Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Monday - February 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (1/3/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/4)-(1/3/6/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6/4)-(4/6)-(5/4) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
LRL-2   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/1/6/7/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    DD (4/6)-(5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(5/4)-(5/6/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LRL-3   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4/3/2/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(5/6/4)-(9/3/12/8/4) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
LRL-4   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(9/3/12/8/4)-(1/5/2/3/8) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LRL-5   WIN (9/3/12/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/3/12/8/4)-(9/3/12/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/3/12/8/4)-(1/5/2/3/8)-(2/1/7) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LRL-6   WIN (1/5/2/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/2/3/8)-(1/5/2/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2/3/8)-(2/1/7)-(3/1/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LRL-7   WIN (2/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/7)-(2/1/7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7)-(3/1/2)-(7/8/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-8   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRL-9   WIN (7/8/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/5/6)-(7/8/5/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   02/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCK ROSE Jan16 Jan01 Nov27 Oct30 Oct01 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 1.80 33% 2.10    
2  FANCY PRINCESS Feb03 Jan16 May14 Mar18 Feb12 (plummer bob)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 116 10.00 ★    
3  VILLAREGGIA Jan29 Dec18 Dec02 Nov24 Nov09 (libertini )HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 4.00 19% 4.20    
4  BELLA BETTINA Feb03 Jan15 Dec31 Dec09 Nov19 (davis g)BOYCE FOREST 126 8.00 11% 8.10    
5  SWEET TALIA Feb03 Jan16 Dec02 Oct09 Sep23 (mcfarl)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 4.50    
6  OFFALY FAST Jan16 Dec14 Nov19 Oct15 Aug26 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.50 16% 5.20    
 
LRL-2   02/20/2023 5940ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VISUAL ARTIST Feb07 Nov30 Nov08 Oct25 Oct05 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.00    
1A  SHOFAR Jan27 Dec06 Nov26 Oct27 Oct08 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 3.00 ★    
2  JASONTAKESLONG Dec18 Nov25 Oct21 Aug27 Jun24 (mancilla carlo)ROSADO JOHAN 123 8.00    
3  BURGEE Feb01 Jan07 Dec16 Nov25 Oct15 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 6.00 ★    
4  FORLOVEOFCOUNTRY Feb04 Jan08 Nov24 Nov05 Sep30 (allen a )BUTTERFLY L 123 4.50 61% 0.60    
5  WALK AWAY JOE Jan14 Dec16 Nov24 Nov05 Sep30 (capuano phillip)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 6.00    
6  UP AGAINST IT Jan29 Jan08 Oct22 Sep30 Aug27 (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 2.50 6% 14.60    
7  CLUBMAN Feb04 Jan19 Dec18 Nov30 Nov08 (bailes rober)PEREZ XAVIER 126 6.00 ★    
 
LRL-3   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JIMMY THE KID Feb03 Jan28 Jan13 Dec18 Dec04 (sanchez)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 2.50 ★    
2  DR. RUSTY RAYMOND Jan18 Dec09 Oct29 Oct12 Sep14 (pickett c)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 5.00 ★    
3  SPOTTED BULL Jan29 Jan07 Jan01 Nov26 Apr21 (magee kiero)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.00 ★    
4  BAD GUY Jan29 Jan07 Nov11 Jul30 Jun18 (klesaris robe)KARAMANOS A 123 6.00 7% 12.50    
5  WILD BEHAVIOR Feb05 Dec31 Nov27 Oct27 Sep21 (gaudet lac)RIVERA R 116 3.00 60% 0.70    
6  SHOULDA HAD IT Feb12 Feb05 Jan27 Jan16 Jan08 (serey mario)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 113 15.00    
 
LRL-4   02/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($54K) 3 ALL PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UPSTATE AND BACK Jan25 Dec16 Nov02 Sep24 Aug22 (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 121 12.00 ★    
2  CORONOVA Jan29 Dec17 Nov03     (sillaman richa)CEDENO CAROL 121 10.00 ★    
3  TERMSOFENGAGEMENT Jan25 Jan06 Nov20     (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00    
4  LAMARVELOUS Jan21 Nov20       (eppler mary )BARBOSA JEIRON 119 3.00 8% 11.20    
5  CIRCLING THE DRAIN Jan29 Dec09 Nov20     (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 1.40 58% 0.70    
6  BYK Jan29 Dec31 Nov09     (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 121 3.00 10% 9.10    
 
