Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Grande Prairie
Saturday - July 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GPR-1   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GPR-2   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(5/1/4)-(2/3/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
GPR-3   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(2/3/6)-(6/5/7/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
GPR-4   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
GPR-5   WIN (6/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/7/3)-(6/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/7/3)-(6/5/7/3)-(6/5/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7/3)-(1/3/5)-(4/2/6/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
GPR-6   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(4/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GPR-7   WIN (4/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/6/1)-(4/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/6/1)-(4/2/6/1)-(4/2/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GPR-1   07/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETTIN ON BELLE Jun23 Oct29 Oct15 Sep26 Sep19 (kettleson ali)LUNAN RICHARD 124 4.00 9% 9.70    
MIDNIGHT TAKE Jun23 Jun03 May13 Oct21 Oct15 (rycroft cl)APANGO JOSE 124 2.00 15% 5.80    
SARASOTA SALSA Oct01 Sep17 Aug21 Jul31 Jul22 (speaks de)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 3.50    
LASKA (CHI) Sep17 Sep03 Aug19 Aug06 Jul22 (mohindee mankum)APANGO JUAN 124 3.00 51% 1.00    
NORTHERN GOLD Jul01 Oct21 Oct01 Sep03 Aug06 (perry carl)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 5.00    
 
GPR-2   07/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEET AT JAKES Jun24 Jun11 May28 Oct10 Oct01 (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 3.00 49% 1.00    
FORGOTABOUTME Jun24 Jun11 May28 Oct01 Sep18 (rycroft clin)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 3.50 15% 5.70    
EVER TRUE Jun23 Jun10 May28 Nov04 Oct22 (giesbrecht joc)POWELL ANDRE 124 2.00    
KING WITT Jun24 Jun17 Oct09 Sep19 Sep06 (mccracken)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 5.00    
IRISH POLO Jun24 Jun11 May28 Oct10 Sep23 (magnuson ly)GORDON GARFIELD 124 4.00 8% 11.40    
 
GPR-3   07/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHORT RIB Jun28 Jun05 May22 Apr12 Mar04 (tourangeau ru)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 5.00 13% 6.70    
BULLET EXPRESS Jun23 Jun03 Oct02 Sep18 Sep05 (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 4.50    
LET THE BOY SING Jun30 Jun16 Jun03 Aug14 Jul31 (bolin jack)GORDON GARFIELD 124 2.00    
FORMAL TUX Jun18 Jun10 May20 Jul31 Jul23 (clarke chandra)POWELL ANDRE 124 3.50 8% 10.80    
LOOKIECOOKIE Jun24 Jun11 Oct10 Oct02 Sep24 (clarke chand)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
 
GPR-4   07/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($7.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG CYN May12 Apr15 Apr01 Mar13 Feb27 (mcnally k)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 3.50    
JADED TIGER May27 Sep25 Aug12 Jul24 Jul16 (smith jackie)POWELL ANDRE 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
CAPALLI Sep25 Sep04 Aug06 Jul16   (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 1.80 28% 2.50    
ROTTEN TO THE CORE Jun18 Jun10 Nov05 Oct28 Oct08 (mcconaghie)APANGO JOSE 124 6.00    
SIZZLE N SUSIE Jun23 Sep23 Sep10 Sep03 Aug24 (blattler codi)APANGO JUAN 124 5.00    
BACK INTHAT ACTION Sep25 Sep23 Sep17 Sep04 Aug29 (miyashiro tansley)BUGEAUD L 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
GPR-5   07/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLASHING JOKER Jun25 Oct29 Oct08 Sep23   (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 10.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of AMNESIAN by BOLD N' FLASHY)
UNBROKEN Oct09 Sep25 Aug30 Jul24 Jun26 (mcnally kath)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 4.00    
  (by NUMAANY out of HARBOR THE STORM by HARBOR THE GOLD)
REFUSE TO TESTIFY Jun23 Apr10 Mar19 Mar04   (oberholtz)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 3.00 8% 11.30    
  (by MR. BIG out of FIRST AMENDMENT (IRE) by CAERLEON)
LUCKY LEGS Jun25 Oct22       (mcconaghie shaw)APANGO JUAN 124 12.00    
  (by IMPERIALISM out of CHANGE OF REASON by BRASS MINISTER)
CARMEL APPLE         (robson tra)APANGO JOSE 124 6.00 26% 2.90    
  (by RACE DAY out of YANKEE CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
BIG TIME ROB Jan14 Dec10 Nov12 Aug11 Jul03 (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 2.50 26% 2.80    
  (by EL ROBLAR out of SWISS QUEEN by SWISS YODELER)
WILD CAT HEAT         (miyashiro t)GORDON GARFIELD 124 5.00 18% 4.40    
  (by LINE OF HEAT out of CABINET MINISTER by DEFRERE)
 
GPR-6   07/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE RIVER GREY Oct15 Sep24 Sep10 Sep03 Aug06 (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 0.80 45% 1.20    
  (by CHARMING ASSASSIN out of PRECIOUS LEMON by LEMON DROP KID)
ROCKET ON Sep18 Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 Jun19 (clarke chand)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 5.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of SOUPS ON by ALPHABET SOUP)
SUGAR MOON Jun23 Oct28 Oct01 Sep17 Sep03 (marks gar)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 6.00 21% 3.90    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of SAINT'S ECHO by CAPTAIN BODGIT)
PRINCESS PAISLEY Jun23 Sep25 Sep18 Sep04 Jul30 (marks garr)APANGO JOSE 124 3.50    
  (by IMPERIALISM out of GUILTYBYSUPISCION by CANDID CAMERON)
WICKED WOMAN Jun25 Oct28 Oct14 Sep30 Sep02 (giesbrecht joc)POWELL ANDRE 124 8.00 5% 18.60    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of MACHO WOMAN by MACHO UNO)
 
GPR-7   07/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUTHERN LASS Jun23 Nov04 Sep25 Sep10 Aug13 (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
NORTHERN MISSILE Jun25 Oct08       (robson tra)APANGO JOSE 124 2.50 10% 9.30    
SOLANA (IRE) Sep03 Jul22 Jul08     (nikiforuk raymo)SIMPSON W 124 10.00    
STUBBORN LOVE Jun17 May27 May12 Nov04 Oct21 (kettleson ali)LUNAN RICHARD 124 4.00 58% 0.70    
SUADE Oct08 Sep23 Aug28 Aug14 Jun28 (clarke chandra)POWELL ANDRE 124 12.00    
SECRET AGENT GAL Jul29 Jul17 Jun19     (mccracken me)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 5.00 10% 9.30    
CORONA DEL MAR May27 May07 Apr07 Mar18 Feb26 (mohindee mankum)APANGO JUAN 124 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.