Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Saturday - April 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(4/5/6)-(7/2/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-2   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(7/2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6)-(7/2/5/4)-(7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-3   WIN (7/2/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/5/4)-(7/2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5/4)-(7/8)-(8/2/7/3) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
LRL-4   WIN (7/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/8)-(7/2/8/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/8)-(8/2/7/3)-(4/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-5   WIN (8/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/7/3)-(8/2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/2/7/3)-(4/5/3)-(2/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-6   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(2/3/1)-(1/5/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LRL-7   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(1/5/2)-(2) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
LRL-8   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
LRL-9   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (2)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 2 $0.50 $1.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   04/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTY MAUVE Feb10 May01 Feb26 Jan18   (motion graha)CEDENO CAROL 126 2.50    
HOLY DELITE Mar12 Feb20 Nov19 Nov05 Oct06 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.00    
TAP N GLO Feb11 Jan01 Dec11 Nov13 Oct29 (sillaman ri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 3.50 47% 1.10    
SAPPHIRE BEAUTY Mar11 Feb24 Feb12 Jan29 Jan13 (frock charle)LEWIS M 115 8.00    
MUSICAL CAT Mar11 Feb24 Feb03 Jan07 Nov25 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 126 4.00 21% 3.70    
HEARDITALL Feb05 Jan28 Oct13 Sep30 Aug27 (dove ke)ORTIZ ORLANDO 113 30.00    
LOVELY LIZA Mar11 Feb05 Jan15 Jun01   (frock charle)BARBOSA JEIRON 108 12.00    
 
LRL-2   04/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT- 1:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTER RIPSTER Feb20         (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 5.00    
REAL RAMBO Feb11 Jan13       (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 2.50    
I AM THE MIKE Jan27 Jan08 Dec09 Nov27 Nov06 (mancilla ca)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 6.00    
DISTANT FIRE Mar10 Feb20       (geralis emanuel )CRUZ ANGEL 120 3.00 46% 1.20    
IRISH WARLOCK Feb17         (walters jo)RIVERA R 117 8.00 16% 5.10    
FOWL NATION Feb17 Jan27 Jan08 Dec11 Nov20 (ness jamie)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 5.00 9% 10.70    
EXPECT LUCKY Mar10 Mar04 Jul15     (geralis eman)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 15.00    
DOUBLE BID Feb17 Dec30 Dec03 Nov04 Oct01 (braccial)BUTTERFLY L 120 30.00    
 
LRL-3   04/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FOLK HERO Feb23 Jan27 Jan11 Dec13 Nov29 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 109 12.00    
LADY JEAN Mar05 Feb10 Feb03 Jan20 Nov11 (maldonado j)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.00 15% 5.60    
FOLLY Mar17 Feb19 Jan28 Sep17 Sep02 (maldonado jonat)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 5.00    
KASHAN Jan20 Nov29 Sep17 Aug06 Jun25 (perkins ben )BARBOSA JEIRON 118 8.00 10% 8.90    
BACKSTREET AFFAIR Mar18 Mar05 Feb11 Feb03 Jan07 (magee kiero)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 4.00 15% 5.70    
MINER'S GEM Mar05 Feb11 Aug17 Jun29 Jun23 (mcmahon h)HERNANDEZ F 123 15.00    
SHACKLEFORD COUNTY Mar18 Feb17 Jan14 Dec31 Dec06 (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 2.50 38% 1.70    
 
LRL-4   04/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 35 ALL PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPE Mar19 Feb19 Feb01 Jan16 Nov19 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 4.50    
HERE AND NOFURTHER Mar11 Feb19 Jan28 Dec30 Nov25 (magee kiero)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 3.50    
NOTIMELIKEPRESENT Mar19 Feb19 Jan28 Jan07 Dec16 (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 3.00    
LOOTAH Feb10 Jan20       (frock charle)LEWIS M 115 6.00    
BOBSWORTH Dec11         (rivera )ORTIZ ORLANDO 117 20.00    
CHASING STORMS Jan20         (russell br)RIVERA R 115 4.50    
DON BERNARDO Nov21 Sep28 Aug26 Jul09 Jun10 (salazar mar)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 5.00 71% 0.40    
ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS Feb19 Jan27 Dec16 Nov29 Nov07 (parram )BRICENO GREGOR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-5   04/01/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT ACT Mar22 Mar13 Feb17 Jan20 Jun12 (stites flint)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 8.00    
DOLICE VITA Mar12 Feb01 Dec31 Dec18 Nov23 (capuano phill)ALVELO C 123 4.00 16% 5.40    
GUILLAUME Feb04 Jan15 Dec31 Nov30 Nov09 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 123 12.00 7% 12.40    
MAXIMUS MIDANI Mar10 May28 Apr10     (perkins jr)BOYCE FOREST 123 12.00    
GOLDEN GULLEY Dec16 Nov26 Nov03 Oct07 Sep23 (capuano gar)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 8.00    
SCR  WALK AWAY JOE Mar12 Feb20 Jan14 Dec16 Nov24 (capuano phillip)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 5.00    
SEMPER FI Mar17 Jan20 Dec17 Nov06 Oct09 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.50 8% 12.20    
RUSTYS GFIVEFIFTY Mar12 Feb05 Jan14 Dec17 Nov24 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 126 3.50 38% 1.60    
 
