Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Assiniboia Downs
Tuesday - September 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-1   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 4 $0.20 $0.80 
    DD (1/2)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/2) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
ASD-2   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(1/5/2)-(7/1/8/2) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-3   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(7/1/8/2)-(3/8/7/4) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-4   WIN (7/1/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/8/2)-(7/1/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/8/2)-(7/1/8/2)-(7/1/8/2) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    PK3 (7/1/8/2)-(3/8/7/4)-(1/6/5/2) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
ASD-5   WIN (3/8/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/7/4)-(3/8/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/7/4)-(3/8/7/4)-(3/8/7/4) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    PK3 (3/8/7/4)-(1/6/5/2)-(4/2/9/6) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
ASD-6   WIN (1/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/2)-(1/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/2)-(1/6/5/2)-(1/6/5/2) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (1/6/5/2)-(4/2/9/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ASD-7   WIN (4/2/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/9/6)-(4/2/9/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/2/9/6)-(4/2/9/8/6)-(4/2/9/8/6) 48 $0.20 $9.60 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ASD-1   09/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG BIG ENERGY Aug23 Aug09 Jul24 Jul10 Jun26 (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 117 0.80 74% 0.40    
FREEDOM CONVOY Aug29 Aug14 Jul25     (anderson wendy)AEBLY FRASER 112 8.00 5% 19.00    
PAYITFORWARD Aug23 Jul31 Jul17     (hrymak b)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 15.00    
HELENS SPIRIT Jul25 Jul12 Jun07 Sep27 Sep07 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 123 20.00    
JACKIE'S THUNDER Aug09 Jul24 Jul10 Jun26 Jun13 (husbands tiffa)BUDHU ARTHUR 117 5.00    
NO BARB WIRE Aug29 Jun26       (johnson marion)BELLE SHAVON 117 2.50    
 
ASD-2   09/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUE KATE Aug30 Aug21 Jul05 Jun21 Jun06 (rawson fr)CHADEE JR 121 1.60 36% 1.80    
MOVE TO ORDER Aug29 Aug23 Jul25 Jul12 Jun27 (morin shaun)BADALOO DOUGLAS 112 8.00    
FINGER TIP Aug30 Aug21 Jul25 Jul11 Jun26 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 15.00 19% 4.30    
MIAMI SOUVENIRS Aug30 Aug21 Aug08 Jul31 Jul11 (maxwell c)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 4.50    
JUST FOR CHARLOTTE Aug30 Aug21 Aug08 Jul25 Jul10 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 123 3.50 20% 4.00    
A LOT TO LIKE Aug28 Aug02 Jul12 Jun28 Jun14 (hrymak brent)AEBLY FRASER 116 3.00    
 
ASD-3   09/12/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($40K) 3 ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIVATE FRANK Aug21 Jul26 Jul12 Jun12 May30 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 122 0.80 65% 0.50    
  (by GOING COMMANDO out of INSPEIGHTOFSUCCESS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
VALID DEFENCE Aug28 Aug14 Jul31 Jul19 Jul05 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by A SHIN FORWARD out of TALKN TIL MIDNIGHT by BROKEN VOW)
SUGAR DADDY JACK Aug28 Aug14 Aug07 Jul31 Jul18 (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 122 12.00    
  (by NONIOS out of NICKEL CANDY by SILVER DEPUTY)
KEYSTONE CASH Aug29 Aug23 Jul31 Jul17 Jun19 (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 122 30.00    
  (by NONIOS out of LEESBURG GAL by TRUST N LUCK)
I LOVE MY LIFE Aug29 Aug08 Jul12 Jun21 Jun05 (pruitt li)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 1.40 14% 6.40    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of MIDNIGHT SHADOW by TRAJECTORY)
KENTUCKY JAKE Aug08 Jul12 Jun13 May30 Sep26 (rawson fr)CHADEE JR 122 10.00    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of KOMMANDO KATE by GOING COMMANDO)
 
