Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Friday - November 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   11/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 2 ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RIVER FULL Oct26 Oct07 Sep15 Aug11   (capuano gary)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 1.80 38% 1.60    
2  BULLOUT Oct09 Aug31 Jul01     (smith hamilt)BATISTA A 118 10.00    
3  MOON SIGN Oct20 Sep07 Aug23     (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.50 19% 4.20    
4  WORLD FACTOR Nov06 Oct15       (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 4.00 22% 3.60    
5  NOBLE PRENDERGAST         (albert l)ARAUJO DENIS 122 12.00 ★    
6  SNIP THE ROSES Nov06 Oct13 Sep24     (walter)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 20.00    
7  SLINGSHOT BOY Nov06 Oct26 Oct13 Sep08   (allard t)CRUZ ANGEL 118 6.00 ★    
8  RUFFLESNFLOURISHES Nov11 Sep07 Aug23     (cooney sus)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 113 20.00    
9  STARDUST ZIGGY Nov04         (morgan carla)RUIZ JORGE 122 12.00    
 
LRL-2   11/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT-12:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAD THE NOTION Oct27 Oct15 Sep23 Sep09 Jun17 (harting r)HESS SARA 113 20.00    
2  RAVENEL Oct06 Sep22 Jul01 May19 Apr28 (harting chri)BATISTA A 123 4.50 ★    
3  TORCH CARRIER Oct27 Sep23 Aug27 Aug13 Jul29 (frock ch)RODRIGUEZ A 116 10.00 11% 8.10    
4  UTTERLY ENCHANTING Oct22 Oct07 May07 Feb19 Jan16 (hall ai)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 4.00 ★    
5  SICK PACK SARA Oct22 Sep18 Aug13 Jul17 May30 (mcmahon hugh)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 1.60 17% 5.10    
6  TIZ SUSAN ANN Oct29 Oct13 Sep09 Jul10 Jun19 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 2.00 40% 1.50    
 
LRL-3   11/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($29K) 2 F PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER JO JO         (howard c)ARAUJO DENIS 122 15.00    
2  FIVE STAR FRAN Jun01         (allard edwar)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 8.00    
3  ICE CUBE BABY Nov04 Oct13 Sep25 Sep18 Jul30 (frock ch)RODRIGUEZ A 115 3.00 ★    
SCR  LOVE THE HUSTLE         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 4.50 18% 4.70    
5  EXCLUSIVE ROSE Oct21 Sep11 Aug20 Aug05 Jul16 (juarez ca)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
6  OJITOS BELLOS         (ness j)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00 ★    
7  LA TACHE Oct21 Sep25 Aug30 Aug03 Jul12 (sillaman rich)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 8.00 24% 3.10    
8  ARROGATES DREAM Nov03 Oct21 Sep16 Aug20   (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 2.00 32% 2.10    
 
LRL-4   11/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL CRUSADER Oct16 Aug13 Jul01 May21 Apr28 (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 4.00 17% 4.80    
2  EXCALIBUR Nov05 Oct15 Sep25 Sep10 Aug13 (dove ke)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 10.00 17% 4.90    
3  UNIDENTIFIED MAN Oct15 Oct01 Sep09 Aug26 Jul17 (rodriguez jose)CEDENO CAROL 123 6.00    
SCR  HIGH PRINT Oct28 Oct15 Sep25 Sep17 Aug20 (dove jr)ALVELO C 123 15.00    
5  MAMAIGOTTHIS Nov11 Oct16 Aug20 Jul29 Jul03 (cortez a)RODRIGUEZ A 116 4.50 ★    
6  MUCHACHO MACHO Oct20 Oct01 Aug11 Jul28 Jun29 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.50 23% 3.40    
7  AFTERMATH Nov05 Oct24 Sep23 Sep04 Aug21 (brooks brian)BATISTA A 121 5.00    
8  RESIDENT LIBERAL Nov07 Oct16 Sep30 Sep16 Sep01 (walter)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 8.00 10% 8.70    
 
LRL-5   11/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 35 ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOTIMELIKEPRESENT Oct15 Sep11       (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CELTIC COUSEN         (smith hamil)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 10.00    
3  MARCHED Oct23         (kee wil)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 30.00    
4  WILLOW WOOD Oct23         (delacour arnaud)RUIZ JORGE 124 4.50 39% 1.60    
5  YOUR ANALYSIS Oct02         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 5.00 26% 2.80    
6  UNION LEAGUE Sep06 Jul30       (motion grah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 5.00 9% 9.80    
SCR  MO MONEY MO BETTA Oct30 Jul30       (rivera jus)MENDOZA JHONATAN 124 20.00    
8  BIG REDWHITEBLUE Sep21 Jul03 Jun09 May26   (jones michael )ADORNO ABNER 124 5.00 ★    
9  BRILLIANT ICE Oct23 Oct09 Sep11 Aug27 Aug05 (eubanks annette )CRUZ ANGEL 124 8.00    
10  MOON WARRIOR Oct13 Feb25       (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 124 12.00    
 
