Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Canterbury Park
Wednesday - August 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CBY-1   WIN (6/7/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/8)-(6/7/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/3/8)-(6/7/3/8)-(6/7/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/3/8)-(2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CBY-2   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(3/4/6/8/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(3/4/6/8/9)-(2/3/8/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CBY-3   WIN (3/4/6/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/6/8/9)-(3/4/6/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/4/6/8/9)-(3/4/6/8/9)-(3/4/6/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/4/6/8/9)-(2/3/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6/8/9)-(2/3/8/6)-(3/1/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CBY-4   WIN (2/3/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/8/6)-(2/3/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/8/6)-(2/3/8/6)-(2/3/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/8/6)-(3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/8/6)-(3/1/5)-(6/4/7/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CBY-5   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(6/4/7/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CBY-6   WIN (6/4/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/7/10)-(6/4/7/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/7/10)-(6/4/7/10)-(6/4/7/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CBY-1   08/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31K) 2 F PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSALINA Jul22         (litfin neva)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 8.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of SWAN RIVER ROSIE by TAPIZAR)
HONORABLE MISCHIEF         (rosin w)WADE LYNDIE 118 4.50    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of BADGE OF HONOR by HONOR GRADES)
BLUES CROSS         (rhone bern)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 118 10.00 7% 12.90    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of BLUES EDGE by OBSTACLE)
SASSY MAMA Jul19 Jul09       (bethke tro)GALLARDO EDUARDO 118 12.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of SASSY MOLLY by MINESHAFT)
LIL SASSY JONES Jul19         (biehler mic)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 5.00    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of SMOKEN DREAMS by SMOKE GLACKEN)
XTREME DIVA         (robertson mclean)GOODWIN N 118 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by COAL FRONT out of SILLY LITTLE MAMA by OLD TOPPER)
MIDSHIP MOLLY         (vanwinkle)VALENZUELA A 118 3.50 22% 3.50    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of LION CUB by LION HEART)
ISLAND JIVE         (rengstorf)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 6.00 7% 12.90    
  (by BARBADOS (IRE) out of JIVE TALK by KINGMAMBO)
 
CBY-2   08/09/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INESPERADO (FR) Jul03 May26 May06 Apr17 Mar27 (e)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 122 2.00 17% 4.90    
NOBLE PURSUIT Jul16 Jul02 Jun17 Nov21 Nov07 (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  MOUNTAIN PINE Jul20 Jul02 Oct28 Sep15 Aug31 (litfin neva)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.50    
KID'S INHERITANCE Jul20 Jul03 Jun17 Mar18 Mar04 (bethke a)WADE LYNDIE 122 6.00    
TWOKO BAY Jul20 Jul03 May29 Feb09 Jan14 (scherer gary)MURRAY M 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
RUNAWAY READY Jul30 Jul16 Jun18 Jun07 Sep14 (robertson)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 8.00    
 
CBY-3   08/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31K) 2 F PT- 7:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RETIRED KATHY         (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 118 4.50    
  (by FIRING LINE out of SHAWL by MEDALLIST)
ROCKINMYFEATHERBOA Jul09         (rarick)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 113 8.00    
  (by DADS CAPS out of RUFFLED FEATHERS by INCLUDE)
SINGSINGSING         (robertson )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 118 2.50 26% 2.90    
  (by MATT'S BROKEN VOW out of MIZ DAYJUR by DAYJUR)
GO LEE ANN GO         (berndt jo)VALENZUELA A 118 3.50 25% 3.10    
  (by RACE DAY out of LEE ANN W by MR. GREELEY)
CLOUDLESS BLUE Jul19         (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 6.00    
  (by EYE OF THE LEOPARD out of SUBTLE SPLENDOR by POLITICAL FORCE)
RUN WITH PRIDE Jul09 Jun26       (bethke a)MURRAY M 118 10.00 19% 4.30    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of RUN WITH JOY by GHAZI)
ISLAND BENDER         (rengstorf)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 8.00    
  (by BARBADOS (IRE) out of KAREN'S IDOL by HENNESSY)
CHUCK'S EVERY WISH         (mckinley fran)SOSA LAUREANO 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GAZEBO out of ANNIE A. P. by A. P. DELTA)
REAL AWESOME         (backhaus lexon)HARR KELSI 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GRAY METEOR out of BIG DEAL FOR REAL by MILITARY)
 
