Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - December 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   12/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23.5K) 2 ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIXIEMAGIC Dec03 Oct21 Sep12 Aug27 Jul29 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 120 1.40 ★    
2  JOE'S HAD ENOUGH Oct23 Sep30 Sep04 Aug06   (granitz anthony )FERRER C 120 8.00 ★    
3  KING SPARROW Dec03 Sep30 Sep11     (richards renal)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00 30% 2.40    
4  COCO SHELL Dec03 Oct20 Aug29 Aug01   (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 6.00    
5  IMAGOODFELLA Nov25 Oct07 Sep18     (sacco gregor)ARROYO S 122 5.00 19% 4.30    
6  FINAL EPISODE Dec10 Dec03 Nov19 Oct16 Sep24 (minguet ramo)BATISTA A 117 12.00 16% 5.30    
 
TAM-2   12/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEE UP Nov26 May29 Apr30 Apr01 Mar09 (tsirigotis j)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 15.00 14% 6.20    
2  MELANCHOLY BLUES Aug29 Jul15 Jun25 Jun12 May22 (wilson tony)IORIO MELISSA 112 8.00    
3  MISS MIAMI Dec09 Nov26 Oct21 Jan29 Jan09 (romero rafael)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.50 30% 2.30    
4  LYRICAL Dec09 Jul09 Jun02 May19 Apr23 (rarick lynn)DELGADO DAVID 122 4.00 ★    
5  NURSE JUDY Dec16 Sep18 Aug19 Mar19 Feb17 (hunt donald)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 1.60 31% 2.20    
6  MAMBO DANCER (CHI) Sep19 Aug30 Aug16 Jul18 Jun07 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 3.00 ★    
 
TAM-3   12/28/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 2 ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCID Dec03 Oct07       (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 119 1.80    
2  G. T. OH         (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 10.00 ★    
3  PRALINE'S CAT Dec07 Nov23 Sep22 Sep09   (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 119 30.00    
4  HE'S CONNECTED Dec03 Sep25 Sep04     (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 8.00    
5  PERSONAL FINANCE         (sacco gregory)MORALES PABLO 119 6.00 18% 4.60    
6  KHOZY BOY Dec07 Sep17 Aug06     (delgado jorge)MARTIN MATTIE 112 12.00 7% 14.30    
7  GODS GLORY Dec03 Oct27 Aug14     (delgad)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 2.00 32% 2.10    
8  NOBLE AND KIND Dec03 Oct08 Sep03     (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 8.00 13% 6.80    
 
TAM-4   12/28/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 2 F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FULL TIME STRUTIN Nov30 Nov06       (lorito mario)REEVES F 119 30.00    
2  SARA KALI Dec16 Sep30 Sep11 May26 May05 (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 119 20.00 ★    
3  THAT'S MY CAT Dec03 Nov20 Oct23     (lorito mario)ARROYO S 119 3.00 19% 4.40    
4  ANNA'S IMAGE Dec03 Oct21 Sep18 Aug21 Aug07 (richards renal)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.00 18% 4.60    
5  THE MONEY MACHINE Dec14 Oct14 Sep23     (hunt donald)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 8.00 13% 6.80    
6  BINOCHE Nov25 Sep02       (delgad)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 1.60 30% 2.40    
7  SUNSHINE GIRL Dec03 Oct06 Sep10     (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 10.00    
 
TAM-5   12/28/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACE UP HER SLEEVE Dec10 Sep24 Aug12 Aug03   (klesaris)GALLARDO A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  CHANGE PLANS May07 Feb27 Jan22     (proctor thomas)COA J 121 20.00    
3  ASPEN         (walsh brendan)MORALES PABLO 121 4.00 ★    
4  KINCHEN (IRE) Sep18         (brown)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 1.00 36% 1.70    
5  THE SWEATY FOX Dec10 Nov05 Oct16 Sep10   (stoddard britt)CASTANON L 121 20.00    
6  ELECTORATE (IRE) Jan01         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.50 23% 3.30    
7  LIVELY REMARK Dec09 Sep07 Aug24     (nunn douglas)JIMENEZ MANNY 121 20.00    
8  DOUBLE COSMO GIRL Dec15 Nov18 Sep23 Aug14 Jul29 (exposito a)ALONSO LUIS 121 15.00    
9  LALOBA FEROZ Sep10 Aug05 Jun26 Apr30 Apr13 (bordis robert )MENDEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 13% 6.80    
 
