Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Saturday - December 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   12/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEA WITH LEMON         (perez man)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 6.00 12% 7.70    
2  INSIDE THE CIRCLE Nov19 Nov06 Oct09 Sep24 May07 (lynch e)HUGHES CARLY 124 5.00 26% 2.90    
3  LOOKING SALTY Nov16 Oct31 Oct04 Aug03 Jun28 (cook brian)REYES ANGEL 122 15.00    
4  READY MADE Nov19 Aug30 Aug16     (lynch e)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 8.00    
5  VALIANTLY DISCREET Nov19         (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 1.60 32% 2.10    
6  LELAND JOHN Nov06 Jun28 Jun17     (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 20.00    
7  ROCKET MAN ATTACK Nov06 Oct09 Sep10 Aug30 Jul29 (childers van)TAVARES JAVIER 122 4.00 10% 8.90    
8  ANUNKA Nov19 Nov06 Oct09 Aug30 Aug05 (breaux danita)ORM CORY 122 15.00 ★    
 
HAW-2   12/03/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPERSTAR DIVA Nov20 Aug23 Jun10 May20   (zawitz joel)ORTEGA O 121 4.00 29% 2.50    
2  PRANCIPANTS Nov26 Nov13 Sep23 Sep06 Aug09 (sanchez o)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 8.00    
3  HEY HEY Nov26 Nov11 Oct28 Sep25 Sep04 (candelas blanca)FELIX E 121 6.00    
4  APRIL'S GEM Nov11 Oct16 Sep24 Aug08 Jul07 (reid r)COLON H 121 3.50 13% 6.70    
5  WANNA HAVE FUN Nov20 Oct29 Oct15 Oct02 Aug24 (hughes)BAILON JADHIR 121 15.00 ★    
SCR  RANK AND FILE Nov20 Nov13 Oct07 Sep29 Sep09 (martinez ral)TAVARES JAVIER 121 2.50 23% 3.30    
7  IRISH HALO Nov18 Nov12 Oct30 Oct16 Oct09 (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 12.00 10% 8.90    
8  FLYING BUSINESS Nov20 Nov12 Oct28 Oct07 Sep24 (candelas blanca)LOPEZ A 121 10.00    
 
HAW-3   12/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 2 F PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YAMILE'S         (miller m)LOPEZ E 120 12.00 ★    
2  LUTION         (wainwright joh)DIEGO JAVIER 120 15.00 ★    
SCR  AIR GERRI Oct14         (block chris)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 10.00    
4  WICKED SKY Oct14 Jul23       (wainwright john)ORTIZ ALVIN 120 8.00    
SCR  MOMENT TO SHINE Nov16         (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 120 2.50 53% 0.90    
6  AWESOME SUNDAY         (vanden britt)FELIX E 120 3.50 21% 3.70    
7  MIDNIGHT SOCIETY Nov11         (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 8.00    
8  TU ROYAL         (manley steve)ORM CORY 120 10.00    
SCR  MADLY Nov08 Sep27       (tracy tanner)REYES ANGEL 120 12.00    
10  THEMISCHIEVOUSONE         (block chr)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 120 6.00 ★    
 
HAW-4   12/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOLIE RULER Nov13 Oct22 Oct09 Sep13 Aug30 (reavis mich)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 2.00 24% 3.10    
2  HER GOLD MINE Nov20 Oct16 Sep25 Aug30 Aug15 (meraz ant)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 15.00    
SCR  SILVERA Nov13 Oct23 Oct02 Sep24 Sep07 (candelas blanca)ORM CORY 121 6.00    
4  AH LEAH Oct15 Sep25 Aug13 Jul22 Jul15 (hernandez ar)TAVARES JAVIER 121 4.50 9% 9.90    
SCR  BEIRUT BEAUTY Sep25 Sep16 Aug09 Jul27 Jul19 (reavis l)FELIX E 121 5.00 20% 4.00    
6  KITTEN ROCKS Nov13 Oct15 Sep25 Jul08 Jun18 (cook brian)COLON H 121 20.00    
7  STERN Nov13 Oct15 Sep19 Sep02 Aug08 (clay pat)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 15.00 5% 18.10    
8  PRINCESS CONSUELA Nov26 Nov11 Oct16 Sep25 Sep17 (sanchez osc)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 20.00    
9  COOKIN ROSES Nov13 Oct28 Oct07 Sep17 Sep02 (quinon)BAILON JADHIR 121 4.50 21% 3.80    
 
