 Mar12 Oct30 Sep17 Aug27 (buechler sim)FUENTES A 121 2.00 37% 1.70    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of CHARLOTTE'S DRONE by B. G.'S DRONE)
3  BIKINI TIME Feb05 Jan01 Dec20 Dec01 Oct30 (hone bart)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 8.00 8% 11.40    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of UNCONSTITUTIONAL by GRAND SLAM)
4  FLAXY LADY Jul23 Apr09 Mar05 Jan29 Jan17 (gonzalez )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 12.00    
  (by FIREJACK out of DONALI by DONERAILE COURT)
5  CAYCEE'S MARK Mar21 Mar07 Jan17 Dec19 Dec01 (summer)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 15.00    
  (by MARKING out of BELLA IZABELLA by LINE OF DAVID)
6  OUR TIME TO SHINE Mar05 Jan29 Dec12 Oct30 Apr23 (summers n)VALENZUELA A 121 4.50 9% 10.40    
  (by LAUGH TRACK out of SHINESTEIN by PREMEDITATION)
7  BETTER BELIEVE Sep03 Jul22 Sep25 Sep10 Aug14 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 119 5.00    
  (by MARKING out of LOOKIN BETTER by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
8  RAISE OUR FLAG Aug04 Jul14 May07 Apr09 Mar14 (g)DE CRUZ 121 20.00    
  (by MR. GOLD MOVER out of RAISED WITH PRIDE by PROUD CITIZEN)
9  LEMON DROP GOLD Jul23 Aug27 Aug07 Apr23 Mar27 (quintan)FUENTES T 121 20.00    
  (by MR. GOLD MOVER out of POISON PEN by ARTS AND LETTERS)
 
ALB-10   09/23/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($20.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  D C ALLIED FORCES Sep03 Jul22 Jun16 Mar21 Feb21 (aldavaz herme)MARQUEZ LARRY 121 6.00    
2  ALL YOUR JAZZ Sep02 Jul16 Mar05 Jan17   (gutierrez)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 10.00    
3  DINOS DA DADDY Sep03 Jun16 Apr23 Mar21 Feb21 (aldavaz jaim)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  SMOOTH BLUES Sep03 Aug18 Jul29 Jul08 Nov15 (rojero c)ROSENDO J 121 8.00 5% 17.70    
5  FABSTRACTION Sep07 Feb14 Feb04 Jan19 Jan02 (macvitt)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 15.00 9% 10.40    
6  GAMBLING COWBOY Sep03 May20 May06 Apr02 Jan11 (olguin ever)TORRES J 121 4.50 27% 2.80    
7  JUVAL Sep02 Aug19 Jul16 Jul08 Jun18 (silva lillian)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 20.00    
8  ZESTY JAZZMAN Aug18 Jul22 Jul16 May29 Apr02 (v)DE CRUZ 121 25.00    
9  MICKEYS GOLD Sep02 Aug19 Jul22 Dec20 Dec12 (lambert c)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 3.50    
10  D C GUN RUNNER Sep02 Jul30 Jul15 Jun17 Jun03 (saucedo rene)MEDELLIN A 124 3.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  MONIKER Jun10 May13 Apr22 Feb28 Feb14 (chavez)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 119 20.00    
SCR  REEL EM IN Aug18 Jul22 Mar21 Sep30 Aug26 (lello p)VALDEZ S 121 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.