Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Canterbury Park
Saturday - August 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CBY-1   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(6/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CBY-2   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(5/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(5/1/6)-(6/5/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CBY-3   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(6/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6)-(6/5/2)-(3/6/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CBY-4   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(3/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(3/6/1)-(3/2/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CBY-5   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(3/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CBY-6   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(3/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(3/1/6)-(8/4/5/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CBY-7   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(8/4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CBY-8   WIN (8/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/5/1)-(8/4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/5/1)-(8/4/5/1)-(8/4/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CBY-1   08/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC11 FAST Minnesota Oaks Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THUNDERS ROCKNROLL Aug05 Jun21 May28 May05 Apr01 (rhone berne)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 3.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of THUNDER AND HONEY by THUNDER GULCH)
CUPIDS CRUSH Jul15 Jun21 May29 Apr08 Sep10 (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 0.80 54% 0.90    
  (by CUPID out of DAZZLINGSWEETHEART by DAZZLING FALLS)
LOVER GIRL Jul15 May29 Sep10 Aug17   (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50 20% 3.90    
  (by CONGRATS out of VICAR'S DAUGHTER by VICAR)
CHECKCASHINGCONNIE Jul15 Jun21 May28 Sep10 Jul27 (robertson m)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of SHESO DAZZLING by DAZZLING FALLS)
ANA Jul23 Jun04 Mar09 Feb01 Oct15 (scherer gary)WADE LYNDIE 122 5.00    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of ATTAR OF ROSE by LEAR FAN)
 
CBY-2   08/12/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 2 F PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRESSONS LIL CHARM Jul22 Jul02 Jun16 May28   (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 118 4.00    
  (by LEWIS MICHAEL out of ARTISTIC CHARM by DUTCH ART)
SHY SHY         (robertson mclean)GOODWIN N 118 3.00 15% 5.50    
  (by PAYNTER out of TOO SHY SHY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
MISS SILVER Jul22         (martinez )VALENZUELA A 118 4.50    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of SILVER ALLURE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SWEET GETAWAY         (martinez e)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 118 8.00 9% 10.50    
  (by GRAYDAR out of QUICK GETAWAY by WEEKEND CRUISE)
TAPITURE'S LADY         (rosin w)WADE LYNDIE 118 5.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of IMPECCABLE LADY by EXCHANGE RATE)
XTREME SMOKE SHOW         (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 118 2.00 39% 1.60    
  (by FROSTED out of IMPOSING GRACE by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
CBY-3   08/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 35 ALL PT- 7:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE'S CONNECTED Jul30 Jul02 Jun14 Jun04 May06 (padilla tim)SOSA LAUREANO 114 2.50 11% 8.40    
CLASS COMPOUNDS Jul30 Jul09 Jun18 Jun04 Apr26 (woolle)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 4.00    
CHARISMO Aug03 Jul23 Jul02 Jun11 May19 (stankey jannae)GLASS DERBE 119 12.00    
JUST BECAUSE Jul30 Jul22 Jun28 Jun04 Mar26 (litfin neva)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 8.00    
GOING AT IT Jul22 Jul03 Jun18 Jun08 May18 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 119 1.60 59% 0.70    
FOREVER INDIAN Jul23 Jun28 Jun18 Apr24 Dec07 (mcdaniel b)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SMART LEAH Jul29 Jul08 Jun18 Jun10 May29 (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 119 15.00    
 
CBY-4   08/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Glitter Star Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GYPSY REWARD Jul20 Jun28 May29 Sep24 Aug13 (robertson m)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 10.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of BLUE GENE SONG by BUDDHA)
SHE'S MY WARRIOR Jul15 Jun28 May27 Apr14 Mar24 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of GARDEN GLOVES by STORMY ATLANTIC)
START SINGING Jul15 Jun17 Sep10 Aug13 Jul07 (r)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 120 6.00    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of PUFFLE FEATHERS by TIZNOW)
IT'S HER TIME Jul29 Jul16 May27 Sep10 Aug13 (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 118 4.50    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of STEPHANGJESS by YONAGUSKA)
MOLLY'S ANGEL Jul29 Jul15 Jun26 May27 Mar11 (padilla t)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 120 2.00 11% 8.50    
  (by ISTAN out of ANGEL OF TROY by BELLAMY ROAD)
CHARLIE'S PENNY Jul26 May27 Jan21 Dec26 Nov06 (berndt joel)WADE LYNDIE 118 1.60 64% 0.60    
  (by RACE DAY out of SWEET LORRAINE by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
 
