Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Mile
Saturday - May 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTM-2   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $3.00 
CTM-3   WIN (7/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/3/5)-(7/2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/3/5)-(7/2/3/5)-(7/2/3/5) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3/5)-(6/5/3)-(7/5/2/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CTM-4   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3/4)-(6/5/3/4) 18 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(7/5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTM-5   WIN (7/5/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/1)-(7/5/2/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/1)-(7/5/2/1/3)-(7/5/2/1/3) 48 $1.00 $24.00 
CTM-6   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/3/4/7)-(6/3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $6.00 
CTM-7   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1/2/3/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/1/2/3/9)-(5/1/2/3/9) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(10/6/2/9)-(8/5/10) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CTM-8   WIN (10/6/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/6/2/9)-(10/6/2/9/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/6/2/9)-(10/6/2/9/7)-(10/6/2/9/7) 48 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (10/6/2/9)-(8/5/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTM-9   WIN (8/5/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/10)-(8/5/10/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/10)-(8/5/10/1/4)-(8/5/10/1/4) 36 $1.00 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTM-2   05/06/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WALKTHELINE Oct15 Sep30 Sep18 Aug20 Aug05 (mcdonald rober)MARTIN ANDRE 125 4.00    
2  SPORTSCARR Nov05 Oct15 Sep23 Sep09 Aug20 (josep)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 12.00    
3  CREDIBILITY Sep14 Aug26 Apr29 Apr08 Mar05 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 2.00 58% 0.70    
4  BOSS MAN CAN Sep30 Sep10 Aug13     (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 6.00 7% 12.70    
SCR  SMART PLAY Oct29 Sep30 Sep10 Aug20 Jul29 (robertson )BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 8.00    
6  WEDGE POND Aug20 Aug05 Jul22 Jul01 Jun18 (kettleson alivi)NELSON DANE 125 2.50 14% 6.30    
 
CTM-3   05/06/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAVED BY ZERO Sep30 Sep03 Aug13 Jul23 May21 (o'hagan co)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 127 2.50    
2  ADRIEN'S AURORA Oct22 Oct01 Jul23 Jun11 May28 (g)GRIFFITH DELANE 117 8.00 10% 9.40    
3  EXAMINER Apr02 Mar18 Mar01 Feb16 Jan08 (smith rob)NELSON DANE 127 12.00 9% 10.30    
4  FROBISHER BAY Nov05 Oct21 Oct07 Sep23 Sep10 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 127 5.00    
5  NO SUPAH FOR YOU Oct22 Sep23 Sep09 Aug21 Aug14 (joseph )CHASE RICHARD 117 10.00 6% 15.90    
6  ENTITLED STAR Nov05 Oct28 Oct14 Sep30 Sep03 (mckenzie robe)FRASER MEAGAN 117 15.00    
7  DAD'S LEGACY Oct22 Sep17 Sep02 Jul23 Jul08 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 127 3.00 50% 1.00    
 
CTM-4   05/06/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMON KNOWLEDGE Oct29 Oct08 Sep24 Sep10 Aug27 (josep)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 8.00    
2  KVOTHE Oct10 Oct01 Sep23 Sep11 Sep05 (clapton alis)ANDROS CORRINE 125 15.00    
3  SHORTY THE SWEDE Oct28 Sep30 Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 5.00 14% 6.30    
4  BIG AL'S VISION Nov05 Oct15 Oct01 Sep17 Sep02 (frey carson)BRYAN D 125 8.00 ★    
5  EXPLODE Dec10 Nov26 Oct29 Sep30 Sep18 (rycroft t)ZENTENO JR 125 2.50 18% 4.50    
6  LINCHPIN STORM Apr17 Dec21 Dec13 Oct29 Sep18 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 3.00 44% 1.30    
7  MACHINE (ARG) Oct01 Sep10 Aug22     (joseph lione)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 10.00    
 
