Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gulfstream Park
Thursday - December 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GP-1   12/29/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOSLER'S IMAGE Dec04 Oct22 Sep23 Aug01 Jul16 (trombetta mic)ORTIZ JR 121 2.00 28% 2.60    
WICKED MERCURY Dec04 Oct07 Sep16 Aug31 Jul13 (cibelli jane)GONZALEZ EDWIN 121 3.00 28% 2.60    
HARDLY SOCIAL Dec04 Nov11 Oct28 Oct02 Sep17 (dobles saman)BRIDGMOHAN X 121 15.00    
SHES THE NORTH Nov05 Sep29 Sep01 Jul23 Jun23 (depaulo mi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00    
KENTUCKY PRIDE Dec01 Nov19 Nov04 Oct07 Sep04 (silvestri)LEPAROUX R 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHICA BOOM Dec04 Aug10 Jul26 Jul12 May27 (gracida ruben)RUIZ JORGE 121 8.00    
EMIRATES AFFAIR Nov26 Oct23 Sep25 Jul31 Jul01 (walder)VASQUEZ ANGEL 123 8.00 15% 5.80    
MACHISIMA Nov04 Oct15 Sep29 Sep04 Aug18 (depaulo micha)MORALES ANGEL 114 15.00    
 
GP-2   12/29/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT-12:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BREEZY CONNECTION Dec15 Nov25 Oct29 Oct02   (brooks gerald)MORALES ANGEL 110 4.50    
WARP SPEED BEAST Dec14         (dobber arnoud )BORACO DAVID 120 20.00    
ALLAGASH RUN Nov20         (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 124 1.60 52% 0.90    
LAST DREAM Nov20 Sep10 Aug20     (nicks e)REYES LEONEL 120 5.00    
DEVIL'S MYTH Jul16 Jun19 Apr23     (dobber arnoud )SUAREZ ANGEL 120 20.00    
SCR  OZAH Dec14         (harris nancy)RIOS M 120 30.00    
UNCLE MARK         (alvarado dia)MORELOS E 120 6.00 24% 3.20    
TACTICAL FORCE Nov20 Oct15 Sep09     (fawkes david)TORRES A 113 3.00    
 
GP-3   12/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE ME ARCHIE Aug24 Jul03 Jun11 May07 Mar31 (ke)BOULANGER CHANCE 123 15.00    
THE TWINS SNEAKERS Dec15 Oct28 Aug28 Jul23 Jun24 (alter happy)TORRES A 113 5.00    
FISHING FOR FUN Dec09 Dec01 Nov04 Oct07 Sep17 (moubarak )BRICENO M 110 6.00 14% 6.30    
STRASBOURG Dec09 Oct16 Sep17 Aug27 Jul30 (bayeh edgar)BORACO DAVID 120 3.00 33% 2.10    
CHIQUIRIN Dec09 Dec01 Nov12 Sep24 Jul17 (yanez reyn)PIMENTEL JR 120 2.50 19% 4.30    
MUNDO MIX Dec16 Nov10 Jul05 Jun11 May27 (caramori eduardo)LEON SONNY 120 2.00    
 
GP-4   12/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRAPPE THE WIND Dec17 Dec01 Oct28 Sep25 Jul17 (arias d)LEON SONNY 122 4.50 27% 2.70    
MORE THAN GRAY Dec01         (rodriguez ang)ARROYO MIGUEL 120 20.00    
CORPORATE AFFAIR Dec18 Nov27 Oct30 Oct16 Oct01 (lutchman padar)SUTHERLAND C 120 8.00    
PAPA KATZ Nov26 Nov13       (tharrenos wi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.50 17% 4.90    
SCR  EXTRACTION WILL Dec18 Oct29 Oct01 Sep04 Jul29 (pinchin jose)MORELOS E 122 15.00    
SCR  CAJUN RED Nov27 Oct29 Aug21 Jul29 Apr27 (d'angelo jose )ORTIZ L 120 4.00    
JRUE BREEZE Dec14 Nov18 Oct23     (spatz ronald)TORRES A 113 1.40 32% 2.10    
 
GP-5   12/29/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RULE IT Dec03         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00    
SCR  VICTORY LINE Dec17         (sano antoni)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
ISLAND SWAGGER Dec08 Oct30 May19     (lynch bri)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
PEOPLE FORCE Dec18 Dec02       (preciado guada)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 25% 3.00    
SOUPERSILVERDOLLAR Dec03         (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 17% 4.90    
HOLIDAY FANTASY Dec03         (o'connell kathlee)PRADO S 118 20.00    
SCR  EPEIUS         (casse mark)JARAMILLO E 118 8.00    
SCR  RIGEL         (sancal murat)ZAYAS J 118 20.00    
CATALINA EXPRESS Dec03 Nov12 Oct23     (rodriguez angel )LEON SONNY 118 8.00    
10  IMPOSTER SYNDROME Dec03 Oct23       (thomas jon)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.80 32% 2.10    
 
