Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Will Rogers Downs
Tuesday - March 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WRD-1   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4/3)-(1/2/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(6/5/1/7/4) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(6/5/1/7/4)-(6/3/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
WRD-2   WIN (6/5/1/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/1/7/4)-(6/5/1/7/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (6/5/1/7/4)-(6/5/1/7/4)-(6/5/1/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/5/1/7/4)-(6/3/4) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1/7/4)-(6/3/4)-(7/5/3/8/4) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
WRD-3   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4/2/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4/2/5)-(6/3/4/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(7/5/3/8/4) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(7/5/3/8/4)-(6/2/5/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
WRD-4   WIN (7/5/3/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/3/8/4)-(7/5/3/8/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (7/5/3/8/4)-(7/5/3/8/4)-(7/5/3/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/5/3/8/4)-(6/2/5/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3/8/4)-(6/2/5/4)-(4/5/1/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
WRD-5   WIN (6/2/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/5/4)-(6/2/5/4/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (6/2/5/4)-(6/2/5/4/7)-(6/2/5/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/2/5/4)-(4/5/1/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5/4)-(4/5/1/2)-(8/4/5/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
WRD-6   WIN (4/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/1/2)-(4/5/1/2/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (4/5/1/2)-(4/5/1/2/6)-(4/5/1/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/5/1/2)-(8/4/5/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1/2)-(8/4/5/7)-(3/9/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
WRD-7   WIN (8/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/5/7)-(8/4/5/7/9) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (8/4/5/7)-(8/4/5/7/9)-(8/4/5/7/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/4/5/7)-(3/9/10) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (8/4/5/7)-(3/9/10)-(8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
WRD-8   WIN (3/9/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/9/10)-(3/9/10/7/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/9/10)-(3/9/10/7/1)-(3/9/10/7/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/9/10)-(8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/9/10)-(8)-(10/9/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
WRD-9   WIN (8) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (8)-(8/1/9/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (8)-(8/1/9/10/6)-(8/1/9/10/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (8)-(10/9/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
WRD-10   WIN (10/9/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/9/5)-(10/9/5/2/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (10/9/5)-(10/9/5/2/3)-(10/9/5/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WRD-1   03/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BILLIE G Oct21 Aug26 Jun21 Jun06 May03 (swango rand)WETHEY JR 121 2.50 13% 6.90    
2  CAMCORDIA Dec27 Dec09 Nov23 Nov09 Oct26 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 121 4.00 12% 7.10    
3  BID FOR POWER Feb11 Jan15 Nov22 Oct19 Jan28 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 121 3.00 ★    
4  WICKED CHOCOLATE Feb17 Feb03 Dec09 Oct27 Aug26 (dixon tim)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 12.00 8% 11.50    
SCR  AWESOME SUNSET Feb24 Feb04 Jan16 Dec05 Oct03 (williams steve)MORA GERARDO 121 3.50 43% 1.30    
6  DIXIELAND CANDY Dec15 Dec01 Nov04 Oct21 Sep30 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 121 4.00    
 
WRD-2   03/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCRAPPY PATCH Dec09 Nov05 Oct13 Sep29 Sep01 (hale vi)BAILEY CHEL-C 124 3.00 12% 7.40    
2  ANGEL WHISPER Jan21 Dec16 Nov25 Oct26 Oct06 (pruitt jody)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 12.00    
3  TWO ANGELS Feb24 Feb04 Jan15 Jul04 Jun18 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 124 6.00    
4  MISS CANEY Nov30 Nov04 Oct07 Sep16   (oberlander j)HEBERT LINDSEY 113 5.00 7% 13.30    
5  SARA'S SAPPHIRE Feb23 Jan19 Jan04 Dec16   (dixon tim)CABRERA DAVID 118 4.00 16% 5.10    
6  PEPPERMINT SISTER Dec08 Nov03 Oct13 Sep23   (biehler michael )BIRZER E 118 2.50 30% 2.30    
7  COZZOLANI Jan26 Dec30 Nov30 Nov17 Nov02 (dixon tim)KIMES C 118 6.00 8% 11.70    
 
WRD-3   03/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21K) 3 F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS ARKANSAS Feb09 Jan14       (dixon tim)KIMES C 122 15.00    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of BURNING CREOLE by BURNING ROMA)
2  SPLITSECONDECISION Feb17 Feb05 Jan15 Dec15 Dec03 (davis ste)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 122 12.00 ★    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of MUSADAQA by BERNARDINI)
3  RED RIVER WITCH Dec03 Nov12 Oct19 Oct07 Sep16 (gladd andy)BIRZER E 122 1.40 13% 6.70    
  (by WILBURN out of FOREIGN SULTRESS by FOREIGN POLICY)
4  CREES VALENTYME Feb10 Aug26       (craddoc)GONCALVES R 122 4.00 11% 8.50    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of RECKLESS BETTY by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
5  GOSPEL FABULOUS Oct19 Sep16 Sep09     (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 122 20.00 ★    
  (by GOSPEL TIZ KEY out of GOSPEL ARROW by PURIM)
6  SKY ECHO Dec09 Dec03 Nov12 Oct19 Sep16 (pogue bob)WETHEY JR 122 1.20 54% 0.90    
  (by LIAISON out of ZIVA'S POLICY by FOREIGN POLICY)
 