CTM-5   05/06/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITHIN REASON Aug20 Aug06 Jul09 Jun17 Jun03 (o'hagan colle)ZENTENO EDGAR 127 8.00 8% 11.30    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of I'M THE REASON by LA SABOTEUR)
2  HERMANITA ALEX Oct22         (frey carson)BRYAN D 122 10.00 12% 7.60    
  (by SINGING SAINT out of PLATINUM RULES by TRIBAL RULE)
3  WISH ON A STAR         (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00 ★    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of SURGING STAR by SKY MESA)
SCR  YA SAY WHAT Oct08 Oct01 Sep23 Sep11   (clapton alis)ANDROS CORRINE 127 20.00    
  (by GAYEGO out of SAY SANDY BABY by SAY FLORIDA SANDY)
5  AFTER A FEW Apr08         (smith craig)MARTI ALEXANDER 127 5.00 20% 4.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of CHIA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  HALORY'S COMET Oct08 Sep23 Sep17 Sep04   (clapton)CHASE RICHARD 117 12.00    
  (by GIN FIZZ out of HALORY CLANTON by HALORY HUNTER)
7  SHAKINOFFTHERUST Sep24 Sep10 Aug12 Jul15   (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 127 2.00 37% 1.70    
  (by IMPERIALISM out of JOYOUS APPEAL by DEVIL HIS DUE)
8  CHABI Aug12 Jul03 Jun04     (bak)GONZALEZ ALONZO 127 3.50    
  (by TAPITURE out of ABSOLUTE BEARING by MIZZEN MAST)
9  GO AGARTHA Aug06 Jul09       (josep)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 15.00    
  (by READY INTAGLIO out of CLAY PIGEON by BIRDSTONE)
 
CTM-6   05/06/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17K) Purse ($19.5K) 3 ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMART CAT Oct08 Sep10 Aug19 Jul29 Jul16 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 120 8.00    
2  LIL ZAPPER Oct14 Sep10 Aug19 Aug06 Jul29 (payne jode)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 120 12.00    
3  MUDINATOR Oct29 Oct14 Sep10 Aug13 Jul29 (russell monica)NELSON DANE 120 6.00 28% 2.60    
4  FROSTEDBIRD Mar23 Feb19 Jan27     (frey carson)BRYAN D 120 4.00 ★    
5  MOHAMAD Mar11 Feb27 Feb14 Jan26 Jan09 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 2.00    
6  CARAVAN PRINCE Oct22 Sep23 Sep10     (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 120 10.00 38% 1.70    
7  LAHUN Oct28 Sep25 Aug19 Jul29   (kingston kar)PRESCOD N'RICO 120 2.50 ★    
SCR  CARRERA CABALLO Sep10 Aug27       (hedge rick)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 15.00    
 
CTM-7   05/06/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PACHECO         (kettle)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 3.50 22% 3.60    
  (by MARK VALESKI out of SHE'S COPACETIC by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
2  ROUGH CUSTOMER         (heggie rod)MARTIN ANDRE 122 5.00 ★    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of RUBYINTHERUFF by TRIBAL RULE)
3  KISS ME HELLO Oct29 Oct08 Sep24 Sep10 Aug13 (kingston c)BRYAN D 122 12.00 ★    
  (by IMPERIALISM out of KISS ME GOODBYE by GULCH)
4  MAMA'S PROUD JOKE Oct29 Oct08 Sep23     (gourdeau brit)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 8.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of PROUD LITTLE PHONY by PHONE TRICK)
5  BUSTER BRADY Aug06         (zielke mad)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 122 2.00 54% 0.80    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of WHINNY MAGOOGIN by LATENT HEAT)
6  BIG BAD INTAGLIO Sep23 Sep10 Aug13 Aug06   (heggie rod)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00    
  (by READY INTAGLIO out of BIG BAD JANINE by LANGFUHR)
7  VANTASTICCANAVERAL Sep23         (russell moni)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 20.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of DADDY'S VANY by THE DADDY)
8  H K RAPPER Nov05 Oct22 Sep23     (h)GRIFFITH DELANE 112 10.00    
  (by SINGING SAINT out of MIMIPAOPONCHIS by BROKEN VOW)
9  OUR SUNSHINE Oct22 Sep23 Sep10 Aug13   (russell m)ZENTENO JR 122 15.00 ★    
  (by NO HESITATION out of COLOR ME GOLD by HARBOR THE GOLD)
 