LRL-6   11/18/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSELEE Oct29 Oct19 Sep28 Sep01 Aug17 (nazario p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 10.00    
2  VIOLET JESSOP Oct27 Oct07 Sep17 Sep07 Aug03 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  LUCKY LORRAINE Oct28 Oct07 Aug21 Jun11 Feb26 (eppler m)RODRIGUEZ A 119 5.00 34% 2.00    
4  SEMIRAMIS Oct22 Oct01 Sep10 Aug20 Jul23 (gonzalez c)MENDOZA JHONATAN 124 4.00    
5  MARTHARITA Oct28 Oct08 Sep18 Sep02 Aug26 (eubanks an)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 115 8.00 6% 15.90    
6  BAD TEMPER Oct28 Oct07 Sep25 Aug21 Aug04 (parker m)ACOSTA D 126 5.00 14% 6.00    
7  HEART LIGHT Oct16 Oct07 Sep17 Sep05 Aug17 (morgan carla)RUIZ JORGE 124 4.50    
8  HOLDING COURT Oct27 Sep28 Sep02 Aug13 Jul09 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 8.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  HARPER'S DO Oct28 Oct07 Aug26 Jul29 Jun26 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 120 30.00    
10  SALAGADOOLA Oct07 Sep17 Sep02 Aug12 Jul23 (samaniego jose)CRUZ ANGEL 124 6.00    
 
LRL-7   11/18/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 35 ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHENTI Oct14 Sep24 Aug30 Aug01 Jul11 (parra hernan)CRUZ ANGEL 126 6.00 8% 11.00    
2  AMUSING MISCHIEF         (graham edw)MENDOZA JHONATAN 124 8.00    
3  PHRA PHROM Oct30 Oct23 Oct02 Sep17 Aug27 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 124 12.00 ★    
4  DOMINGUEZ Oct15 Oct08 Sep24 Aug12 Jul03 (shuman mark)CEDENO CAROL 124 4.00 ★    
5  RAPPER ZAPPER Sep24 Sep03       (corrales jose)KARAMANOS A 124 3.00 11% 7.80    
6  AFJAN Oct15 Sep05 Aug28 Jul14 Jul01 (brion keri)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 1.40 56% 0.80    
SCR  ACASHA'S INTUITION Oct26 Sep29 Aug19 Aug12 Jul29 (smith kenneth)ADAMS L 119 30.00    
 
LRL-8   11/18/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLIVIA DARLING Oct14 Jun03 Apr22     (motion g)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 5.00 ★    
2  R B'S STAR Oct28 Sep25 Aug27 Aug19 Jul31 (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 2.00 60% 0.70    
3  MURPH Oct27 Jul06 May20 Apr24 Mar04 (magana j)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 10.00 6% 14.80    
4  WHO KNOWS WHAT Oct30 Oct07 Sep17 Aug19 May12 (trombetta micha)GARCIA LUIS 123 12.00    
5  SKIPPER SUE Oct14         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 121 4.50 10% 9.20    
6  MISTY'S LASS Oct30 Oct06       (jenkins rodney)MONTERREY R 121 15.00 ★    
7  HOP PICKER Oct02 Aug05 Jul04 May13 Feb12 (mcgaughey clau)BOYCE FOREST 121 6.00    
8  FLIMSY (GB) Oct20 Sep30 Aug19 Jul28 Jul03 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 121 4.50    
 
LRL-9   11/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 2 ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DART Oct26 Oct20 Sep15 Aug29 Aug01 (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 122 4.50 ★    
2  SMART AND FAST Oct28 Oct07 Sep18 Sep04 Jul28 (gonzalez)RODRIGUEZ A 115 6.00 12% 7.50    
3  BLAME THE BOURBON Sep03         (feliciano be)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 4.00 51% 0.90    
4  DREAMS DELIVERED Oct14 Jul06 Jun12     (pecoraro anthony)ROSE J 119 5.00    
5  HOPE HE'S FAST Nov04 Oct15 Sep04     (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 4.50 8% 11.30    
6  I ONCE STOOD ALONE Nov02 Oct19 Sep20 Sep09 Sep03 (brooks m)CRUZ ANGEL 119 4.50    
7  READ THE SPEC Sep30 Sep05       (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 5.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.