WRD-4   03/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELUSIVE FREUD Dec10 Dec02 Nov19 Nov08 Oct20 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 124 12.00    
2  RUNQUIETLY Dec09 Oct03 Aug24 Aug08   (mason ingrid)WALES T 124 6.00    
3  IRA CHAMP Jan16 Dec08 Nov15 Nov05 Oct12 (buehrer mar)WETHEY JR 124 3.50 9% 10.50    
4  DEL MOON Feb10 Jan22 Dec02 Nov08 Jul16 (donaldson)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 15.00 6% 15.20    
5  GREAT REALIZATION Dec17 Dec07 Nov14 Nov05 Oct07 (davidson brent)KIMES C 124 6.00 14% 6.40    
6  MAJOR GRIFFIN Dec10 Dec02 Jul19 Jun20 Jun07 (camillo ang)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 8.00    
7  TERAWATT Dec16 Dec02 Nov18 Nov07 Sep08 (padilla juan)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 3.00 38% 1.60    
8  HELLEPHENT Jan22 Jan01 Dec02 Nov08 Sep23 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 124 4.00 8% 11.90    
9  PARABELLUM Feb19 Feb03 Jan21 Jan06 Dec19 (williams steve)MORA GERARDO 124 20.00    
 
WRD-5   03/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BECKETT'S LUCKYDAY Dec17 Dec01 Oct21 Sep24 Aug14 (swan e)BIRZER E 124 12.00    
2  DAME PLATA Feb20 Sep10 Aug27 Jul27 May18 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 124 3.50 18% 4.70    
3  PRINCE RAMA Feb20 Sep10 Aug17 Jul16 Jun30 (bravo fra)TRIANA JR 121 15.00    
4  TOMMYHAWK Nov11 Oct21 Oct05 Sep23 Jul19 (swango randy )CABRERA DAVID 121 4.00 8% 11.70    
5  CHIPOFFTHEOLDBLOCK Dec11 Nov23 Oct31 Aug18 Jun29 (lauer mich)ERAMIA E 124 3.00 9% 10.00    
6  SHANNON C Oct21 Sep23 Jun10 May24 May03 (young s)GONCALVES R 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
7  TIN BADGE Dec30 Sep29 Aug29 Aug01 Jul18 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 121 6.00 ★    
 
WRD-6   03/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOTTOMLESS Feb16 Jan27 Dec30 Dec16 Nov25 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 124 4.00 18% 4.60    
2  SMART CALL Feb03 Sep15 Aug27 Jul31 Jun26 (roberts joe)STILLION BROOKE 124 12.00 10% 9.20    
3  SERBIAN SAILOR Feb25 Feb09 Jan20 Jan08 Dec18 (dixon tim)KIMES C 124 6.00    
4  HEPUTTHEACEINRACE Feb25 Feb03 Jun06 May17 Apr27 (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 2.50 30% 2.40    
5  POKER PLAY Feb17 Dec14 Nov18 Nov02 Oct07 (caster boyd)CABRERA DAVID 124 3.00 19% 4.40    
6  MR OKLAHOMA CITY Dec14 Nov25 Oct26 Sep29 Sep10 (oberlander j)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 3.50 ★    
7  RECKLESSNESS Jan08 Oct22 Sep29 Sep14 Aug15 (mason ingrid)WALES T 124 12.00    
 
WRD-7   03/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONOMATOPOEIA Jan22 Dec12 Dec01 Nov15 Oct25 (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 124 20.00    
2  REVIVAL Nov21 Oct15 Sep21 Sep01   (luneack sue)KIMES C 124 12.00    
3  SHELL SHOCKER Feb10 Dec16 Oct13     (buehrer m)TRIANA JR 124 15.00    
4  EURO SUPRISE Dec01 Oct21 Oct06 Sep22   (offolter j)ERAMIA E 124 3.50 19% 4.30    
5  MISTER WAYSIDE Dec15 Nov19 Oct21 Oct06 Sep15 (oberlander j)JORDAN R 124 3.00 9% 9.50    
6  SMOKING GUN (GB) Feb10 Jan12 Dec29 Nov30 Sep29 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 124 6.00    
7  SWEET BAKER Nov15 Oct28 Sep29 Aug20   (craddoc)GONCALVES R 124 4.50 6% 16.20    
8  HOT TICKET Feb19 Jan14 Nov30 Nov08 May16 (caster boyd)CABRERA DAVID 124 5.00 40% 1.50    
9  BROTHER AARON Feb11 Jan22 Jan06 Dec03 Nov04 (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 124 8.00 ★    
 
