Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Zia Park
Monday - December 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ZIA-1   12/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PATRIOT Nov08 Oct18 Sep17 Aug20 Aug03 (rojero luis)SCRIVER L 123 1.80 27% 2.70    
2  COWBOY COOL Dec01 Nov08 Oct18 Sep03 Aug14 (green greg)PEREZ A 123 1.60 ★    
3  GRAND DESIGN Sep30 Sep18 Aug14 Jun27 Jun13 (esqueda rober)JUAREZ J 123 8.00    
4  LANGUAGE BARRIER Oct23 Aug27 Aug13 Jul17 Jul02 (roman m)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 12.00 6% 15.70    
5  THIRSTY KITTY Sep24 Sep14 Jun25 Mar22   (fria)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 8.00 ★    
6  DISCREET TIGER Oct18 Sep03 Aug14 May07 Apr23 (chacon r)MEDELLIN A 123 3.50 26% 2.90    
 
ZIA-2   12/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIRT BIKE SLADE Dec01 Nov08 Oct24 Oct09 Apr06 (smith a)SALAZAR TERESA 116 20.00    
2  I AM THE JUAN Dec06 Nov07 Oct23 Aug17 Jul31 (summers nan)SCRIVER L 121 1.60 30% 2.40    
3  PARABELLUM Dec01 Nov08 Oct16 Sep27 Sep20 (williams f)TOHILL S 123 12.00    
4  JUST AWESOME M Sep30 Sep08 Aug17 May15 Apr22 (cardena)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 4.50 ★    
5  SUPER HUNK Dec14 Nov21 Sep28 Sep17 Sep08 (eliott roger)CHAVEZ R 121 8.00 6% 16.00    
6  ABETEMARCO Nov08 Sep23 Aug10 Jul30 May15 (marquez jose)ALDERETE JORGE 123 10.00 15% 5.60    
7  WATFORD Nov21 Oct31 Sep23 Aug31 Aug05 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 123 1.80 24% 3.20    
 
ZIA-3   12/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 2 ALL PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUITAR BOY Nov22 Oct11 Aug20 Jul17   (fincher todd)FUENTES A 120 2.50 20% 4.10    
SCR  MR. SO FUNNY Sep10         (woolley benni)JUAREZ J 120 10.00    
3  BYE Sep23 Sep07 Jul17 Jul08   (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 8.00    
4  HA HA FOR YOU Nov22 Sep19       (roberso)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 120 15.00 ★    
5  DECORATION DAY Nov21 Nov08       (hone)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
6  WILD ON ICE Nov08         (marr h)TOHILL S 120 3.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  MALMO Nov22 Oct25 Oct11     (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 4.00 ★    
 
ZIA-4   12/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BACK TO WORK Oct31 Oct05 Aug31 Jul30 Apr30 (vega v)MEDELLIN A 123 8.00    
2  AZTEC SUN Nov21 Oct17 Jul30     (marr h)TOHILL S 121 3.50 ★    
3  MAGIC IS FLYING Nov21 Oct31 Oct05 Sep16 Aug31 (silva n)PEREZ A 123 5.00 ★    
4  K P AIM HIGH Nov21 Oct31 Oct17 Oct01 Aug20 (gonzalez jo)SCRIVER L 123 2.00 17% 4.80    
5  GREY STORM Dec01         (fincher todd)FUENTES A 123 8.00 ★    
6  I THINK I'M HERE Nov22 Oct30 Sep30 Sep04 Aug06 (silva lillian)JUAREZ J 121 2.50 47% 1.10    
7  KATRAKA Dec01 Oct17 Aug24 Jun30   (chavez jose)VORRATH VALENTE 121 30.00    
 
ZIA-5   12/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUITE LOVELY Dec01 May08 Apr03 Mar04 Feb13 (gonzalez sa)SCRIVER L 123 20.00 11% 8.10    
2  FEISTYFILAMINA May14 Mar26       (munoz gua)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 15.00    
3  BIKINILESS Dec06 Oct24 Oct11 Oct01 Sep15 (hone)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 4.00 ★    
4  MARQUIS LIGHTS Dec01 Sep28 Aug31 Aug17 Aug05 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 123 2.00 14% 6.00    
5  SPEEDY WILDCAT Mar04 Feb08       (marr h)TOHILL S 123 12.00 ★    
6  ROLL ON CAMRON Nov14 Oct24 Sep24 Aug24   (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 121 1.50 46% 1.20    
7  RIGHT FOR YOU Dec01 Oct30 Sep17 Aug19 Aug05 (cross gary)FUENTES A 121 6.00    
 
ZIA-6   12/19/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 35 ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHISKEY THERAPY Nov06 Oct23 Oct10 Jan21 Jan04 (smith a)SALAZAR TERESA 118 30.00    
2  HE'S NO YOKE Dec01 Nov07 Sep04     (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 0.50 68% 0.50    
3  RARE COIN Dec13 Nov21 Nov06 Oct11 Sep21 (barrios bernadet)CHAVEZ R 121 10.00    
4  GEEBEESBIGBOY Dec01 Nov14 May22 Apr02 Mar08 (soto salvador)MARQUEZ LARRY 121 15.00    
5  DISTORTED GUY Nov13 Oct23 Sep28 Sep04   (chavez larry)TORRES J 121 8.00 ★    
6  WHO'S ON THE RUN Dec12 Dec01 Nov06 Oct10 Sep28 (green greg)TOHILL S 121 6.00 7% 12.40    
SCR  RIO HATO Dec12 Dec01 Oct17 Sep17 Jun11 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 50.00 5% 19.00    
8  BALD IS BEAUTIFUL Nov13 Sep17 Sep08     (marquez jose)ALDERETE JORGE 123 6.00 ★    
 