CBY-5   08/12/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURIOUS INJI Jul26 Jul01 Jun11 May28 May01 (silva jos)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 8% 11.30    
EXPECT THE BOSS Jul29 Jul16 Jun24 May19 Dec28 (geditz j)HARR KELSI 124 15.00    
JEWEL AZUL Jul19 Jul08 Jun24 May27 Apr19 (woolle)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 2.50 46% 1.20    
LADY CLARE Jul26 Oct02 Sep07 Aug13 Jul31 (bethke a)WADE LYNDIE 122 4.50    
A THOUSAND DREAMS Jul19 Jul03 May05 Apr08 Feb01 (rarick wade)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50    
ROYALS' LIL DIVA Jul30 Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 May27 (silva migu)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 2.00 12% 7.20    
 
CBY-6   08/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Wally's Choice Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
XAVEY DAVE Jul15 Jun18 Jun03 Oct01 Sep10 (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 118 2.50    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of OUR SWEET MARY B by OFFICER)
BAYOU BENNY Jul16 Jun10 Oct14 Sep10 Aug13 (scherer gar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 3.50 22% 3.50    
  (by BENNY THE BULL out of TWO BAYME by INCLUDE)
THEALLIGATORHUNTER Jul15 Jun21 May27 Apr26 Mar12 (padilla t)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 2.00 43% 1.30    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of GARDEN GLOVES by STORMY ATLANTIC)
OUT RUN'M Jul13 Jun25 May29 May06 Apr22 (e)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 120 10.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of RUN WITH JOY by GHAZI)
DEVIL VISION Mar04 Nov13 Oct20 Sep17 Sep10 (robertson mclea)WADE LYNDIE 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by POLLARD'S VISION out of FRIEND O THE DEVIL by DEVIL HIS DUE)
COUSVINNYSACANUCK Jul02 Jun18 May29 Sep10 Aug13 (berndt jo)VALENZUELA A 118 6.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of CHORAGUS by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
CBY-7   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIRECT ACTION Jul09 Jun25 Jun04 Oct12 Sep21 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 124 2.00 26% 2.80    
RISKY SITUATION Jul20 Jul02 Jun04 Apr29 Mar30 (cline n)HARR KELSI 124 10.00    
JOHNNY UP Jun04 Dec16 Nov26 Nov04 Sep15 (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 1.60 42% 1.40    
SCR  J J'S WILDCAT Jul26 Jun25 Sep04 Jun22 May25 (mckinley fran)SOSA LAUREANO 119 10.00    
HEAVENLY GAZEBO Jul26 Jul08 Jun18 Jul31 Jul03 (tranquilin)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 15.00    
WEST BAY Jul26 Jul13 Jun14 May28 Aug28 (deshazo lacy)MURRAY M 119 8.00 6% 15.10    
SUMMER ALL YEAR Jul20 Jul09 Jun17 May28 Feb26 (padilla t)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 119 4.50    
 
CBY-8   08/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC11 FAST Minnesota Derby Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 9:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOSE PATIO Jul22 Jul01 Jun11 May28 Sep10 (biehler michael)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of SMARTY PRANCE by ADDED EDGE)
WEST ISLAND Jul15 Jun17 Sep17 Aug18   (rengstorf t)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00    
  (by BARBADOS (IRE) out of KAREN'S IDOL by HENNESSY)
WIN OVER WYATT Jul27 Jul03 Jun17 May28   (l)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 122 12.00    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of WINNERS GET EVEN by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
ROSES BY LIAM Jul15 Jun10 May27 Apr15 Mar31 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 3.50 21% 3.80    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of CONGRATS AND ROSES by CONGRATS)
IT'S BOBS BUSINESS Jul15 Jun10 May07 Sep10 Jun30 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 8.00 13% 6.50    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of SALES CALL by BELLAMY ROAD)
RAMBLINGAMBLINMAN Aug05 Jul19 Jul03 Jun17   (riecken b)VALENZUELA A 122 12.00    
  (by LEA out of SUPREME MAKER by EMPIRE MAKER)
REJECTION HURTS Jul19 Jun24 Jun11 May11   (berndt joel)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 4.50    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of LOVE THE BREEDING by HENNY HUGHES)
SIR STERLING Jul15 Jun21 May27 Apr23 Oct21 (rengstorf tony)WADE LYNDIE 122 2.00 43% 1.30    
  (by SAM LORD'S CASTLE out of FOXY FELICITY by MATT'S BROKEN VOW)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.