LRL-6   04/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3 F PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAMOND SUE Mar17 Feb17 Jan22 Dec30 Nov24 (mancilla ca)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 12.00    
  (by CUBA out of CHILD'S PLAY by FREEDOM CHILD)
SCR  DYNAMISM         (motion h )CARRASCO R 124 5.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of AFLEETING LADY by AFLEET ALEX)
RUN AROUND SLEW Mar10         (cooney s)ARAUJO DENIS 124 8.00 14% 5.90    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of ST. LOUIE SLEW by FLOWER ALLEY)
SISTER CLOUDY         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 3.00 35% 1.90    
  (by COLLECTED out of EL FASTO by EL PRADO (IRE))
GINGER GIRL Feb26         (shankle joa)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 124 4.00 25% 3.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of LENTINI by BERNARDINI)
HIDEWRIGHT AWAY Mar17 Mar11 Feb26 Feb05   (cash norman )BARBOSA JEIRON 119 5.00    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of UNION ET FORCE by PEINTRE CELEBRE)
FORTUNE TELLER Aug11         (brion keri)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of CATCH THE MAGIC by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
APPEALINGTOTHE EYE Mar10         (lynch catha)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 10.00    
  (by MASTERY out of APPEALING MAGGIE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
SCR  SHE GOT THE MUNNI Mar10         (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 124 6.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of HELENA THE FIRST by LEMON DROP KID)
 
LRL-7   04/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MRS. DEL Mar12 Dec29 Dec01 Nov05 Oct22 (cash norman )BARBOSA JEIRON 121 6.00 11% 8.50    
DULCE KIARA Mar12 Feb24 Feb17 Feb04 Jan06 (demario charl)KARAMANOS A 123 1.80 40% 1.50    
FORTES Mar23 Mar02 Feb17 Jan27 Jan14 (serey mari)RIVERA R 119 8.00 15% 5.50    
MS. MALEVOLENCE Mar12 Feb17 Feb03 Jan21 Dec31 (nazario ped)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 6.00    
FLAVA'S DREAM Mar12 Feb23 Dec03 Nov13 Oct21 (woodit)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 15.00    
MY JUBA Mar12 Feb01 Jan21 Jan05 Dec10 (sanchez-sal)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 1.40    
 
LRL-8   04/01/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACADIAN GIRL Mar11 Jan27 Oct06 Sep04 Jul01 (geralis emanu)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 2.50 25% 3.00    
ICE CUBE BABY Mar12 Feb17 Jan28 Jan06 Dec16 (frock charle)BARBOSA JEIRON 109 20.00 5% 19.00    
FRECCIA D'ARGENTO Mar10 Feb10 Jan11 Dec14 Nov23 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 123 5.00    
SCR  HASHTAG LUCKY Mar10 Feb19 Jan27 Jan01 Dec04 (sanchez-sa)RIVERA R 119 3.00 22% 3.60    
ANNA ROCKS Feb22 Jan18 Nov30 Jul22 Jun30 (stites flint )ROJAS MARTINA 109 10.00 12% 7.50    
STARTWITHABANG Mar18 Mar10 Feb05 Jan21 Jan13 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.50    
DOTADA Mar10 Feb19 Feb03 Nov24 Oct27 (smith a)CRUZ ANGEL 126 3.50    
 
LRL-9   04/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 35 ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMOTIONAL RESCUE         (motion g)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 6.00    
UNION LEAGUE Jan08 Nov18 Sep06 Jul30   (sillaman richard)CRUZ ANGEL 126 8.00 30% 2.40    
TWICE GOLD Mar26 Sep11 Aug27 Aug06 Jul15 (voss katharin)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 6.00    
SCR  MARGIE'S FUN SON Jan27 Jan06       (andreadakis)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 117 15.00    
THE GREAT GAZOO Feb26 Feb05 Jan08 Jun20 May02 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 4.00    
LUV YA BYE BYE Mar11 Feb19 Dec30 Dec09 Jun24 (mcmahon )BUTTERFLY L 126 3.50    
SCR  LEGENDAIRE         (perkins be)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 126 1.80 35% 1.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.