Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Sunday - November 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   11/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($17.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILDWOOD'S WARRIOR Aug05         (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 8.00 ★    
2  MONSTERONTHEMIDWAY Oct22         (block chris)EMIGH A 121 3.00 50% 1.00    
3  MODIFIER         (perez man)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 20.00 6% 14.90    
4  I'M YOUR VALENTINE Nov19 Oct28 Aug16 Jul29   (kirby frank )TAVARES JAVIER 121 6.00 ★    
5  NAGY AND DA BEARS Nov19 Sep13       (sanchez osc)ORTEGA O 121 30.00    
SCR  MEMPHIS THEPROPHET Nov18 Nov04 Sep25 Aug30 Aug16 (hernan)BAILON JADHIR 124 20.00    
SCR  AQUACAT Sep25 Aug05 Jun24 Apr28   (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 121 1.80 22% 3.60    
8  BON DEUX Nov18 Nov04 Sep14 Aug21 Aug06 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 5.00    
9  MICHAEL GEORGE Nov19 Nov01 Oct22 Oct09   (hernandez ja)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 15.00    
 
HAW-2   11/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIME BREAK Nov12 Oct28 Oct09 Aug30 Jul16 (jansen kenny)TAVARES JAVIER 121 3.50 14% 6.10    
2  ASHLEY ELIZABETH Oct29 Oct09 May17     (randazzo frank)DIEGO JAVIER 121 12.00 6% 15.50    
3  SUMMER LOVIN Nov12 Oct28 Oct09 Aug28 Aug20 (riecken bruce)LOPEZ E 121 6.00    
4  LA GUERRERITA Oct29 Sep23 Aug26 Aug13 Jul16 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 15.00    
5  KIANA'S LOVE Oct28 Sep09 Aug23 Jul19 Jun21 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 121 1.60 47% 1.10    
6  NOCTURNAL MISSION Sep29 Sep16 Aug15 Jun04 Apr30 (dizeo dino)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  GHAALEB'S MAGIC Nov12 Oct28 Sep03 Aug09 Aug02 (sanchez osc)ORTEGA O 121 3.00 ★    
 
HAW-3   11/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECTLY PROUD Oct30 Oct09 Jan24     (garrett t)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 6.00 24% 3.10    
2  FREE LOVE Jun03 May12       (lopez elias)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 4.50 5% 18.90    
3  COWGIRL FRANKIE Nov19 Sep09 Aug12 Jun28 Jun17 (rednour jr)ORM CORY 121 15.00    
4  MISS KITTY PIE Oct30 Oct09 Aug27 Jul16 Jun25 (randazzo fra)TAVARES JAVIER 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  CRYSTAL SNOW Oct23 Oct07       (cristel j)LOPEZ E 121 15.00    
6  TANGO CITY Oct30 Jun25 Jun04 May21   (miller r)BAIRD T 124 2.50 35% 1.80    
7  MIZZEN MILLIONS Sep03         (garret)BAILON JADHIR 121 12.00    
8  PRADA'S MIRACLE Oct30 Oct09 Aug23     (block chris)FELIX E 121 3.50 11% 7.80    
9  BEE A WINNER Oct09 Sep24 Sep09 Aug13 Jul29 (rednour j)COLON H 124 30.00    
10  D'ORO FOREVER Oct25 Sep08       (correas i)EMIGH A 124 4.00    
 
HAW-4   11/27/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CINDY'S STORM Nov12 Sep28 Sep12 Aug26 Aug09 (ramos fra)ULLOA JOAN 118 6.00 ★    
2  SUPRISE CAT Nov12 Oct29 Oct07 Aug17 Jun10 (young r)LOPEZ E 121 4.50 6% 15.80    
3  SCAT SHACK Nov12 Oct21 Sep29 Sep13 Aug31 (ramos franci)TAVARES JAVIER 121 3.00 8% 11.00    
4  FLASHY RICHIE Nov12 Oct21 Sep24 Aug27 Aug12 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 3.50    
5  RAVE ON Oct29 Oct07 Sep14 Aug17 Jul19 (winebaugh c)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 2.00 64% 0.60    
6  LOOK AWAY Oct29 Oct09 Jun18     (jones s)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 6.00 ★    
 