WRD-8   03/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTER TYRO Dec16 Dec02       (oberlander jes)LINDSAY CHAD 118 8.00 ★    
  (by COIN FLIP out of JAZZY GENIUS by EINSTEIN (BRZ))
2  COMPUTATION Dec14 Dec02 Nov05     (young sco)TRIANA JR 118 12.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of DOUBLE THE LEAD by BERNARDINI)
3  MINGUS Dec16 Dec02 Nov05     (biehler michael )BIRZER E 118 3.00 43% 1.30    
  (by MAGNA GRADUATE out of JULIARD by DIXIELAND BAND)
4  PUPPY POWER Jun27 Jun06       (mitchell da)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 20.00    
  (by WILBURN out of BERN BABY by BERNSTEIN)
5  MR. SMOKEY Oct20 Oct07 Sep17 Sep03 Jul05 (espiritu luc)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 20.00    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of SOONER STRIPE by SERVICE STRIPE)
6  STOLEN GHOST Dec14 Dec02       (david ron)KIMES C 118 12.00    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of STEELY by TWO PUNCH)
7  SWEET ALEX Feb05 Nov03 Oct06 Aug27 Jul17 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 118 4.00 ★    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of SO SWEET by MORE THAN READY)
8  CRAFTY SWORD Oct12         (espiritu lu)STILLION BROOKE 124 20.00    
  (by SONG OF THE SWORD out of CRAFTY G by CRAFTY DUDE)
9  PAPA BILL Dec14 Dec02 Nov05 Oct08   (oberlander)ERAMIA E 118 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of MUDLAFF CHARLIE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
10  BIRD TALK         (padilla car)WETHEY JR 124 4.00 11% 8.50    
  (by WESTERN EXPRESSION out of JUSTAPURDYBIRDIE by SERVICE STRIPE)
 
WRD-9   03/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST OKIE Nov30 Nov21 Nov11 Oct21 Aug27 (padilla ju)ERAMIA E 118 4.00 ★    
2  KYEMBEA Dec17 Dec01 Nov03 Jun27 Jun06 (brooks d)MORA GERARDO 124 20.00    
3  EL BLAZE Feb10 Dec17 Nov22 Nov07 Oct07 (martin steve)SANCHEZ OBED 124 12.00    
4  HES BIG CHIEF Oct26 Sep24 Sep01 Jul18 Jul05 (espiritu luc)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 20.00    
5  GOSPEL DANDY Dec01 Nov06 Oct23 Jul18 Jul05 (williams st)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 20.00    
6  COUNTRY BRAVE Feb16 Jan21 Dec14 Nov25 Oct28 (ashford ray)BIRZER E 124 8.00 ★    
7  EARS TO ME Dec17 Dec07 Nov14 Oct26 Oct07 (swan patrick )CABRERA DAVID 124 10.00    
8  MIRANDEN Feb05 Jan21 Dec17 Nov05 Oct08 (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 2.50 74% 0.30    
9  CRAZY LOVER Dec17 Dec01 Nov22 Nov12 Nov03 (moreno ca)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 6.00 ★    
10  ROWDY RIVER Dec15 Dec07       (gladd andy)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 8.00 ★    
11  BIG CITY BOY Dec17 Nov22 Nov05 Oct06 Sep17 (hartman alex)JORDAN R 124 8.00    
 
WRD-10   03/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EASTER JIM Dec16 Nov19       (oberlander j)JORDAN R 118 20.00    
2  MASTER RED Feb17 Jan16 Sep30 Sep15 Aug10 (roberts bl)MORA GERARDO 124 5.00 ★    
3  RED ACE         (lee mark)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 20.00 ★    
4  GUCCI BLING Feb20 Feb10 Jan14 Nov26 Nov07 (caldwell r)COLLIER T 118 8.00    
5  CAMANCHE RIVER Dec16 Nov19       (gladd andy)KIMES C 118 8.00 6% 14.50    
6  BONES BRUIN Sep02 Jul12 Jun14 May09 Apr27 (espiritu luc)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 8.00    
7  CLEARLY A JET Feb18 Jan13 Dec15 Nov25 Oct29 (dixon tim)TRIANA JR 118 20.00    
8  MACER THE RACER Feb23 Feb11 Jan26 Jan12 Dec28 (dixon tim)BAILEY CHEL-C 124 20.00    
9  OCTAGON Dec08 Nov19 Oct27 Oct05 Aug20 (oberlander )WETHEY JR 124 8.00 30% 2.40    
10  STOLICH Feb10 Jan27 Dec09 Nov15 Oct27 (ashford ray)ROMAN KEVIN 118 4.00 38% 1.70    
11  MOURVEDRE Feb19 Jan13 Oct22 Sep25 Aug27 (diodoro robertin)BIRZER E 124 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.