Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Parx Racing
Wednesday - July 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRX-1   WIN (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/4)-(7/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/4)-(7/3/4)-(7/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/4)-(1/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/4)-(1/2/8)-(1/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRX-2   WIN (1/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/8)-(1/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/8)-(1/2/8)-(1/2/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/8)-(1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/8)-(1/3/4)-(3/10/2/1/9) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PRX-3   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(3/10/2/1/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(3/10/2/1/9)-(5/4/1/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PRX-4   WIN (3/10/2/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/10/2/1/9)-(3/10/2/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/10/2/1/9)-(3/10/2/1/9)-(3/10/2/1/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/10/2/1/9)-(5/4/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/10/2/1/9)-(5/4/1/6)-(3/6/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PRX-5   WIN (5/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/1/6)-(5/4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/1/6)-(5/4/1/6)-(5/4/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/1/6)-(3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1/6)-(3/6/4)-(2/1/8/3/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PRX-6   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(2/1/8/3/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(2/1/8/3/5)-(7/3/2/4/5) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
PRX-7   WIN (2/1/8/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/8/3/5)-(2/1/8/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/8/3/5)-(2/1/8/3/5)-(2/1/8/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/1/8/3/5)-(7/3/2/4/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/1/8/3/5)-(7/3/2/4/5)-(8/2) 50 $1.00 $50.00 
PRX-8   WIN (7/3/2/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/2/4/5)-(7/3/2/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/2/4/5)-(7/3/2/4/5)-(7/3/2/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/3/2/4/5)-(8/2) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (7/3/2/4/5)-(8/2)-(9/4/7/8) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
PRX-9   WIN (8/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/2)-(8/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (8/2)-(9/4/7/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
PRX-10   WIN (9/4/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/7/8)-(9/4/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/4/7/8)-(9/4/7/8)-(9/4/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRX-1   07/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISSISSIPPI Jun28 Jun13 Jun06 May17 Mar29 (diaz jorge)RIVERA D 123 10.00    
2  RELISHMENT Jun19 Jun05 May08 Apr18 Apr03 (pino v)BOWMAN ADAM 123 2.00    
3  LOOK OUT LAMBO Jun19 Jun05 May17 Mar29 Mar13 (lee hale)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 5.00 25% 2.90    
4  SOMEBODY Jun27 Jun19 May23 May16 May02 (kirby t)OCASIO M 123 5.00 13% 6.60    
5  LONG GRAY LINE May17 Apr18 Mar27 Mar06 Feb22 (maymo aleja)RAMOS C 123 12.00    
SCR  LOVERBOY LOU Jul16 Jun24 Jun03 May13 Apr25 (cash norman )TORRES A 118 4.50    
7  WHAT'S TO BLAME Jun19 May23 Apr25 Mar22 Feb21 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 2.50 34% 1.90    
 
PRX-2   07/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MS MERRABEL Jul07 Jun21 Jun03 Apr26 Mar22 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 123 4.00 46% 1.20    
2  MOONCHILD Apr24 Apr04 Mar15 Feb13 Jan17 (catalano l)TORRES A 118 3.50 26% 2.80    
3  MISS CHAMITA Jun20 May24 May09 Apr06 Mar19 (farro patricia)RUIZ ELISEO 116 5.00    
4  ONE WILD WOMAN Apr17 Mar29 Feb13 Jan17 Dec13 (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 15.00    
SCR  TIZ A SHARPIE Jun28 May09 Apr04 Feb13 Jan17 (pattersh)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 15.00    
SCR  XENATOWN Jul04 Jun19 Jun07 May15 Apr04 (arce josue)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 2.00    
7  SPEIGHTSTER'S GOLD Jul04 Jun20 Jun07 May16 Apr19 (guerrero g)LOPEZ PASCACIO 126 3.00    
8  TRIBORD Jun28 Jun13 May29 May09 Mar29 (lake a)BOWMAN ADAM 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRX-3   07/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHELONIAN Jun26 Jun04 Apr20 Mar25 Mar10 (ness jamie)RIVERA R 116 2.00 39% 1.60    
2  SUIGU STAR Jun28 Jun07 May20 Apr17 Mar15 (linder louis)TORRES A 118 4.50    
3  FORTY TWO ACE Jun03 May13 Mar24 Jan14 Dec09 (gia)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 1.80 33% 2.00    
4  SPEIGHTSTER RED Jun13 May30 May20 May09 Apr24 (guerrero g)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 5.00 7% 13.90    
5  ITWASTHEDEVILSIDEA Jun27 Jun07 May10 Apr05 Mar15 (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 12.00    
6  MEGA CHARLIE Jun20 Feb06 Jan02 Dec07 Nov01 (mosco ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 12.00    
 
