Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Will Rogers Downs
Monday - April 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WRD-1   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/3)-(4/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(4/5/2)-(2/3/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
WRD-2   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2/6)-(4/5/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(2/3/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(2/3/1)-(6/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
WRD-3   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(6/5)-(2/4/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
WRD-4   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/5)-(2/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(2/4/6)-(6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
WRD-5   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(6/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(6/2)-(4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
WRD-6   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/2)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/2)-(4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(4/6)-(4/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
WRD-7   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/1/3)-(4/6/1/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/6)-(4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(4/6)-(7/2/1/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
WRD-8   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/6)-(7/2/1/10) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
WRD-9   WIN (7/2/1/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/10)-(7/2/1/10/11) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/10)-(7/2/1/10/11)-(7/2/1/10/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WRD-1   04/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNQUIETLY Mar21 Mar07 Dec09 Oct03 Aug24 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 124 3.00 50% 1.00    
2  GREAT REALIZATION Mar27 Mar07 Dec17 Dec07 Nov14 (davidson bre)SANCHEZ OBED 124 3.50    
3  GOLDBRIDGE Mar21 Mar13 Dec16 Nov30 Nov03 (gladd andy)JORDAN R 124 2.50 20% 4.10    
4  BIG NORTHERN RIVER Mar14 Dec01 Nov05     (gladd andy)ROMAN KEVIN 124 6.00 ★    
5  PARABELLUM Mar27 Mar07 Feb19 Feb03 Jan21 (williams s)ERAMIA E 124 2.00    
 
WRD-2   04/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OKIE CHROME Apr03         (padilla juan)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 4.00    
  (by CHITOZ out of SLEWFINE OKIE by SLEWSHIP)
2  PONZA         (stephens jer)HEBERT LINDSEY 118 15.00 14% 6.00    
  (by SPECIAL RATE out of PRECIOUS LIFE by YES IT'S TRUE)
3  STOLEN GHOST Mar28 Mar07 Dec14 Dec02   (david ron)KIMES C 118 8.00    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of STEELY by TWO PUNCH)
4  MAJESTIC LIAISON Mar21         (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 118 2.00 45% 1.20    
  (by LIAISON out of MAJESTIC CHIVETTE by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
5  HOLCOMBE         (williams )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 5.00 16% 5.30    
  (by HOME OF THE BRAVE out of CREATIVE SPIRIT by SMARTY JONES)
6  KICK IT AGAIN BOB Mar28 Mar14 Jun14 May24   (corderman s)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 3.00 ★    
  (by KICK ON out of DANE TO DREAM by PROUD CITIZEN)
7  WARRIOR'S STAR Mar28 Dec01       (martin stev)WETHEY JR 124 8.00    
  (by SWIFT WARRIOR out of DUSTIN'S MAGIC by GRAND SLAM)
 
WRD-3   04/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAINBOWS ARE FREE Mar21 Oct27 Oct01 Sep14 Aug20 (caster boyd)KIMES C 124 2.00 19% 4.20    
2  WITSEC Mar20 Feb19 Jan13 Dec09 Nov11 (young e)SANCHEZ OBED 118 1.80 28% 2.60    
3  FREE SPIRITED Mar20 Feb25 Jan13 Nov24 Oct16 (buehrer mar)WETHEY JR 118 1.40 27% 2.60    
4  SHAWK'S LIL AVA Mar20 Feb04 Nov04 Oct14 Sep23 (pruitt m)ROMAN KEVIN 124 15.00    
5  SHEZONEZESTREET Mar26 Feb20 Sep07 Aug20 Jul07 (roberts bl)MORA GERARDO 124 12.00    
 
WRD-4   04/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIXIELAND CANDY Mar27 Mar07 Dec15 Dec01 Nov04 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 118 3.00 ★    
2  CAMCORDIA Mar27 Mar07 Dec27 Dec09 Nov23 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 118 10.00    
3  SEE WHAT'S WHAT Jul18 May22 Apr15 Mar03 Feb11 (espiritu luc)HEBERT LINDSEY 113 15.00    
4  RIVER LIBERTY Mar27 Feb24 Feb04 Nov03 Aug26 (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 118 8.00    
5  SAILSINTHESUNSET Mar13 Feb12 Sep04 Aug20 Jul03 (roberts bl)MORA GERARDO 118 2.00 18% 4.60    
6  SUPERBLEA Apr04 Mar06 Dec13 Nov21 Nov08 (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 1.60 53% 0.90    
 
WRD-5   04/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUSICAL MILLIE Mar27 Mar13 Dec15 Dec07 Nov15 (gomez jua)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 121 15.00    
2  EUTYCHIA Mar20 Mar06 Dec09 Nov08 Oct21 (swan e)BIRZER E 121 2.50 31% 2.30    
3  BID FOR POWER Mar27 Mar07 Feb11 Jan15 Nov22 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 124 3.50    
4  THETRUTHISTHETRUTH Mar21 Mar06 Jan20 Nov18 Aug20 (cogburn orr)WETHEY JR 121 2.00 22% 3.50    
5  GP'S AMAZING GRACE Mar26 Mar04 Feb24 Jan16 Dec17 (young e)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 4.00    
6  BILLIE G Mar27 Mar07 Oct21 Aug26 Jun21 (swango e)SANCHEZ OBED 121 6.00 20% 3.90    
 