ZIA-7   12/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEXY BIKINI MODEL Oct30 May27 Mar06 Jan01   (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 123 12.00    
2  SAYWARD Dec05 Nov01 Oct23 Aug17 Mar13 (cross gary)TOHILL S 123 6.00    
3  DESERTROSE OFTEXAS Dec01 Oct30 Aug17 Aug10 Jul31 (lambert case)FUENTES A 123 2.50 19% 4.40    
4  ARRANGED VOWS Nov15 Oct23 Sep24 Aug24 Aug10 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 3.50 30% 2.30    
5  INDIAN FIREBLOSSOM Dec01 Sep21 May15 May01 Mar06 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 123 8.00    
6  LINE CALL Dec01 Apr23 Mar27 Jan01   (summers n)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  SHAME ON BEA Nov21 Aug10 Jul31 Mar13 Feb05 (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 3.00 ★    
8  CAYCEE'S MARK Dec01 Oct30 Apr03 Mar01 Feb13 (summers nan)SCRIVER L 123 6.00 16% 5.10    
 
ZIA-8   12/19/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.5K) 2 F PT- 5:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNDO THE RIGHT Dec05 Nov07 Oct24 Oct11 Aug31 (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 4.00 11% 8.30    
2  FOOLISH DELIGHT Aug19 Jul17 Jul04     (green greg)TOHILL S 120 1.20 49% 1.00    
SCR  W F PRIMA DONNA Dec01 Oct10 Jul03 Jun10   (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 120 20.00    
4  HUNKALICIOUS Oct10         (eliott roger)SALAZAR TERESA 115 20.00    
5  FIRST ZAP         (gonzal)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 120 12.00 ★    
6  ZANARAZZI Nov21 Aug31       (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 120 4.50 10% 8.80    
7  MORE THAN SHAKIN Dec05         (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 3.50 10% 9.20    
8  DASH OF CHROME Dec05 Oct11       (van robe)CHAVEZ R 120 30.00    
 
ZIA-9   12/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNNING FOR GRACE Dec06 Nov14 Oct24 Aug31 Aug17 (lambert case)FUENTES A 121 6.00 10% 9.30    
2  RELEASE THE GENIE Oct01 Sep15 Aug24 Aug03 Jan01 (vaughn lonnie)TOHILL S 121 12.00    
3  PASSION BELLE Sep28 Aug17 Aug05 May07 Jan30 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 10.00    
4  BELLA Y SOFIA Sep04 Apr24 Mar26 Mar01 Feb13 (hone)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 15.00 6% 16.50    
5  EVANGELINA WHO Nov14 Oct24 Sep28 Aug07 Apr22 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 121 15.00    
6  REBEL RYETTE Dec06 Nov20 Nov01 Oct09 Oct01 (barrios bernadet)CHAVEZ R 123 20.00    
7  SHOULDABEENACOWGAL Dec06 Nov14 Oct04 Aug13 Apr02 (gonzalez an)SCRIVER L 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  BYE BYE BRANDI Dec06 Oct31 Oct11     (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 121 0.60 59% 0.70    
9  MISS ABILITY Dec06 Oct30 Oct04 Sep17 Aug31 (buechl)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 10.00 ★    
 
ZIA-10   12/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SANTIAGO'S TOWER Nov15 Oct17 Sep28 Aug10 Jun12 (vega v)CHAVEZ R 123 6.00 11% 7.80    
2  MCTHANKS Dec05 Oct30 Oct16 Sep30 Sep15 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 12.00 ★    
3  STRYDER Nov30 Nov14 Oct25 Oct01 Aug24 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 123 8.00 8% 12.10    
4  COLOR ME GONE Nov30 Oct30 Sep30 Sep18 Aug28 (gonzalez a)MEDELLIN A 123 20.00    
5  HALF COURT SAM Oct30 Oct01 Sep18 Aug12 Aug06 (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 12.00    
6  MAJORWAYHOME Nov30 Oct30 Sep03 Aug07 Jun25 (munoz gua)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 20.00    
7  OFFENSIVE Oct23 Oct10 Sep03 Aug14 May29 (cross gary)CEBALLOS F 123 12.00    
8  FRANKS DEHERE Oct16 Sep02 May22 Apr03 Jan21 (armstrong she)JUAREZ J 123 8.00    
9  MORE FIREWATER Nov30 Nov15 Oct18 Sep10 Aug15 (gonzalez jo)SCRIVER L 123 1.80 31% 2.20    
10  DIABOLICAL RULER Nov30 Nov15 Sep30 Aug24 Aug06 (ritchie g)TOHILL S 123 3.50 25% 3.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.