LRL-5   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT- 2:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANNIESALLINCLUSIVE Feb03 Jan13 Dec30 Dec10 Nov20 (delgado p)DELGADO A 124 10.00    
2  SNIP THE ROSES Dec09 Nov18 Nov06 Oct13 Sep24 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 124 30.00    
3  BUBBA CHROME Feb03 Jan14 Jan01 Dec11 Nov20 (cox kenneth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 3.50 12% 7.40    
4  MOON SIGN Jan27 Jan01 Nov18 Oct20 Sep07 (pradenas serg)KARAMANOS A 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  SPUNKY IRISHMAN Jan27 Jan01       (eubanks anne)BATISTA A 124 30.00    
6  CITI CREEK Jan22 Jan01 Aug17 Jul20 Jun30 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 6.00    
7  DUKE OF DOOLY Feb11 Jan14 Dec30 Dec03 Nov20 (sepulveda c)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 114 8.00    
8  RUNNING RIVER         (salzm)LABARRE GRACE 120 15.00 10% 9.10    
9  MISTER RIPSTER         (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 124 5.00 42% 1.40    
10  CAJUN FUN Feb10         (allard edward )CEDENO CAROL 124 6.00    
11  RASCALLY REBEL Feb03 Jan27 Jan13 Dec09 Nov27 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 120 20.00    
12  DISTANT FIRE         (geralis emanuel )CRUZ ANGEL 124 6.00 10% 8.70    
 
LRL-6   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3 F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAYLIS STREET Jan28 Jan08 Dec11 Nov19 Sep01 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 121 3.50 36% 1.80    
2  O SHAUGHESEY Jan29 Jan08 Dec11 Nov25 Oct28 (mckenzie dan)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 10.00 11% 8.10    
3  COWGIRL SHINE Jan18 Dec03 Nov16 Oct26 Oct05 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 12.00 6% 16.10    
4  VEGAS WILD CAT Jan10 Dec18 Nov14     (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 8.00    
5  LARAMORE Jan28 Dec18 Nov25 Nov07 Oct13 (gonzalez )HERNANDEZ F 121 2.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  COCKTAIL DREAMING Jan20 Jan06 Dec16 Nov19 Oct22 (gerali)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 3.50    
7  DON'T TELL DEREN Jan08 Dec16 Nov25 Oct29 Oct16 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 8.00    
8  GALACTIC TIDE Jan29 Jan06 Dec04 Nov12 Oct23 (young c)ORTIZ ORLANDO 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  JIMMYDABOOK Feb04 Jan15 Dec29 Dec04 Nov04 (smith d)ALVELO C 124 20.00    
 
LRL-7   02/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACE NINE NINE Feb04 Dec27 Dec06 Nov14 Aug17 (dove j)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 5.00 21% 3.80    
2  BRILLIANT ICE Feb05 Jan16 Dec30 Nov18 Oct23 (eubanks an)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 2.50 40% 1.50    
3  LADNEEDSAHANDLER Jan28 Jan01 Dec11 Nov04 Oct14 (salzman timot)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 4.50 ★    
4  ARDEN'SLUCKYTOBE Jan27 Dec09       (mcclure )BUTTERFLY L 123 15.00    
5  FLAMING EAST Jan21 Jan01 Dec11 Nov27 Oct30 (gaudet lace)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.50 ★    
6  RAHMER Feb12 Jan21 Jan01 Oct20 Jul10 (barr h)CRUZ ANGEL 123 6.00    
7  RAD PAISLEY Jan16 Dec18 Dec03 Nov20 Oct29 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 3.50 17% 5.00    
 
LRL-8   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($58K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY FLICKER Jan15 Dec16 Nov26 Nov09 Oct14 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 3.00 17% 4.90    
2  BOURBON WILDCAT Jan21 Jan01 Oct22 Oct07 Sep17 (magana jose )BARBOSA JEIRON 118 3.50 10% 9.20    
3  ICY STARE DOWN Jan01 Dec09 Oct29 Sep15 Mar24 (russell britta)CEDENO CAROL 123 5.00 41% 1.40    
4  SWEET GRACIE Jan21 Jan01 Dec04 Oct22 Sep24 (allen ferri)ALVELO C 123 4.00 ★    
5  BENEATH THE STARS Feb02 Apr16 Mar30 Mar04 Feb19 (farrior an)RIVERA R 116 8.00 ★    
6  COMBAT QUEEN Dec16 Oct30 Oct09 Sep25 Aug26 (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 123 2.50    
 
LRL-9   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 45 M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLY DELITE Nov19 Nov05 Oct06 Sep03   (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 4.50    
2  I HAVE COURAGE Dec04 Nov13 Oct23 Oct08 Sep10 (frock charle)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 15.00    
3  COFFEE BEAN Jan29 Jan13 Dec29 Dec16 Dec11 (serey mario)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 112 12.00    
4  DOOMSCROLLER Jan29 Jan15 Dec11 Oct23 Oct02 (mcmullen ma)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 8.00 ★    
5  GOOD STORY Jan29 Dec29 Oct23 Oct08 Sep16 (eppler mary)PAREDES JHOVANY 112 4.50 13% 6.70    
6  TIPSY TOURIST Jan29 Jan13 Dec29 Dec04 Nov13 (eubanks an)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 3.50 5% 17.30    
7  BOSSTONIAN         (russell br)RIVERA R 119 5.00 36% 1.80    
8  DYSFUNCTIONAL Feb04         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 3.00 24% 3.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.