Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Sunday - January 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-1   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4/2/3/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/4/2/3/5)-(1/4/2/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4)-(6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(6)-(2/1/5/3/4) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
HOU-2   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/1/2/4) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (6)-(6/1/2/4)-(6/1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6)-(2/1/5/3/4) 5 $1.00 $5.00 
    PK3 (6)-(2/1/5/3/4)-(3/7/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
HOU-3   WIN (2/1/5/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/3/4)-(2/1/5/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/5/3/4)-(2/1/5/3/4)-(2/1/5/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/1/5/3/4)-(3/7/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5/3/4)-(3/7/2)-(3/10/1/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-4   WIN (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/2)-(3/7/4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/2)-(3/7/4/6/2)-(3/7/4/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/7/2)-(3/10/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/2)-(3/10/1/4)-(6/1/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-5   WIN (3/10/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/10/1/4)-(3/10/1/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/10/1/4)-(3/10/1/4/6)-(3/10/1/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/10/1/4)-(6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/10/1/4)-(6/1/2)-(9/8/7/6/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-6   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2/7)-(6/1/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(9/8/7/6/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(9/8/7/6/1)-(8/9/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
HOU-7   WIN (9/8/7/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/8/7/6/1)-(9/8/7/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/8/7/6/1)-(9/8/7/6/1)-(9/8/7/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/8/7/6/1)-(8/9/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
HOU-8   WIN (8/9/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/9/2)-(8/9/1/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/9/2)-(8/9/1/3/2)-(8/9/1/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-1   01/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LINGERING PROMISE Dec14 Nov21       (offolter joe)ALVAREZ L 123 2.00 34% 1.90    
2  HOT TUB HOTTIE Oct13 Oct01 Aug26 Jul22 Jul11 (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 123 1.60 ★    
3  TAYLOR'S SECRET Oct19 Jul24 Jul02 May28 Mar12 (gelner j)LUZZI J 123 4.50 ★    
4  BENDELENE Oct14 Sep17 Jul24 Jun09 May15 (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 3.00 30% 2.40    
5  STORMIEIS BLUE Oct21 Sep29 Sep03 Jul16 Jun24 (whitelaw mi)HAMILTON WESTON 123 8.00 ★    
 
HOU-2   01/22/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SINGAPORE FLASH Feb19 Jan20       (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 1.80 ★    
2  MOOJAB JR Oct27 Oct12 Sep21 May01 Apr09 (duhon paul)DIEGO V 119 4.00 ★    
SCR  SUNDAY BLING Jan14 Nov21 Nov04 Oct15 Sep28 (cald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 30.00    
4  ROBO Jan14 Sep21 Sep01 Jul17 Jun25 (govea cesar)MONTALVO C 123 8.00 ★    
SCR  TRULY DANZIG Jan07 Oct06 Sep15 Aug20 Jul08 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  SUNLIT SONG Oct27 Sep25 Mar11 Feb19 Jan20 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 119 1.20 70% 0.40    
 
HOU-3   01/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLD N WILD Jun16 May21 Apr08 Mar16 Feb16 (eoff terr)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 4.00 21% 3.70    
2  TEXAS SKYWALKER Jan07 Dec03 Nov19 Nov04 Oct27 (cravens ron)MELANCON JANSEN 123 1.20 28% 2.50    
3  EUROEAST Jan13 Dec17 Dec03 Nov05 Sep10 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 10.00 9% 10.70    
4  SECRET SURVIVOR Jan13 Dec02 Nov18 Oct14 Oct01 (triana juan)WETHEY JR 123 12.00 8% 11.80    
5  WILL THE THRILL Sep08 Aug26 Jul22 Jul08 Jun10 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 3.00 14% 6.30    
6  BEHIND THE CURTAIN Jan13 Jul21 Jun24 May14 Apr30 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 123 6.00    
 
HOU-4   01/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3 F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESTRON BAY Dec14 Aug19 May14     (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 122 6.00    
2  YOUNEEDTOCALMDOWN Dec15 Sep30       (silva miguel)MONTALVO C 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  POETIC UNION Jan07 Dec09 Nov25 Nov11 Oct09 (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 2.00 52% 0.90    
4  BLONDES HAVEMO FUN Jan07 Nov25 Oct13 Sep01 Jul17 (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 122 3.50 ★    
5  FLASHY GAIL Dec08 Oct28 Oct05 Sep14   (d)DE CRUZ 122 8.00    
6  SWEET OLIVE Dec22 Jul23       (gelner jayde)PIVARAL GERBER 122 4.50 ★    
7  IN THE FAST LANE Jan07 Jul21 Jun05     (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 4.00 23% 3.30    
 