TAM-6   12/28/2022 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SANDY DUDE Nov30 Nov04 Sep17 Aug27 Jul31 (harney he)CAMACHO JR 121 1.60 31% 2.20    
2  ARIES REIGNS Dec14 Nov25 Nov06 Sep15 Sep04 (rarick lynn)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00    
3  BAM BAM WARRIOR Dec14 Sep28 Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 (torres r)SUAREZ JESUS 118 30.00    
4  EL POLICIA Dec14 Nov30 Oct05 Sep21 Sep05 (sacco d)FERRER C 118 5.00 ★    
5  SWIFT KID Dec09 Aug24 Aug01 Jul12 Jun30 (machado anto)ARROYO S 121 6.00 16% 5.20    
6  CEDAR BEACH Apr20 Mar25 Mar02 Feb09 Jan16 (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 5.00 ★    
7  TRIZMO Nov09 Oct25 Oct02 Sep04 Aug21 (county patrick )CENTENO E 118 4.00 23% 3.40    
 
TAM-7   12/28/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOT EM THINKING         (ward dennis)SPANABEL SKYLER 121 12.00    
2  BUCKTOWN Dec02 Oct22 Jun11     (proctor thomas)CASTANON L 121 5.00 29% 2.40    
3  DARK AND FITZY Jan06         (beckman whitw)CENTENO E 121 10.00 9% 10.30    
4  AMBUSHED Jul11 Jun20 Jun06 Apr24 Mar19 (guciardo k)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 8.00 ★    
5  J J'S JUSTICE Dec02 Sep18       (mazza w)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 30.00    
6  GREENPOINT Dec02 Oct15 Sep25     (hunt donald)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 30.00    
7  JURKOVEC Oct20 Sep17 Jul20     (albertrani tho)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.00 ★    
8  BOSQUE REDONDO         (brown)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 1.80 41% 1.40    
9  MINTENON Dec02         (delacour arn)BATISTA A 121 12.00    
10  HOKU         (danner kelsey)MORALES PABLO 121 10.00    
 
TAM-8   12/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 2 F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREE SHOT Dec03 Nov25 Oct12 Sep19 Aug27 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 1.80 30% 2.30    
2  BROKEN HEARTS BAY Nov18 Oct14       (arnett g)FERRER C 119 4.00 14% 6.20    
3  CLASSIC DREAMER         (romero raf)ROWLAND MADELINE 114 10.00    
4  FROSHADO         (harty eoin)SOSA LAUREANO 112 6.00    
5  ONE TOUGH DAME Dec03         (ubide max)ALONSO LUIS 119 5.00 26% 2.80    
6  DRAGONERA         (harty eoin)CASTANON L 119 10.00    
7  LANCE'S SMILE         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 119 5.00 7% 13.50    
8  REBEL CONSORT Oct05 Sep06 Aug09 Jul20   (carrascojr vic)GREEN AUBRIE 119 20.00 ★    
 
TAM-9   12/28/2022 5940ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARV'S MAGIC Dec10 Oct04 Sep23 Sep15 Aug17 (granitz anthony )FERRER C 121 4.50 17% 4.90    
2  MOTATAABEQ Dec10 Nov25 Oct10 Sep07 Jul26 (escobar alison)MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.00 26% 2.80    
3  HOLD THE SPICE Nov25 Sep15 Aug31 Aug10 Jul16 (rhone berne)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 12.00    
4  JIMMY D Dec10 Oct27 Sep28 Sep07 Jul21 (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 121 8.00 ★    
5  MR. SARCASTIC Dec10 Nov12 Oct22 Sep25 Aug27 (richards r)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 4.50    
6  DAMIR Dec10 Sep14 Sep03 Aug20 Jul20 (cascallares )MENESES MARCOS 121 8.00    
7  CUZ Dec07 Oct25 Sep29 Sep19 Aug30 (guciardo kathy)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00 22% 3.60    
8  GO MIKE Oct15 Sep10 Aug20 Jul30 Jul03 (richards ren)BATISTA A 121 15.00    
9  TREASURE RUN Dec14 Nov25 Nov05 Aug31 Aug20 (rarick lynn)DELGADO DAVID 121 15.00    
10  JOE PHILLIPS Nov30 Oct21 Oct05 Aug31 Aug17 (raven kerri)CASTANON L 123 6.00 8% 11.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.