Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Meadows
Thursday - July 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FMT-1   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/2)-(2/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(2/1/5)-(2/5/3/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
FMT-2   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(2/5/3/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(2/5/3/6)-(5/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FMT-3   WIN (2/5/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/3/6)-(2/5/3/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/5/3/6)-(2/5/3/6)-(2/5/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/3/6)-(5/4/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3/6)-(5/4/1)-(5/3/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FMT-4   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(5/3/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FMT-5   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(5/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(5/4)-(7/2/5/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
FMT-6   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(7/2/5/6) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(7/2/5/6)-(1/3/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
FMT-7   WIN (7/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/5/6)-(7/2/5/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/2/5/6)-(7/2/5/6)-(7/2/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/5/6)-(1/3/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5/6)-(1/3/4)-(6/4/2/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FMT-8   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(6/4/2/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
FMT-9   WIN (6/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/2/3)-(6/4/2/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/4/2/3)-(6/4/2/3)-(6/4/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FMT-1   07/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THETRUTHISTHETRUTH Jun29 May27 May07 Apr10 Mar21 (cogbur)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 1.20 41% 1.50    
2  G KATE Jun14 Apr22 Mar31 Mar18 Mar03 (black marissa)KIMES C 124 3.00 35% 1.90    
3  J LOVE Jun29 Jun15 Jun08 May15 May02 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 124 4.00    
4  JUSTABOUTRIGHT Jun29 Oct05 Sep14 Aug20 Jul18 (corderman scot)MORA GERARDO 124 3.50    
SCR  MISS M J Jul05 Jun14 May17 May08 May01 (davidson b)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 8.00    
 
FMT-2   07/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($6.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOOL'S MIRAGE Jun28 May08 Apr26 Dec07 Nov15 (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 124 1.40 21% 3.90    
2  SUPER SIZER Jun29 Apr14 Mar13 Feb26 Feb12 (black marissa)KIMES C 118 1.60 53% 0.90    
3  STOLEN GHOST Jun14 May15 Apr10 Mar28 Mar07 (david )RODRIGUEZ RAMON 118 3.00    
4  ARCH OF SWORDS Jun29 Jun08 Mar28 Mar13 Feb11 (dixon tim)CRUZ ROMAN 124 8.00    
5  OKLAHOMA MOON Jun29 Jun08 May15 May03 Apr24 (davis steve )HEBERT LINDSEY 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FMT-3   07/13/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LYNN'S FOLLY Jul05 Jun15 May15 Mar06 Oct14 (chavira )BENN J 124 4.00    
2  TUATHA Jun28 May02 Mar28     (hale vic)MORA GERARDO 118 3.50 46% 1.20    
3  HUSHED Jun29 Sep23 Sep02 Jul11 Jun28 (jimenez fidenci)GOFF L 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  NOODLE SALAD Jun29 Apr25 Apr12 Mar13 Dec02 (brooks d)SANCHEZ OBED 124 6.00    
5  ELIZA ROSE May17 Apr25 Mar28     (davis steve )HEBERT LINDSEY 119 3.00 26% 2.80    
6  OUTWORKTHEOKIEGIRL Jun29 Jun15 May15 Mar14 Dec10 (gamez )RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  MRSG'S LIL DREAMER Jun29 Jun08 May20 Apr16 Mar10 (george wayn)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 8.00    
8  MISS TYRO Jun15 May09 Mar28 Jul19 Jun14 (o'brien michael )CRUZ ROMAN 124 5.00    
 
FMT-4   07/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20.46K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REALITY CHECK Jun10         (stephe)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DANZA out of WILD TOY LAKE by WILD TALE)
2  DONNATHEPRIMADONNA May17 Dec14       (williams )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 1.40    
  (by MAGNA GRADUATE out of EVERLASTINGLY by FISTFITE)
3  YOUNEEDTOCALMDOWN Jun15 May10 May01 Apr12 Mar11 (williams st)HERRERA GUSTAVO 118 6.00    
  (by ORDAINED out of NATALIE PAIGE by IN EXCESS (IRE))
4  SHOOTIN RUN         (buehrer mark)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 5.00 26% 2.80    
  (by NORTHERN AFLEET out of SPANISH GUITAR by BIRDONTHEWIRE)
5  SEXY BROWN         (cogburn l)KIMES C 118 1.80 42% 1.40    
  (by DAAREB out of EXY XANADU by EUROEARS)
 