HOU-5   01/22/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LET'S GO ALAMO Oct14 Sep21 Jun17 Jun04 May06 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 3.50 20% 4.00    
2  MONET'S DEVIL Jan14 Dec17 Dec10 Nov21 Oct13 (davidson m )HAMILTON WESTON 123 10.00    
3  STANS HOOKIN BULL Aug02 Jul17 Jun19 May13 Apr07 (jacks e)DIEGO V 123 5.00 29% 2.50    
4  MORE LIKE IT Jan14 Oct15 Sep17 Sep01 Jul08 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  WIN WON DOBBS Dec28         (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 20.00    
6  RUSH THE COLORS Jan05 Nov11 Jul17 Jul08 May29 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 6.00 ★    
7  SUPREME CAPO May29 May08 Mar25 Mar09 Feb11 (echeverria hecto)MONTALVO C 123 15.00    
8  BRUCELEA Oct26 Oct01 Aug20 Jul23 Jul04 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.50    
9  WILTON Jan08 Oct15 Sep24 Sep18 Sep10 (g)DE CRUZ 123 8.00    
10  JACKMAN'S RIDE Nov05 Oct15 Sep15 Jun17 May14 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 123 6.00 27% 2.70    
 
HOU-6   01/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($12K) 3 F PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EAGLE'S QUEEN         (padilla a)DIEGO V 122 6.00 12% 7.20    
2  BEST THINGS EVER         (davidson m )OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 12.00 12% 7.20    
3  GLITZ AND GLAMOUR Jul04 May14       (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 122 8.00    
4  MOLA MIA Jan06         (david)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 4.00    
5  RECLAIMED Sep18 Aug15       (y)DE CRUZ 122 10.00    
6  CLASSICALLY WICKED         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 3.50 41% 1.50    
7  LET FREEDOM BLING Jan07 Jul04 Jun19 Jun05 May14 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 2.00 ★    
SCR  S S TURBINIA         (kotara ro)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 30.00 11% 7.80    
 
HOU-7   01/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LANGUAGE BARRIER Dec19 Oct23 Aug27 Aug13 Jul17 (sayre d)SANCHEZ M 123 30.00 9% 10.30    
2  UNPUBLISHED Dec14 Dec04 Nov16 Oct28 Sep11 (montano wilfrid)BENAVIDES D 123 20.00    
3  ONOMATOPOEIA Dec12 Dec01 Nov15 Oct25 Oct09 (williams steve)MORA GERARDO 123 15.00    
4  BROTHER AARON Jan06 Dec03 Nov04 Jun19 May27 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 2.00    
5  LUKE'S CAJUN STAR Jan04 Dec17 Dec02 Jul08 Jun29 (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 123 8.00    
6  PAST VISIONS Nov14 Jun21 May09 Apr25   (duhon paul)DIEGO V 123 12.00 10% 9.20    
7  FRESH ONE Nov03 Oct12 Sep21 Jun09 May06 (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 123 15.00 12% 7.20    
8  CAYMANS COBRA Jan08 Nov14 Nov03 Oct08 Sep15 (duhon pau)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 3.00 14% 6.30    
9  SKYWAVE Aug27 Jul21 Jul08 Jun16 May14 (roub)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.00 27% 2.70    
10  MR. UNUSUAL Nov09 Oct19 Jun19 May12 Apr29 (t)DE CRUZ 123 20.00    
 
HOU-8   01/22/2023 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YANKEE INDIAN Jan08 Dec15 Dec10 Nov12 Nov04 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 6.00 ★    
2  SECRET BLARNEY Oct01 Sep26 Sep11 Aug21 Jul18 (young scott)WETHEY JR 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  SHIFTY HENRY Oct22 Oct05 Aug13 Jun18 May30 (roub)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 8.00 ★    
4  SALADO Jan14 Nov05 Oct07 Sep22 Jun23 (triana juan)MELANCON JANSEN 119 4.50    
5  KNIGHT DISRUPTOR Aug29 May23 May09 Apr18 Apr04 (williams st)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 15.00    
6  CAPT. ST. JACQUES Nov12 Oct28 Sep16 Sep01 May27 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 119 8.00    
7  J B'S LEGACY Dec10 Nov22 Sep16 Aug20 May16 (ashford ray)DIAZ RENE 119 10.00    
8  SATURDAY'S GOLD Aug17 Jun21 May14 Jan28   (thomas lee)MORA GERARDO 119 4.00 48% 1.10    
9  QUARKY Nov07 Oct21 Oct14 Sep23 Sep03 (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 119 3.50 24% 3.20    
10  PEPPER JACK Dec02 Nov16 Oct28 Sep20 Sep11 (govea cesar)MONTALVO C 119 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.