CBY-4   08/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIVE EM SHADE Jul19 Jul02 Jun24 May27 May14 (smith geor)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 15.00    
MA FRANCE (IRE) May29 Apr29 Oct02 Sep04 Jul31 (silva jr)SOSA LAUREANO 119 2.00 58% 0.70    
WITHHERBOOTSON Jul19 Jul08 Jun24 Jun04 Oct13 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 124 2.50 14% 6.00    
DURA THE EXPLORER Jul19 Jun24 May27 May05 Apr05 (carmichael mi)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 15.00    
ICYWILBURNYEH Jul13 Jul01 Jun11 May28 Sep15 (bedford katlin)WADE LYNDIE 124 10.00    
SHEZONEZESTREET Jul23 Jul01 Jun07 May27 May02 (roberts bla)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
TANTIMA Jul19 Jul08 Jun24 Nov15 Oct22 (biehler mic)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 4.50    
MO SMOKING Jul08 Jun25 Jun10 Mar24 Feb18 (scherer gary)MURRAY M 119 6.00 6% 16.10    
 
CBY-5   08/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 35 M/F PT- 8:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAMIKAZE BLUE Jul23 Apr22 Aug28 Jul30   (lund valorie)WADE LYNDIE 119 4.00 35% 1.80    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of FRANGELICA by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
MIZ MCCOY Jul29 Jul15 Nov12 Oct22 Sep17 (sheehan nancy)LINDSAY CHAD 124 5.00    
  (by I SPENT IT out of THE REAL MCCOY by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
ALLOTROPE Jul27 Jul08 Jun18 May27 May14 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 119 1.80 39% 1.60    
  (by GIRVIN out of ADIOS VICKY by ADIOS CHARLIE)
SWEET CURALINA Jul23 Jun29 Mar12 Feb12 Jan21 (rengstorf t)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 2.50    
  (by CURLIN out of SWEET TAPPER by TAPIT)
SHEZA REAL DEAL         (backhaus lexon)HARR KELSI 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GRAY METEOR out of BIG DEAL FOR REAL by MILITARY)
RUSSIAN TOTHE WIRE Jul08 Jun18 May27 May04 Sep15 (lund valor)GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 6.00    
  (by COAST GUARD out of MS MOSCOW MATTIE by MATTY G)
 
CBY-6   08/09/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CIBERTRUCK Jul26 Jun28 Jun07 May27 Apr29 (martinez es)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 8.00    
KING NATE Jul22 Jul02 Jun17 May27 Apr22 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 119 15.00    
UNBROKEN SONG Jul30 Jul23 Jul09 Jul03 Nov20 (geditz j)HARR KELSI 124 20.00    
MOVE OVER (GB) Jul29 Jul16 Jun24 Jun07 Mar04 (asprino a)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  SKIPPY'S STRIKE Jul29 Jul12 Jun24 Jun18 May18 (b)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 124 4.00    
MACEDONIAN RULER (AUS) Jul29 Jul09 Jun18 May05 Apr08 (rosin w)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 36% 1.80    
IMA HARLEY TOO Jul22 Jun24 May27 Aug04 Jul14 (biehler mic)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 8.00 14% 6.00    
BEAT THE HEAT Jul27 Jul12 Jun25     (kenney)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 12.00    
SCR  JUST BLAZE Jul22 Jun21 May27 Apr23 Mar24 (scherer gary)MURRAY M 124 4.50    
10  NORTHCUT Jun24 Apr10 Mar12 Feb20 Feb11 (silva jr)WADE LYNDIE 124 10.00 6% 15.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.