PRX-4   07/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PREDOMINATE Jun28 May22 Apr05 Mar06 Feb07 (krebs st)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  SAL N LOUIE Jun27 Jun06 Jun04 May15 Apr16 (padilla o)BOWMAN ADAM 123 3.50 6% 16.20    
3  LOOSE GOOSE Jun27 Jun14 May11 Feb11 Dec23 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 126 5.00 46% 1.20    
4  COLES CONUNDRUM Jun21 May31 May06 Mar22 Feb21 (reid rober)RIVERA R 113 8.00    
5  STELLA'S TOUR Jul04 Jun14 Nov21 Oct18 Sep21 (farro patricia)MOYA F 126 8.00    
6  MORE THAN A DANCE Jul03 Jun06 May23 Apr26 Apr10 (linder j)RENDON JAIRO 123 3.00    
7  OMERTA CODE Jun21 Jun14 May20 Apr11 Mar24 (arce josue)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 6.00    
8  ALONZO MOSELY Jul11 Jun27 Jun14 May28 Apr26 (bouchard lesl)OCASIO M 123 12.00    
9  BROTHER SHOWTYME Jun28 Jun09 Apr26 Oct28 Oct23 (sanche)GONZALEZ JR 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  BATTER UP BUD Jun14 May24 Apr17 Mar28 Feb19 (reid e)ADORNO ABNER 123 4.50 25% 3.00    
 
PRX-5   07/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TUDOR PEAK Jul04 Jun19 Jun07 May10 Apr11 (moore michae)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 4.00 13% 6.90    
2  DENALI RAE Jul10 May15 Apr24 Apr03 Mar08 (guerrero guad)RUIZ ELISEO 116 6.00    
SCR  RUNNIN REDBIRD Jul11 Jun26 May31 Feb16 Jan26 (pad)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 126 4.50    
4  BURANO Nov22 Oct05 Sep12 Jun29 Jan19 (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 123 6.00 17% 4.90    
5  SHETALKSTOMUCH Jul10 Jun12 May15 Apr04 Mar06 (guerrero g)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 3.00 35% 1.90    
6  STRATEGY QUEEN Mar03 Jan01 Nov27 Oct29 Oct15 (romero rafae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 123 12.00 11% 7.90    
7  SKERRETT May15 Apr17 Mar21 Jul12 Jun13 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 12.00    
8  THAT'STONY'SSISTER Jul05 Jun12 Apr12 Mar27 Feb21 (bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 12.00    
SCR  CONNELMAURA Jun14 Jun05 May20 May10 Apr19 (solis jacinto)PENNINGTON F 118 5.00    
 
PRX-6   07/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXPENSIVE CUT Jun17 May17 Apr11 Mar01 Jan17 (mosco ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 5.00    
2  COBBLE ROAD Jul03 May10 Apr03 Mar13 Feb07 (allen randy)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 15.00    
3  SPLICETHEMAINBRACE Jun13 May09 Apr24 Mar28 Mar08 (vega richard)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 2.50 35% 1.80    
4  LOOKIN AT ROSES Jun25 May24 Apr22 Apr01 Mar12 (preciado guada)PENNINGTON F 123 3.50 12% 7.30    
SCR  KOBE B Jun25 Jun09 May17 Apr25 Mar28 (pino michael)TORRES A 118 3.00    
6  BOSS LOGIC Jun23 Mar01 Feb17 Jan14 Dec16 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.50 25% 3.00    
 
PRX-7   07/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAMURAI SAINT Jul12 Jun20 May24 May08 Apr24 (sot)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 3.50 19% 4.10    
2  HEALY'S HOPE Jul11 May24 May17 Apr26 Mar21 (arce josue)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 3.00 24% 3.20    
3  MANAHAWKIN Jul10 Jun14 Jun06 May20 May08 (lee hale)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 5.00 9% 10.40    
4  SAPONARA Jul04 May29 May22 Apr18 Mar23 (flores-coba fel)RUIZ ELISEO 116 12.00    
5  STAY HYDRATED Jul12 Jun20 May24 May02 Apr24 (romero alex)DE KEMICH 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  MACH TRIAL Jul10 Jun27 Jun14 Jun06 May15 (tapsas elias)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 4.50    
7  STRUM AND PLUCK Jun26 May30 May15 Apr25 Apr11 (whylie herold)OCASIO M 123 15.00    
8  THERISASTORMBREWIN Jul03 Jun13 May23 May06 Apr24 (diaz jorge)VASQUEZ WILFRED 123 8.00 14% 6.20    
9  SUNNY SAINT Jul12 Jun13 May17 Apr16 Apr02 (padilla o)ADORNO ABNER 123 4.00    
 