HAW-5   11/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DYNAMOMETER Nov13 Oct28 Sep08 Aug31 Aug04 (robertson hugh)FELIX E 119 4.00 ★    
2  NACHO S Sep14 Aug21 Jul17 Jul09 Jun09 (russell nathan)REYES ANGEL 119 12.00    
3  TAPIT SAM Nov12 Oct09 Sep15 Sep01 Aug18 (reavis mich)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 4.50 11% 8.00    
4  CLASSOFSIXTYSEVEN Nov13 Oct07 Sep23 Aug27 Jul30 (young terry)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 8.00 ★    
5  CAPTAIN CARNEGIE Nov13 Oct28 Oct09 Sep25 Jun25 (ryan a)LOPEZ A 121 15.00    
6  FRISCO LINE Oct28 Oct09 Sep28 Jul31 Feb12 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 119 2.50 40% 1.50    
7  KANITHAPPEN Nov13 Nov04 Oct14 Jun18 May27 (meraz antonio)BAIRD T 121 2.00 24% 3.20    
 
HAW-6   11/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALMAFUERTE Nov13 Oct15 Sep13 Aug30 Aug16 (martinez ral)TAVARES JAVIER 121 3.00 7% 12.50    
2  HELL OF THE NORTH Sep15         (robertson hugh)EMIGH A 121 4.50 55% 0.80    
3  FIRST SQUADRON Nov20 Oct29 Oct07 Sep25 Aug13 (cook brian)COLON H 121 15.00    
4  FIVE ROSES LUNA Nov08 Oct25 Oct09 Sep26 Sep05 (jones jeff )BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 12.00    
5  MINI DRESS Oct30 Oct16 Sep25 Aug27 Jul29 (watkins m)FELIX E 121 10.00 ★    
6  AIKEN TO BE TAKIN Nov06 Oct21 Sep24 Sep17 Aug26 (childers )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 10.00    
7  FIRST KITTEN Nov11 Oct16 Oct01 Sep06 Aug02 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 1.80 7% 13.40    
8  CAIRO SUMMER Nov18 Oct30 Oct14 Sep23 Sep10 (sanchez osc)ORTEGA O 119 8.00 6% 15.60    
 
HAW-7   11/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TETSU Nov06 Oct16 Oct02 Sep15 Aug20 (manley steve)ORM CORY 121 5.00 9% 10.10    
2  TIGHTROPE Apr09         (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 121 4.50 14% 5.90    
SCR  MKAR THE FAST Nov06 Oct09 Sep06 Aug26 Aug12 (lynch e)HUGHES CARLY 121 30.00    
4  WALKER'S WIN Nov13 Jun28 Jun11 May21 May07 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 3.50 12% 7.20    
5  HUEY ATTACK Oct29 Oct08 Aug05 Jun22 Jun04 (rodriguez g)FELIX E 121 6.00    
SCR  DIAMOND MAXIMUS Oct29 Sep16 Aug30 Aug16 Jul29 (wilborn k)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 12.00    
7  BRING ME A CHECK Nov06 Oct16 Sep14 Aug17 Jun12 (hernandez ar)TAVARES JAVIER 121 6.00 14% 6.10    
8  W W CANDY Nov06 Oct16 Sep24 Aug20 Aug05 (quinon)BAILON JADHIR 121 8.00 22% 3.50    
9  W W CRAZY Nov02 Sep24 Aug30 Aug16 Jul23 (becker scott)EMIGH A 121 12.00    
10  JEFF THE LION         (boyce mic)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 12.00    
SCR  LUCKY SHOT Oct30 Jul17 May01 Apr09 Jan08 (poulos dee)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 20.00    
 
HAW-8   11/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IGGY BIGS Oct22 Sep06 Aug09 Jun25 May28 (hernandez ar)TAVARES JAVIER 119 5.00    
2  AVASARALA Oct23 Sep24 Jun24 Jun10 May27 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 10.00    
3  JUDY'S MS. OFFICER Oct28 Sep23 Aug02 Jun17 May27 (cristel j)LOPEZ E 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  KEEPMEINTHE MOMENT Nov11 Sep02 Aug20 Jun11 May15 (manley steve)BAIRD T 119 2.50 12% 7.10    
5  MARYS LAST SONG Nov11 Oct28 Oct15 Sep02 Aug19 (matthe)BAILON JADHIR 121 8.00 27% 2.70    
6  RARE ACTION ATTACK Nov11 Sep23 Jul09 Jul02 Jun18 (childers vance)ORTIZ ALVIN 121 15.00    
7  CHROME ATTACK Oct16 Sep23 Jun17 Jun11 May15 (childers vance)FELIX E 121 10.00 9% 10.00    
8  JOURNEYIST Nov11 Oct15       (boyce mic)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 119 6.00    
9  MAUREENLOVESFRANK Nov11 Oct23 Sep24 Sep05 Jul10 (rivelli larry)EMIGH A 121 4.50 19% 4.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.