Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Sunday - February 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FON-1   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/4/5/3) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    DD (1)-(3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
FON-2   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FON-3   WIN (3/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/2/5)-(3/6/2/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/6/2/5)-(3/6/2/5/4)-(3/6/2/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FON-4   WIN (6/1/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/3/5)-(6/1/3/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/1/3/5)-(6/1/3/5/4)-(6/1/3/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3/5)-(6/1/4/5/2)-(3/1/6/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FON-5   WIN (6/1/4/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/4/5/2)-(6/1/4/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/4/5/2)-(6/1/4/5/2)-(6/1/4/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/1/4/5/2)-(3/1/6/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
FON-6   WIN (3/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/6/2)-(3/1/6/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/1/6/2)-(3/1/6/2/5)-(3/1/6/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   02/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAJUN TRINITY Feb03 Jan25 Jan12 Dec09   (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 121 1.80 63% 0.60    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of CHEF BERTIE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  SURE WASN'T ME Feb12 Nov18 Aug20 Jul30 Jun25 (lemburg mark)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00 ★    
  (by ORB out of SOLE MISS by COLONEL JOHN)
3  MOONSHINE LILY Feb12 Nov22 Aug14 Jun18 Apr07 (dunlap m)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 ★    
  (by MOONSHINE MULLIN out of GO GO OKIE by HERE WE COME)
4  NAUGHTY NOELLE Dec15 Dec08       (revels geary)BETHKE A 121 6.00 ★    
  (by MAJESTIC HUSSAR out of NAUGHTY EXPRESSION by WESTERN EXPRESSION)
5  HAPPY QUEST Feb12 Dec30 Dec02     (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 121 8.00 ★    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of CONQUEST DYNASTY by COURT VISION)
 
FON-2   02/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAYZEE Feb12 Jun19 May07 Apr22 Mar04 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 1.60 ★    
2  ZIBBY TOO Feb12 Jun11 May21 May07 Apr23 (anderson c)RAMOS B 125 12.00 ★    
3  P R ODDS SETTER Feb12 May21 Mar19 Feb20   (wise jaso)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 43% 1.40    
4  QUEENSCABALLO Feb12 Jul17 Jun18 May13 Apr24 (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.50 12% 7.20    
5  JUDGE ON THE RUN Feb12 Jun11 May21 Mar19 Feb20 (compton jesse)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00 17% 5.00    
 
FON-3   02/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPORTS HIFLYER Feb11 Jun17       (krause bill)MARTINEZ R 125 10.00    
  (by SPORTS TALK out of CRESCO HIFLYER by BURBANK (IRE))
2  CORTE Dec20 Sep13       (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 4.00 17% 5.10    
  (by COURT VISION out of TRIMMED by GAFF)
3  LUCKY MCCOY Feb12 Dec08 Nov19 Nov05 Oct27 (thompson grady)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 2.00 30% 2.30    
  (by I SPENT IT out of THE REAL MCCOY by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
4  SUPER SIZER Feb12 Dec07 Oct15 Sep24   (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 121 8.00 ★    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of DECANT (GB) by ROUSILLON)
5  CODE ONE Dec30 Dec02 Oct03     (martinez kell)CARDOSO DAVID 121 3.50 10% 8.90    
  (by HONOR CODE out of RAFAELINI by BERNARDINI)
6  NO LIMITATION Jan12 Dec21 Oct10 Sep28 Sep12 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00 23% 3.40    
  (by CUPID out of EVERYTHING SWEET by BLUEGRASS CAT)
 
FON-4   02/26/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FASHION FACT Feb10 Sep26 Sep16 Aug19 Jul23 (condon schuyler)RAMOS B 125 2.00 22% 3.50    
2  UNHERDOF Jan13 Dec17 Nov09 Oct27 Sep19 (thomse)FLETCHER D 125 10.00    
3  IMAGINARY IMAGE         (sayre d)MARTINEZ R 125 4.00 20% 3.90    
4  MIZZANNA Aug28 Aug18 Aug03 Jul13 Jun29 (thompson grady)ROMAN KEVIN 125 6.00 ★    
5  OUR PETUNIA Jun03 May07 Apr24 Apr08 Apr01 (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00 5% 18.80    
6  RACHIE RACH Jan18 Dec10 Nov16 Oct29 Oct13 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.50 31% 2.30    
7  READY TO GET LOUD Feb12 Sep29 Sep16 Sep09 Aug29 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 5.00    
 
FON-5   02/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORANT Feb10 Dec31 Dec04 Nov18 Oct02 (condon schuyl)CARDOSO DAVID 125 4.00 16% 5.40    
2  KEARNEY Feb10 Dec01 Nov15 Nov01 Oct18 (ibanez alber)BETHKE A 125 12.00 5% 17.30    
3  INSPEIGHTOFTHEDOG Feb12 Jul24 Jul16 Jul02 Jun18 (ecoffey gi)GONZALEZ V 125 15.00    
4  WAR REPORTER Feb12 Jan21 Dec20 Dec08 Nov10 (gonzalez is)MORALES ROBERTO 125 4.50 15% 5.60    
5  LOOKIN FOR LARRY Feb10 Jan13 Dec30 Dec16 Dec01 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 11% 8.50    
6  GENOMIC Feb12 Dec10 Nov19 Nov02 Oct12 (ecoffey g)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 26% 2.90    
7  ASHWINS ORB Feb12 Nov27 Nov15 Oct26 Oct10 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 5.00    
 
FON-6   02/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEBONNAIRE DUDE Feb01 Jan11 Dec28 Dec09 Sep10 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 6.00 21% 3.70    
2  FORT KNOX Dec15 Oct08 Jul05 Jun27 Jun13 (black marissa)HAAR NATHAN 125 2.50 10% 9.10    
3  TOUGH COMPANY Feb11 Jan07 Dec07 Nov25 Oct27 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.80 26% 2.80    
4  RUN FOR MATTY Feb18 Nov30 Nov14 Oct25 Oct04 (ibanez alberto)RAMOS B 125 15.00    
5  FAKE SOLUTION Feb11 Sep30 Sep19 Aug22 Jul30 (condon)FLETCHER D 125 8.00 ★    
6  TOP OF THE GAME Sep25 Sep08 Jul04 Jun11 May28 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.00 19% 4.40    
7  TROY OUNCE Feb11 Dec09 Oct20 Sep21 Aug26 (ecoffey gilbe)CARDOSO DAVID 125 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.