PRX-8   07/19/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 2 ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINNY SPEIGHTSTER         (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 118 5.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of MINNY O'PRADO by O'PRADO AGAIN)
2  SAVAGE DRAGON         (montoya marya)ADORNO ABNER 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ENTICED out of MOON AND SUN by MALIBU MOON)
3  OMAHA EIGHT         (preciado gua)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.50 27% 2.70    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of HIPPOCAMPUS by TAPIT)
4  SOUTH AMERICA         (kirby jo)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of SPUN COPPER by HARD SPUN)
5  KLAATUBARADA NIKTO         (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of AMBLING ROSE by MONTBROOK)
6  MYHEARTWILLGOON Jun19         (rodriguez mig)OCASIO M 118 8.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of BELLA CARDONA by BERTRANDO)
7  RUNLIKECARL Jun19         (woh)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 4.00 34% 1.90    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of CHORUS LINE by PARADING)
8  LONESOME BOY         (padilla o)BOWMAN ADAM 118 6.00    
  (by NATIONHOOD out of ATTA GIRL PEARL by ATTA BOY ROY)
9  BIG ERN MCCRACKEN         (lake a)PENNINGTON F 118 4.50    
  (by UNCLE MO out of HEAVENLY VIEW by DISTANT VIEW)
10  CIGALE Jun19         (romero rafae)TORRES A 113 8.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of PART OF THE CHARM by TAPIT)
SCR  DEVINE FLAMEAWAY Jun28         (sanchez-pin)OCASIO JONATHAN 118 15.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of SPEED TO VICTORY by BODEMEISTER)
 
PRX-9   07/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BUSTIN UP Jun06 May23 Apr12 Mar24 Mar03 (soto c)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.00    
2  SOVEREIGN CHANGE Jun20 May30 May23 Mar15 Dec07 (guerrero j )WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 4.50 27% 2.70    
3  LEASE Jun20 May22 Apr20 Feb25 Nov09 (preciado guada)ADORNO ABNER 123 3.50    
SCR  LACCO AMENO Jun21 Jun02 May05 Jul27 Jul13 (woolley tim)LOPEZ PASCACIO 126 5.00    
SCR  SWAN LAKE Jun03 May06 Apr08 Mar26 Feb11 (dobles elizabe)RENDON JAIRO 118 2.50    
SCR  MR. SHADES OF GRAY May31 May14 Nov04 Oct11 Sep29 (motion graha)PENNINGTON F 123 5.00    
7  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE Jul07 Jun20 May30 May17 Apr11 (santaella-calde)BOWMAN ADAM 123 20.00    
8  DOCTOR DOOM Jul04 Jun19 May20 Apr25 Apr05 (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 123 2.00 38% 1.60    
 
PRX-10   07/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TOP OF THE MINT Nov12 Oct02 Aug19 Jun16 May05 (pino michael)TORRES A 118 2.50    
2  MR. TUTTLE Jun12 May30 May15 May06 Apr26 (pattersh)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 6.00    
3  SMARTHUMOR Jun14 May24 May03 Jan13 Dec14 (tapsas elias)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 12.00    
4  SCANDALISSIMO May11 Apr17 Feb20 Jan23 Nov13 (caban e)RUIZ ELISEO 111 4.50 22% 3.60    
5  ROCKIN FREEBEE Jul05 Jun12 May30 May15 Apr18 (romero alex)OCASIO JONATHAN 123 20.00    
6  J WASS Jun24 Jun11 Oct18 Sep05   (crook-dem)RODRIGUEZ A 123 5.00    
7  HANEY BOYS Oct19 Sep20 Aug24 Jul20 Jul05 (mosco rober)ANGULO J 123 3.50 18% 4.60    
8  LUCKY AS A SEVEN Jun28 Jun20 May31 May10 Mar27 (diaz jorge)VIVES SOFIA 118 5.00 10% 9.40    
9  BODE O May30 May09 Apr03 Mar13 Jan11 (romero raf)RIVERA R 118 5.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  VERO SUN Jun20 May30 May15 Apr26 Apr10 (maymo aleja)RAMOS C 123 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.