ASD-4   09/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAZZLING GOLD Aug30 Aug08 Jul05 Jun21 Jun06 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 123 5.00 18% 4.50    
TAPITURE WAY Aug30 Aug09 Jul12 Jun28 Jun19 (brown shelley)BALROOP SVEN 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
STAN'S STARLET Aug30 Aug21 Aug09 Jul26 Jun23 (anderson wendy)AEBLY FRASER 112 15.00    
TECATE GOLD Aug30 Aug23 Jul24 Jul11 Jun27 (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 12.00    
MO ARETHA Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 Jun15 May10 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 117 4.00    
MISS LANGSKIP Aug09 Jul17 Jun21 Jun05 May22 (husbands tiff)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 3.00    
DIAMOND GRAND Sep06 Aug09 Aug02 Jul10 Jun02 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 2.50 47% 1.10    
TIPSY AT THE BAR Aug30 Aug02 Jun24 Jun11 Jun11 (hanson deborah)BELLE SHAVON 123 10.00 6% 14.70    
 
ASD-5   09/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATO'S LADY Aug28 Aug22 Aug01 Jul26 Jun18 (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 123 10.00    
ISLAND HIGH Aug23 Aug01 Jul11 Jun19   (pruitt lise)CHOW CHAVION 117 30.00    
KATE'S PRINCESS Aug29 Jul31 Jul11 Jun28 Jun13 (danelson gary)AEBLY FRASER 118 1.20 40% 1.50    
MISS Z Aug23 Aug07 Jul05 Jun21 Jun06 (keplin st)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 6.00 9% 10.00    
CHICAGO RIVER Aug29 Aug22 Aug08 Jul17 Jul09 (brown shelley)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 12.00    
DIXIE MO Aug22 Aug08 Jun21 Jun05 Sep26 (wise a)ALI RONALD 121 15.00    
WITT'S TENNY TEN Aug22 Aug08 Jul26 Jul11 Jun28 (gaskin steven)BALROOP SVEN 123 4.00 11% 8.50    
BLAZING SKY Aug22 Jul26 Jun14 Jun05 May22 (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 121 5.00 18% 4.50    
 
ASD-6   09/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROPERLY CONNECTED Sep04 Aug22 Aug08 Jul12 Jul05 (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 119 2.00 36% 1.80    
ROCKIN ATTHE PARTY Sep04 Aug02 Jun18 Aug23 Jul31 (hanson debor)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 10.00 9% 10.00    
HENRISINCONTROL Aug14 Jul31 Jul11 Jul05 Sep27 (anderson wendy)AEBLY FRASER 117 20.00    
LIVERYMAN Aug28 Aug14 Jul17 Jun26 Sep20 (desjarlais ry)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 15.00    
PRAIRIE DRIFTER Aug29 Aug22 Aug01 Jun27 Jun21 (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 117 3.00 9% 9.70    
CALL THE COPS Sep04 Aug22 Jul05 Jun21 May23 (dickey elton)CUMBERBATCH R 122 4.00 17% 4.80    
FINE SOFT MORNING Aug28 Aug23 Aug09 May29 Apr16 (cole terry)ALI RONALD 124 40.00    
ASTA LAVISTA HONEY Sep04 Aug23 Jul31 Jul26 Jun22 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 5.00    
MOSIE'S ON MAIN Aug28 Aug14 Jul31 Jul17 Jul05 (husbands tiff)TARASENCO P 124 30.00    
 
ASD-7   09/12/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ITS A BOY Jul11 Jun26 Aug31 Aug14 Jun25 (sanderson bruc)AEBLY FRASER 117 20.00    
OLD TRAFFORD Aug23 Jul22 Jun25 Jun11 May13 (taphorn mike)TARASENCO P 124 6.00 16% 5.20    
MANY ROSES Aug28 Jul29 Jun17 May27 May06 (cavanaug)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 20.00    
RIDE EM Aug28 Aug08 Jul25 Jul10 Jun28 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 124 2.50 48% 1.10    
MAYBE SOMETIME Aug08 Jul25 Jul11 Jul04 Jun19 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 122 8.00    
REALLY SLOW Aug29 Aug21 Jul19 Jul04 Jun13 (tourangeau m)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
DOUBLE TIME Aug29 Aug21 Jul11 Jun19 Jun05 (thompson steve)BELLE SHAVON 124 50.00    
GENTRIFIED Aug21 Jul15 Feb15 Jan07 Nov30 (cavanaugh perr)BALROOP SVEN 124 3.50    
OUT ON SATURDAY Aug29 Aug21 Jul19 May23 Sep20 (dickey el)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 4.50 12% 7.50    
10  SATURDAY SERVICE Aug22 Jul31 Jul26 Jun28 Jun19 (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 121 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.