FMT-5   07/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIARS CLUB Jul06 Jun23 Jun15 May05 Mar25 (davidson bre)LANDEROS C 124 4.00 9% 10.70    
2  WRANGLERED Jun28 May15 May09 Apr24 Apr03 (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 124 6.00    
3  REVEREND AJ Mar13 Feb18 Oct28 Sep28 Sep07 (black )RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 2.00 22% 3.50    
4  REVIVAL Jul05 May10 Apr24 Mar28 Mar07 (luneack sue)KIMES C 124 4.00    
5  BAYRON May10 Apr24 Mar24 Feb18 Jan15 (ferrell jory)CRUZ ROMAN 124 1.80 43% 1.30    
 
FMT-6   07/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($6.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OTHER TIMES Jun28 May10 Apr22 Mar24 Mar09 (dixon tim)KIMES C 124 1.80    
2  WHAT ABOUT JIMMY Jun28 Apr05 Mar14 Dec09 Nov11 (brooks d)SANCHEZ OBED 124 2.00    
SCR  TIZNOWS GRANDSON Nov05 Oct20 Sep03 May20 Jan27 (cowan w)LANDEROS C 124 10.00    
4  J BOB Jun29 Jun08 May09 Mar30   (gunter micha)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 12.00 22% 3.50    
5  SHINE JACK'S DREAM Jun28 Jun08 May15 May08 Apr25 (dixon )RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 1.60 44% 1.30    
 
FMT-7   07/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($4.95K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EVENING STORM Jun29 Jun14 Sep22 Sep02 Aug20 (brooks ronald)GOFF L 119 20.00    
2  SMART BATTLE Jun28 Apr15 Mar04 Feb11 Dec01 (black )RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 3.50 15% 5.60    
SCR  ROCK N JUNE BUG Jun25 Jun10 Apr30 Apr14 Feb03 (petalino joe)MORA GERARDO 124 4.00    
4  EURONTHEMONEY Jul05 May16 May01 Dec08 Nov12 (davidson brent)KIMES C 124 5.00    
5  GUNNER PAUL Jun28 Jun09 May20 Apr25 Apr03 (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 124 3.00 13% 6.50    
6  LASTCALLFORALCOHOL Jul06 Apr12 Apr03 Mar14 Mar06 (camillo ange)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  AFLEET SNIPER Jun28 May16 May01 Apr12 Mar28 (pruitt m)LANDEROS C 124 4.50 50% 1.00    
8  TOAH Jun28 May16 May01 Apr03 Mar20 (corderman)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 6.00    
 
FMT-8   07/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($21.12K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST ROSIE Jun29 Jun08 May15 Apr26 Apr05 (hunt s)KIMES C 124 1.40 35% 1.90    
2  SPLITSECONDECISION Jun29 Jun08 May16 Apr11 Mar21 (davis steve )HEBERT LINDSEY 113 3.50    
3  MISSWISH Jun29 Jun08 May16 Apr26 Apr11 (buehrer m)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 3.00 30% 2.40    
4  CATALE WINEMIXER Jun29 Jun08 Apr26 Apr11 Mar20 (swango e)SANCHEZ OBED 118 3.50 15% 5.80    
5  MS. MORENA Jun15 May16 May10 May01 Apr26 (espiritu lucio)CRUZ ROMAN 124 8.00    
 
FMT-9   07/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($17.05K) 3UP ALL PT-10:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RYAN EXPRESS Jun28 Apr29 Apr14 Mar23 Dec15 (black marissa)KIMES C 118 3.50    
  (by TEXAS RED out of LA CHEPIS by SUPER SAVER)
2  AMMENTHEDESTROYER Jun28 May03       (ferrell jory)CRUZ ROMAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MISTER LUCKY CAT out of HITCH YOUR WAGON by WAGON LIMIT)
3  TEQUILAN ME SMALLS Nov19 Oct26 Oct08 Sep17   (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SONG OF THE SWORD out of SILVER HAIRED DAME by HANSEN)
4  CAPTAIN DOZER Jun02 Apr24 Mar13 Dec07 Nov12 (escamill)BENN J 118 6.00 35% 1.80    
  (by WOKE UP DREAMIN out of ONE SUPER SLEW by EVANSVILLE SLEW)
5  LANGMEAD Jun28 May10 Apr24 Jul05 Jun14 (thomas dena)LANDEROS C 124 4.00    
  (by RISKY TRICK out of CHERUBINO by VISION AND VERSE)
6  JOE BILL Jun28 Jun14 Apr30 Apr07 Mar09 (corderman)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 3.00 38% 1.70    
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of ALREADY DANCING by READY'S IMAGE)
SCR  HAUNTED DREAM (IRE) Jun18 May29 May09     (espiri)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 113 5.00    
  (by OASIS DREAM out of RED HALO by GALILEO)
8  OLD TOBY Jun14 May30 May15 Apr29   (hale vic)MORA GERARDO 118 20.00    
  (by LAURIE'S ROCKET out of PICCOLO DAVID by LINE OF DAVID)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.