WRD-6   04/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRIGERATOR Mar20 Mar14 Dec15 Nov25 Nov04 (hunt s)ERAMIA E 124 12.00    
2  HEPUTTHEACEINRACE Mar28 Mar07 Feb25 Feb03 Jun06 (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 1.80 29% 2.50    
3  MORHAWK Apr03 Mar20 Mar06 Feb26 Feb17 (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 124 20.00    
4  CHEROKEE LEGACY Mar20 Feb25 Jan28 Dec17 Nov25 (young e)ROMAN KEVIN 124 3.00 ★    
5  GOSPEL BUZZ Mar14 Jan20 Dec17 Dec07 Nov22 (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 6.00    
6  BECKETT'S LUCKYDAY Mar20 Mar07 Dec17 Dec01 Oct21 (swan e)BIRZER E 124 1.60 42% 1.40    
 
WRD-7   04/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAYAAD AIN'T SO Mar13 Jun18 May17 May03 Apr13 (swan patrick)JORDAN R 124 5.00 ★    
2  WOW WOW ITS MAGIC Mar19 Mar11 Feb12 Dec09 Nov07 (martin steve)SANCHEZ OBED 124 8.00    
3  BOUJEE BRITT Mar13         (davidson b)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 4.00 ★    
4  SMART OKIE Mar20 Mar06 Nov30 Nov11 Oct21 (padilla juan)MORA GERARDO 118 1.60 65% 0.50    
5  MISS COFFEYVILLE Mar13 Jul11 Jun28 Jun13 Jun07 (ibarra jose)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 15.00    
6  RAINBOW SMILES Mar28 Nov25 Nov04 Oct13   (young scott)WETHEY JR 118 4.50 8% 11.90    
7  ALL AFLUTTER Mar05 Feb20 Dec10 Nov30 Nov18 (davidson nico)KIMES C 124 6.00    
 
WRD-8   04/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANDOLIN WIND Mar27 Nov22       (luneack ther)JORDAN R 118 2.50 ★    
  (by MASTERY out of ANOTHER WORLD by CARR DE NASKRA)
2  SOMERSETSLASTRIDE Mar18 Mar04 Feb17 Sep08   (bravo francisc)LINDSAY CHAD 124 4.00    
  (by GAZEBO out of SHOT OF SILVER by SHOT OF GOLD)
3  SCRIMSHIRE Mar27 Mar05 Dec09     (wilson w)LANDEROS C 124 20.00    
  (by ORDAINED out of BULLS BLUE LADY by HOLY BULL)
4  PRINCE OF EARL Dec09 Nov25 Nov12 Oct13 Sep29 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 3.00 44% 1.30    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of AUSSIEAUSSIEAUSSIE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  GOLD STAR FAMILY         (gomez jua)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 20.00 13% 6.70    
  (by HOME OF THE BRAVE (IRE) out of LAVENDER ROMP by CALLER I. D.)
6  BOLD COURAGE Mar27 Feb17       (buehrer mar)WETHEY JR 124 1.80 19% 4.20    
  (by UNION RAGS out of GIANT MOVER by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
7  CONSTITUTION DAY Apr01 Jan15 Dec16 Nov03   (johnston d)ROMAN KEVIN 118 12.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SNOWMASS by KINGMAMBO)
 
WRD-9   04/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DA COACH'S WIFE Dec16 Dec07 Nov18 Nov07 Oct13 (david ron)KIMES C 124 4.00 13% 6.80    
2  GOOD LIQUOR Mar25 Oct27 Oct14 Sep24 Sep07 (davidson sa)WETHEY JR 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
3  QUICK OKIE Mar28 Dec08 Sep16 Sep01   (padilla juan)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 12.00    
4  CAT TALE BREEZE Mar27 Mar06 Dec15 Dec09 Nov18 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 124 12.00    
5  SALT CREEK GAL Dec03 Nov12 Oct19 Sep16   (gunter michael)LINDSAY CHAD 118 12.00    
SCR  JANE'S COURSE Mar13 Dec08       (revels geary)BAILEY CHEL-C 118 30.00    
7  LIL BEAN MACHINE Apr01 Mar03 Jan16     (padilla juan)MORA GERARDO 124 5.00 35% 1.90    
8  DEVINE CANDY Mar13 Mar04 Feb18 Jul11 Jun28 (martin stev)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 12.00    
9  EASTER VISION Mar13 Dec16 Dec02 May11   (rarick wa)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 6.00    
10  ENVEY N ICE         (offolter s)LANDEROS C 124 8.00 5% 18.60    
11  BIKER BABE Mar27 Mar06 Dec02 Nov07   (oberlander)ERAMIA E 124 12.00 ★    
12  GREEN LIGHT GIRL Nov12 Oct19 Oct07     (ashford ra)HEBERT LINDSEY 113 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.