GP-6   12/29/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THENORTHREMEMBERS Dec10 Nov12 Oct22 Oct01 Sep10 (hernandez sa)GONZALEZ EDWIN 121 2.50 22% 3.50    
INCITATUS Nov26 Oct15 Sep22 Sep12 Aug29 (bayeh ed)FIGUEROA HERIBERTO 121 20.00    
KITTEN'S SPA Dec10 Nov18 Oct21 Sep09 Aug07 (wilensky herman)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00 21% 3.80    
DUCHOSSOIS Oct24 Oct04 Sep13 Aug05 May21 (gutierrez fa)TORRES A 114 6.00    
PRINCE AMADEUS Dec21 Oct19 Sep15 Sep06 Aug06 (romero rafae)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 15.00    
KING THEO Dec07 Nov12 Oct22 Oct01 Sep10 (dibona robert )REYES LEONEL 121 8.00 18% 4.50    
HEAT OF THE NIGHT (SAF) Nov12 Oct30 Oct16 Sep13 Aug23 (navarro marcial)PEREZ EDGAR 121 3.50    
DAZZLING TRUTHS Dec10 Nov12 Sep18 Sep03 Aug06 (russo frank )MORELOS E 121 4.50 13% 6.60    
 
GP-7   12/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($86K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUSTERY Nov18 Oct14 May21 Apr21 Apr02 (hurtak daniel)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
OLIVIA DARLING Nov18 Oct14 Jun03 Apr22   (delgado jorg)MORELOS E 118 8.00    
SCARLET STRIPE Nov27 Oct28 Oct01 Aug13   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.40 30% 2.30    
MISZLO Nov18 Aug07 Jun26 Jun03 May21 (nunez edua)PIMENTEL JR 120 20.00    
AMERICAN TAP Dec08 Oct21 Sep18 Aug19 Jul22 (williams matth)REYES LEONEL 120 3.50 25% 3.10    
DOLL BABY Mar10 Jan30       (nicks e)ORTIZ L 118 5.00    
POIEMA Dec14 Nov19 Oct15 Sep23 Aug27 (bates larry)TORRES A 111 5.00 22% 3.50    
 
GP-8   12/29/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($87K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY DAY (FR) Oct20         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 20% 3.90    
BEECHNUT TROPHY Sep05 May06 Apr02 Mar16   (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 19% 4.20    
SWEET ENOUGH (GB) Nov12 Apr23       (attfield ro)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 6.00    
MY CANDY GIRL Dec04 Oct20 Sep18 Aug19 Jul30 (hiles a)SUTHERLAND C 123 8.00    
STARSHIP NTERPRISE Dec02 Sep25 Jun25 Jun12 May08 (dwoski)VASQUEZ ANGEL 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
SONAR Dec09 Nov13 Oct16     (alvarado jua)ZAYAS J 123 30.00    
ROSEBUD'S HOPE Oct22 Sep11 Aug20 Jul03 Jun11 (attard kevin)ORTIZ L 123 3.50 17% 4.90    
STARSHIP NANA Dec02 Jun18 May21 Apr16 Mar17 (dwoskin steven)PANICI LUCA 121 20.00    
MISS BONNIE T Dec02 Sep30 Aug19 Jul22 Jun04 (antonacci phil)REYES LEONEL 121 8.00 10% 9.10    
10  TRAFFIC SONG Apr23 Apr02 Jan29     (toner j)RUIZ JORGE 121 6.00    
 
GP-9   12/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERFECT KIMBERLY S Dec01 Nov04 Oct07 Sep04 Aug07 (catanese jos)TORRES A 116 6.00    
ROSA STAR Dec01 Nov19 Oct23 Sep30 Aug20 (miller herbe)MORELOS E 123 6.00    
HOT BODE Dec01 Nov12 Oct22 Oct01 Sep03 (sano antonio)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 12% 7.70    
CALIFORNIA GIGI Dec04 Nov12 Oct21 Sep23 Aug05 (orseno)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 4.50 22% 3.50    
KARENVILLE Dec01 Nov04 Sep30 Jul31 Jul15 (de cerda)PEREZ EDGAR 123 5.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  LITTLE BELITA Dec09 Nov19 Oct21 Oct08 Sep18 (maragh collin)MORALES ANGEL 113 30.00    
KESTENNA (GB) Sep13 Aug02 Apr24     (sweezey ke)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 8.00    
CAPRIDREY Dec04 Nov19 Oct21 Sep23 Sep10 (santillana fra)REYES LEONEL 120 12.00 5% 18.40    
SWEET ACTRESS Dec01 Nov04 Oct23 Sep03 Jul08 (levy l)LEON SONNY 123 10.00    
10  BEAUTIFUL STAR Dec11 Nov04 Sep02 Aug05 Jul15 (hernandez jos)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 10.00    
11  THRILLING BABY Dec01 Nov19 Oct28 Sep17 Aug27 (sano antonio)BEATO INOEL 123 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.