HAW-5   12/03/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASTER GUNS Nov13 Oct21 Sep07 Aug11 Jul09 (robertson hu)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 3.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  BOOM FIVE THOUSAND Nov18 Oct21 Oct07 Jul19 Jun24 (cook brian)COLON H 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  RISKY BOY Oct04 Sep20 Sep11 Aug23 Aug02 (shephard jo)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 20.00    
4  THE LAST OPTION Nov19 Nov12 Oct29 Oct14 Sep30 (hernandez ja)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 10.00    
5  AGAVE KID Nov18 Oct16 Oct01 Aug30 Aug05 (slager m)BAIRD T 121 8.00 11% 8.30    
6  PRINCE OF MAYHEM Nov19 Nov06 Oct09 Sep17 Sep06 (castro is)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 6.00 9% 10.30    
7  DEVIL'S RULE Nov13 Nov04 Sep30 Sep24 Jul23 (cook bria)ULLOA JOAN 121 20.00    
8  HIGH HERO Nov18 Oct30 Oct01 Jun18 May21 (perez manny)ORTEGA O 121 30.00    
9  APPLICANT Nov13 Oct30 Sep29 Aug22 Aug12 (childers van)TAVARES JAVIER 121 4.50    
10  RICHIESGOTSWAGGER Nov18 Nov04 Aug17 Aug03 May27 (rodriguez)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 2.50 31% 2.20    
 
HAW-6   12/03/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVEYOULIKECRAZY Nov12 Oct14 Sep23 Aug30   (lopez elias)COLON H 116 8.00    
2  AIR GERRI Oct14         (block chris)CENTENO ALEXIS 116 15.00    
3  JOYZELLA Nov12 Oct14 Sep23     (spagnola ida)TAVARES JAVIER 116 6.00    
4  CAT ROYALE Nov12         (boyce michele)EMIGH A 116 3.50 47% 1.10    
5  CANTOO Nov12 Sep23 Aug26     (wainwright )ARRIETA REYNIER 116 10.00    
6  MISS RIVER RAT Nov12         (block chris)SANTIAGO VICTOR 116 6.00 30% 2.30    
7  GO ON GIRL Nov12 Oct20 Aug03 Jul26 Jun23 (rivelli larry)FELIX E 116 12.00 ★    
8  PRIMITY Nov12 Sep17       (wainwright john)ORTIZ ALVIN 118 8.00 ★    
9  MOM'S TOWN Nov12 Oct03 Sep05 Aug23 Aug03 (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 122 3.00 ★    
SCR  GULF BENDER Nov12 Jul26       (rivelli larry)LOPEZ E 116 15.00    
 
HAW-7   12/03/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  W W COOKIE MONSTER Oct29 Jun28 Jun04 May14   (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 2.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  RICHIESGOTGAME Nov13 Oct15 Sep25 Jun21 Jun03 (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 4.00 26% 2.90    
3  W W SCOUT'S HONOR Oct29 Sep24 Aug16 Jul29 May24 (becker sc)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 3.50 18% 4.50    
4  BOCA BOY Nov02 Sep22 Sep01 Aug18 Jul28 (winebaugh cheryl)LOPEZ E 121 4.50    
5  LOCAMOTOR Oct29 Oct09 Sep09 Aug12   (coontz a)FELIX E 121 6.00 ★    
6  MARK OF THE Z Oct28 Oct07 Aug20 Jul13 Jun22 (rodriguez g)BAIRD T 121 5.00 ★    
 
HAW-8   12/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HATCHET CREEK Nov19 Nov04 Oct09 Sep07 Jul27 (dizeo dino)COLON H 121 8.00    
2  MY LITTLE TIPSY Nov13 Oct28 Sep24 Sep16 Sep02 (butler ge)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 20.00    
3  IMPERIAL MOMENT Nov19 Oct16 Sep23 Aug19 Jul23 (childers vance)BAIRD T 121 4.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  CANDY'S LITTLE TIP Nov18 Oct30 Aug27 Jul25 Jul11 (wiese john)LOPEZ A 121 30.00    
5  MOVE ON OVER Nov06 Oct08 Sep24 Jul15 Jun24 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 3.00 26% 2.90    
6  JUST RIGHT MIKE Nov18 Oct30 Sep30 Sep07 Aug10 (candelas blanca)ORM CORY 121 5.00 ★    
7  WESTA WAVERLY Oct30 Sep15 Sep04 Jul07 Jun22 (robertson hu)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 4.00 ★    
8  CHOPPER Nov18 Oct16 Oct02 Jul23 Jul08 (cook bria)ULLOA JOAN 121 30.00    
9  RUBY'S RED DEVIL Nov04 Oct16 Oct02 Sep17 Sep04 (cook brian)ORTIZ ALVIN 121 30.00    
10  IRISH TUFF Nov13 Oct15 Sep25 Sep14 Aug27 (perez manny)FELIX E 121 8.00 7% 14.10    
11  OLSON Apr03 Mar12 Jan14     (haran john)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.