CTM-8   05/06/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN FORTYNINE Oct22 Sep23       (kettleson al)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 12.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of FORTYNINE BELOW by BOUNDARY)
2  NO MORE JO KING Oct08 Aug27 Aug13     (rob)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 8.00 17% 4.80    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of E LOOE by LURE)
3  SHES A COOL CAT Oct22         (josep)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 10.00    
  (by EDISON out of THE CAT'S AFFAIR by TALE OF THE CAT)
4  LADY KALIPA         (nicholson david)BRYAN D 122 12.00    
  (by MARINE LANDING out of SALAZAR by DISCREET CAT)
5  GOLDIE SOCKS Oct29 Oct22 Sep23 Sep10 Aug06 (kingston )ZENTENO JR 122 6.00    
  (by IMPERIALISM out of PRETTY GOLDEN by FORMAL GOLD)
6  ECHO CREEK Sep10 Aug06       (robertson )BALGOBIN KEISHAN 122 2.50 17% 4.70    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SMOKE EM ALL by NIIGON)
7  ARANY         (cone rodney)NELSON DANE 122 20.00 ★    
  (by GOTTCHA GOLD out of SHANALI by ALYDEED)
8  BRYNN'S DREAM Oct22         (grieves ron)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 10.00    
  (by GAYEGO out of DREAMING OF LEAH by CONGRATS)
9  TAPULOUS Sep23         (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 10.00 8% 11.50    
  (by TAPITURE out of CARMEN'S KISS by MACHO UNO)
10  SOCIAL CUES Jul09         (smith craig)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 4.00 35% 1.90    
  (by DECLASSIFY out of ITSMY ZIPCODE by CITY ZIP)
SCR  SUNDROP (JPN) Oct15 Oct08 Sep10 Aug27   (mckenzie robe)FRASER MEAGAN 117 20.00    
  (by SUNDAY SILENCE out of OENOTHERA (IRE) by NIGHT SHIFT)
SCR  VIOLET CITY Oct22         (smith crai)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00    
  (by DESTIN out of MONEYGRABBER by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
CTM-9   05/06/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAST EH Oct29 Oct07 Sep30 Aug20 Aug06 (davies deanne)NELSON DANE 125 3.00 ★    
2  SNAP COUNT Nov04 Sep02 Aug20 Aug06 Jul22 (petrowski joan)MARTIN ANDRE 125 8.00    
3  BODYMOOR HEATH Oct15 Sep26 Sep13 Aug30 Aug01 (josep)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 20.00    
4  FULL VELOCITY Nov04 Oct07 Sep23 Sep09 Aug20 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 8.00 ★    
5  WYE CROSS Nov04 Oct14 Oct07 Sep23 Sep09 (smith ron )BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 10.00 25% 2.90    
6  MAJOR SHEPARD Sep07 Aug23 Aug02 Jul20 Jun13 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 15.00    
7  DANZA UNBRIDLED Oct09 Sep30 Sep18 Aug21 Aug14 (rycroft)CHASE RICHARD 115 12.00    
8  MUCHO MAGIC Nov04 Oct21 Sep30 Sep18 Aug20 (g)GRIFFITH DELANE 115 5.00 38% 1.60    
9  VICTORY AT LAST Apr17 Dec01 Nov04 Oct15 Oct07 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 2.00    
10  J. CRUZ         (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 10.00 7% 12.80    
SCR  HIGH KELLY SONG Oct29 Oct15 Sep18 Sep03 Aug20 (h)GRIFFITH DELANE 115 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.